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Stocks
The Wendy's Company
WEN

WEN The Wendy's Company

The Wendy's Company · NASDAQ
Market Closed
7.63
▲ ⁦+2.55%⁩ (+0.19)
Market Cap$1.4B
Beta0.38
52w Low52w High
6.0710.72
Last Week
⁦-7.40%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.78%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.30%⁩
Last Year
⁦-26.28%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall73
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 4/9DistressBetter than 73% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
11.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
19
-1.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
92
6.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
30
6.7x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
70
7.33%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
34
-28.0%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
85
17▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$7.63
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$7.00
⁦-8%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$5.50–$12⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$10
⁦+34%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$7.00–$10⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$7.58
⁦-0.7%⁩
Current Price $7.63·Median $7.00
Low
$5.50
High
$12.00
Current price
$7.63
Average target
$7.58
Street summary

Short-term stability and a monthly decline in the target price

The consensus remained stable at 7.58 over the last day and the last 7 days, with the number of analysts remaining at 4. However, compared with August 7, the consensus declined by 0.37, or 4.65%, to 7.58. The current price stands at 7.61, very close to the consensus, while estimates range from 5.5 to 12, with a median of 7, reflecting clear divergence among analysts.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.92
Hold
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
17%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
85%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
1
3
15
3
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.90 → 2.92
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    KeyBanc
    Sector Weight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.56x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.74x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.92x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    18.2%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -1.0%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -31.2%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    63.0%
    12.0%66.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    6.9%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.74x
    0.65x5.48x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    7.3%
    0.1%5.9%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    84.6%
    8.9%99.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.04
    -2.656.14
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

The Wendy's Company operates the Wendy's brand in the quick-service restaurant sector, and its economic model relies on sales from company-operated restaurants, franchisee royalties, rental income, and franchise fees. The brand centers on made-to-order burgers using fresh, never-frozen beef, alongside vegetables prepared in restaurants, the Biggie value platform, and breakfast. In fiscal 2026 Q2, lower royalty and rental income pressured revenue, while higher sales from company-operated restaurants following the acquisition of franchised restaurants during fiscal 2025 Q3 limited the impact.

According to EDGAR filings, fiscal 2026 Q2 revenue was approximately $570.6 million, gross profit was $363.3 million, net income was $32.6 million, and earnings per share were $0.17; equivalent to a gross profit margin of approximately 63.7% and a net margin of approximately 5.7%. Compared with fiscal 2026 Q1, revenue increased from $540.6 million, gross profit from $339.6 million, and net income from $22.7 million. On a trailing 12-month basis in fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $2.2 billion, net income of $126.1 million, and earnings per share of approximately $0.66, compared with net income of $165.1 million and earnings per share of $0.85 in fiscal 2025.

Operating indicators reveal a clear divergence between the U.S. and international markets in fiscal 2026 Q2. Global systemwide sales declined 6.5%, and U.S. same-restaurant sales fell 7.0% due to a 12.5% decline in traffic, while the average check increased 5.6%. Internationally, systemwide sales grew 3.4%, supported by restaurant openings, despite a 2.3% decline in same-restaurant sales; excluding Canada, international sales increased 8.6% and same-restaurant sales recorded positive growth.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The possibility of an acquisition deal became a key driver of WEN's movements following an August 12, 2026 report that Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management was preparing to submit an offer in partnership with an investor group; however, an August 26, 2026 report indicated that Trian had scaled back its ambitions to take Wendy's private, weakening this catalyst and shifting the focus back to operating performance.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • U.S. restaurant traffic declined 12.5% in fiscal 2026 Q2, and same-restaurant sales fell 7.0%, while traffic in July 2026 remained consistent with quarterly trends; therefore, the company expected the return to year-over-year systemwide sales growth to remain difficult during fiscal 2026 Q3 and Q4.
  • The company is pursuing a transformation plan across five pillars: rebuilding the menu, ingredient quality, and pricing structure; advancing marketing; improving operational execution; increasing visit frequency through the digital experience; and raising restaurant returns. In fiscal 2026 Q2, it invested $8.3 million in technology, including improving the app experience and enabling more targeted marketing, in addition to $12.8 million in restaurant development.
  • The Chicken Sandwich platform and the Minions & Monsters campaign did not deliver the expected increase in traffic during fiscal 2026 Q2, and their positive impact was limited to the average check. U.S. same-restaurant sales progressed from a 6.4% decline at the beginning of the period to 7.5% in May and then 7.0% in the following period, with traffic remaining down by double digits throughout the quarter.
  • Wendy's continues to expand its network despite weakness in the U.S. market; it opened 21 new restaurants in the United States and 27 international restaurants during fiscal 2026 Q2. International development contributed to 3.4% systemwide sales growth outside the United States, while the increase reached 8.6% excluding Canada.
  • The company generated free cash flow of $120.3 million during the first half of fiscal 2026, an increase of $10.8 million from the comparable period. However, it reduced the quarterly dividend to $0.07 per share and does not expect to repurchase shares during fiscal 2026, with the aim of providing greater flexibility to fund the transformation.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Sequential financial performance improved between fiscal 2026 Q1 and Q2, as revenue increased from $540.6 million to $570.6 million, net income from $22.7 million to $32.6 million, and earnings per share from $0.12 to $0.17, according to EDGAR filings.
    • +The international business represents a relative strength; international systemwide sales increased 3.4% in fiscal 2026 Q2, and growth reached 8.6% excluding Canada, alongside the opening of 27 international restaurants.
    • +Liquidity of approximately $380 million and free cash flow of $120.3 million during the first half of fiscal 2026 provide resources to fund targeted investments in the menu, technology, and restaurants, despite high leverage.
    • +Company-operated U.S. restaurants outperformed the broader system in same-restaurant sales by 280 basis points during fiscal 2026 Q2, alongside improved U.S. customer satisfaction scores; this provides preliminary evidence that better in-restaurant execution may mitigate the severity of the decline.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The collapse in traffic represents the most significant operating risk, as U.S. restaurant traffic fell 12.5% and same-restaurant sales declined 7.0% in fiscal 2026 Q2. Additionally, 289 U.S. restaurant closures during the first half affected systemwide sales, and the company acknowledged that franchisee economics are under pressure.
    • −Wendy's operates in a difficult competitive and consumer environment; international same-restaurant sales declined 2.3% due to weakness in Canada, while management said the Biggie value offering had become complicated and less compelling and that food quality, execution, and marketing had lost some of their differentiation.
    • −The company withdrew its financial outlook for fiscal 2026 and expects continued pressure on company-operated restaurant margins and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization during the second half. Pressures include expected commodity inflation of between 5% and 6% for fiscal 2026, wage inflation of approximately 4%, and higher general and administrative expenses to fund personnel and professional services related to the transformation.
    • −Adjusted operating profit declined markedly in fiscal 2026 Q2; adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization decreased by $22.5 million to $124.1 million, and the margin at company-operated U.S. restaurants was 13.8%, pressured by an approximately 9% increase in commodity costs and weak traffic.
    • −Net leverage was 5.0 times at the end of fiscal 2026 Q2, and the company expects it to remain elevated in the near term. It also expects to refinance approximately $430 million of debt later in 2026 or early 2027 before its March 2028 maturity, adding financing risk to a transformation plan that requires additional investment.
    • −The strength of the acquisition catalyst declined after an August 26, 2026 report indicated that Trian had scaled back its plans to take Wendy's private, following an August 12 report about preparations for a potential offer. With a neutral analyst consensus and a wide target range of $5.50 to $12, the valuation remains highly sensitive to the probability of a deal and the success of the still-unproven transformation.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on WEN is neutral, with an average price target of $7.58, a high target of $12, and a low target of $5.50; the average is well below the 52-week range high of $10.45, while the low target is below the range low of $6.07. The data do not include a consistent, reliable price-to-earnings ratio, while the wide range of targets reflects significant disagreement over the impact of declining traffic, the withdrawal of the fiscal 2026 outlook, and the acquisition possibility that lost momentum on August 26, 2026.

