EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from BoT 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.82 | 2.53 | 3.1 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 1.5 | 1.44 | 1.54 | Miss | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 2 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.2 | 0.6 | -0.6 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -11.9 | -18.2 | -20 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 52.1 | 53.2 | 51.1 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.48 | -3.61 | -3.9 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 2.4 | -1.6 | -1.8 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.3 | 53.8 | 54 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 4.44 | 3.97 | 1 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.7 | 24.4 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| Foreign Exchange Reserves | 276.1 | 283.1 | 275 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Inflation Rate MoM | -0.25 | -0.28 | -0.3 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI | -0.88 | -0.66 | -0.5 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| CPI YoY | 1.95 | 2.42 | 2.55 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Full Year GDP Growth | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.2 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ | -0.2 | 0.6 | -0.6 | Beat | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Business Confidence | 48.1 | 49.8 | 49.6 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Exports YoY | 24.3 | 21.6 | 24.9 | Miss | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Imports YoY | 25.1 | 36.7 | 33 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease |
| Nikkei Manufacturing PMI | 50.6 | 50.7 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Private Consumption MoM | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Private Investment MoM | 2.2 | -0.3 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| New Car Sales YoY | 25.59 | 20.07 | — | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| Coincident Index | 100.47 | 99.73 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Leading Economic Index | 157 | 156.7 | — |
