The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1.20 | — | — |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.30 | -0.50 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.30 | -0.50 |
| May 8, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.00 | +0.10 |
| May 8, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.00 | +0.10 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.50 | -0.70 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.70 | -0.30 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.40 | -0.30 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3.30 | 3.40 | -0.10 |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3.80 | 4.00 | -0.20 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 4.30 | 4.40 | -0.10 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 4.30 | 4.40 | -0.10 |
| Sep 9, 2025 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | 4.30 | 4.10 | +0.20 |
| Jul 8, 2025 | 4.60 | 4.60 | 0.00 |
| Jun 11, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.30 | +0.10 |
| May 9, 2025 | 4.20 | 4.50 | -0.30 |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 4.70 | 5.00 | -0.30 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 5.60 | 5.30 | +0.30 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | 5.50 | 4.80 | +0.70 |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 4.60 | 4.40 | +0.20 |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3.70 | 3.80 | -0.10 |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3.20 | 3.50 | -0.30 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | 3.40 | 3.60 | -0.20 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | 4.10 | 4.00 | +0.10 |
| Jul 9, 2024 | 3.70 | 4.00 | -0.30 |
| Jun 10, 2024 | 4.00 | 4.20 | -0.20 |
| May 10, 2024 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 0.00 |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3.60 | 3.50 | +0.10 |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3.70 | 4.00 | -0.30 |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3.80 | 4.40 | -0.60 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 5.50 | 6.00 | -0.50 |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 7.90 | 8.10 | -0.20 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 9.90 | 10.40 | -0.50 |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 12.20 | 12.50 | -0.30 |
| Sep 8, 2023 | 16.40 | 16.20 | +0.20 |
| Aug 8, 2023 | 17.60 | 17.60 | 0.00 |
| Jul 7, 2023 | 20.10 | 20.00 | +0.10 |
| Jun 8, 2023 | 21.50 | 22.30 | -0.80 |
| May 10, 2023 | 24.00 | 24.20 | -0.20 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 25.20 | 24.70 | +0.50 |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 25.40 | 25.40 | 0.00 |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 25.70 | 25.20 | +0.50 |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 24.50 | 26.00 | -1.50 |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 22.50 | 22.20 | +0.30 |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 21.10 | 21.00 | +0.10 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0 ↓ |
| May 8, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.10 | -0.10 ↓ |
