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Waystar Holding Corp.
WAY

WAY Waystar Holding Corp.

Waystar Holding Corp. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
23.47
▲ ⁦+1.78%⁩ (+0.41)
Market Cap$4.4B
Beta0.07
52w Low52w High
17.2641.47
Last Week
⁦-8.75%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.14%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+19.02%⁩
Last Year
⁦-35.24%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall58
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 58% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
48
33.5x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
86
19.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
70
4.4%▼4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
61
3.0x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
22
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
25
-34.6%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
82
14▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$23
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$33
⁦+41%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$27–$39⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$21
⁦-12%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$21–$33⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$32.50
⁦+38.5%⁩
Current Price $23.47·Median $33.00
Low
$27.00
High
$39.00
Current price
$23.47
Average target
$32.50
Street summary

Waystar (WAY) stock price target analysis

Bullish tilt

The average price target for Waystar stock has seen a decline of 3.99% over the past thirty days, falling from $33.85 to $32.5. However, this trend began to stabilize in the last week with a slight improvement of 0.22%, indicating a pause in selling pressure on technical outlooks and the beginning of a phase of equilibrium in the estimates of the five analysts covering the stock.

As of 2026-09-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.17
Buy
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
96%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
51%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
5
18
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.17 → 4.17
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-13
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    33.53x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    13.59x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.80x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.5%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    19.2%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    45.8%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    69.1%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    4.4%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.98x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.83
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Waystar operates a software platform that connects healthcare providers and insurers across the payment cycle, from authorization and claims submission to reconciliation, collections, and payment. Its solutions help providers lower collection costs, accelerate reimbursement, and improve payment accuracy, while serving as an “execution system” integrated with more than 500 electronic health record system vendors and more than 200 active channel partners. The platform processes more than 7.5 billion transactions annually, while Waystar uses workflow data, Waystar Altitude AI models, and Iodine solutions to prevent claim denials, detect revenue leakage, and reduce manual work.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, Waystar reported revenue of $319.7 million according to EDGAR filings, with reported year-over-year growth of 18%, while net income reached $40.9 million and earnings per share were $0.21, equivalent to a net income margin of approximately 12.8%. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $137 million, up 21.5%, with an adjusted margin of 43%, while management indicated that the calculated gross margin remained near 70%. For the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026, revenue was $1.2 billion and net income was $134.8 million.

Subscription revenue was $176 million, or 55% of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, and increased 34% year over year and 12% organically, compared with $142 million in transaction-volume-based revenue, which increased 3% on a reported basis and approximately 8% after adjusting for comparability factors. Net revenue retention was 108%, with gross retention of 97%, while the number of customers each generating more than $100,000 over the last 12 months increased to 1,453, up 15% year over year.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Waystar raised the lower end of its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance by $2 million to a range of $1.276 billion to $1.294 billion, with a midpoint of $1.285 billion and expected growth of 17%, and also raised adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to $535–545 million, a $5 million increase at the midpoint.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Large deals supported bookings in Q2 fiscal 2026, as the company recorded a double-digit number of contracts with annual contract values exceeding $1 million each, while AI-powered solutions represented approximately 40% of bookings. One example was an existing customer that added eligibility verification and coverage discovery solutions, which are expected to contribute more than $1 million in annual revenue.
  • The cross-selling opportunity is expanding following the integration of Iodine; bookings of Iodine solutions sold to existing Waystar customers exceeded $6 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. More than 12 customers also committed during the first half of fiscal 2026 to the next-generation anomaly detection solution, and early users demonstrated recoveries of approximately $3 million per 10,000 admissions through the automated detection of revenue leakage.
  • The products delivered measurable operating results for customers: ProMedica, which serves 4.7 million patients annually, identified approximately $10 million in previously unidentified billing opportunities, while U.S. Renal Care achieved an automated match rate of 88% between refunds and original claims and reduced the time required to manage those processes by approximately 80%. A Waystar analysis showed that the integrated clinical documentation workflow delivered three times greater financial impact and $2.17 million in additional reimbursement per 10,000 discharges.
  • Waystar ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with $192 million in cash and short-term investments and generated unlevered free cash flow of $64 million, equivalent to 47% conversion of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Net leverage declined to 2.5 times from 2.7 times in the previous quarter, while the share repurchase program bought back $13 million of shares during the quarter under an authorization of up to $200 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Waystar's model combines revenue growth with high operating profitability; Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue grew 18%, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 21.5%, and its margin reached 43%, exceeding consensus expectations for the quarter.
    • +The customer base demonstrates a clear ability to expand within existing accounts, with net revenue retention of 108%, an increase in customers each generating more than $100,000 in revenue to 1,453, and more than $6 million in Iodine bookings from existing Waystar customers in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +Processing more than 7.5 billion transactions annually and integrating financial and clinical data provide a broad foundation for developing paid AI solutions, while AI-powered solutions represented approximately 40% of bookings in Q2 fiscal 2026. Results such as recovering $3 million per 10,000 admissions and reducing refund-processing time by approximately 80% support the marketability of these solutions.
    • +Bookings that include a double-digit number of contracts each exceeding $1 million in annual value provide forward revenue visibility, while management raised fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted earnings guidance. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company delivered its ninth consecutive quarter of exceeding analysts' expectations for both revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Waystar's transaction-volume-based revenue slowed to reported growth of 3% in Q2 fiscal 2026, although growth adjusted for comparability factors was approximately 8%. Management believes healthcare utilization growth has returned to its historical range of 1%–2%, following levels of approximately 3%–4% in prior years, reducing the cyclical support received by the transaction-volume-dependent segment.
    • −Net revenue retention declined to 108% as the impact of rapid customer implementations and higher utilization that supported prior periods faded, although it remained within the historical range of 108%–110%. This indicates a slowdown from levels supported by temporary factors, despite gross retention remaining strong at 97%.
    • −The cycle for closing and implementing large deals typically ranges from 6 to 18 months, and management explained that multi-solution deployments may take longer. Waystar therefore expects the contribution from large bookings and platform benefits to become more apparent during fiscal 2027, creating a time gap between contract signing and revenue recognition.
    • −Waystar faces competition from point solutions, broader software platforms, integrated service providers, and new entrants, in addition to the potential expansion of electronic health record vendors into revenue cycle management. Management said on July 29, 2026, that it had not observed a material change in the competitive environment, but analysts' questions highlighted the possibility that large health systems may test record-vendor solutions or internal AI platforms.
    • −Waystar's total debt is approximately $1.5 billion, compared with $192 million in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026. Although net leverage declined to 2.5 times and remained below management's target of 3 times or less, indebtedness remains a significant obligation relative to available liquidity.
    • −Management expects an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of 42% for the full fiscal 2026, compared with 43% in the first half, due to continued investment in AI. Capitalized software development costs nearly doubled in the first half of fiscal 2026 compared with fiscal 2025, and management expects a portion of the spending associated with these investments to flow through the income statement in the second half.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $32.43, within a wide range of $27 to $39, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average target is approximately 22% below the top of the 52-week range of $41.47, while the highest target is close to that peak. The 52-week range of $17.26–$41.47 reflects substantial variation in the market's valuation, while the gap between analysts' lowest and highest targets suggests meaningful disagreement over how quickly bookings and AI investments will translate into sustainable growth and profitability.

