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Stocks
Walmart Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall27
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 7/9Better than 27% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
37
38.3x▼18.0xBottom tier
▸
Growth
31
6.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
61
15.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
61
1.6x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
17
0.89%▼2.11%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
36
11.3%▲3.0%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
38
25▲3Bottom tier
WMT

WMT Walmart Inc.

Walmart Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
106.05
▼ ⁦-1.02%⁩ (-1.09)
Market Cap$852.6B
Beta0.60
52w Low52w High
98.88135.16
Last Week
⁦+1.13%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.19%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-11.50%⁩
Last Year
⁦+5.51%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$106
Analyst target · 9 analysts
$130
⁦+23%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$110–$155⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$54
⁦-49%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$54–$130⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 9 analysts setting price target
$128.84
⁦+21.5%⁩
Current Price $106.05·Median $130.00
Low
$110.00
High
$155.00
Current price
$106.05
Average target
$128.84
Street summary

WMT Price Target Consensus Declines

WMT’s price target consensus fell to 128.84, declining by $1.06 or 0.82% over the last 7 days, and by $11.43 or 8.15% over the last 30 days, while the number of analysts remained at 9. Although the consensus and median of 128.84 and 130 are above the current price of 106.05, the target range between 110 and 155 reflects notable variation in estimates.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-8.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.05
Buy
Analyst coverage
43
Buy conviction
86%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 1↓
Mixed
Target dispersion
42%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time43 analysts rating
10
27
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.14 → 4.05
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-25
    Oppenheimer
    Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-21
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-21
    TD Cowen
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    38.29x
    4.69x37.52x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    33.88x
    3.92x31.38x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    19.43x
    2.89x23.11x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    3.4%
    -36.4%14.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.2%
    -16.7%27.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    4.1%
    -135.4%132.5%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    25.1%
    9.2%67.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    15.3%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.63x
    0.61x4.86x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.8%7.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    33.9%
    15.8%173.7%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-20 data

Company Overview

Walmart Inc. operates as an omnichannel retailer through Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club U.S., combining physical stores, e-commerce, and local delivery. Its revenue model is not limited to merchandise sales; the company is expanding the contribution of higher-margin activities such as Marketplace, advertising, memberships, fulfillment services, and data, while stores also serve as fulfillment centers for digital sales, with 80% of e-commerce orders and 100% of express deliveries in the United States fulfilled through the store network.

In fiscal 2027 Q2, consolidated net sales increased 5% in constant currency, at the high end of the company's guidance range, with Walmart U.S. growing 3.5% and its comparable sales excluding fuel rising 2.6%, Walmart International sales increasing 7.9% led by 9.7% growth in China, and Sam's Club U.S. delivering comparable growth of 4.4%. Adjusted operating income increased 17.4% in constant currency, including a net benefit of approximately 750 basis points from tariff refunds; excluding this benefit, underlying operating income growth was at the high end of the 7% to 10% range.

The available figures reflect the breadth of Walmart's financial base; trailing-twelve-month fiscal 2027 revenue reached approximately $730.3 billion, gross profit was $186.2 billion, and net income was $22.7 billion. In fiscal 2027 Q1, the company recorded revenue of $177.8 billion, gross profit of $44.7 billion, and net income of $5.3 billion, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 25.1% and a net income margin of approximately 3.0%. In fiscal 2027 Q2, e-commerce accounted for 23% of the Walmart U.S. mix and 30% of the Walmart International mix, illustrating the ongoing shift toward a digital omnichannel model.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Global e-commerce increased 23% in fiscal 2027 Q2, including 24% at Walmart U.S., 26% at Sam's Club U.S., and 19% at Walmart International, while express deliveries in the United States increased 48% and the company expanded delivery in under 30 minutes to 38 U.S. markets.
  • Higher-margin profit sources are accelerating; global advertising grew 38%, Walmart Connect increased 43%, U.S. Marketplace sales rose 52%, and approximately 50% of Marketplace business flowed through Walmart Fulfillment Services, an increase of approximately 400 basis points from the prior year.
  • Membership income growth reached approximately 17% globally in fiscal 2027 Q2, Sam's Club U.S. membership increased approximately 6%, and Walmart+ achieved double-digit growth. According to management, members of the company's programs spend approximately four times as much as non-members, directly linking membership growth to higher gross merchandise value and deeper customer loyalty.
  • Walmart raised its fiscal 2027 sales growth guidance to 4%–5% from 3.5%–4.5%, raised its operating income growth guidance to 7%–8.5% from 6%–8%, and increased its earnings-per-share range to $2.80–$2.87 from $2.75–$2.85.
  • The company is investing approximately $2.9 billion in tariff refunds into prices and the customer experience, and increased the number of markdowns to more than 11 thousand in fiscal 2027 Q2 from 7,200 at the end of fiscal 2027 Q1. Management is betting that the unit and transaction growth resulting from these investments will translate into sustainable market-share gains, despite the time lag between price reductions and the realization of the full return.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The bullish case is based on broad-based digital growth; Walmart U.S. e-commerce growth exceeded 20% for ten consecutive quarters through fiscal 2027 Q2, alongside 52% growth in Marketplace and 38% growth in global advertising.
  • +The profit mix is improving with the expansion of advertising, memberships, Marketplace, and fulfillment services; management stated that approximately half of profit growth came from activities such as memberships, advertising, and Marketplace, and that U.S. e-commerce incremental margins ranged from the high single digits to the low double digits over approximately six quarters.
  • +Walmart's physical network provides a tangible fulfillment advantage; inventory and employees are located within ten miles of 95% of the U.S. population, 3,100 U.S. stores are served by some degree of automated distribution, and automated facilities process more than 50% of e-commerce fulfillment volume.
  • +The increase in fiscal 2027 guidance reinforces confidence in the ability of digital growth and market-share gains to offset a weaker consumer environment and fuel costs; the company also expects double-digit free cash flow growth during fiscal 2027 despite increasing capital expenditures to approximately 4% of annual net sales.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $129.9, within a wide range of $110 to $155, while the consensus leans toward Buy. The average target is slightly below the 52-week range high of $135.16, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target remains above the range low of $95.6. Conversely, the price-to-earnings multiple of 36.4 times according to the August 20, 2026 report makes the valuation sensitive to consumer weakness and fiscal 2027 Q3 margin pressure, despite the company's increase in full-year guidance.

