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Stocks
Exzeo Group, Inc.
XZO

XZO Exzeo Group, Inc.

Exzeo Group, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
16.02
▲ ⁦+1.52%⁩ (+0.24)
Market Cap$1.5B
Beta0.50
52w Low52w High
12.3624.60
Last Week
⁦-2.79%⁩
Last Month
⁦+3.35%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+9.73%⁩
Last Year
—
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall86
Excellent — top fifth of the marketFalling StarF 5/8Better than 86% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
45
16.7x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
80
21.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
99
——Top tier
▸
Safety
86
——Top tier
▸
Capital Return
54
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
41
—2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
24
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$16
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$19
⁦+20%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.69x
    3.16x25.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    14.35x
    2.76x22.06x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    21.8%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    43.5%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-06 data

Company Overview

Exzeo Group, Inc. provides a technology platform for insurance companies that combines insurance expertise with in-house systems development and generates revenue from premiums managed on the platform. Approximately 25% to 30% of revenue associated with new premiums is recognized upfront, with the remainder recognized over time, so the timing of premium additions affects their conversion into accounting revenue. The company also develops artificial intelligence-based tools, including WinForm Pro for processing wind-mitigation requirements in Florida.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue was $57.8 million, gross profit was $36.8 million, net income was $23.3 million, and earnings per share were $0.26. This equates to a gross margin of approximately 63.7% and a net income margin of approximately 40.3%. Compared with Q1 of fiscal year 2026, revenue increased by approximately 4.1%, gross profit by approximately 12.5%, and net income by approximately 14.2%.

The latest available operating details for Q1 of fiscal year 2026 showed managed premiums reaching $1.43 billion, including approximately $105 million from non-HCI customers, or more than 7% of the total. The adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin exceeded 49%, while the company generated approximately $25 million in free cash flow versus net income of approximately $20 million. It ended the period with $330 million in investment assets and $275 million in shareholders’ equity, with no debt.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Exzeo Group, Inc. increased managed premiums on its platform to $1.43 billion in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, exceeding management’s expectations, and maintained its fiscal year-end 2026 target of $1.55 billion.
  • The company added three new carriers during the six months ended in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, and their contribution reached $105 million in managed premiums, exceeding 7% of the platform total and supporting diversification beyond the historical HCI base.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, the company achieved sequential growth in revenue, gross profit, and net income of approximately 4.1%, 12.5%, and 14.2%, respectively, indicating that earnings grew faster than revenue during the period.
  • The company developed WinForm Pro in less than one month in response to Florida regulatory requirements that took effect on April 1, 2026; several insurance companies outside the platform were testing the product by May 6, 2026, while one company had already contracted to use it.
  • Exzeo Group, Inc. added approximately 20 full-time employees through April 2026 to support operational expansion, new-customer onboarding, and product capability development, while continuing to build a sales pipeline for additional customers.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The company combines managed-premium growth with high profitability; its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin exceeded 49% in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, and management said approximately 50 cents of every dollar added to the platform converts into pretax income.
    • +The balance sheet gives the company the capacity to fund expansion without borrowing pressure, as investment assets totaled $330 million and shareholders’ equity totaled $275 million in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, with no debt.
    • +Diversification beyond HCI companies has begun producing measurable results, with new customers contributing approximately $105 million in managed premiums during Q1 of fiscal year 2026, compared with a base that relied entirely on HCI-backed carriers at the end of fiscal year 2025.
    • +WinForm Pro demonstrates Exzeo Group, Inc.’s ability to convert its in-house insurance and artificial intelligence expertise into a product in less than one month and at a customer cost equivalent to approximately 10% of the cost of performing the process manually, with the potential to use it as an entry point for new relationships with insurance companies.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Approximately $1.3 billion of the $1.43 billion in managed premiums in Q1 of fiscal year 2026 remained associated with HCI-backed carriers, meaning non-HCI customers represented only approximately $105 million and customer concentration remains high.
    • −Exzeo Group, Inc.’s customer base is concentrated primarily in Florida, and management explained on May 6, 2026 that premium growth there tends to occur in the back half of the fiscal year, making the pace of expansion during earlier periods more dependent on regional customer growth schedules.
    • −Management expected managed premiums to remain stable at approximately $1.4 billion in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 before reaching the fiscal year-end 2026 target of $1.55 billion, so achieving the target depends on a clear acceleration in the back half of the fiscal year.
    • −The company intends to continue investing in employees and infrastructure and had added approximately 20 full-time employees through April 2026, which could pressure margins if the increase in expenses does not translate into additional premiums and revenue as quickly as expected.
    • −Management confirmed that WinForm Pro, despite signing its first customer and being tested by several carriers, will not be material to revenue on its own because of its low pricing, while broader tools such as digital agents for claims, compliance, and rate filings remain long-term opportunities rather than proven financial contributions.
    • −Only 25% to 30% of revenue from new premiums is recognized upfront, while the remainder is spread over time, and new premiums were not yet large enough to materially change quarterly revenue in Q1 of fiscal year 2026; this creates a timing gap between platform growth and its full appearance in revenue.

