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Home
Stocks
Yum! Brands, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall58
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 5/9Grey zoneBetter than 58% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
43
17.7x17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
69
10.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
84
49.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
42
4.3x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
47
2.07%2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
42
-0.7%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
68
18▲3Top tier
YUM

YUM Yum! Brands, Inc.

Yum! Brands, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
140.92
▼ ⁦-2.06%⁩ (-2.97)
Market Cap$38.8B
Beta0.55
52w Low52w High
137.33170.14
Last Week
⁦-7.62%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.27%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-8.06%⁩
Last Year
⁦-3.49%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$141
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$175
⁦+24%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$168–$185⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$80
⁦-43%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$80–$175⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$175.33
⁦+24.4%⁩
Current Price $140.92·Median $174.50
Low
$168.00
High
$185.00
Current price
$140.92
Average target
$175.33
Street summary

Relatively stable with a slight cautious bias

The consensus price target remained stable over the last day at $175.33 from six analysts, compared with $175.40 seven days ago. Over the last 30 days, the consensus declined by $2.07, or 1.17%, from $177.40 to $175.33, with no change in the number of analysts; this points to slight caution rather than a broad shift in coverage. The current range is between $168 and $185, with a median of $174.50, reflecting limited variation among estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
26
Buy conviction
42%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
12%
Analyst ratings over time26 analysts rating
2
9
15
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.41 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-10
    Wells Fargo
    PositiveOverweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.70x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    20.02x
    3.79x30.29x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    17.42x
    2.75x22.03x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    4.4%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    10.3%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    56.4%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    68.1%
    12.0%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    49.7%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.34x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.1%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    36.4%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.15
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Yum! Brands operates a global restaurant system led by KFC, Taco Bell, and Habit, while Pizza Hut remained in the portfolio during Q2 of fiscal 2026 before the company announced two definitive agreements to sell it to LongRange Capital and Yum China for a total of $2.7 billion, with potential additional consideration of $75 million by 2030. The group’s expansion relies heavily on franchise partners and unit growth, while the Byte platform provides unified channels for ordering, pricing, promotions, and loyalty; digital sales, excluding Pizza Hut, approached $9 billion and accounted for 61% of the digital mix in Q2 of fiscal 2026.

Revenue for Q2 of fiscal 2026 was approximately $2.2 billion, with gross profit of $1.5 billion, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 68.2%, while net income reached $853 million and earnings per share were $3.08. For the trailing twelve months ending in fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $8.5 billion, gross profit of $5.8 billion, and net income of $1.7 billion, compared with revenue of $8.2 billion and net income of $1.6 billion in fiscal 2025.

Excluding Pizza Hut, system sales grew 7% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, driven by 6% unit growth and 4% same-store sales growth, while core operating profit increased 8%. KFC represented approximately 58% of operating profit from continuing segments excluding Pizza Hut, compared with 43% for Taco Bell; KFC recorded 6% system sales growth, while Taco Bell achieved 7% same-store sales growth and a U.S. restaurant margin of 26.2%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • KFC’s expansion is the most prominent volume growth driver; the brand opened 660 gross new restaurants across 55 markets during Q2 of fiscal 2026, out of 720 openings for the group excluding Pizza Hut, and management expects the best development year in KFC’s history.
  • International markets support KFC’s performance, with same-store sales rising 8% in the United Kingdom and 6% in Asia during Q2 of fiscal 2026, while Brazil achieved growth exceeding 20% in each of the three quarters preceding the call held on July 30, 2026.
  • Taco Bell’s digital mix reached 47% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, an increase of five percentage points, with more than half of the growth coming from direct loyalty channels; Voice AI usage also expanded to more than 900 restaurants, linking digital order growth to the group-owned Byte platform.
  • KFC’s modernization strategy aims to roll out its core elements across its largest 20 markets by the end of 2027, including new chicken pieces, a range of nine sauces, and an updated visual identity, while Pickle Mania promotions in the United Kingdom demonstrated their ability to drive the highest sales week in the market’s history.
  • The Pizza Hut transaction will reshape capital allocation; Yum! expects net proceeds of $2.3 billion and intends to use a portion to repay the credit facility balance and allocate most of the remainder to share repurchases subject to market conditions, after repurchasing approximately $670 million of shares in the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • The recovery of Taco Bell sales after the food safety crisis has become a critical factor; U.S. same-store sales declined 2% from the beginning of Q3 of fiscal 2026 through July 27, but management said on the July 30, 2026 call that trends had improved sequentially after the impact peaked on July 18.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The continuing businesses combine 7% system sales growth, 6% unit growth, and 8% core operating profit growth in Q2 of fiscal 2026, indicating that operational expansion and new openings are contributing to growth together.
  • +KFC has a defined expansion path in low-density markets; management estimated the opportunity in India, Southeast Asia, West Africa, and Brazil at approximately 20 thousand units, while KFC restaurant density in those markets does not exceed one-fifth of the density recorded in the brand’s largest 25 markets.
  • +The digital transformation provides a foundation for increased engagement and efficiency; digital sales in the first half of fiscal 2026, excluding Pizza Hut, exceeded $17 billion, up 25%, while the digital share in Q2 reached 67% at KFC, 47% at Taco Bell, and 55% at Habit.
  • +The sale of Pizza Hut for $2.7 billion could concentrate resources on KFC, Taco Bell, and Habit, while Byte continues to serve Pizza Hut outside China under a separate commercial agreement extending beyond the transitional services period.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $175.40, within a relatively narrow range of $168 to $185, while the consensus remains “Neutral” rather than “Buy.” The average target is approximately 3.1% above the 52-week range high of $170.14, but the neutral rating reflects a balance between KFC growth, digital transformation, and Pizza Hut proceeds on one hand, and the Taco Bell safety crisis and Q3 fiscal 2026 margin pressure on the other; the available information does not provide a published earnings multiple that could be used as an additional valuation anchor.

