EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
VSE Corporation
VSEC

VSEC VSE Corporation

VSE Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Open
180.14
▲ ⁦+3.04%⁩ (+5.31)
Market Cap$5.1B
Beta1.24
52w Low52w High
154.67247.85
Last Week
⁦-3.98%⁩
Last Month
⁦-21.82%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.23%⁩
Last Year
⁦+9.36%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall29
Weak — below market medianSucker StockF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 29% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
17
64.8x▼17.6xBottom tier
▸
Growth
96
41.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
23
3.6%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
63
5.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
18
0.22%▼2.15%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
43
45.4%▲2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
38
6▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$180
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$270
⁦+50%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$230–$290⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$265.00
⁦+47.1%⁩
Current Price $180.14·Median $270.00
Low
$230.00
High
$290.00
Current price
$180.14
Average target
$265.00
Street summary

Stable Targets with Limited Divergence in the Outlook

The consensus price target has not changed over the past day or seven days, remaining at 265 with five analysts. Over the past 30 days, the consensus rose slightly from 264 to 265, an increase of just 0.38%, with no change in the number of analysts. The current range is between 230 and 290, while the median is 270, reflecting notable dispersion among estimates despite the stability of the consensus.

As of 2026-09-15
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
90%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
33%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
1
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.11 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-14
    Guggenheim
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    64.80x
    5.62x44.96x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    36.59x
    4.56x36.47x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    33.32x
    3.41x27.30x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    -0.0%
    -30.4%11.6%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    41.6%
    -10.9%44.4%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    143.9%
    -133.2%132.4%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    14.0%
    8.6%54.3%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    3.6%
    -25.7%19.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.45x
    0.54x4.33x
    High debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.2%
    0.1%4.7%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.4%
    6.1%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.88
    -5.467.76
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

VSE Corporation operates through a global aviation aftermarket services platform that combines parts distribution with maintenance, repair, and overhaul services. The company serves the commercial aviation, business aviation, general aviation, rotorcraft, original equipment manufacturer, and defense markets, with a strategy centered on partnerships with original equipment manufacturers and the expansion of engine-related content and proprietary solutions; according to management, about 50% of the business is related to engines, while business aviation and general aviation account for approximately half of the business mix.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, VSE generated revenue of $449.1 million, up 65% year over year, GAAP net income of $28.5 million, and earnings per share of $0.91. On an adjusted basis, net income was $55 million and diluted earnings per share were $1.75, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 98% to a record $86 million, and its margin expanded by approximately 320 basis points to 19.2%.

Growth in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 came from a combination of organic growth and acquisitions; organic growth was approximately 14%, while the closing of the PAG acquisition on May 5, 2026, and NorthStar on April 1, 2026, helped expand the platform. Maintenance, repair, and overhaul revenue increased 149% due to new capabilities and capacity, engine-related content, market-share gains, and acquisitions, while distribution revenue grew 17%, supported by new contracts, product-line expansion, and strong demand in the commercial aviation engine market.

