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Stocks
Willdan Group, Inc.
WLDN

WLDN Willdan Group, Inc.

Willdan Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
82.20
▲ ⁦+0.33%⁩ (+0.27)
Market Cap$1.2B
Beta1.16
52w Low52w High
64.67137.00
Last Week
⁦-6.12%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.10%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-12.79%⁩
Last Year
⁦-29.25%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall68
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 7/9SafeBetter than 68% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
55
19.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
74
18.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
76
17.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
82
0.7x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
35
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
28
-29.2%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
50
2▼3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$82
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$110
⁦+34%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$110–$110⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$50
⁦-39%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.5⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$50–$110⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$110.00
⁦+33.8%⁩
Current Price $82.20·Median $110.00
Low
$110.00
High
$110.00
Street summary

Willdan Group (WLDN) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

Willdan Group stock shows complete stability in price forecasts over the past thirty days, with the price target remaining at $110, representing a notable positive gap compared to the current price of $86.4. Zero dispersion is observed in the forecasts due to the presence of only one analyst covering the price target in the current data, meaning the outlook relies on a unilateral estimate without divergent opinions.

As of 2026-08-16
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-04-09
    Wedbush
    —· $110.00
  • = Reiterate2026-01-14
    Wedbush
    Outperform· $145.00
  • = Reiterate2026-01-02
    Compass Point
    —· $125.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    19.25x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    16.11x
    4.57x36.58x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    17.79x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.0%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    18.1%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    78.7%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    37.8%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    17.1%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.75x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.49
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Willdan Group provides consulting, engineering, software, and implementation services in the energy and infrastructure markets, along with ongoing energy management, energy-efficiency projects, battery storage, and microgrids. The company generates revenue from a mix of recurring programs and custom-executed projects for three main customer groups: utilities, government entities, and commercial clients. Commercial activities now represent about a quarter of the business, with data center electrical services constituting their largest component and the fastest-growing part of the company.

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, contract revenue rose 33% year over year to $231.0 million, and net revenue grew 23% to $117 million, including 18% organic growth. Gross profit reached $87.5 million, equivalent to about 37.9% of contract revenue, while gross margin declined 150 basis points due to a greater weighting of performance engineering and commercial projects that include more equipment and subcontractors. In contrast, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 51% to a record $33 million, and its margin on net revenue reached 28.2%, the highest quarterly margin in the company's history.

Net income in Q2 of fiscal 2026 was about $24.3 million, up 58%, and earnings per share under generally accepted accounting principles increased 53% to $1.58, while adjusted earnings per share rose 38% to $2.07. During the first half of fiscal 2026, contract revenue reached $386 million and net revenue reached $210 million, gross margin was 39.0%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 41% to $51.1 million. Data for the twelve months ended Q2 of fiscal 2026 show contract revenue of $742 million and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $94.3 million, with the latter growing 36% compared with revenue growth of 18%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Willdan raised its fiscal 2026 targets to net revenue of between $415 million and $430 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $103 million and $107 million, and adjusted earnings per share of between $5.00 and $5.15, following the strong performance in the first half of fiscal 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company secured a $110 million expansion of its solar lighting contract with LADWP and has authorization to begin work on half of that amount. Management expects project execution to ramp up during Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2026 and the beginning of fiscal 2027, with the potential for additional expansion opportunities.
  • Contracts announced since the previous earnings call include a $53 million central plant upgrade for City College of New York, a five-year, $49 million energy-efficiency contract with SoCalREN, and a $31 million biogas cogeneration and microgrid project. The company also added a $15 million battery storage project in Texas and a $6 million electrical substation project in Illinois.
  • Data centers and battery storage support organic growth; the company attributed its 18% organic net revenue growth in Q2 of fiscal 2026 to higher data center and battery project revenue and continued strength in utility and municipal infrastructure work. During the eighteen months ended August 2026, it also established permanent centers in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Kentucky, and Texas, and began executing projects in New Mexico, Montana, and Utah.
  • Burton Energy adds capabilities in heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning systems, energy-control technologies, and commercial energy procurement. Since the transaction closed on May 4, 2026, Burton has added relationships with Walgreens, Carter's, and Five Below, and has already entered two of Willdan's utility programs, reflecting the start of cross-selling in both directions.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The buying case is based on earnings growing faster than revenue; during the twelve months ended Q2 of fiscal 2026, contract revenue and net revenue increased 18%, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 36% and adjusted earnings per share rose 60% to $5.76.
    • +Large contracts provide operational visibility, led by the $110 million LADWP expansion and the four other contracts valued between $15 million and $53 million. These wins demonstrate Willdan's move into larger, more complex projects spanning energy efficiency, battery storage, microgrids, and public infrastructure.
    • +The financial position supports the company's ability to fund growth; net debt was only $33 million, or 0.3 times adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization for the last twelve months, with total available liquidity of $165 million at the end of Q2 of fiscal 2026. The company also generated $71 million in operating cash flow and $62 million in free cash flow during the last twelve months.
    • +Commercial expansion gives the company a more balanced customer base, as commercial activities now account for about a quarter of the business, and APG revenue is expected to approach $75 million in fiscal 2026, nearly three times its level in the previous year. Willdan links this expansion to rising demand for data center electricity and opportunities to sell its engineering, software, and energy-management capabilities to new customers.

