| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 56 | 23.6x | 17.3x | Around median | |
Growth | 30 | 9.1% | 7.1% | Bottom tier | |
Quality | 53 | 8.8% | 4.5% | Around median | |
Safety | 86 | 0.5x | 2.6x | Top tier | |
Capital Return | 75 | 2.23% | 0.06% | Top tier | |
Momentum | 97 | 41.3% | -1.5% | Top tier | |
Sentiment | 75 | 15 | 3 | Top tier |
The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today
60% of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.
10-year US Treasury yield 5.13% as of 2026-10-21. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
ExxonMobil operates across an integrated chain encompassing oil and gas extraction, crude refining and fuel sales, and the production of chemicals, base oils, and specialty products. Its model combines production assets in Guyana and the Permian Basin with a network of refineries and specialty product facilities, enabling it to convert raw materials into higher-value products. On the 2026-07-31 call, management explained that Energy Products' contribution to business segment earnings increased from around 9% to around 23% over the five years covered by the call; this is a share of earnings, not revenue.
Revenue for quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, ended 2026-06-30, was approximately 116.0 billion dollars, up 42.3% from the same quarter of the previous fiscal year, while net income reached 14.5 billion dollars and diluted earnings per share were 3.48 dollars. By comparison, quarter 2 of fiscal year 2025 recorded revenue of 81.5 billion dollars, net income of 7.1 billion dollars, and diluted earnings per share of 1.64 dollars. These results came despite a temporary loss of around 10% of upstream production due to disruptions in the Middle East, while refineries recorded record diesel output for this quarter and specialty products achieved record quarterly adjusted earnings.
Operating cash flow according to EL7 data for quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 was approximately 23.6 billion dollars. For the last 12 months through 2026-06-30, revenue was 368.8 billion dollars and net income was 32.8 billion dollars, compared with operating cash flow according to EL7 data of 59.7 billion dollars. Free cash flow as calculated by EL7 (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure) for the last 12 months was 30.6 billion dollars, making the assets' ability to generate cash central to assessing the sustainability of results.
Q2 FY2026
Last 12 months to 2026-06-30
When: 2026-10-30
Annual revenue growth relative to the 42.3% level
Refining margins' contribution to earnings relative to 4.5 billion dollars
Quarterly net income relative to 14.5 billion dollars
The discounted cash flow model yields a value of 179 dollars within a range of 141 dollars to 241 dollars, measuring expected cash flows using a discount rate of 8.7% and analysts' earnings estimates. The median target of 6 analysts is 177 dollars within a range of 90 dollars to 199 dollars in the 2026-10-19 snapshot, an estimate that incorporates growth expectations, with analyst targets tending toward optimism and the cash flow model tending toward conservatism. The industry-multiple value is 110 dollars within a range of 92 dollars to 173 dollars, valuing earnings for the last 12 months through 2026-06-30 at a median multiple of 14.1 across 11 companies. The no-growth value is 73 dollars, measuring the continuation of current after-tax operating profit at a constant level forever at a discount rate of 8.7%. The cash flow estimate is close to the median analyst target, while the industry-multiple value and no-growth value are lower, highlighting the effect of future earnings expectations versus valuing existing earnings or assuming growth stops.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-10-20; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
Net income for quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, ended 2026-06-30, was approximately 14.5 billion dollars, compared with 7.1 billion dollars in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2025. However, news on 2026-10-16 indicated that quarter 3 fiscal year 2026 earnings could decline due to the impact of oil prices on upstream operations, despite an expected refining contribution of 4.5 billion dollars. Integration between the two activities therefore provides a source of offset for some pressures, but does not guarantee stable overall earnings.
Gross production from the Guyana projects reached approximately 900,000 barrels per day in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, ended 2026-06-30. Management explained on the 2026-07-31 call that faster recovery of investments and costs changes the company's production entitlement under the contract mechanism. The contract allows cost recovery up to a ceiling of 75%, after which the remaining production is split equally between the contractors and the government of Guyana. A decline in volume entitlement alone is therefore insufficient to assess the economic return, because the amount of investment and costs to be recovered also changes.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
Permian production exceeded 1.8 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, ended 2026-06-30. On the 2026-07-31 call, management reported having approximately 1,200 producing wells with laterals of three miles or more since 2020, compared with around 400 for the nearest competitor. The company also drilled 83 wells with four-mile laterals during the first half of fiscal year 2026, linking this to increased recovery and a reduction in the number of wells and capital required for development.
Operating cash flow according to EL7 data was approximately 59.7 billion dollars for the last 12 months through 2026-06-30, equivalent to 182% of net income of 32.8 billion dollars for the same period. Free cash flow as calculated by EL7 (operating cash flow minus capital expenditure) for the last 12 months was 30.6 billion dollars. In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, ended 2026-06-30, total debt according to EL7 data was approximately 42.4 billion dollars, compared with cash and short-term investments of 10.6 billion dollars. This comparison excludes long-term marketable securities and therefore does not represent a measure of total liquidity.
News on 2026-10-09 reported that ExxonMobil opposed a proposed settlement of 5 billion dollars for the Kashagan dispute involving environmental claims and costs in Kazakhstan. The amount concerns the consortium-related settlement proposal, and the news does not specify a final financial share attributable to ExxonMobil. The 2026-10-04 news, meanwhile, concerns the U.S. Supreme Court's agreement to hear the appeal by Exxon and Suncor to move climate lawsuits to federal courts. The second proceeding concerns the judicial forum and does not mean that a ruling has been issued ending potential liability.