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Stocks
XPLR Infrastructure, LP
XIFR

XIFR XPLR Infrastructure, LP

XPLR Infrastructure, LP · NYSE
Market Closed
11.40
▼ ⁦-0.70%⁩ (-0.08)
Market Cap$1.1B
Beta0.88
52w Low52w High
8.6813.25
Last Week
⁦-2.81%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.09%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.65%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.20%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall22
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketMomentum TrapF 5/9Better than 22% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
32
17.3x17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
76
-2.8%▼7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
13
0.6%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
49
9.7x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
96
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
70
12.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
50
2▼3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$11
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$12
⁦+5%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$12–$13⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$12.25
⁦+7.5%⁩
Current Price $11.40·Median $12.00
Low
$12.00
High
$13.00
Current price
$11.40
Average target
$12.25
Street summary

XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) Price Target Review

Bullish tilt

The average price target for XIFR has seen an increase of 3.81% over the past thirty days, settling at $12.25 from $11.8, with this estimate remaining stable over the last week. This adjustment reflects cautious optimism from analysts, especially as the current price ($11.29) is trading below the minimum target of $12, indicating positive expectations for an increase in the stock's market value.

As of 2026-08-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.92
Hold
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
15%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
9%
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
1
1
8
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.92 → 2.92
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-17
    Evercore ISI Group
    Positive
  • = Reiterate2026-07-17
    CIBC
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-20
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight· $12.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.27x
    4.50x36.01x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    31.99x
    4.35x34.77x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    24.44x
    3.07x24.54x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    -40.7%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Weak
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.8%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    135.3%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    -5.5%
    9.8%69.4%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    0.6%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Below average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    9.67x
    1.28x10.25x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-08 data

Company Overview

XPLR Infrastructure, LP operates as a contracted infrastructure platform with a portfolio totaling approximately 10 gigawatts of capacity, including wind and solar generation assets. The company generates its cash flows from electricity sales under long-term agreements with high-credit-quality counterparties, while its strategy focuses on simplifying its capital structure, repowering existing assets, and recontracting as legacy agreements expire.

In Q1 of fiscal 2026, XPLR reported revenue of $275 million and net income of $33 million, equivalent to earnings per share of $0.35. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $435 million, while cash available for distribution reached $89 million; results were affected by wind resource declining to 99% of its long-term average, versus 103% in the comparable period, and by asset sales completed during 2025.

On a trailing-twelve-month basis in 2026, revenue was $1.2 billion, net income was $103 million, and earnings per share were approximately $1.09, an improvement from a net loss of $28 million and negative earnings per share of $0.30 in fiscal 2025. The portfolio reflects a mix of operating wind and solar assets, with a planned addition of approximately 200 net megawatts of battery storage by the end of 2027 through expected 49% interests in four projects.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $1.75 billion and $1.95 billion and cash available for distribution of between $600 million and $700 million, assuming normal weather and operating conditions.
  • As of May 8, 2026, XPLR had completed approximately 30% of the repowering projects planned for fiscal 2026, and management says the repowered assets have begun supporting generation and cash flows and partially offsetting the impact of weaker wind resource.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company recontracted approximately 90 megawatts at an existing wind site at a price roughly $25 per megawatt-hour above the price realized from the project's generation during the previous year under a 15-year busbar contract; this provides tangible evidence of the potential to increase revenue from certain assets as legacy contracts expire.
  • XPLR elected to participate with an expected 49% interest in each of four battery storage projects, adding approximately 200 net megawatts by the end of 2027. Net equity contributions are expected to total approximately $80 million after asset-level financing, with the company planning to fund them through sales of assets and interconnection rights to NextEra Energy Resources and the joint ventures to be established.
  • Following the completion of the refinancing and recapitalization activities planned in 2025 and the final draws on project financing commitments, the company does not expect significant new corporate refinancing activity before 2027, limiting major near-term financing needs.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Core cash flows are supported by long-term agreements and high-credit-quality counterparties, and the portfolio generated $435 million of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization and $89 million of cash available for distribution in Q1 of fiscal 2026.
    • +The repowering program provides a way to deploy capital within existing assets; approximately 30% of the fiscal 2026 plan has been completed, and repowered assets have already helped strengthen generation and cash flow despite lower wind resource.
    • +The recontracting agreement covering approximately 90 megawatts, with a price increase of roughly $25 per megawatt-hour and a 15-year term, demonstrates the ability of certain legacy assets to generate greater value as power-market fundamentals improve.
    • +The battery investment provides the company with an additional growth path of approximately 200 net megawatts by the end of 2027, with a 49% participation structure and an expected equity requirement of $80 million after asset-level financing.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Operating performance depends partly on weather resources; wind resource declined to 99% of the long-term average in Q1 of fiscal 2026 from 103% in the comparable period, pressuring results from existing projects before being partially offset by repowered assets.
    • −Financing costs increased materially; cash available for distribution in Q1 of fiscal 2026 included approximately $74 million of additional corporate interest expense associated with the issuance of $1.75 billion of unsecured notes in March 2025, in addition to an annual increase of approximately $12 million in project financing interest.
    • −Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization and cash flows in Q1 of fiscal 2026 were affected by asset sales completed during 2025, meaning that balance-sheet simplification came with a reduction in the contribution of certain former assets to results.
    • −Funding the expected $80 million equity contribution to the battery projects depends on additional sales of assets and interconnection rights, and the company had not identified all the assets required to complete this funding during the May 8, 2026 call, despite management expressing confidence in its ability to execute.
    • −Battery investments carry cost-overrun risk; management explained that XPLR, as an equity partner, would be required to fund its share of any overruns, even while benefiting from the NextEra Energy Resources supply chain.
    • −The neutral analyst consensus and narrow target range of $12 to $13 reflect limited positive dispersion in estimates, while the average target of $12.25 is below the 52-week range high of $13.25; the absence of a published price-to-earnings ratio also reduces the clarity of traditional price-to-earnings comparisons.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on XIFR is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $12.25 and a narrow range of $12 to $13. The average target is approximately 7.5% below the upper end of the 52-week range of $13.25, but clearly above the lower end of $8.675, reflecting a midpoint valuation that does not assume a full return to the top of the range. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available, despite net income shifting from a loss of $28 million in fiscal 2025 to $103 million over the trailing twelve months in 2026, so the sustainability of earnings and cash flow after interest costs remains the most important valuation consideration.

