EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from Eurostat / Statistik Austria 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.2 | 2.8 | 2.9 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 0.6 | 0 | 0.3 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI | 0.8 | -0.7 | 0.8 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI YoY | 3.2 | 2.88 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI MoM | 0.6 | 0 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Producer Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.6 | Miss | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | |
| Producer Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.7 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate | 7.2 | 6.9 | 7.2 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Employment Change | 311.4 | 298.9 | — | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 311.4 | 298.9 | 302 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | In Line | ||
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | In Line | ||
| 0 | 0.2 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 0.7 | 0.6 | — |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales MoM | -0.3 | -4.4 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Retail Sales YoY | -0.4 | -4 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -24.6 | -29.4 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase | |||
| -5.3 | -8.7 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Trade | -635.5 | -434.1 | -470 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Trade Balance | -763.8 | -447.5 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 7.33 | 2.67 | 2.5 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing PMI | 54.4 | 51.5 | 51 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | |
| Industrial Production YoY | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 54.4 | 51.5 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HICP YoY | 2.9 | 2.7 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| HICP MoM | 0.5 | -0.4 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 0.8 | -0.7 | 0.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 6.9 | 5.4 | 5.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Wholesale Prices n.s.a MoM | 0.8 | -0.7 | — | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Wholesale Prices n.s.a YoY | 6.9 | 5.4 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 2.35 | 2.37 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 2.807 | — | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| 6-Month ATB Auction | 1.948 | 1.9 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| 3-Month Green ATB Auction | 1.94 | 1.86 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| 3-Month ATB Auction | 2.525 | 2.85 | — |
| 46-Year Bundesanleihe Auction | 2.925 | 2.922 | — |
| 30-Year Bundesanleihe Auction | 2.835 | 3.14 | — |
| 20-Year Bundesanleihe Auction | 3.112 | 3.278 | — |
