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Stocks
Walker & Dunlop, Inc.
WD

WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc.

Walker & Dunlop, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
40.53
▲ ⁦+0.50%⁩ (+0.20)
Market Cap$1.4B
Beta1.47
52w Low52w High
39.0190.00
Last Week
⁦+1.15%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.57%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-20.23%⁩
Last Year
⁦-52.61%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall23
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketValue TrapF 4/9Better than 23% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
52
36.2x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
45
8.0%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
30
——Bottom tier
▸
Safety
44
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
62
6.65%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
5
-48.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
68
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$41
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$69
⁦+70%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$69–$69⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$69.00
⁦+70.2%⁩
Current Price $40.53·Median $69.00
Low
$69.00
High
$69.00
Street summary

Price Forecast Analysis for Walker & Dunlop (WD) Stock

Bullish tilt

WD stock shows complete stability in its price target at $69 over the past thirty days, representing a significant price premium compared to the current price of $39.48. However, it should be noted that this consensus is based on only one analyst, which indicates a lack of dispersion in opinions but at the same time reflects the limited current analytical coverage of price targets.

As of 2026-08-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.25
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
75%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
2
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.25 → 4.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-04-23
    Stephens & Co.
    Overweight· $69.00
  • = Reiterate2025-12-19
    Jefferies
    Buy· $75.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    36.19x
    3.16x25.26x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    10.76x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.09x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -94.7%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Weak
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.0%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -65.4%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    65.1%
    23.5%98.3%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    5.6%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.46x
    0.25x7.31x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    6.7%
    0.6%9.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    240.6%
    9.8%97.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-07 data

Company Overview

Walker & Dunlop operates in commercial real estate capital markets, generating revenue from arranging and financing real estate transactions, including lending through Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and HUD, debt brokerage, and investment sales. It also manages a loan servicing and asset management portfolio that generates recurring fees and cash flows; the servicing portfolio reached $146 billion in fiscal Q1 2026 and generated $85 million in servicing fees. Activity in that quarter was split between the Capital Markets segment, with revenue of $162 million, and the Servicing and Asset Management segment, with revenue of $138 million.

In fiscal Q1 2026, revenue reached $301.3 million, representing reported year-over-year growth of 27%, while net income was $15.9 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.46, equivalent to a net income margin of approximately 5.3%. Adjusted EBITDA rose 14% to $74 million, while total transaction volume jumped 94% to $13.7 billion. The Capital Markets segment was the primary performance driver, with revenue rising 58% and net income reaching $28 million, while revenue from the Servicing and Asset Management segment grew 5% to $138 million despite absorbing approximately $10 million in provisions and costs related to repurchased loans.

The broader-period figures reveal a recovery that has not yet been uniform: fiscal year 2025 recorded revenue of $1.2 billion, net income of $56.2 million, and earnings per share of $1.64, while the trailing-twelve-month data ending in 2026 includes revenue of $2.0 billion, net income of $69.4 million, and earnings per share of approximately $2.08. Fiscal Q4 2025 also recorded a net loss of $13.9 million before the company returned to net profitability in fiscal Q1 2026. This divergence indicates that the strength of financing volumes and servicing fees, together with loan repurchase costs, continues to have a clear effect on the trajectory of profitability.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Debt originations jumped 109% to $11.8 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, including $5.2 billion in agency lending and $6.5 billion in debt brokerage, which grew 155%, making the rebound in refinancing activity the largest revenue driver.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Walker & Dunlop executed $4.7 billion in financing for GSE institutions, increasing its market share from 11.2% at the end of fiscal year 2025 to 12.3% at the end of fiscal Q1 2026. Volumes included $3.1 billion with Freddie Mac, including a $1.7 billion refinancing for Starwood Capital Group's workforce housing assets.
  • Average production volume per banker or broker rose to $282 million during the trailing twelve months ending in fiscal Q1 2026, compared with $248 million at the end of fiscal year 2025. Management is targeting an increase to $300 million by the end of fiscal year 2026 through technology and higher team productivity.
  • The loan servicing portfolio reached $146 billion, and servicing fees rose 4% to $85 million in fiscal Q1 2026. Management believes that growth in the Capital Markets business adds new loans to this portfolio, supporting revenue and fees for the Servicing and Asset Management segment over the longer term.
  • The Journey to '30 plan targets increasing revenue to $2 billion by 2030 through higher transaction volumes, an expanded customer base, and the addition of talent and technology in the United States and Europe. On May 7, 2026, management reaffirmed its confidence in fiscal year 2026 guidance based on a strong start and a fiscal Q2 transaction pipeline similar to its level a year earlier.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The sharp financing recovery provides clear operating leverage; revenue from the Capital Markets segment rose 58% to $162 million, and its adjusted EBITDA shifted from a loss of $13.3 million to a profit of $3.9 million in fiscal Q1 2026.
    • +Workforce cost efficiency in the Capital Markets segment improved, with personnel expenses declining to 68% of segment revenue from 84% a year earlier, despite higher variable compensation as production grew. This indicates the platform's ability to convert recovering transaction volumes into greater earnings improvement.
    • +The Servicing and Asset Management segment supports cash flow stability; segment net income rose 12%, and adjusted EBITDA increased 3% to $112 million, despite approximately $10 million in loan repurchase costs and provisions.
    • +Credit indicators in the at-risk Fannie Mae portfolio appeared resilient at the end of fiscal Q1 2026; among more than 3,200 loans valued at $69 billion, only 14 loans were in default, equivalent to 24 basis points. The weighted average debt service coverage ratio also exceeded two times, and the average loan-to-value ratio at underwriting was 61%.