    HoldAnalyst target: $7.58(-0.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did Wendy's sales decline in fiscal 2026 Q2?

    Wendy's global systemwide sales declined 6.5%, and U.S. same-restaurant sales fell 7.0% in fiscal 2026 Q2. The most significant reason was a 12.5% decline in U.S. traffic, with an additional impact from reduced discounting and shorter or eliminated breakfast hours at some locations. A 5.6% increase in the average check offset part of the decline, but it was not enough to return sales to growth. The Chicken Sandwich platform and the Minions & Monsters campaign also did not deliver the expected increase in traffic.

    What is Wendy's plan to restore traffic and sales growth?

    On August 7, 2026, management identified five transformation pillars covering menu quality and value, marketing, operational excellence, the digital experience, and restaurant investment. It intends to rebuild the menu across ingredients, items, and categories while reviewing the pricing structure and the Biggie platform. It also invested $8.3 million in technology initiatives during fiscal 2026 Q2 to improve the app and enable targeted marketing. The company will measure progress through traffic, customer satisfaction, franchisee economics, and returns on the investments it decides to scale.

    How important is Trian's potential offer to WEN investors?

    An August 12, 2026 report indicated that Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management was preparing to submit an offer to acquire Wendy's in partnership with an investor group. The report caused the stock to rise sharply and trading to be temporarily halted due to volatility, making the possibility of a deal an important value catalyst. However, an August 26, 2026 report said that Trian had scaled back its ambitions to take the company private. Therefore, the thesis has become less dependent on a potential acquisition premium and more tied to Wendy's ability to repair traffic and margins.

    Does Wendy's have sufficient liquidity to fund the transformation plan?

    Wendy's ended fiscal 2026 Q2 with approximately $380 million in cash and generated $120.3 million in free cash flow during the first half, an increase of $10.8 million from the comparable period. The company reduced the quarterly dividend to $0.07 per share and does not expect to repurchase shares during fiscal 2026, providing greater investment flexibility. In contrast, net leverage was 5.0 times, and management expects it to remain elevated in the near term. It also expects to refinance approximately $430 million of debt in late 2026 or early 2027 before its March 2028 maturity.

    Can the international business offset Wendy's weakness in the United States?

    Wendy's international systemwide sales grew 3.4% in fiscal 2026 Q2, supported by the opening of 27 restaurants. International sales increased 8.6% excluding Canada, with positive same-restaurant sales growth outside Canada. However, total international same-restaurant sales declined 2.3% because of consumer weakness and competition in Canada. Therefore, international expansion provides meaningful support, but it did not offset the 6.5% decline in global systemwide sales.

    What do Wendy's profitability and margins look like in fiscal 2026 Q2?

    According to EDGAR, Wendy's generated revenue of $570.6 million, gross profit of $363.3 million, and net income of $32.6 million in fiscal 2026 Q2. These results equate to a gross profit margin of approximately 63.7% and a net margin of approximately 5.7%, with earnings per share of $0.17. In management's presentation, the margin at company-operated restaurants was 13.6% globally and 13.8% in the United States. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined by $22.5 million to $124.1 million due to weak royalties, higher expenses, and lower restaurant margins.