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EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

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The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Track Record

Track the accuracy of our AI intelligence for economic indicators

Accuracy Over Time

Last 365 days

Accuracy by Confidence Tier

n=68n=75n=677

Accuracy by Signal Type

Accuracy by Country

Last 90 days

Overall Accuracy

39.2%

Total Predictions

413

High Confidence Accuracy

52.5%

Edge Accuracy

47.3%

Coverage Rate

36.5%

Outcome Breakdown

162/251

Correct / Incorrect

Methodology

How It Works
The system analyzes 7 types of economic signals for each indicator before release: leading indicators, revisions, seasonal patterns, momentum, mean reversion, spillover effects, and macro context. These signals are combined into a final prediction with a 4-tier confidence level.
Signal Types
Leading: data that precedes the indicator temporally. Revisions: direction of prior data adjustments. Seasonal: historical patterns in the same period. Momentum: continuation of surprise trends. Mean Reversion: extreme values returning to average. Spillover: other countries' data influencing the indicator.
Confidence Tiers
★★★ High: multiple aligned signals with historical accuracy above 60%. ★★☆ Medium: good signals with some conflict. ★☆☆ Low: weak or conflicting signals. ☆☆☆ Context: reference information only without directional prediction.
Academic Basis
The system is based on econometric and machine learning research, including leading indicator models (Stock & Watson), revision analysis (Mankiw & Shapiro), and adjusted seasonal patterns.
Limitations
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Accuracy depends on historical data quality and sample size. Indicators with small samples may show significant accuracy fluctuations. This is not financial advice.

Best & Worst Indicators

Best Performing

#IndicatorCountryAccuracyn
1Business Confidenceكوريا الجنوبية80%5
2Services PMIإسبانيا66.7%6
3Initial Jobless Claimsالولايات المتحدة64.7%17
4Services PMIإيطاليا60%5
5Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoYالصين60%5
6Factory Orders MoMالولايات المتحدة60%5
7Balance of Tradeكندا60%5
8Balance of Tradeإيطاليا60%5
9RICS House Price Balanceالمملكة المتحدة60%5
10API Crude Oil Stock Changeالولايات المتحدة60%5

Worst Performing

#IndicatorCountryAccuracyn
1ADP Employment Changeالولايات المتحدة0%5
2Imports YoYالصين0%5
3ISM Services PMIالولايات المتحدة16.7%6
4Balance of Tradeألمانيا20%5
5Balance of Tradeنيوزيلندا20%5

Recent Predictions

DateEventCountryTierDirectionOutcomeResult
2026-05-07 02:00:00+00GDP Growth Rate YoYPH★☆☆↓Miss\u2713
2026-08-06 01:30:00+00Balance of Tradeأستراليا★★★↑Beat\u2713
2026-04-28 10:30:00+00Industrial Production YoYالهند★☆☆↓In-line\u2717
2026-08-07 06:00:00+00Balance of Tradeألمانيا★☆☆↑Miss\u2717
2026-07-21 08:00:00+00Balance of Tradeإسبانيا★★★↑Miss\u2717
6
ANZ Business Confidence
نيوزيلندا
33.3%
6
7EIA Weekly Petroleum Reportالولايات المتحدة33.3%9
8Retail Sales MoMألمانيا40%5
9Mortgage Approvalsالمملكة المتحدة40%5
10Consumer ConfidenceNL40%5