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Home
Stocks
Zscaler, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall20
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketMomentum TrapF 4/9SafeBetter than 20% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
23
—17.6xBottom tier
▸
Growth
84
25.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
50
-4.5%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
57
60.7x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
45
—2.15%Around median
▸
Momentum
51
-35.4%▼2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
63
27▲3Around median
ZS

ZS Zscaler, Inc.

Zscaler, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
197.31
▼ ⁦-0.08%⁩ (-0.16)
Market Cap$31.9B
Beta0.92
52w Low52w High
114.63336.99
Last Week
⁦+20.69%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.98%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+55.08%⁩
Last Year
⁦-30.93%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$197
Analyst target · 25 analysts
$200
⁦+1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$150–$298⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$138
⁦-30%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.4⁩% discount · ⁦10⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$138–$200⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 25 analysts setting price target
$199.96
⁦+1.3%⁩
Current Price $197.31·Median $200.00
Low
$150.00
High
$298.00
Current price
$197.31
Average target
$199.96
Street summary

Limited Improvement in ZS Target-Price Consensus Amid Still-High Dispersion

The consensus price target rose to 199.96 from 190.76 30 days ago, an increase of 9.20 or 4.82%, and to 199.96 from 197.22 seven days ago, an increase of 1.39%. However, it was unchanged over the last day. At the same time, the number of analysts fell from 27 to 25, meaning that the improvement in consensus was accompanied by a smaller analyst base, while the current price of 197.31 remained close to the consensus and the median at 200.

As of 2026-09-18
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.98
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦44 (-2)⁩
Buy conviction
80%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
75%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time44 analysts rating
8
27
9
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.90 → 3.98
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-17
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-05
    Roth MKM
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    41.83x
    5.21x41.67x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    2.6%
    -57.1%10.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    25.4%
    -18.1%67.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -44.4%
    -155.6%189.9%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    76.8%
    13.2%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    -4.5%
    -63.6%26.8%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    60.71x
    0.26x3.23x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.13
    -9.8713.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-03 data

Company Overview

Zscaler provides a cloud-based cybersecurity platform centered on the Zero Trust Exchange, connecting users, workloads, branches, devices, and intelligent agents to authorized applications without placing them on a traditional network that permits lateral movement. The company generates revenue from solutions including Zero Trust SASE, Zero Trust Cloud, Zero Trust Branch, data security, and Security for AI, alongside the Z-Flex model, which gives customers multi-year commitments and flexibility to activate or swap modules. Its monetization model is expanding from user-based licenses to metered consumption; non-seat-based solutions contributed approximately 30% of new and expansion annual contract value in the fourth quarter and throughout fiscal 2026, and their annual recurring revenue grew by more than 100% year over year.

In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, revenue reached $898.2 million, up 25% year over year and 6% sequentially, while GAAP gross profit was $689.2 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 76.7%, and net loss was $3.4 million. On a non-GAAP basis, gross margin was 80.2% and operating margin reached a record 24.3%, with operating income of $218 million and adjusted earnings per share of $1.19. Quarterly revenue was distributed across the Americas at 57%, with growth of approximately 30%; EMEA at 27%, with growth of approximately 17%; and APJ at 16%, with growth of 23%.

