Track the accuracy of our AI intelligence for economic indicators
Last 365 days
Last 90 days
Overall Accuracy
40.4%
Total Predictions
421
High Confidence Accuracy
50%
Edge Accuracy
48.7%
Coverage Rate
35.7%
Outcome Breakdown
170/251
Correct / Incorrect
| # | Indicator | Accuracy | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Business Confidence | 80% | 5 |
| 2 | Services PMI | 66.7% | 6 |
| 3 | Initial Jobless Claims | 66.7% | 15 |
| 4 | Services PMI | 60% | 5 |
| 5 | Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY | 60% | 5 |
| 6 | Factory Orders MoM | 60% | 5 |
| 7 | RICS House Price Balance | 60% | 5 |
| 8 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 60% | 5 |
| 9 | Unemployment Rate | 50% | 6 |
| 10 | New Home Sales | 50% | 6 |
| # | Indicator | Accuracy | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADP Employment Change | 0% | 5 |
| 2 | ISM Services PMI | 20% | 5 |
| 3 | Balance of Trade | 20% | 5 |
| 4 | ANZ Business Confidence | 33.3% | 6 |
| 5 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Report | 33.3% | 9 |
| Date | Event | Tier | Direction | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 04:30:00+00 | Consumer Confidence | ★★★ | ↓ | Beat | \u2717 |
| 2026-08-06 01:30:00+00 | Balance of Trade | ★★★ | ↑ | Beat | \u2713 |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00+00 | Balance of Trade | ★☆☆ | ↑ | Miss | \u2717 |
| 2026-07-30 09:00:00+00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | ★★☆ | ↓ | Beat | \u2717 |
| 2026-05-07 08:30:00+00 | Construction PMI | ★☆☆ | ↓ | Miss | \u2713 |
| 6 | Manufacturing PMI | 40% | 5 |
| 7 | Retail Sales MoM | 40% | 5 |
| 8 | Mortgage Approvals | 40% | 5 |
| 9 | Consumer Confidence | 40% | 5 |
| 10 | Employment Change | 40% | 5 |