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Stocks
Willis Lease Finance Corporation
WLFC

WLFC Willis Lease Finance Corporation

Willis Lease Finance Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
56.17
▼ ⁦-0.04%⁩ (-0.02)
Market Cap$4.0B
Beta0.75
52w Low52w High
38.0081.54
Last Week
⁦+2.31%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.99%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.80%⁩
Last Year
⁦+11.57%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall66
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 5/9DistressBetter than 66% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
12.9x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
68
17.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
75
2.3%▼4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
31
9.7x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
65
0.94%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
42
26.1%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
36
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$56
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$76
⁦+34%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$71–$80⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$25
⁦-55%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$25–$76⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$75.50
⁦+34.4%⁩
Current Price $56.17·Median $75.50
Low
$71.00
High
$80.00
Current price
$56.17
Average target
$75.50
Street summary

Raised Target with Limited Confidence

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose to 75.5 from 71, an increase of 4.5 or 6.34% over the last 7 days, while remaining unchanged over the last 30 days. There was no change in the number of analysts, as only one analyst covers the stock; targets range from 71 to 80, reflecting a notable range despite the limited sample. Deutsche Bank also initiated coverage with a “Buy” rating on 2026-09-08, representing a more bullish shift in the available ratings.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+6.3%⁩
Analyst coverage
1
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
16%
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.94x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    3.34x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.70x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    21.2%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.3%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    34.0%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    49.1%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    2.3%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    9.70x
    0.55x4.37x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.1%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.89
    -5.667.97
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Willis Lease Finance Corporation operates in the leasing of aircraft engines and related equipment, deriving the core portion of its income from its owned on-balance-sheet portfolio, alongside managing institutional assets through Willis Aviation Capital and providing storage, repair, and fleet management services. In fiscal Q2 2026, the owned portfolio had a book value of $2.96 billion, while total assets under management reached $4.4 billion, of which 67% was on the balance sheet. Modern engines, including LEAP, GTF, and GEnx, represented about 60% of the net book value of the combined portfolio comprising WLFC and WAC, while CFM56 and V2500 engines remained an important part of the business.

In fiscal Q2 2026, the company reported revenue of $194.0 million, EDGAR-reported net income of $30.2 million, and earnings per share of $1.31, compared with expectations of $175 million in revenue and $0.90 in earnings per share. Net income attributable to common shareholders was $28.7 million, operating income was $34.0 million with annual growth of 20.2%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $120.7 million with growth of 4.0%. Pre-tax income was $38.1 million, compared with $74.3 million in the corresponding period, which included a non-recurring gain of $43 million from the sale of the BAML business.

The fiscal Q2 2026 revenue mix comprised $77.1 million in lease rent revenue, $46.5 million in maintenance reserve revenue, $21.2 million in spare parts and equipment sales, $9.0 million in maintenance services, and $5.5 million in management and advisory fees. The company also recorded a gain of $32.0 million on the sale of leased equipment, related to the sale of 21 engines and other equipment for $224.8 million before economic closing adjustments. This mix reflects a model combining recurring rental and fee income with more volatile revenue from asset and equipment sales.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Total assets under management grew 21% from $3.6 billion in fiscal Q2 2025 to $4.4 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, while WAC assets increased by about 80% to $1.4 billion. The discretionary funds had about $1.3 billion of additional capital ready for deployment, excluding joint venture capital and the company’s capital structure.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Lease rent revenue grew 6.7% annually to $77.1 million, while the average lease rate increased from 1.00% to 1.03%. This occurred despite average lease portfolio utilization declining from 87.2% to 85.0% between fiscal Q2 2025 and fiscal Q2 2026.
  • In June 2026, the company completed a transaction to acquire the entities owning three Airbus A330-300 aircraft leased to China Airlines and EVA Air, then signed definitive documents in July 2026 to acquire entities owning 12 commercial aircraft and 13 engines as part of an announced $379 million portfolio transaction. These transactions aim to expand the portfolio and customer base and extract additional value through the company’s platform and programs.
  • In July 2026, the company signed a major engine storage agreement with Pratt & Whitney after nearly a year of site inspections and quality audits. Revenue from maintenance, storage, and repair services also increased 11.9% to $9.0 million in fiscal Q2 2026, driven by growth in engine and aircraft storage.
  • Management and advisory fees increased 113% to $5.5 million in fiscal Q2 2026, including $2.8 million from the Blackstone and Liberty Mutual funds. The Liberty Mutual fund commenced operations in March 2026, while the Blackstone fund commenced operations in April 2026, supporting WLFC’s transition toward a broader mix of leasing income and asset management fees.
  • Gains on the sale of leased equipment reached $32.0 million, an annual increase of $4.6 million, while sales of equipment outside the lease portfolio generated a trading profit of $5.0 million and a gross margin of 49%. Management said the portfolio’s total book value is about 20% below its estimated value based on industry appraisals, while emphasizing that gains vary from one asset to another.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Growth in assets under management to $4.4 billion, the increase in WAC assets to $1.4 billion, and the availability of $1.3 billion for deployment provide a foundation for expanding management fees and the owned portfolio following the completion of most of the funds’ initial asset funding process.
    • +The concentration of about 60% of the combined portfolio’s net book value in LEAP, GTF, and GEnx engines gives the company direct exposure to increased off-wing maintenance as these engines mature and scheduled removals accelerate for performance restoration and replacement of life-limited parts.
    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 demonstrated the ability to generate strong operating earnings, as operating income increased 20.2% to $34.0 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 4.0% to $120.7 million, and revenue and earnings per share exceeded market expectations.
    • +The integrated platform supports cross-selling opportunities and asset value extraction; management and advisory fees increased 113%, maintenance services revenue grew 11.9%, and the company signed an engine storage agreement with Pratt & Whitney in July 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Maintenance reserve revenue declined to $46.5 million from $50.7 million, while short-term maintenance reserves fell to $39.0 million from $50.2 million in fiscal Q2 2025. This coincided with a 4.9% decline in the number of engines subject to short-term conditions and a decrease in portfolio utilization from 87.2% to 85.0%, highlighting this income’s sensitivity to flight hours, engine mix, and fuel prices.
    • −The maintenance services business recorded a negative gross margin of $1.4 million in fiscal Q2 2026 despite revenue growth to $9.0 million. The company attributed this to the seasonality of the core maintenance business, but continued operating losses in this activity could delay its transition into an independent profit source.
    • −A significant portion of the quarter’s results relied on asset sale transactions; gains on the sale of leased equipment reached $32.0 million, and the sales included 14 engines transferred as part of the Blackstone fund portfolio’s initial asset funding. Gains may vary depending on each asset’s book value and transaction timing, so they do not necessarily have the same degree of recurrence as lease revenue.
    • −General and administrative expenses increased by $5.1 million to $55.6 million, technical expenses increased by $2.4 million to $9.9 million, and net finance costs rose 4.6% to $35.1 million. The period included a $5.4 million loss on debt extinguishment, while net leverage was 2.78 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026.
    • −The war in Iran and higher fuel prices during April and May 2026 reduced the operating pace of some engines and decreased aircraft and engine transaction volumes, although demand for the company’s assets did not decline. This demonstrates the results’ exposure to geopolitical disruptions, fuel prices, and customer fleet operating cycles, particularly for the less fuel-efficient A320ceo and 737NG platforms.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended August 26, 2026, recorded net sales of $10.8 million, with one purchase versus 28 sales. This represents a secondary and weak trading signal compared with the business fundamentals because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data disclose otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $71, which is also the highest and lowest published target, so the target range provides no dispersion that can be used to assess differences in views. The $71 target is about 12.9% below the 52-week range high of $81.54 and about 86.8% above the range low of $38.00333. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data, making the stock’s valuation more dependent on growth in assets under management, the recurrence of equipment sale gains, and the development of leasing and fee income relative to operating and financing risks.

