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Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V.
VTMX

VTMX Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V.

Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V. · NYSE
Market Closed
33.58
▲ ⁦+0.06%⁩ (+0.02)
Market Cap$2.8B
Beta0.27
52w Low52w High
25.5937.41
Last Week
⁦-2.67%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.90%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.75%⁩
Last Year
⁦+22.51%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall64
Balanced — near the middle of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 64% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
63
7.8x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
85
6.8%▼7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
70
7.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
65
2.2x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
14
0.23%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
59
20.3%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
23
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$34
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$42
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$41–$43⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$37
⁦+11%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$37–$42⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$42.00
⁦+25.1%⁩
Current Price $33.58·Median $42.00
Low
$41.00
High
$43.00
Current price
$33.58
Average target
$42.00
Street summary

Vesta (VTMX) stock price target analysis

Bullish tilt

Vesta stock shows complete stability in analyst expectations over the past thirty days, with the consensus price target remaining at $42, indicating a potential growth gap of approximately 24% compared to the current price of $33.95. The narrowing range between the high ($43) and low ($41) price targets reflects a high level of consensus among the three analysts covering the stock, with no recent upward or downward revisions.

As of 2026-08-16
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.25
Hold
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
6%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
2
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.60 → 3.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-06-18
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-04
    Barclays
    Overweight· $41.00
  • = Reiterate2025-12-17
    UBS
    Buy· $39.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    7.80x
    5.03x40.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    16.90x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.14x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.8%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.8%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    109.8%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    90.6%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    7.3%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.21x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.2%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    3.6%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V. is an industrial real estate company in Mexico that generates its income primarily by leasing high-quality buildings to manufacturing, logistics, and e-commerce companies. Its portfolio focuses on locations with infrastructure, power, and connectivity to industrial corridors, and serves sectors including electronics, AI-related infrastructure, aerospace, automotive, medical devices, and logistics. Its Vesta 2030 strategy also relies on developing properties on a secured land bank rather than making acquisitions the primary growth driver.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, total revenue increased 16.7% year over year to $78.5 million, and rental revenue excluding energy reached $76 million, up 16.2%, meaning energy-related activities represented approximately $2.5 million of the total. Dollar-denominated contracts accounted for 89.3% of rental revenue, compared with 89.4% in the corresponding period. Adjusted net operating income increased 15.6% to $71.5 million at a 94% margin, and adjusted EBITDA increased 15.7% to $63.6 million at an 83.7% margin, while FFO excluding current tax grew 6.8% to $46.1 million.

The annual statements showed continued expansion of the revenue base; revenue increased from $252.3 million in fiscal 2024 to $283.2 million in fiscal 2025, or approximately 12.2%, and net income rose from $223.3 million to $241.9 million. In Q2 fiscal 2026, income before tax reached $98.8 million compared with $54.5 million in the corresponding period, driven partly by higher gains from the revaluation of investment properties and by interest income and other revenue, not solely by rental performance. Portfolio occupancy was 91.7%, stabilized occupancy was 93.7%, and same-store occupancy was 95%, reflecting improved conversion of leasing activity into actual revenue.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Leasing activity in Q2 fiscal 2026 reached approximately 2.4 million square feet, including nearly 900 thousand square feet of new leases with new tenants and 1.5 million square feet of renewals. These results increased portfolio occupancy by 200 basis points from 89.7% in Q1 fiscal 2026 to 91.7%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The weighted average renewal lease term was approximately seven years, and renewals and re-leasing recorded a positive weighted spread of 10.3% during the twelve months ended Q2 fiscal 2026. Management believes the limited supply of high-quality buildings equipped with power and infrastructure may support continued pricing strength during fiscal 2026 and beyond.
  • Vesta benefits from demand related to data centers and AI, having signed leases for two of the three buildings in the Apodaca project in Monterrey with tenants that provide data center-related equipment. It also identified demand for servers, cooling, cables, and electrical panels in Guadalajara, Ciudad Juárez, Tijuana, and Monterrey, alongside demand from aerospace, electronics, medical devices, and logistics.
  • At the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, Vesta had approximately 1.8 million square feet under construction with an estimated investment of $162 million, distributed across Tijuana, Ciudad Juárez, Guadalajara, Querétaro, and Mexico City. A land bank of approximately 23 million square feet supports phased expansion, with infrastructure investments planned for the second half of fiscal 2026 in Monterrey, Guadalajara, and Ciudad Juárez.
  • The follow-on equity offering strengthened liquidity with gross proceeds of approximately $270 million, and the company ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with $404 million in cash and equivalents. Net debt to EBITDA was approximately 3.1 times and the loan-to-value ratio was 24.3%, giving Vesta the capacity to fund the Route 2030 development pipeline while retaining financial flexibility.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The improvement in occupancy to 91.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026, alongside 2.4 million square feet of leasing activity and 16.2% rental revenue growth, provides tangible evidence of converting industrial demand into rental cash flows.
    • +Renewed leases with an average term of approximately seven years, same-store occupancy of 95%, and a weighted re-leasing spread of 10.3% over twelve months give the company a combination of revenue visibility and pricing power.
    • +The land bank of approximately 23 million square feet, together with 1.8 million square feet under construction, provides an organic growth path in markets such as Monterrey, Guadalajara, Ciudad Juárez, Tijuana, and Mexico City without relying on the acquisition of existing portfolios.
    • +Total revenue and net income increased between fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2025 to $283.2 million and $241.9 million, respectively, after which adjusted EBITDA and FFO continued to grow in Q2 fiscal 2026 by 15.7% and 6.8%, demonstrating continued operating expansion across multiple periods.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Future trade rules under USMCA remain unclear, according to management on the Q2 fiscal 2026 call, with the possibility of tariffs being imposed on various sectors; any delay in industrial tenants' decisions could weaken the pace of new leases and development, even if the agreement remains in force.
    • −Weakness in San Luis Potosí represents a specific risk within the portfolio, as occupancy in this market was 65% after two years that management described as slow. Although the demand pipeline improved in Q2 fiscal 2026 and rents remained stable, the company did not provide numerical evidence of a complete recovery.
    • −Operating profitability margins declined in Q2 fiscal 2026 despite revenue growth; the adjusted net operating income margin decreased 51 basis points to 94%, and the adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 41 basis points to 83.7% due to higher property operating costs and administrative expenses.
    • −FFO grew only 6.8% to $46.1 million, a slower pace than the 16.7% revenue growth and 15.7% adjusted EBITDA growth. Part of this divergence is attributable to higher interest expense as total debt increased to $1.2 billion, making financing costs a factor that may limit the conversion of operating growth into comparable FFO growth.
    • −The development plan entails leasing and execution risks, as 1.8 million square feet was under construction with an estimated investment of $162 million, while the company typically assumes a waiting period that may range from zero to 12 months before generating income. Route 2030 also requires funding from debt and retained earnings alongside the proceeds from the equity issuance, increasing return sensitivity to leasing speed and construction costs.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 26, 2026 recorded net selling of $4.8 million, with 37 sales and no purchases recorded. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, but it provides no support from insider purchases in the face of execution and trade risks.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $42 and a narrow range between $41 and $43; the average is approximately 12.3% above the 52-week range high of $37.41, while the annual range extends from $25.59 to $37.41. The target reflects clear confidence in rental and development growth, but the narrow spread among analyst targets does not eliminate the risks of margin contraction, higher interest expense, and USMCA uncertainty.

