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Clear Secure, Inc.
YOU

YOU Clear Secure, Inc.

Clear Secure, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
42.23
▼ ⁦-1.19%⁩ (-0.51)
Market Cap$4.2B
Beta1.05
52w Low52w High
29.4469.07
Last Week
⁦-4.09%⁩
Last Month
⁦-20.35%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-25.55%⁩
Last Year
⁦+16.11%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall88
Excellent — top fifth of the marketFalling StarF 5/8Better than 88% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
47
28.0x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
81
19.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
99
69.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
72
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
68
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
49
56.7%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
23
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$42
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$61
⁦+44%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$45–$70⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$100
⁦+137%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$61–$100⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$59.25
⁦+40.3%⁩
Current Price $42.23·Median $61.00
Low
$45.00
High
$70.00
Current price
$42.23
Average target
$59.25
Street summary

Slight Reduction Amid Declining Analyst Coverage

The consensus price target fell from 61.75 to 59.25, a decrease of 2.5 or 4.05% in one day, and this level remained unchanged compared with the 7-day and 30-day periods. The current price target ranges between 45 and 70, with a median of 61, but the number of analysts included in the consensus fell from 3 to 1 over 7 days, making the reading less representative and more susceptible to uncertainty.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-4.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.83
Buy
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
67%
High
Target dispersion
59%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
2
2
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 3.83
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-07
    Stifel Nicolaus
    —· $60.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-07
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy· $75.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-07
    D.A. Davidson
    —· $60.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    27.97x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    18.89x
    5.19x41.53x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.23x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    12.3%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    19.8%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -19.7%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    90.0%
    12.9%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    69.2%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) operates as a secure identity platform that connects individual identity verification with physical and digital services. Its model consists of two main engines: CLEAR Travel, which generates subscription revenue from CLEAR+ membership and travel services such as eGates, Concierge, and the Home to Gate app; and CLEAR1, which provides identity verification solutions for businesses, government entities, healthcare sectors, and workforces. In Q2 FY2026, total CLEAR membership reached 43.5 million, including 8.3 million active CLEAR+ members, while the travel network extended to 62 airports.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue increased 26.6% year over year to $277.8 million, while bookings rose 32.8% to $295.9 million. The company generated operating income of $83 million and adjusted EBITDA of $101.1 million, with a record margin of 36.4% and expansion of approximately 900 basis points. Free cash flow also reached $189 million, up 60.3%, while EDGAR data for Q1 FY2026 showed revenue of $253 million and net income of $38.8 million.

The operating mix reflects CLEAR Travel's reliance on CLEAR+ member growth, retention, and higher average revenue per user, alongside CLEAR1's expansion across corporate, government, and healthcare solutions. Active CLEAR+ membership grew 15.2% to 8.3 million in Q2 FY2026, while demand for CLEAR1 offerings among businesses helped increase total CLEAR membership by 30% to 43.5 million. The company did not disclose a numerical revenue breakdown between CLEAR Travel and CLEAR1, so the contribution of each business to quarterly revenue cannot be determined precisely from the provided data.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The company raised the standard annual CLEAR+ membership price from $209 to $219 effective July 1, 2026, while keeping the family member price at $125, and said early retention indicators remained intact following the increase; this supports growth in average revenue per user alongside 15.2% growth in the active member base.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • eGates cover more than 70% of the CLEAR network and complete verification in less than five seconds, and their efficiency helped reduce direct salaries and benefits to 17.3% of revenue, an improvement of approximately 450 basis points year over year in Q2 FY2026. This efficiency contributed to the adjusted EBITDA margin reaching 36.4%.
  • CLEAR Travel expanded its network by adding Indianapolis and Bentonville airports, while Concierge added seven locations to become available at 39 airports. The mobile app averages one million monthly users, while the company launched a food-service partnership in Newark and a Starbucks pre-order trial at LaGuardia as part of its Home to Gate strategy.
  • CLEAR1 launched the Vertex, Apex, and Helix products for tiered levels of identity verification, ranging from establishing an identity beyond document checks alone to multilayer verification and highly sensitive use cases. In Q2 FY2026, the number of new customers signed increased by more than 50% compared with the previous quarter, while the opportunity pipeline also grew by more than 50% sequentially.
  • Management expects Q3 FY2026 revenue of between $284 million and $287 million and bookings of between $311 million and $316 million, equivalent to year-over-year growth of 24.6% and 20.5% at the midpoints of the respective ranges. It raised FY2026 free cash flow guidance from at least $465 million to at least $480 million, representing expected growth of no less than 40%.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +CLEAR's model combines revenue growth of 26.6% and bookings growth of 32.8% in Q2 FY2026 with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 36.4% and record free cash flow of $189 million; a combination that indicates growth accompanied by strong operating leverage.
    • +CLEAR+ membership provides a growing subscription base that reached 8.3 million active members, while CLEAR1 opens an additional growth path through workforces, healthcare, and government entities. The launch of Vertex, Apex, and Helix strengthens the company's ability to address the risks of synthetic identities, deepfakes, and injection attacks with proprietary solutions.
    • +The company ended Q2 FY2026 with approximately $959 million in cash and marketable securities, equivalent to more than $7 per share, and raised annual free cash flow guidance to at least $480 million. It also repurchased approximately $22 million of shares during Q3 FY2026 at an average of $52.73 per share.
    • +Expansion opportunities within CLEAR Travel remain tangible, as the network covers only 75% of the United States, eGates are deployed across more than 70% of the network, and Concierge operates at 39 airports. This adds growth avenues through new airports and routes, winning back former members, and increasing use of the app and paid services.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −According to management guidance, bookings growth is expected to slow from 32.8% in Q2 FY2026 to 20.5% at the midpoint of the Q3 FY2026 range, while revenue growth is expected to decline from 26.6% to 24.6%. Although both rates remain strong, this slowdown could increase the stock's sensitivity to any failure to reach the bookings range of $311 million to $316 million.
    • −In Q3 FY2026, the company will settle an outstanding partnership obligation with a credit card partner of approximately $315 million and consequently expects negative free cash flow for the quarter. Although the payment is included in annual guidance, it creates substantial volatility in quarterly cash conversion and highlights the material financial impact of this partnership.
    • −Management acknowledged that the CLEAR customer experience deteriorated during 2023 and 2024 and that some members left the service, so one of the stated growth opportunities depends on winning back these customers. The improvement in Net Promoter Score and retention in Q2 FY2026 is positive, but it does not eliminate the risk of another deterioration in the experience as the network and services expand.
    • −CLEAR1 revenue and bookings may be volatile because the company is pursuing larger contracts, and management explicitly said that increasing contract sizes could make the timing of results lumpier. This means that the strength of the opportunity pipeline, which grew by more than 50% sequentially, may not convert into revenue at a consistent pace from one quarter to the next.
    • −Net insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 5, 2026, was approximately negative $93.4 million, with zero purchases and 39 sales. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the provided data do not establish the motivations behind those transactions.
    • −The stock's 52-week range extends from $29.435 to $69.07, a wide spread that reflects high repricing potential. The average analyst target of $61.75 is also approximately 10.6% below the top of the range, limiting the argument that a return to the annual high is fully supported by the valuation consensus.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $61.75 and a target range of $55 to $70. The average is approximately 10.6% below the 52-week range high of $69.07, while the highest target of $70 nearly matches that peak; therefore, the consensus implies strong value but does not automatically support surpassing the annual high. The wide 52-week range of $29.435 to $69.07 remains an indicator of elevated revaluation risk if bookings slow or CLEAR1 contracts become lumpy.