In fiscal 2026, Zscaler generated revenue of $3.4 billion and GAAP gross profit of $2.6 billion, but recorded a net loss of $63.2 million and earnings per share of negative $0.39. Annual recurring revenue reached $3.8 billion, growing 25%, and remaining performance obligations were approximately $7.4 billion, growing approximately 27%, while free cash flow margin reached 23% versus 27% in the prior year. Red Canary contributed $144 million to fiscal 2026 revenue, while the company’s revenue excluding it was $3.2 billion and grew 20% year over year.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Net new annual recurring revenue, excluding Red Canary, accelerated from growth of 7% in fiscal 2025 to 10% in the first half of fiscal 2026 and then to 17% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026; organic net additions reached $232 million, while total net additions reached $246 million, growing 24%.
  • Security for AI bookings increased by more than 50% sequentially in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, and its opportunity pipeline rose 75% sequentially, while 70% of these solution deals included data security products. Examples of demand included two seven-figure expansion deals with a Fortune 500 transportation customer and a Fortune 500 semiconductor customer, with the former increasing its annual recurring revenue with Zscaler to nearly $10 million.
  • Adoption of Zero Trust Everywhere expanded to more than 950 organizations by the end of the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, compared with more than 700 in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 and more than 350 at the end of fiscal 2025. This is supported by the platform’s scale, which processes more than 750 billion transactions daily, along with major expansions that included deploying Zscaler Private Access for approximately 120,000 users at a financial services customer and deploying the platform for approximately 75,000 users at a life sciences customer.
  • Z-Flex generated more than $770 million in total contract value in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, an increase of more than 60% sequentially, and more than $1.7 billion during the full fiscal year. The average increase in annual recurring revenue among Z-Flex customers was approximately 30%, with deals showing increases in annual spending of 90% and 140%.
  • Management provided fiscal 2027 guidance that includes revenue between $3.908 billion and $3.938 billion, annual recurring revenue between $4.396 billion and $4.426 billion, and an adjusted operating margin of approximately 23.7%. For the first quarter of fiscal 2027, it expects revenue between $935 million and $939 million, growth of approximately 19%, and adjusted earnings per share between $1.15 and $1.16.
  • Agentic SecOps represents a new growth avenue that combines Zscaler’s data with Red Canary’s technology and expertise in managed detection and response, targeting automated detection, investigation, and response and closing the remediation loop through the Zero Trust Exchange. Management explained on the September 3, 2026 call that its contribution will take time in the first half of fiscal 2027 and that it expects a stronger contribution to begin in the second half and then in fiscal 2028.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Performance combines strong growth with improved adjusted efficiency; fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue and annual recurring revenue grew 25%, adjusted operating income rose 37% to $218 million, and adjusted operating margin improved by 220 basis points to 24.3%.
  • +Zscaler is expanding within its customer base and among large accounts; it ended the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 with 785 customers each generating more than $1 million in annual recurring revenue, up 18%, and 4,182 customers each exceeding $100,000, up 20%. Its penetration among Fortune 500 companies also approached 50%, compared with 45% previously.
  • +The shift from protecting only users to protecting branches, workloads, data, and intelligent agents provides additional consumption-based revenue sources. Annual recurring revenue associated with non-seat-based solutions grew by more than 100% in fiscal 2026, while Security for AI, Zero Trust Cloud, and Zero Trust Branch deals demonstrate the company’s ability to sell multiple modules to the same customer.
  • +Liquidity provides flexibility to invest in expansion; the company ended the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 with approximately $3.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, compared with $1.7 billion in debt, and generated $779 million in free cash flow during the fiscal year.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates ZS as a “Buy,” with an average price target of $198.27 and a wide range between $150 and $230; the average is below the 52-week high of $336.99, reflecting a significant revaluation compared with the top of the range. No positive price-to-earnings ratio is available because of the fiscal 2026 net loss of $63.2 million and negative earnings per share of $0.39, while September 3, 2026 data showed a price-to-sales multiple of 8.58 times. The valuation therefore depends heavily on continued annual recurring revenue growth and the conversion of adjusted margins and cash flows into GAAP profitability, at a time when fiscal 2027 guidance points to slower growth than in fiscal 2026.

BuyAnalyst target: $198.27(+0.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-05; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Zscaler’s growth in fiscal 2027?

Management links growth opportunities to three areas: Security for AI, Zero Trust Everywhere, and data security. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, Security for AI bookings increased by more than 50% sequentially, and its opportunity pipeline rose 75%, while 70% of its deals included data security. The number of Zero Trust Everywhere organizations also exceeded 950, compared with more than 350 at the end of fiscal 2025. Fiscal 2027 guidance targets revenue between $3.908 billion and $3.938 billion and annual recurring revenue between $4.396 billion and $4.426 billion.

Has Zscaler become profitable?

Under GAAP, the company did not achieve a net profit in fiscal 2026; it recorded a loss of $63.2 million and earnings per share of negative $0.39. However, in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, it achieved a record adjusted operating margin of 24.3% and adjusted operating income of $218 million. Free cash flow margin was 23% in fiscal 2026, equivalent to free cash flow of $779 million. The key issue is the extent to which this adjusted profitability and cash flow can translate into sustainable GAAP profits.

How important is artificial intelligence to Zscaler’s business?

