Measures the change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the previous quarter. It is the primary indicator of economic health and growth. High growth suggests a robust economy, while negative growth indicates contraction.
Calculated by comparing the total value of goods and services produced in the current quarter to the previous quarter, adjusted for inflation. It uses the expenditure approach, summing consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | — | 1.20 | — |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| May 7, 2026 | 0.90 | 1.50 | -0.60 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 0.60 | 1.30 | -0.70 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.20 | +0.30 |
| May 8, 2025 | 1.20 | — | — |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1.80 | 1.90 | -0.10 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1.70 | 1.50 | +0.20 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.90 | -0.40 |
| May 9, 2024 | 1.30 | 1.00 | +0.30 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2.10 | 1.40 | +0.70 |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3.30 | 2.00 | +1.30 |
| Aug 10, 2023 | -0.90 | 0.50 | -1.40 |
| May 11, 2023 | 1.10 | 0.90 | +0.20 |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2.40 | 1.50 | +0.90 |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2.90 | 1.00 | +1.90 |
| Aug 9, 2022 | -0.10 | 0.50 | -0.60 |
| May 12, 2022 | 1.90 | 1.50 | +0.40 |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3.10 | — | — |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3.80 | 1.20 | +2.60 |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