    ▼ Selling Case5 pts

    • −Management does not yet know how quickly the $110 million LADWP contract expansion will ramp up or the precise size of its contribution in Q3 of fiscal 2026; part of the execution may extend into the beginning of fiscal 2027. This makes revenue timing dependent on the execution stages of large projects, and the company also noted that some work expected in the second half had already accelerated into Q2 of fiscal 2026.
    • −Gross margin declined 150 basis points in Q2 of fiscal 2026 due to a shift in the revenue mix toward performance engineering and commercial projects that are intensive in equipment and subcontractors. Although the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin reached 28.2%, management confirmed that it does not expect this level to persist throughout fiscal 2026 and estimated the full-year margin at about 25%.
    • −Accounting eligibility for most new benefits associated with 179D incentives ended at the end of June 2026, with a limited extension remaining for projects that began before that date. After recording a $5.3 million tax benefit in Q2 of fiscal 2026, the company expects an income-statement tax rate of between 15% and 20% in the second half, making it more difficult to compare quarterly net income directly with the exceptional Q2 level.
    • −Stock-based compensation expense increased 51% year over year in Q2 of fiscal 2026, and amortization charges for acquisition-related intangible assets rose 27%. Management also described the market for highly experienced employees as tight and noted rising salaries, which could put pressure on expenses if the need to hire accelerates to execute new projects.
    • −The valuation carries the risk of elevated expectations after the stock reached $137 during the last 52 weeks, a level about 25% above the consensus target of $110. The analyst target range also provides no independent dispersion, as the average, high, and low are all $110, so this consensus may be less robust than a target range based on multiple differing estimates.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $110 and identical high and low targets at the same level; this zero-width range limits the ability to measure differences in analyst views. The target is about 20% below the 52-week range high of $137 and about 70% above the range low of $64.67, reflecting the extent of the stock's revaluation alongside earnings and contract growth, but leaving high sensitivity to any slowdown in LADWP execution or margin declines from record levels.

    BuyAnalyst target: $110(+33.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove WLDN's results in Q2 of fiscal 2026?

    Contract revenue increased 33% to $231 million, and net revenue grew 23% to $117 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026. Organic net revenue growth was 18%, driven by data centers, battery storage projects, and continued strength in utility and municipal infrastructure work. Higher volume and execution quality contributed to a 51% increase in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to $33 million and a 38% increase in adjusted earnings per share to $2.07.

    How significant is the $110 million LADWP contract expansion?

    The expansion relates to a solar street-lighting program that removes lighting loads from the LADWP grid and adds available capacity while supporting public safety. On August 6, 2026, management said the company had already received authorization to begin work on half of the $110 million expansion. Execution is expected to ramp up during Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2026 and the beginning of fiscal 2027, but the precise quarterly contribution was unknown at the time of the call.

    How does Willdan benefit from the growth of data centers and artificial intelligence?

    Data center electrical services represented the largest portion of commercial revenue and the fastest-growing part of Willdan in Q2 of fiscal 2026. The company performs studies and projects related to energy supply and load interconnection and operates in markets including Texas, New Mexico, Montana, and Utah. Internally, the company said its use of artificial intelligence improves productivity and project management, which is one reason adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 36% during the twelve months compared with revenue growth of 18%.

    What is Willdan's outlook for fiscal 2026?

    The company raised its fiscal 2026 net revenue target to a range of between $415 million and $430 million. It also expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $103 million and $107 million and adjusted earnings per share of between $5.00 and $5.15. This guidance assumes about 15.9 million diluted shares and an effective tax rate of 0% for the full year, despite an expected income-statement tax rate of between 15% and 20% in the second half.

    Does Willdan have a balance sheet capable of funding growth and acquisitions?

    Willdan ended Q2 of fiscal 2026 with net debt of $33 million and a net-debt-to-adjusted-earnings-before-interest-taxes-depreciation-and-amortization ratio of 0.3 times. Available liquidity was $165 million, including $35 million in cash, $80 million available under a revolving credit facility, and $50 million under an unused delayed-draw facility. During the twelve months ended in the quarter, the company generated $71 million in operating cash flow and $62 million in free cash flow after using $50 million in cash for recent acquisitions.

    Why did gross margin decline despite record profitability?

    Gross margin declined 150 basis points in Q2 of fiscal 2026 because the mix shifted toward performance engineering and commercial projects that use more equipment and subcontractors. However, these projects also carry lower overhead expenses, which helped the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin on net revenue reach a record 28.2%. Management does not expect the margin to remain at 28.2% throughout fiscal 2026, but instead estimates the full-year margin at about 25% compared with 21.8% in fiscal 2025.