EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from BSP 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4.75 | 5 | In Line | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2 | 6.1 | 6.6 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 4.7 | 4.1 | 4.4 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3 | 6 | 6 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | Miss | Falling5th Consecutive Decrease | |
| 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -29.8 | -42 | -40 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| -10.9 | -20.3 | 10 | Miss |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.85 | -6.345 | -6.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 27.8 | 10.9 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.6 | 54.9 | 54.5 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | ||
| 10.8 | 9.9 | 11 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government Budget | -2.5 | -2 | — | |||
| -161.3 | -106.3 | -150 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3.1 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |||
| 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | Beat | Rising5th Consecutive Increase |
| CPI | 2.4 | 2 | 2.4 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| CPI YoY | 4.1 | 2.4 | 3.6 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| CPI MoM | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Producer Price Index YoY | 3.1 | 3 | 3.1 | In Line | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |
| Retail Price Index YoY | 3.5 | 2.7 | — | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Full Year GDP Growth | 4.4 | 5.6 | 5.4 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| GDP Growth Rate | 6.2 | 6.7 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Imports YoY | 16.6 | 23 | — | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Exports | 4.89 | 4.12 | — |
| Imports | 5.26 | 5.14 | — |
| Nikkei Manufacturing PMI | 51.3 | 51.2 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Foreign Exchange Reserves | 100 | 104.8 | 100 | In Line | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
