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ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.
ZIM

ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. · NYSE
Market Closed
29.57
▲ ⁦+0.34%⁩ (+0.10)
Market Cap$3.6B
Beta1.11
52w Low52w High
12.3330.13
Last Week
⁦+9.48%⁩
Last Month
⁦+12.09%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+20.69%⁩
Last Year
⁦+116.47%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall79
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 5/9Better than 79% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
25.5x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
6
-24.9%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
51
3.9%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
52
3.2x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
97
14.47%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
90
95.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
22
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$30
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$20
⁦-32%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$20–$20⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$128
⁦+333%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$20–$128⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$20.00
⁦-32.4%⁩
Current Price $29.57·Median $20.00
Low
$20.00
High
$20.00
Street summary

ZIM Stock Price Target Analysis

Bearish tilt

The price target for ZIM stock has seen an increase of 17.65% over the past thirty days, moving from 17 to 20. Despite this upward revision, the price target (20) remains significantly lower than the current trading price of 27.59, suggesting expectations of a downward price correction. Current coverage is limited to only one analyst, which increases the degree of uncertainty and means the valuation lacks a broad market consensus.

As of 2026-09-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+17.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.25
Sell
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
25%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.25 → 2.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Barclays
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-06-30
    Barclays
    Underweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.49x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    5.25x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    42.1%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -24.9%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Weak
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -93.0%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    18.7%
    8.6%54.6%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    3.9%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.24x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    14.5%
    0.1%4.8%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    369.0%
    6.6%80.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2025-11-20 data

Company Overview

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. operates in ocean container transportation, generating revenue primarily from freight charges across a network spanning the Pacific, Atlantic, Latin America, and Southeast Asia, in addition to revenue from vehicle shipping and non-containerized cargo. In the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company operated 115 container vessels with a total capacity of 709 thousand TEUs, including 46 modern vessels delivered between 2023 and January 2025, while revenue from non-container activities, mostly vehicle carriers, amounted to $78 million.

The latest results published in the news showed that net income reached $64 million in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, up 170%, with total liquidity of $2.53 billion and net debt of $2.77 billion as of June 30, 2026. The latest detailed disclosure in the earnings call, for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, reported revenue of $1.8 billion, net income of $123 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $593 million at a 33% margin, and adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $260 million at a 15% margin.

The annual financial statements reflect the highly cyclical nature of the business; fiscal year 2025 revenue declined to $6.9 billion from $8.4 billion in fiscal year 2024, net income fell to $479.2 million from $2.1 billion, and gross profit decreased to $1.3 billion from $2.8 billion. Nevertheless, the company remained profitable after a net loss of $2.7 billion in fiscal year 2023, illustrating how sensitive ZIM's results are to freight rates and global capacity.

What's Driving the Stock

  • ZIM raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance for fiscal year 2026 to a range of $2.0–$2.4 billion, alongside a 170% increase in fiscal year 2026 second-quarter net income to $64 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The announced $4.2 billion merger proceedings with Hapag-Lloyd are continuing, but as of August 19, 2026, the transaction remained subject to regulatory approvals and closing conditions, while reports dated August 10, 2026, indicated that the Israeli government might reject it due to the sensitivity of strategic shipping assets.
  • Operational efficiency depends on fleet modernization; in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, approximately 60% of operating capacity consisted of modern vessels and 40% was LNG-powered, while the company also contracted for ten dual-fuel vessels with a capacity of 11,500 TEUs each for delivery in 2027 and 2028.
  • ZIM expanded its network to capitalize on shifting trade flows; Latin America volumes increased 2.4% year over year in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, and Pacific volumes rose 17% from the previous quarter despite declining 1.5% annually.
  • Chartering flexibility gives the company a tool to reduce costs and capacity; it returned 22 vessels to their owners during fiscal year 2025, and 17 vessels with a capacity of 55 thousand TEUs were scheduled to become available for return during fiscal year 2026 if freight-rate pressures persisted.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Profitability improved in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, as net income rose 170% to $64 million, and the company raised its annual adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to $2.0–$2.4 billion.
    • +Total liquidity of $2.53 billion as of June 30, 2026, provides significant financial support, alongside a decline in net debt to $2.77 billion compared with the previous quarter, according to the August 19, 2026 news report.
    • +The fleet includes 46 modern vessels, and 40% of capacity is LNG-powered, supporting lower fuel consumption and improved competitiveness compared with older, less efficient vessels.
    • +The flexibility to return chartered vessels reduces the risk of retaining excessive capacity in a weak market; the company reduced its capacity from approximately 780 thousand TEUs at the beginning of fiscal year 2025 to nearly 710 thousand during the third quarter, while focusing on larger, newer vessels.