The company presents artificial intelligence as a source of demand for protecting models, applications, and agents, as well as a source of faster and more autonomous cyber threats. According to risk assessments conducted by the company before the September 3, 2026 call, more than 90% of the assessed organizations had applications, models, or artificial intelligence servers exposed to the internet, and more than one-third had known exploitable vulnerabilities. Zscaler’s portfolio includes Zero Trust Exchange for Agents, Endpoint AI Security, and Security for AI, with the first two in early access during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026. The company also won seven-figure expansions with a Fortune 500 transportation customer and a Fortune 500 semiconductor customer to secure artificial intelligence usage.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Fiscal 2027 guidance indicates a meaningful slowdown compared with fiscal 2026; expected revenue between $3.908 billion and $3.938 billion implies growth between 16.6% and 17.5%, and expected annual recurring revenue between $4.396 billion and $4.426 billion implies growth between 16.6% and 17.4%, compared with 25% growth in both revenue and annual recurring revenue in fiscal 2026.
  • −GAAP profitability remains weak despite adjusted improvement; Zscaler recorded a net loss of $63.2 million and earnings per share of negative $0.39 in fiscal 2026, and management expects an adjusted operating margin of approximately 23.7% in fiscal 2027, below the 24.3% recorded in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026.
  • −The company faces capital expenditure pressure from rising prices and constrained availability of memory, storage, and processors; capital expenditures reached $200 million, or 22% of revenue, in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, and management expects them to remain elevated in fiscal 2027. Annual free cash flow margin also declined to 23% from 27%, and management expects capital expenditures to be in the low-teens percentage range of revenue during fiscal 2027.
  • −The integration of Red Canary and launch of Agentic SecOps involve execution and customer retention risks; Red Canary experienced high customer churn during fiscal 2026, and management expects the higher churn rates typical of managed detection and response businesses to continue. The company does not expect Red Canary to make a standalone contribution to net new annual recurring revenue in fiscal 2027, while the integrated solution needs time before it begins contributing more clearly in the second half.
  • −Zscaler operates in a crowded market for AI security solutions from major platform companies and a large number of startups, and management stated that customers evaluate multiple vendors in deals. The company’s advantage depends on convincing customers that the integration of the Zero Trust Exchange, data security, and agent security is more valuable than competing products, a commercial assumption that must be proven as the market expands.
  • −Valuation and insider activity represent two additional market risk signals; September 3, 2026 data indicated a valuation of 8.58 times sales despite the continuing GAAP loss, while net insider selling over three months reached $2.7 million across 23 sales and no purchases through the latest transaction on August 25, 2026. Insider sales may be prearranged, so they remain a weaker signal than slowing growth and pressures on profitability and capital expenditures.
How does Z-Flex change Zscaler’s economics?

Z-Flex allows customers to sign multi-year commitments and activate or swap modules without starting a new procurement cycle each time. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, the program generated more than $770 million in total contract value, an increase of more than 60% sequentially. During fiscal 2026, its contract value exceeded $1.7 billion, and its customers achieved an average increase of approximately 30% in annual recurring revenue. Examples included a deal that increased a services customer’s spending by approximately 90% and another deal that increased a retail and wholesale customer’s spending by 140%.

What are the risks associated with Red Canary and Agentic SecOps?

Zscaler acquired Red Canary to obtain its technology and more than ten years of expertise in managed detection and response and integrate them into Agentic SecOps. Red Canary exited the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 with annual recurring revenue of $141 million and contributed $144 million to fiscal-year revenue. However, its business experienced high customer churn during fiscal 2026, and management expects the higher churn rates typical of this type of business to continue. The company does not expect standalone net new annual recurring revenue from Red Canary in fiscal 2027; instead, future contributions will appear within the integrated solution.

Why might Zscaler’s growth slow despite a strong fourth quarter of fiscal 2026?

Both fourth-quarter revenue and annual recurring revenue grew 25%, but fiscal 2027 guidance targets growth between 16.6% and 17.5% for revenue and between 16.6% and 17.4% for annual recurring revenue. Management factored in the time required for transitions among some sales leaders and the pace of adoption of the integrated Agentic SecOps solution, with a clearer contribution expected in the second half. Red Canary will also not add net new annual recurring revenue independently, and churn rates in managed detection and response businesses remain higher than Zscaler’s core rates. Continued acceleration therefore requires new customer growth, expansion within accounts, and conversion of the AI security opportunity pipeline into actual contracts.