    BuyAnalyst target: $61.75(+46.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Clear Secure's growth in FY2026?

    Growth is being driven by a combination of increased CLEAR+ membership, expansion of the airport network, price increases, and accelerating CLEAR1 momentum. In Q2 FY2026, revenue increased 26.6% to $277.8 million, while bookings rose 32.8% to $295.9 million. Active CLEAR+ membership also grew 15.2% to 8.3 million, and total CLEAR membership increased 30% to 43.5 million. Starting July 1, 2026, the company raised the standard CLEAR+ membership price from $209 to $219, with early retention remaining intact according to management.

    How important is CLEAR1 to YOU stock?

    CLEAR1 represents the growth engine beyond travel subscriptions, targeting businesses, government entities, healthcare, and workforces with identity verification solutions. In Q2 FY2026, the company launched the Vertex, Apex, and Helix products to provide escalating levels of identity assurance. The number of new customers signed increased by more than 50% compared with the previous quarter, while the opportunity pipeline grew by more than 50% sequentially. On the other hand, management warned that pursuing large contracts could make the timing of bookings and results lumpier.

    How did Clear Secure's profitability improve in Q2 FY2026?

    Operating income reached $83 million, while adjusted EBITDA amounted to $101.1 million. The adjusted margin increased to 36.4%, expanding by approximately 900 basis points year over year and exceeding the 35% target the company set at its IPO. The deployment of eGates helped reduce direct salaries and benefits to 17.3% of revenue, an improvement of approximately 450 basis points. As a result, free cash flow increased 60.3% to a record $189 million.

    Why does Clear Secure expect negative free cash flow in Q3 FY2026?

    The company plans to settle an outstanding partnership obligation with a credit card partner of approximately $315 million during Q3 FY2026. Management said this payment will make free cash flow for the quarter negative and that its impact is already included in annual guidance. At the same time, the company raised FY2026 free cash flow guidance to at least $480 million, representing annual growth of no less than 40%. Therefore, the announced pressure relates to the timing of a large payment, but it remains an important source of quarterly cash flow volatility.

    What role do eGates and Home to Gate play in the CLEAR Travel strategy?

    eGates cover more than 70% of the CLEAR network and complete verification in less than five seconds, supporting both the member experience and workforce efficiency. The Home to Gate app connects calendar synchronization, travel guidance, routing, and live updates, and averages one million monthly users. The company also expanded Concierge to 39 airports, launched a food-service partnership in Newark, and began a Starbucks pre-order trial at LaGuardia. This ecosystem aims to increase retention, add new members, and raise average revenue per user.

    What are the main risks to monitor for YOU stock during FY2026?

    The first risk is the expected slowdown in bookings growth from 32.8% in Q2 FY2026 to 20.5% at the midpoint of Q3 FY2026 guidance. The second is the planned settlement of the approximately $315 million partnership obligation, which will result in negative free cash flow in Q3 FY2026. CLEAR1's pursuit of larger contracts could also make signings and revenue lumpier, while management acknowledged a deterioration in the customer experience during 2023 and 2024 before the improvement recorded in Q2 FY2026. Finally, insiders recorded 39 sales with no purchases and net sales of $93.4 million over the three months through August 5, 2026, though this should be treated as a weak signal because these sales may have been prearranged.