EPI = 100 − |inflation| − unemployment − deficit/GDP + GDP growth. Source: IMF WP/13/214 (Khramov & Lee, 2013).
Deficit/GDP sourced from BPS Indonesia 2024
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.75 | In Line |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.28 | 3.19 | 3.3 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 2.84 | 2.92 | 3 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.61 | 5.5 | — | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP Growth Rate YoY | 5.29 | 5.61 | 5.1 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| 3.73 | -0.77 | 3.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.4 | — | — | ||||
| 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | In Line | Rising4th Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | 0.13 | 0.6 | Beat | Rising4th Consecutive Increase | ||
| 5.49 | 4.18 | 3.99 | Beat | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.4 | 49.8 | 50.3 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | ||
| 50.6 | 51.6 | 51.2 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Economic Indicators | History | Actual | Previous | Forecast | Surprise | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.37 | 3.18 | — | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase | |||
| 28.1 | 32.4 | — | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.21 | 0.31 | Miss | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Property Price Index YoY | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.8 | Miss | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Full Year GDP Growth | 5.11 | 5.03 | 5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Gross Domestic Product YoY | 5.29 | 5.61 | 5.1 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 3.73 | -0.77 | 3.5 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| GDP Growth Rate | 4.79 | 5.06 | 4.75 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Consumer Confidence | 118.1 | 118.5 | 118 | Beat | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Business Confidence | 102.9 | 104.82 | 98 | Beat | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Consumer Confidence (Aug) | 118.5 | 116.8 | 117 | Beat |
| Current Account | -12.5 | -3.6 | -1.8 | Miss | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Exports YoY | 6.72 | 6.05 | 4.2 | Beat | Rising2nd Consecutive Increase |
| Imports YoY | 19.09 | 27.02 | 31.7 | Miss | Falling3rd Consecutive Decrease |
| HSBC Manufacturing PMI | 47.1 | 46.7 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| Indonesia HSBC PMI | 50.3 | 50.9 | — |
| Foreign Exchange Reserves | 146.3 | 146.5 | 1440 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease |
| Tourist Arrivals YoY | 6.27 | 2.95 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase |
| M2 Money Supply YoY | 8.2 | 8.3 | — | Falling4th Consecutive Decrease |
| Loan Growth YoY | 13.36 | 13.58 | 15 | Miss | Falling2nd Consecutive Decrease | |
| Foreign Direct Investment YoY | 27.4 | 8.5 | — | Rising3rd Consecutive Increase | ||
| Deposit Facility Rate | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | In Line | ||
| 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | In Line | |||
| 71.2 | 67 | — | ||||
| 5.75 | 5.75 | — |