    BuyAnalyst target: $32.43(+38.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Waystar generate its revenue?

    Waystar generates its revenue from software subscriptions and fees tied to transaction volume across the healthcare payment cycle. In Q2 fiscal 2026, subscription revenue was $176 million and represented 55% of the total, while volume-based revenue was $142 million. Subscriptions grew 34% year over year and 12% organically, compared with reported growth of 3% for volume-based revenue. The platform supports this revenue through more than 7.5 billion transactions annually and integrations with more than 500 electronic health record system vendors.

    What were Waystar's key results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    According to EDGAR, revenue was approximately $319.7 million, net income was $40.9 million, and earnings per share were $0.21 in Q2 fiscal 2026. Management reported year-over-year revenue growth of 18% and organic growth of 7%, or approximately 10% after adjusting for comparability factors. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $137 million, with a margin of 43%. This was the ninth consecutive quarter in which the company exceeded analysts' expectations for revenue and adjusted earnings.

    What role do Iodine and Waystar Altitude AI play in WAY's growth?

    Iodine integrates clinical data with Waystar's revenue capture engine to prevent claim denials and detect anomalies before claims are submitted. In Q2 fiscal 2026, bookings of Iodine solutions among existing Waystar customers exceeded $6 million, and more than 12 customers committed during the first half to the next-generation anomaly detection solution. Early users demonstrated recoveries of approximately $3 million per 10,000 admissions, while a health system with more than 3,000 beds and 9,000 physicians used additional Waystar Altitude AI capabilities to reduce denials and manual work. AI-powered solutions represented approximately 40% of the quarter's bookings.

    What is Waystar's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    Waystar expects revenue of between $1.276 billion and $1.294 billion in fiscal 2026, with a midpoint of $1.285 billion and expected year-over-year growth of 17%. The company raised the lower end of its revenue range by $2 million following the first-half results. It also raised adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to a range of $535–545 million, with a midpoint of $540 million. This represents an expected annual margin of approximately 42%, compared with the 43% margin recorded in Q2.

    What are the main risks that could affect Waystar's growth?

    Healthcare utilization growth returned to a range of 1%–2%, and reported growth in transaction-volume-based revenue declined to 3% in Q2 fiscal 2026. Large deals also typically take 6 to 18 months to implement, so management expects a larger contribution from current bookings to emerge during fiscal 2027. Waystar faces competition from electronic health record vendors, point solutions, and broader platforms, although management said on July 29, 2026, that it had not observed a change in the competitive environment. Additional risks include total debt of $1.5 billion and increasing AI investments that may reduce the annual adjusted earnings margin to 42%.

    What did Waystar announce about its financial leadership on July 29, 2026?

    Waystar announced that Steven Oreskovich would transition out of the chief financial officer role after eight years with the company. He will remain an adviser to Waystar during the months following the announcement to help ensure a smooth transition. The company also announced that Alpana Wegner would join during the week of July 29, 2026, as its next chief financial officer, drawing on her experience leading finance at public software companies. Management did not link this change to any adjustment in fiscal 2026 guidance; instead, it raised the adjusted earnings range and the lower end of revenue guidance.