    BuyAnalyst target: $71(+26.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How did WLFC perform in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Revenue was $194.0 million, EDGAR-reported net income was about $30.2 million, and earnings per share were $1.31. Revenue exceeded analysts’ expectations of $175 million, while earnings per share also exceeded the estimate of $0.90. Net income attributable to common shareholders was $28.7 million, while operating income increased 20.2% to $34.0 million. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization also grew 4.0% to $120.7 million.

    What are Willis Lease Finance Corporation’s revenue sources?

    The core business relies on leasing aircraft engines and equipment, with lease rent revenue reaching $77.1 million in fiscal Q2 2026. Maintenance reserves added $46.5 million, while spare parts and equipment sales generated $21.2 million. Maintenance services generated $9.0 million and management and advisory fees generated $5.5 million, alongside a gain of $32.0 million on the sale of leased equipment.

    Why are LEAP and GTF engines important to WLFC’s growth?

    Modern engines, including LEAP, GTF, and GEnx, represented about 60% of the combined portfolio’s net book value in fiscal Q2 2026. Management explained that LEAP and GTF engines have begun reaching a stage in which scheduled removals for performance restoration and replacement of life-limited parts are accelerating. The company expects this to increase the need for off-wing maintenance and support demand for these engines. At the same time, the company continues to rely on CFM56 and V2500 while managing the market’s gradual transition toward newer technologies.

    What is the impact of Willis Aviation Capital’s expansion on WLFC?

    WAC assets under management reached $1.4 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, an increase of nearly 80% from the same period in fiscal 2025. Management and advisory fees increased 113% to $5.5 million, driven partly by $2.8 million in fees from the Blackstone and Liberty Mutual funds. Following the completion of most of the funds’ initial asset funding, management expects most additional growth to come from third-party market purchases. The discretionary funds had about $1.3 billion of capital ready for deployment.

    What are the main operating and financial risks facing WLFC stock?

    Short-term maintenance reserves declined from $50.2 million to $39.0 million between fiscal Q2 2025 and fiscal Q2 2026, coinciding with a decrease in portfolio utilization to 85.0%. Maintenance services also recorded a negative gross margin of $1.4 million, while net finance costs increased to $35.1 million. Net leverage was 2.78 times, while general and administrative expenses increased to $55.6 million and technical expenses to $9.9 million. Disruptions in Iran and higher fuel prices in April and May 2026 also showed that engine operating pace and asset transaction volumes may be affected by geopolitical factors.

    What did the June and July 2026 transactions add to WLFC’s portfolio?

    In June 2026, the company acquired the entities owning three Airbus A330-300 aircraft leased to China Airlines and EVA Air. In July 2026, it signed definitive documents to acquire entities owning 12 commercial aircraft and 13 engines as part of an announced $379 million portfolio. The two transactions aim to expand the portfolio and customer base and use WLFC programs to extract additional value from the assets. However, purchasing assets through special-purpose entities adds costs and complexities related to merger and acquisition transactions, and these costs appear within general and administrative expenses.