    BuyAnalyst target: $42(+25.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How did VTMX achieve growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Total revenue increased 16.7% year over year to $78.5 million, while rental revenue excluding energy reached $76 million, up 16.2%. The company attributed this to rental income from new leases and inflation adjustments across the portfolio. Leasing activity of 2.4 million square feet also increased portfolio occupancy from 89.7% in Q1 fiscal 2026 to 91.7%.

    How important is demand related to AI and data centers to Vesta's business?

    Management said on July 23, 2026 that companies related to servers, cooling, cables, and electrical equipment for data centers are driving demand in Guadalajara, Ciudad Juárez, Tijuana, and Monterrey. At the Apodaca project in Monterrey, Vesta signed leases for two of the three buildings with tenants that provide data center- and AI-related equipment. This demand complements aerospace, electronics, medical devices, e-commerce, and logistics, broadening the tenant-sector base.

    Does Vesta have sufficient resources to fund Route 2030?

    The company ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with $404 million in cash and equivalents after a follow-on equity offering that generated gross proceeds of approximately $270 million. Total debt was $1.2 billion, net debt to EBITDA was approximately 3.1 times, and the loan-to-value ratio was 24.3%. Vesta plans to use the equity proceeds alongside debt and retained earnings to fund projects in Monterrey, Guadalajara, Mexico City, Tijuana, and Ciudad Juárez.

    What are the main indicators of VTMX's portfolio quality in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Portfolio occupancy was 91.7%, stabilized occupancy was 93.7%, and same-store occupancy was 95%. Renewals reached 1.5 million square feet with a weighted average term of approximately seven years, and renewals and re-leasing recorded a weighted spread of 10.3% over twelve months. Occupancy was also above 80% in Monterrey and 100% in both Mexico City and the Central Southeast region.

    What are the main financial risks to monitor in VTMX?

    The adjusted net operating income margin decreased 51 basis points to 94% in Q2 fiscal 2026 due to higher property operating costs relative to rental revenue. The adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 41 basis points to 83.7%, while FFO grew only 6.8% compared with revenue growth of 16.7%. Interest expense also increased as debt reached $1.2 billion, while the 1.8 million-square-foot construction pipeline requires an estimated investment of $162 million.

    What do Vesta's annual trends through fiscal 2025 look like?

    Revenue increased from $160.8 million in fiscal 2021 to $283.2 million in fiscal 2025. Between fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2025, revenue increased from $252.3 million to $283.2 million, and net income rose from $223.3 million to $241.9 million. However, fiscal 2025 net income remained below the $316.6 million recorded in fiscal 2023, illustrating that net income does not always move in parallel with rental growth because of items such as property revaluations.