BuyAnalyst target: $129.9(+22.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were Walmart's key results in fiscal 2027 Q2?

Consolidated net sales increased 5% in constant currency, at the high end of the company's guidance, while adjusted operating income grew 17.4%. Profit growth included a net benefit of approximately 750 basis points from tariff refunds, but underlying operating income growth remained at the high end of the 7%–10% range after excluding them. Walmart U.S. delivered comparable growth of 2.6% excluding fuel, compared with 4.4% at Sam's Club U.S. and international sales growth of 7.9%.

Why did WMT shares come under pressure after the August 20, 2026 results despite the guidance increase?

Investors focused on the slowdown in Walmart U.S. comparable sales to 2.6% and management's warnings about the effect of gasoline prices exceeding four dollars per gallon on consumer behavior. The company also provided guidance for operating income growth of only 2% to 4% in fiscal 2027 Q3 due to price investments and the timing of tariff refunds. News on August 20, 2026 showed the stock declining approximately 9%, despite results exceeding expectations and the increase in fiscal 2027 guidance.

How important are e-commerce and advertising to Walmart's profits?

Global e-commerce grew 23% in fiscal 2027 Q2, with growth of 24% at Walmart U.S., 26% at Sam's Club U.S., and 19% internationally. Global advertising increased 38%, including 43% growth at Walmart Connect, while U.S. Marketplace sales increased 52%. Management said approximately half of profit growth came from activities such as memberships, advertising, and Marketplace, shifting the profit mix away from complete reliance on traditional retail margins.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Weakness among U.S. consumers represents the most significant operating risk; management explained that gasoline exceeding four dollars per gallon prompted some customers to make spending trade-offs, while Walmart U.S. comparable sales slowed to 2.6% in fiscal 2027 Q2 and physical store sales declined by a low-single-digit percentage.
  • −Earnings face pressure in fiscal 2027 Q3 due to the reinvestment of tariff refunds and higher fuel costs; the company expects operating income growth of only 2%–4%, estimates additional fuel-related costs of more than $2 billion above its original assumptions, and expects approximately 20 basis points of pressure from the acquisition and integration costs of Vibe.
  • −Fair-price maximum rules and the transition of drugs from branded products to generic alternatives are affecting Walmart U.S. growth; their negative impact on comparable sales was 125 basis points in fiscal 2027 Q2, and the company raised its estimate of the fiscal 2027 impact to the same level, while the benefit from GLP-1 drugs is expected to decline to approximately half of its previous contribution.
  • −Revenue growth may slow in the near term; after consolidated growth of 5% in constant currency in fiscal 2027 Q2, the company expects only 3%–3.75% in fiscal 2027 Q3, with a negative impact exceeding 100 basis points from the different timing of the Flipkart Big Billion Days event.
  • −The valuation increases the stock's sensitivity to any operational shortfall; a report dated August 20, 2026 cited a price-to-earnings multiple of 36.4 times, a level that requires continued digital growth and an improving profit mix and leaves little room for slowing demand or weak returns from price reductions.
  • −Net insider transactions during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 20, 2026 were approximately negative $1.1 billion, with 26 sales and no purchases recorded. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, but it adds a note of caution when combined with consumer pressures and the elevated valuation.
How do the 11 thousand price reductions affect Walmart's results?

Walmart increased the number of markdowns to more than 11 thousand in fiscal 2027 Q2, compared with approximately 7,200 at the end of fiscal 2027 Q1. The company funded part of these investments through approximately $2.9 billion in tariff refunds and distributed them across food, general merchandise, consumables, and apparel. The reductions initially lead to lower prices and unit growth, while management believes transaction and market-share gains emerge cumulatively over weeks or months.

What is the impact of the health and wellness business on Walmart U.S. growth?

Fair-price maximum rules and the transition of drugs to generic alternatives reduced Walmart U.S. comparable sales growth by approximately 125 basis points in fiscal 2027 Q2. The company expects an impact of 125 basis points to continue throughout fiscal 2027, while the sales benefit from GLP-1 drugs declines to approximately half of its previous level. Nevertheless, prescription volumes and market share continue to grow, and according to management, the average health and wellness customer spends three times as much as the average Walmart customer.

What is Walmart's guidance for fiscal 2027?

Walmart expects sales growth of between 4% and 5% in fiscal 2027, after raising the range from 3.5%–4.5%. It also raised its operating income growth guidance to 7%–8.5% and earnings per share to $2.80–$2.87. For fiscal 2027 Q3, the company expects sales growth of 3%–3.75%, operating income growth of 2%–4%, and earnings per share of between $0.62 and $0.64.