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Vodafone Group Public Limited Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall30
Weak — below market medianTurnaroundF 5/8Better than 30% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
95
—17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
30
8.8%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
30
—4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
52
2.6x2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
13
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
93
33.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
87
33Top tier
VOD

VOD Vodafone Group Public Limited Company

Vodafone Group Public Limited Company · NASDAQ
Market Closed
17.40
▲ ⁦+0.40%⁩ (+0.07)
Market Cap$40.1B
Beta0.33
52w Low52w High
11.1217.50
Last Week
⁦+8.28%⁩
Last Month
⁦+9.43%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+15.61%⁩
Last Year
⁦+46.71%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$17
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$21
⁦+20%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$21–$21⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$20.93
⁦+20.3%⁩
Current Price $17.40·Median $20.93
Low
$20.93
High
$20.93
Street summary

Sharp Increase in Target with Limited Valuation Divergence

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose from 11.58 to 20.93 over the last 30 days, an increase of 80.74%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days and 1 day. At a current price of 17.4, the current target indicates approximately 20.3% upside. However, the target range is entirely 20.93, meaning no dispersion among the available targets, with the result relying on only 3 analysts.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+80.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.25
Sell
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
25%
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.25 → 2.25
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-04
    Goldman Sachs
    SellBuy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-10
    New Street
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-06-11
    Barclays
    OverweightPositive
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.89x
    2.57x20.60x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    24.7%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.8%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -0.4%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    31.5%
    11.3%77.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.60x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-12 data

Company Overview

Vodafone Group Public Limited Company is a telecommunications group operating through a portfolio distributed across Europe, Africa, and Turkey, generating revenue from mobile, fixed broadband, television, and digital enterprise solutions. Enterprise business drivers include cloud, security, and artificial intelligence services, while the group is expanding its model in Africa beyond connectivity through the continent’s largest financial technology platform, with more than 100 million users and millions of merchants. Management describes Africa as the group’s second-largest division, while European growth opportunities depend on improvement in Germany, the integration of VodafoneThree in the United Kingdom, and continued growth in enterprise services.

In fiscal year 2026, revenue was $37.4 billion versus $36.7 billion in fiscal year 2025, and gross profit was $12.5 billion versus $12.3 billion, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 33.4%. However, the net result shifted from a profit of $1.5 billion in fiscal year 2025 to a loss of $3.7 billion in fiscal year 2026, with a loss per share of $0.1594 and a calculated net margin of approximately negative 9.9%. In Q4 of fiscal year 2026, group service revenue grew 5.1%, with growth in Europe and Africa, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization after leases rose organically by 4.5% for fiscal year 2026, at the upper end of management guidance.

The results showed clear regional divergence: Africa achieved its highest service revenue growth in nearly two decades, and Germany recorded growth in enterprise services and consumer broadband despite continued weakness in mobile and television, while United Kingdom service revenue in Q4 of fiscal year 2026 was affected by lower enterprise project activity and the loss of revenue associated with a large customer. By contrast, the United Kingdom recorded the fastest year of home broadband customer growth in the business’s history, customer churn declined across brands, and management expects the British market to return to growth in fiscal year 2027.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Vodafone achieved 5.1% growth in service revenue during Q4 of fiscal year 2026, alongside 4.5% organic growth in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization after leases during fiscal year 2026, placing performance at the upper end of management expectations.
  • The group generated adjusted free cash flow of €2.6 billion in fiscal year 2026 and increased fiscal year 2026 dividends by 2.5% after announcing a progressive dividend policy. It also set a medium-term ambition to achieve double-digit organic growth in adjusted free cash flow.
  • VodafoneThree in the United Kingdom is targeting cost and capital expenditure savings of £700 million by 2030, with the first material savings scheduled to begin in fiscal year 2027. Revenue opportunities are supported by a base of 28 million mobile customers, the availability of fixed wireless access to an additional 3.7 million homes, and cross-selling opportunities across the unified brand and store portfolio.
  • The African financial technology platform surpassed 100 million users alongside millions of merchants, while the Africa division recorded its highest service revenue growth in nearly two decades during fiscal year 2026. Management expects continued strong growth in Africa and Turkey, supported by increases in population and customers, smartphone penetration, and data usage.
  • The enterprise business in Germany returned to growth during Q4 of fiscal year 2026, driven by digital services, including cloud, security, and artificial intelligence, and Vodafone was selected as a partner in Germany for AWS Europe Cloud. In consumer broadband, average revenue from new customers rose 30% year over year, alongside mobile and cable customer satisfaction reaching the highest levels recorded by the company.
  • Vodafone uses artificial intelligence in network operations, customer service, and procurement, with products including TOBi and SuperTOBi for handling calls and complex customer journeys. Management says these applications are delivering tangible savings and supporting a structural change in the cost base, benefiting from a multi-vendor architecture and a unified data repository for European markets.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The group combines 5.1% service revenue growth in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, 4.5% organic growth in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization after leases, and adjusted free cash flow of €2.6 billion, providing a quantitative foundation for its medium-term ambition of double-digit organic cash flow growth.
  • +The integration of VodafoneThree could improve the economics of the British market through targeted savings of £700 million by 2030, alongside cross-selling to 28 million mobile customers and expanding fixed wireless access to an additional 3.7 million homes. Management also expects the United Kingdom to grow in fiscal year 2027 following the fastest year on record for home broadband customer growth.
  • +The Africa division provides a growth driver distinct from mature European telecommunications markets, having recorded its highest service revenue growth in nearly two decades and operating a financial technology platform with more than 100 million users. Population growth, smartphone penetration, and data usage add expansion pathways in connectivity and digital financial services.
  • +Some operating indicators in Germany are improving despite expected earnings weakness, as the enterprise business returned to growth and average revenue from new broadband customers rose 30% year over year. If improvements in customer satisfaction, loyalty, and digital services growth continue, they could support greater stability in Europe’s largest telecommunications market after fiscal year 2027.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $10.54 and a range between $9.50 and $11.58, but the average target is below the lower end of the 52-week range of $11.12, while the highest target also remains far from the annual peak of $16.61. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available following the fiscal year 2026 loss of $3.7 billion, so the valuation rationale is more closely tied to achieving growth in adjusted free cash flow and VodafoneThree savings, weighed against continued weakness in Germany and execution and leverage risks.