    ▼ Selling Case5 pts

    • −Exposure to GSE loan repurchases remains a significant financial and operational risk; it stood at $192 million at the end of fiscal Q1 2026 after the purchase of an additional loan for approximately $5 million, and the company recorded nearly $10 million in provisions and costs related to these assets. Management is targeting a reduction in exposure to a range of $100–125 million by the end of fiscal year 2026, but the execution of asset dispositions and the timing of the completion of the Freddie Mac review are not entirely within its control.
    • −The recovery in transaction volumes depends heavily on refinancing rather than acquisitions; investment sales increased only 4% to $1.9 billion, while growth in GSE and non-GSE debt volumes exceeded 100%. Management explained on May 7, 2026, that weak sale prices prompted owners to choose short-term financing, making activity sensitive to the path of interest rates and commercial real estate valuations.
    • −The operating outlook for fiscal year 2026 faces uncertainty from inflation, interest rates, and volatility in equity and debt markets associated with policy changes, tariffs, and the conflict with Iran. Although management maintained its guidance, an approximately 50-basis-point increase in yields pushed borrowers from ten-year terms to five-year terms and may delay stabilization in the sales market.
    • −Regulatory exposure in rental housing represents a risk to one of the targeted growth areas; management said that the seven-year sale provision within the ROAD to Housing Act could sharply reduce institutional investment in DFR and SFR assets. The company is working with industry participants to remove this provision, but the context does not confirm the outcome of this effort.
    • −The valuation lacks support from a reported earnings multiple, while the 52-week range extends from $39.01 to $90, a wide spread reflecting the stock's sensitivity to the commercial real estate and interest-rate cycle. The sole analyst target of $69 is also approximately 23% below the top of the annual range, and the lack of dispersion among the targets provides no useful margin for measuring differences in analyst estimates.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $69 and identical high and low targets of $69, meaning the available consensus data is based on a range with no dispersion. This target is approximately 23% below the 52-week high of $90 and approximately 77% above the low of $39.01, reflecting a wide historical range for the stock. No reported earnings multiple is available, so the risk assessment centers on the recovery in earnings and transaction volumes versus loan repurchase exposure and the business's sensitivity to interest rates and commercial real estate.

    BuyAnalyst target: $69(+70.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Walker & Dunlop's growth in fiscal Q1 2026?

    The primary driver was a 94% jump in total transaction volume to $13.7 billion. Debt originations rose to $11.8 billion, while debt brokerage grew 155% to $6.5 billion and agency lending increased 109% to $5.2 billion. As a result, revenue increased 27% to $301.3 million, and diluted earnings per share reached $0.46.

    How significant is Walker & Dunlop's repurchased-loan problem?

    Total exposure declined from $222 million to $192 million during fiscal Q1 2026. The company absorbed nearly $10 million in credit reserves and operating costs related to these assets after repurchasing an additional loan for approximately $5 million. On May 7, 2026, management said it was targeting a reduction in exposure to between $100 million and $125 million by the end of fiscal year 2026, with two assets expected to be under contract in fiscal Q2 2026.

    How important are Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae to WD's business?

    GSE financing totaled approximately $4.7 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, and Walker & Dunlop's market share increased from 11.2% to 12.3%. Freddie Mac transactions alone accounted for $3.1 billion, including a $1.7 billion refinancing for Starwood Capital Group assets. In the $69 billion at-risk Fannie Mae portfolio, only 14 of more than 3,200 loans were in default at the end of that quarter.

    Does Walker & Dunlop depend solely on multifamily real estate?

    The company has a strong presence in multifamily real estate, but it has expanded its activity into other property categories. In fiscal Q1 2026, approximately 45% of debt brokerage volume came from non-multifamily assets. During fiscal year 2025, it also worked with more than 250 capital providers on nearly $22 billion of non-agency debt financing.

    How does the loan servicing portfolio support Walker & Dunlop's earnings?

    The servicing portfolio reached $146 billion in fiscal Q1 2026 and generated $85 million in servicing fees, up 4% year over year. Revenue from the Servicing and Asset Management segment rose 5% to $138 million, while its net income increased 12% despite loan repurchase costs. Management expects Capital Markets originations to add new loans to the portfolio, expanding the recurring fee base.

    What are the key shareholder return indicators in fiscal year 2026?

    Walker & Dunlop ended fiscal Q1 2026 with liquidity of $193 million. During the quarter, it spent $13 million to repurchase 283 thousand shares at a weighted average of $47.13 per share, with $62 million remaining under the fiscal year 2026 repurchase authorization. On May 6, 2026, the board also approved a quarterly dividend of $0.68 per share, payable to shareholders of record on May 21, 2026.