Industrial Production Year-over-Year (YoY) measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a key indicator of economic strength, as the industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of GDP and is highly sensitive to interest rates and consumer demand. Consistent growth in industrial production often precedes broader economic expansion.
The index is compiled using physical output data from various industries, weighted by their contribution to the total economy. The YoY figure compares the current month's index level to the level from 12 months prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | — | 0.80 | — |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 0.46 | -1.00 | +1.46 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | -2.38 | 0.90 | -3.28 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | -0.80 | -0.48 | -0.32 |
| May 28, 2026 | -0.94 | 0.20 | -1.14 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 1.30 | -1.50 | +2.80 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | 0.09 | 2.30 | -2.21 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1.46 | 3.00 | -1.54 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2.52 | -0.90 | +3.42 |
| Dec 29, 2025 | -4.24 | 0.80 | -5.04 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | -0.08 | -0.60 | +0.52 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1.02 | -2.00 | +3.02 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | -4.19 | -2.10 | -2.09 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | -3.98 | -1.10 | -2.88 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 0.58 | 2.00 | -1.42 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 1.88 | 1.80 | +0.08 |
| May 30, 2025 | 2.17 | -3.00 | +5.17 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | -0.66 | -2.20 | +1.54 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | -3.91 | -1.60 | -2.31 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | -0.85 | -2.55 | +1.70 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | -2.11 | -0.50 | -1.61 |
| Dec 27, 2024 | -3.58 | -0.50 | -3.08 |
| Nov 27, 2024 | -0.91 | -1.85 | +0.94 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | -3.51 | -0.30 | -3.21 |
| Sep 26, 2024 | -1.91 | 1.00 | -2.91 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | 1.79 | -0.70 | +2.49 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | -1.71 | -1.50 | -0.21 |
| Jun 28, 2024 | -1.54 | 1.35 | -2.89 |
| May 30, 2024 | 3.43 | -1.10 | +4.53 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | -5.13 | -1.90 | -3.23 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | -2.84 | -3.90 | +1.06 |
| Feb 29, 2024 | -2.94 | -5.10 | +2.16 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | -6.27 | -3.20 | -3.07 |
| Dec 28, 2023 | -4.71 | -4.00 | -0.71 |
| Nov 30, 2023 | -4.29 | -2.50 | -1.79 |
| Oct 31, 2023 | -6.06 | -5.00 | -1.06 |
| Sep 28, 2023 | -7.53 | -6.50 | -1.03 |
| Aug 31, 2023 | -4.43 | -4.00 | -0.43 |
| Jul 27, 2023 | -5.24 | -2.50 | -2.74 |
| Jun 30, 2023 | -3.14 | -4.50 | +1.36 |
| May 31, 2023 | -8.14 | -2.15 | -5.99 |
| Apr 28, 2023 | -4.56 | -3.65 | -0.91 |
| Mar 29, 2023 | -2.71 | -2.80 | +0.09 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | -4.35 | -5.00 | +0.65 |
| Jan 31, 2023 | -8.19 | -6.00 | -2.19 |
| Dec 27, 2022 | -5.60 | -3.70 | -1.90 |
| Nov 30, 2022 | -3.71 | 1.20 | -4.91 |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3.36 | 6.40 | -3.04 |
| Sep 28, 2022 | 14.52 | 10.10 | +4.42 |
| Aug 31, 2022 | 6.37 | 8.40 | -2.03 |
| Jul 27, 2022 | -0.08 | 0.35 | -0.43 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | -3.10 | -2.38 | +0.72 ↑ |
| May 28, 2026 | -0.36 | -0.94 | -0.58 ↓ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 0.75 | 1.30 | +0.55 ↑ |
| Mar 27, 2026 | -0.04 | 0.09 | +0.13 ↑ |