    HoldAnalyst target: $12.25(+7.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving XPLR Infrastructure's earnings in fiscal 2026?

    XPLR relies on a contracted infrastructure portfolio totaling approximately 10 gigawatts and comprising wind and solar assets supported by long-term agreements. In Q1 of fiscal 2026, the company generated $275 million of revenue and $435 million of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Cash available for distribution was $89 million, with repowered assets helping offset part of the impact of lower wind resource.

    What is XPLR Infrastructure's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    During the May 8, 2026 call, management maintained its guidance for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $1.75 billion and $1.95 billion. It also projected cash available for distribution of between $600 million and $700 million, assuming normal weather and operating conditions. Management explained that the Q1 fiscal 2026 result of $89 million is expected to represent approximately 12% to 15% of the full-year total because of the timing of interest payments and the seasonality of wind and solar generation.

    Why is the wind project recontracting important for XIFR stock?

    XPLR recontracted approximately 90 megawatts at an existing wind site at a price roughly $25 per megawatt-hour above the price realized during the previous year. Management confirmed on May 8, 2026 that the agreement is a 15-year busbar contract and that the increase was in line with or slightly better than its expectations for that market. The company is pursuing other opportunities across several markets, but approximately 70% of the total recontracting opportunity identified by management falls after 2030.

    How will the battery projects add growth to XPLR?

    XPLR decided to own an expected 49% interest in each of four battery storage projects in partnership with NextEra Energy Resources. These projects are expected to add approximately 200 net megawatts to the portfolio by the end of 2027, with construction beginning no earlier than late 2026 or during 2027. The net equity contribution is estimated at approximately $80 million after asset-level financing, and the company plans to cover it through sales of assets and interconnection rights to NextEra Energy Resources and the joint ventures.

    Why was cash available for distribution relatively low in Q1 of fiscal 2026?

    Cash available for distribution was $89 million in Q1 of fiscal 2026 and included approximately $74 million of additional corporate interest expense associated with $1.75 billion of unsecured notes issued in March 2025. The company also incurred an annual increase of approximately $12 million in project financing interest expense, and results were affected by asset sales completed during 2025. In addition, the first quarter typically makes a lighter contribution because of the timing of interest payments and the seasonality of wind and solar generation.

    What are XPLR's main operating and financial risk indicators?

    Wind resource declined to 99% of the long-term average in Q1 of fiscal 2026 from 103% in the comparable period, illustrating the sensitivity of results to weather fluctuations. The 2025 financing activities increased interest expense, while asset sales reduced the contribution of former projects to earnings and cash flows. XPLR may also be required to fund its share of any cost overruns on the battery projects, and funding its expected $80 million contribution depends on completing additional sales of assets and interconnection rights.