    ▼ Selling Case7 pts

    • −Excess supply represents the most prominent operational risk; the industry's orderbook stood at 31% in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, and 2027 deliveries were expected to exceed 3 million TEUs, while management expected supply growth to outpace demand growth and put pressure on freight rates.
    • −ZIM remains heavily exposed to the Pacific trade despite diversification efforts; total carried volume declined 4.5% annually to 926 thousand TEUs in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, driven by weakness in the Crossways and Atlantic trades.
    • −Fiscal year 2025 third-quarter metrics deteriorated year over year; revenue declined 36% to $1.8 billion, the average freight rate per TEU fell to $1,602 from $2,480, and net income dropped to $123 million from $1.1 billion.
    • −Management acknowledged on November 20, 2025, that its freight-rate outlook had weakened compared with its August guidance and that the fourth quarter was tracking below its original expectations, while the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin contracted to 33% from 55% a year earlier.
    • −A return to the Suez Canal could release capacity that had been constrained by the longer route around the Cape of Good Hope, increasing effective capacity and putting pressure on rates despite the operational savings the return would provide; the return also remained dependent on security conditions stabilizing and approval from vessel owners and insurers.
    • −The merger with Hapag-Lloyd faces clear regulatory and geopolitical risk; on August 10, 2026, reports indicated that the Israeli government might reject the $4.2 billion transaction, potentially eliminating a benefit that markets had expected from its completion.
    • −Insiders recorded net sales of $9.4 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 24, 2026, with ten sales and no purchases; this is a weak signal on its own because such sales may have been prearranged.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Neutral, with an average price target of $20 and both the highest and lowest targets at $20, indicating no meaningful dispersion among the available estimates. This target is approximately 33% below the 52-week range high of $29.97, while the range low is $12.33; no usable price-to-earnings ratio is available, which is consistent with the sharp volatility in earnings between a $2.7 billion loss in fiscal year 2023, a $2.1 billion profit in fiscal year 2024, and then $479.2 million in fiscal year 2025.

    HoldAnalyst target: $20(-32.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving ZIM's earnings in fiscal year 2026?

    ZIM's net income in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 was approximately $64 million, up 170%. The company raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance for fiscal year 2026 to $2.0–$2.4 billion. The results are supported by fleet efficiency and the improved freight-rate environment mentioned in August 2026 news, but their continuation remains sensitive to the global supply-demand balance.

    Why did ZIM's results decline in fiscal year 2025 compared with fiscal year 2024?

    Fiscal year 2025 revenue declined to $6.9 billion from $8.4 billion, and net income fell to $479.2 million from $2.1 billion. In the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, the average freight rate per TEU dropped to $1,602 from $2,480 a year earlier, alongside a 4.5% decline in carried volume. As a result, the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin fell to 33% from 55%.

    What is the impact of the proposed merger with Hapag-Lloyd on ZIM?

    The announced transaction is valued at $4.2 billion, and its proceedings were still ongoing as of August 19, 2026, pending regulatory approvals and closing conditions. On August 10, 2026, reports indicated that the Israeli government might reject the transaction due to the sensitivity of strategic shipping assets. Therefore, the transaction represents both a potential catalyst and a source of execution risk, and the available information does not support treating its completion as certain.

    How is ZIM addressing the expected container-vessel oversupply?

    ZIM returned 22 vessels to their owners during fiscal year 2025 and reduced its operating capacity from approximately 780 thousand TEUs at the beginning of the year to nearly 710 thousand in the third quarter. It had 17 vessels with a capacity of 55 thousand TEUs available for return during fiscal year 2026. The company is focusing on retaining larger, newer, and more efficient vessels, while the industry's orderbook stood at 31% and 2027 deliveries were expected to exceed 3 million TEUs.

    Does ZIM's modern fleet give it a cost advantage?

    Approximately 60% of ZIM's capacity in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 consisted of modern vessels, and 40% of capacity was LNG-powered. The core fleet includes 46 modern vessels delivered to the company between 2023 and January 2025, helping to increase charter-cost visibility and improve fuel efficiency. The company also contracted for ten dual-fuel vessels with a capacity of 11,500 TEUs each, with delivery dates in 2027 and 2028.

    Are ZIM's cash dividends sustainable?

    The policy cited in the November 20, 2025 call provides for distributing 30% of quarterly net income, with an annual true-up that may increase the distribution to 50% of annual net income at the board of directors' discretion. The company declared $0.31 per share for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, totaling approximately $37 million, and declared fiscal year 2025 dividends through that date amounted to $9.09 per share. However, because the policy is tied to net income, distributions are exposed to fluctuations in freight rates and profitability, and a recurrence of previous levels is not guaranteed.