BuyAnalyst target: $10.54(-39.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were Vodafone’s most important results in fiscal year 2026?

Vodafone’s revenue in fiscal year 2026 was approximately $37.4 billion, versus $36.7 billion in fiscal year 2025. Gross profit was $12.5 billion, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 33.4%. By contrast, the company recorded a net loss of $3.7 billion and a loss per share of $0.1594, after achieving a net profit of $1.5 billion in fiscal year 2025. It also achieved 4.5% organic growth in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization after leases and generated €2.6 billion in adjusted free cash flow.

Why does Germany represent an important risk for VOD stock?

Retail service revenue in Germany remained negative at the end of fiscal year 2026, and management expects earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to continue declining in fiscal year 2027. The pressure stems from weakness in the mobile market, the flow-through of previous repricing effects across the customer base, and the continued burden from television. On the positive side, the enterprise business returned to growth and consumer broadband improved, with average revenue from new customers rising 30% year over year. Customer satisfaction indicators also reached their highest recorded levels in mobile and cable, but management does not expect these improvements to prevent a decline in Germany’s earnings in fiscal year 2027.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Germany represents the largest source of volatility in the European outlook; retail service revenue remains negative, the mobile market has remained competitive without material change, and management expects earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to continue declining in fiscal year 2027. Pressure from television and repricing of the mobile customer base also persists, despite improvements in enterprise services and broadband.
  • −Vodafone shifted from a net profit of $1.5 billion in fiscal year 2025 to a net loss of $3.7 billion in fiscal year 2026, with a loss per share of $0.1594. The calculated net loss margin of approximately 9.9% and the unavailable price-to-earnings ratio make valuing the stock on the basis of accounting earnings more difficult, even with growth in adjusted cash flow.
  • −The integration of VodafoneThree requires precise operational and capital execution; British capital expenditure will peak in fiscal year 2027, while the market remains highly price-competitive. The planned full acquisition of VodafoneThree for £4.2 billion also temporarily raised leverage above the lower half of the group’s range, with a target to return to it by the end of fiscal year 2027.
  • −Management expects the cash contribution from the 1&1 contract to decline as 1&1 network coverage expands, targeting 50% population coverage over the medium term. Medium-term cash flow guidance does not assume a single specific scenario for the migration of the contribution, leaving a range of potential outcomes for the German business.
  • −Service revenue in the United Kingdom declined during Q4 of fiscal year 2026 due to weak enterprise project activity, the loss of revenue associated with a large customer, and the continued impact of terminating managed service contracts. Despite expectations for United Kingdom growth in fiscal year 2027, Vodafone’s plan assumes continued intense price competition, including offers from low-cost virtual operators.
  • −The range of analyst targets signals a cautious valuation despite the Buy consensus; the average target of $10.54 is below the lower end of the 52-week range of $11.12, and even the highest target of $11.58 exceeds that level only by a limited margin, while the highest price in the annual range is $16.61. This divergence indicates that an improvement in the stock requires results exceeding the assumptions embedded in published targets, rather than merely meeting the current consensus.
What could VodafoneThree add to Vodafone’s growth?

Following the merger, the group serves 28 million mobile customers in the United Kingdom, expanding opportunities to reduce churn and cross-sell broadband and other services. Vodafone is targeting cost and capital expenditure savings of £700 million by 2030, with the first material savings beginning in fiscal year 2027. It also announced the availability of fixed wireless access to an additional 3.7 million homes after recording its fastest year of home broadband customer growth. However, British capital expenditure will peak in fiscal year 2027, and the plan assumes price competition will remain intense.

What is the importance of Vodafone’s business in Africa?

Management described Africa as the group’s second-largest division, and it achieved its highest service revenue growth in nearly two decades in fiscal year 2026. Through its African presence, Vodafone operates the continent’s largest financial technology platform, with more than 100 million users and millions of merchants. Management sees structural opportunities in population and customer growth, rising smartphone penetration, and increased data usage. It also expects continued strong growth in Africa within fiscal year 2027 guidance, while continuing to invest in next-generation networks in line with demand growth.

How does Vodafone use artificial intelligence in its business?

Vodafone uses artificial intelligence in network operations to prevent outages and accelerate response times, and in customer service through TOBi and SuperTOBi for high-volume calls and more complex journeys. It also applies it in procurement and group operations to achieve operating savings and capital discipline, and management says tangible savings had already been achieved by May 12, 2026. The company relies on a multi-vendor architecture that uses different language models, alongside a unified data repository for European markets. By contrast, management acknowledged that artificial intelligence increases fraud and cybersecurity risks, and it is therefore expanding suspicious-call alerts and AI-powered defense tools.

What do analyst targets and the valuation of VOD stock look like?

The analyst consensus is Buy, and the average price target is $10.54, with the lowest target at $9.50 and the highest target at $11.58. The average target is below the lower end of the 52-week range of $11.12, while the highest target remains well below the annual peak of $16.61. The price-to-earnings ratio does not provide a useful anchor after the company recorded a net loss of $3.7 billion in fiscal year 2026. Therefore, the valuation case depends more heavily on executing the double-digit organic free cash flow growth target and achieving VodafoneThree savings, weighed against risks related to Germany, leverage, and integration.