The reading has risen in each of the last 3 releases.
The Unemployment Rate represents the percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. It is one of the most closely watched economic indicators as it reflects the health of the labor market and overall economic vitality. A declining rate suggests economic expansion and potential upward pressure on wages.
The rate is derived from the Household Survey (Current Population Survey) conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, covering approximately 60,000 households.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | — | 4.70 | — |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 4.80 | 4.60 | +0.20 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 4.60 | 4.30 | +0.30 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 4.40 | 4.10 | +0.30 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 4.30 | 4.20 | +0.10 |
| May 28, 2026 | 4.50 | 4.30 | +0.20 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 0.00 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 4.90 | 4.60 | +0.30 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 4.60 | 4.50 | +0.10 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 4.40 | 4.50 | -0.10 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 4.40 | 4.60 | -0.20 |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 4.40 | 4.60 | -0.20 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 4.60 | 4.60 | 0.00 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 4.50 | 4.70 | -0.20 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.30 | +0.10 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | 4.30 | 4.50 | -0.20 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | 4.50 | 4.00 | +0.50 |
| Jun 27, 2025 | 4.30 | 4.40 | -0.10 |
| May 23, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.20 | +0.20 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 0.00 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.40 | 0.00 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 4.30 | 4.50 | -0.20 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.80 | -0.40 |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 4.70 | 4.60 | +0.10 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 4.60 | 4.50 | +0.10 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 4.60 | 4.20 | +0.40 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | 4.20 | 4.30 | -0.10 |
| Jul 26, 2024 | 4.30 | 4.10 | +0.20 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | 4.40 | 4.40 | 0.00 |
| May 24, 2024 | 4.50 | 4.60 | -0.10 |
| Apr 26, 2024 | 4.60 | 4.70 | -0.10 |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 4.70 | 4.60 | +0.10 |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 4.60 | 4.40 | +0.20 |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 4.40 | 4.30 | +0.10 |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 4.30 | 4.40 | -0.10 |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 4.30 | 4.10 | +0.20 |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 0.00 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Aug 25, 2023 | 4.00 | — | — |
| Jul 28, 2023 | 3.90 | — | — |
| Jun 23, 2023 | 3.90 | — | — |
| May 26, 2023 | 4.00 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2023 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 4.00 | — | — |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3.90 | — | — |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3.80 | — | — |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3.60 | — | — |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3.70 | — | — |
| Sep 22, 2022 | 3.40 | — | — |
The latest reading is 1.8 standard deviations above the mean.