    Valuation

    The stock’s 52-week range extends from $12.36 to $24.60, making the upper bound nearly twice the lower bound and reflecting a wide range in market valuation. The economic valuation assessment is tied to Exzeo Group, Inc.’s ability to convert its fiscal year-end 2026 managed-premium target of $1.55 billion into revenue growth while maintaining the adjusted earnings margin that exceeded 49% in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, while accounting for the continued concentration of premiums among HCI-backed carriers.

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Exzeo Group, Inc., ticker XZO, generate its revenue?

    Exzeo Group, Inc. generates revenue by operating a technology platform for insurance companies that is tied to the premiums managed on it. Management explained on May 6, 2026 that it recognizes approximately 25% to 30% of revenue associated with new premiums upfront, then recognizes the remainder over time. Managed premiums totaled $1.43 billion in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, while revenue totaled $55.5 million according to EDGAR filings.

    What were XZO’s key results in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    The company recorded revenue of $57.8 million and gross profit of $36.8 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026. Net income was $23.3 million and earnings per share were $0.26. Compared with Q1 of fiscal year 2026, revenue increased by approximately 4.1% and net income by approximately 14.2%.

    Has Exzeo Group, Inc. succeeded in reducing its dependence on HCI?

    The company has begun diversifying its customer base, but it remained heavily tied to HCI-backed carriers in Q1 of fiscal year 2026. Total managed premiums were $1.43 billion, of which only approximately $105 million came from non-HCI customers. The platform added three new carriers during the previous six months, and they came to represent more than 7% of managed premiums.

    How important is WinForm Pro to XZO’s growth?

    Exzeo Group, Inc. developed WinForm Pro in less than one month to address wind-mitigation requirements that took effect in Florida on April 1, 2026. By May 6, 2026, several insurance companies outside the platform were testing the product, and one company had contracted to use it. However, management said the product’s revenue alone would not be material because it is priced at approximately 10% of the cost of completing the process manually, and it sees its primary value in opening relationships with new carriers.

    What are management’s targets for fiscal year 2026?

    On May 6, 2026, management maintained its fiscal year 2026 pretax income guidance of between $115 million and $125 million. It also targeted managed premiums of $1.55 billion at the end of fiscal year 2026, after expecting them to remain near $1.4 billion in Q2 of fiscal year 2026. The path to the target depends on the Florida customer growth pattern, which management described as weighted toward the back half of the fiscal year.

    What are the main financial and operational risks facing XZO stock?

    The largest risk is the concentration of approximately $1.3 billion in managed premiums among HCI-backed carriers in Q1 of fiscal year 2026. The company also added approximately 20 full-time employees through April 2026 and plans further investment, increasing the need for revenue growth to protect margins. The expected stability of premiums near $1.4 billion in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, together with delayed recognition of a portion of new-premium revenue, adds risk related to the timing of when growth appears in the results.