What's Driving the Stock

  • VSE raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue growth outlook to a range of 61%–64% from 57%–61%, and management attributed the increase primarily to growing confidence in the core business amid continued double-digit organic growth and visibility into demand and customer programs.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The company raised its fiscal year 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin outlook to 18.7%–19.0% from 18.1%–18.5%, after reporting a record margin of 19.2% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026; management said the strength of the core business, operating leverage, and opportunities to bring repair work in-house were key drivers of the increase.
  • The PAG acquisition, valued at approximately $2 billion in cash and stock, added broader geographic reach, proprietary content, and repair capabilities across several aviation markets, and VSE identified approximately $15 million in targeted annual operating synergies. Management expects most of these synergies to be realized in fiscal year 2027, making the pace of integration an important factor in the subsequent earnings trajectory.
  • Engine-related initiatives are providing tangible support for growth; the auxiliary power unit program with Pratt & Whitney Canada accelerated beyond the company’s expectations in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, while VSE received seven CFM56 engines and began processing them through its internal repair and teardown operations.
  • The company is expanding maintenance, repair, and overhaul capacity to meet engine-related demand; it is building a new facility for one of its engine shops that is expected to increase its capacity by approximately 50%, while also expanding two other facilities. Demand is underpinned by increased fleet utilization, the aging installed aircraft base, and persistent constraints on the availability of new aircraft and engines.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The core business achieved organic growth of approximately 14% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, excluding acquisition contributions, supported by market-share gains, new contracts, an increased share of customers’ spending, and expanded repair capabilities.
    • +Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 98%, outpacing revenue growth of 65%, and its margin reached 19.2% compared with a long-term target above 20%; this indicates strong operating leverage and a greater mix of high-margin products and repair activities.
    • +The PAG and NorthStar expansion combines distribution, maintenance, repair, and overhaul, logistics services, and engine component support, with identified opportunities to bring work in-house, align sales channels, and expand proprietary content. PAG’s targeted annual synergies of approximately $15 million remain an additional opportunity because management said most of their impact has not yet been reflected in fiscal year 2026 results.
    • +Free cash flow improved to approximately $19 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, representing conversion of approximately 34% of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization after excluding approximately $10 million of PAG transaction-related cash expenses. The company expects further improvement in the second half of fiscal year 2026 as working capital intensity declines and earnings grow.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Integrating PAG and NorthStar and aligning sales channels, systems, and repair capacity involve execution risks after completing two strategic transactions in one quarter, particularly because PAG was the largest transaction in VSE’s history at approximately $2 billion. Management also expects most of PAG’s targeted annual synergies of approximately $15 million to be realized in fiscal year 2027, leaving the timing and actual amount of the synergies dependent on execution.
    • −Total debt was $967 million and net debt was approximately $872 million at the end of quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, with an adjusted net leverage ratio of 2.4 times. The company expects net interest expense of between $36 million and $39 million in fiscal year 2026, making deleveraging dependent on the anticipated improvement in free cash flow and working capital.
    • −Growth in the distribution business requires substantial investment in inventory; management explained that inventory intensity in distribution is approximately twice that of maintenance, repair, and overhaul. With supply constraints continuing and bottlenecks shifting across parts of the market, working capital may continue to pressure cash conversion even if end demand remains strong.
    • −Profitability may fluctuate between quarters due to the timing of business and the product and repair mix, as management cautioned after the adjusted margin reached a record 19.2% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. The projected fiscal year 2026 margin of 18.7%–19.0% is also below the quarterly result, so the record quarterly level should not automatically be assumed to persist.
    • −Management describes the acquisition market in the second half of fiscal year 2026 as highly active, with rising multiples and intensifying competition for deals. Any additional highly valued transaction during the PAG integration period could increase capital allocation risks and operational complexity, despite management’s assertion that it will limit itself to targets the organization can absorb.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $264 with a “Buy” consensus, and the target range is $230 to $290; the average is approximately 6.5% above the 52-week high of $247.85, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 17%. Conversely, the $60 difference between the lowest and highest targets reflects meaningful disagreement over the value of organic growth, PAG synergies, and the deleveraging trajectory, while the wide 52-week range of $154.67–$247.85 remains an indicator of valuation sensitivity to integration and execution risks.

    BuyAnalyst target: $264(+46.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove VSE’s growth in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue increased 65% to $449.1 million, driven by acquisitions and organic growth of approximately 14%. Maintenance, repair, and overhaul revenue grew 149% due to expanded repair capabilities, engine-related content, market-share gains, and contributions from PAG and Aero 3. Distribution revenue also increased 17%, supported by new contracts, product-line expansion, and strong demand in the commercial aviation engine market.

    How important is the PAG acquisition to VSE’s results?

    VSE closed the PAG acquisition on May 5, 2026, for approximately $2 billion in cash and stock, making it the largest transaction in the company’s history. PAG added a global presence, proprietary content, and repair capabilities across the commercial aviation, business aviation, general aviation, rotorcraft, original equipment manufacturer, and defense markets. The company is targeting approximately $15 million in annual operating synergies, but management said most of their realization will appear in fiscal year 2027.

    What does VSE’s profitability look like after the acquisitions?

    Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $86 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, up 98% year over year. Its margin reached a record 19.2%, an increase of approximately 320 basis points, supported by the higher-margin product and repair mix, operating leverage, and PAG contributions. The company raised its fiscal year 2026 margin outlook to 18.7%–19.0%, while maintaining its long-term target above 20%.

    Can VSE reduce debt after the PAG transaction?

    Total debt was $967 million and net debt was approximately $872 million at the end of quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, while the adjusted net leverage ratio was 2.4 times. The company generated free cash flow of approximately $19 million despite incurring approximately $10 million in PAG transaction-related cash expenses. Management expects cash generation to improve in the second half of fiscal year 2026 as earnings grow, transaction expenses decline, and working capital efficiency improves, but it also expects net interest expense of between $36 million and $39 million for the full year.

    What role does the engine business play in VSE’s growth?

    Approximately 50% of VSE’s business is related to engines, and management said engine activities are growing faster than component activities. The company received seven CFM56 engines in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 and began repairing and tearing them down internally, while the auxiliary power unit program with Pratt & Whitney Canada accelerated beyond expectations. VSE is also building a new facility expected to increase the capacity of one of its engine shops by approximately 50%, alongside the expansion of two other facilities.

    What are the main risks to monitor in VSEC?

    The main risks are integrating PAG and NorthStar and achieving PAG’s targeted annual synergies of approximately $15 million without disrupting core growth. Net debt of approximately $872 million and expected interest expense of between $36 million and $39 million in fiscal year 2026 also create sensitivity to the free cash flow trajectory. The distribution business also depends on substantial inventory in a supply environment that continues to experience shifting bottlenecks, while the quarterly margin may fluctuate based on the product and repair mix and the timing of business.

    −
    Insiders recorded nine sales and no purchases, with net sales of $5.5 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 17, 2026. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, but it provides no support from insider buying activity during a period in which the stock traded within a wide 52-week range of $154.67 to $247.85.