HoldAnalyst target: $175.4(+24.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Yum! Brands’ growth after the sale of Pizza Hut?

Growth is centered on KFC, Taco Bell, and Habit following the agreement to sell Pizza Hut to LongRange Capital and Yum China for $2.7 billion. In Q2 of fiscal 2026, system sales excluding Pizza Hut grew 7%, unit count increased 6%, and same-store sales rose 4%. The company also expects to use part of the transaction’s $2.3 billion in net proceeds to repay the credit facility and allocate most of the remainder to share repurchases subject to market conditions.

How dependent is YUM on KFC and Taco Bell?

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, KFC represented approximately 58% of segment operating profit excluding Pizza Hut, while Taco Bell represented approximately 43%. KFC achieved 6% system sales growth, supported by 7% unit growth and 2% same-store sales growth. Taco Bell recorded 7% same-store sales growth and a U.S. restaurant margin of 26.2% during the same period.

How has the Taco Bell food safety crisis affected results and expectations?

Company data showed a 2% decline in U.S. Taco Bell same-store sales from the beginning of Q3 of fiscal 2026 through July 27, after the impact peaked on July 18. Management expected the margin of company-owned stores to range between 19% and 21% in Q3 of fiscal 2026 due to lower sales, promotional spending, and the concentration of company-owned stores in the most affected markets. According to August and September 2026 news reports, the outbreak was linked to 1,947 illnesses, 98 hospitalizations, and two deaths, while Pomerantz LLP began an investigation into potential securities fraud on September 1, 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The food safety crisis at Taco Bell represents the largest operational and legal risk; the cyclospora outbreak was linked to 1,947 illnesses, 98 hospitalizations, and two deaths according to August and September 2026 news reports, and Pomerantz LLP began an investigation into potential securities fraud on September 1, 2026.
  • −Profit from continuing segments is highly concentrated in two brands, with KFC accounting for approximately 58% and Taco Bell approximately 43% of segment operating profit excluding Pizza Hut in Q2 of fiscal 2026, so weakness at Taco Bell or a slowdown at KFC could quickly affect group results.
  • −The impact of the crisis on demand and margins has already emerged; U.S. Taco Bell same-store sales declined 2% from the beginning of Q3 of fiscal 2026 through July 27, and management expects the margin of company-owned Taco Bell stores to fall to a range of 19%–21% during that quarter, compared with a margin of 26.2% in Q2 of fiscal 2026.
  • −The disposal of Pizza Hut involves execution and transition risks; the transaction is split between two buyers, and Yum! will provide transitional technology and financial services to Pizza Hut outside China, with most expected to be phased out during 2027, requiring the separation of systems and costs without disrupting operations.
  • −KFC’s same-store sales growth remains below management’s ambitions despite strong unit growth; it was only 2% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, and management stated that it was not satisfied with this level and that implementing the modernization strategy globally across 150 countries would take time.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending September 1, 2026 recorded net sales of $3.1 million across 11 sales with no purchases, including data showing Chief Executive Officer Christopher Lee Turner selling 261 shares at an average of $153.64; however, insider sales may be prearranged, so they remain a weaker signal than the safety and margin risks.
  • How important are the Byte platform and artificial intelligence to Yum! Brands’ strategy?

    Byte unifies the management of menus, prices, promotions, operating hours, and ordering channels, and enables loyalty program members to be recognized across different channels. The digital mix reached 61% for the group excluding Pizza Hut in Q2 of fiscal 2026, with digital sales approaching $9 billion. Voice AI also expanded to more than 900 Taco Bell restaurants, and company employees built more than 400 AI agents, while the Collider innovation database contains more than 7,000 food and marketing concepts across 35 countries.

    What is Yum! Brands’ plan to accelerate KFC’s growth?

    KFC intends to modernize the brand globally through new chicken pieces, a range of nine sauces, an updated visual identity, and a more contemporary restaurant experience, targeting activation of the core elements in its largest 20 markets by the end of 2027. KFC opened 660 gross new restaurants across 55 markets during Q2 of fiscal 2026, and its restaurant count in the Middle East reached 1,500. Management estimated the expansion opportunity in India, Southeast Asia, West Africa, and Brazil at approximately 20 thousand units, while Brazil recorded same-store sales growth exceeding 20% in each of the three quarters preceding the July 30, 2026 call.

    What do YUM’s Q2 fiscal 2026 results look like?

    Revenue was $2.2 billion and gross profit was $1.5 billion in Q2 of fiscal 2026, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 68.2%. Net income reached $853 million and earnings per share were $3.08, compared with net income of $432 million and earnings per share of $1.55 in Q1 of fiscal 2026. On a trailing twelve-month basis ending in fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $8.5 billion, net income of $1.7 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $6.23. Core operating profit, excluding Pizza Hut, also increased 8% in Q2 of fiscal 2026.