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Home
Stocks
Viper Energy, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketF 3/8Better than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
58
12.3x▲17.6xAround median
▸
Growth
79
137.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
49
17.6%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
71
0.8x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
73
5.44%▲2.15%Top tier
▸
Momentum
50
3.6%▲2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
82
10▲3Top tier
VNOM

VNOM Viper Energy, Inc.

Viper Energy, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
41.72
▼ ⁦-1.30%⁩ (-0.55)
Market Cap$15.0B
Beta0.25
52w Low52w High
35.1051.13
Last Week
⁦-6.69%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.35%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-11.01%⁩
Last Year
⁦+5.49%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$42
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$57
⁦+37%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$45–$61⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$54.56
⁦+30.8%⁩
Current Price $41.72·Median $57.00
Low
$45.00
High
$61.00
Current price
$41.72
Average target
$54.56
Street summary

Target prices steady amid a slight decline in consensus

The consensus target price remained stable at $54.56 over the last 7 days, with the number of analysts remaining at 7. Over 30 days, consensus declined from $55.67 to $54.56, a decrease of $1.11 or 1.99%, with no change in the number of analysts. The current range is between $45 and $61, while the median is $57, reflecting clear dispersion among estimates compared with the current price of $44.84.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.26
Buy
Analyst coverage
19
Buy conviction
100%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
38%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time19 analysts rating
5
14
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.20 → 4.26
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Seaport Global
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Roth MKM
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.32x
    3.50x28.02x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    17.21x
    3.29x26.33x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.81x
    2.11x16.89x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -2.6%
    -20.4%16.4%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    137.2%
    -19.6%63.2%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -0.9%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    44.2%
    7.8%72.1%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    17.6%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.83x
    0.40x3.23x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    5.4%
    0.4%10.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    67.1%
    11.9%109.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Viper Energy is a company specializing in the ownership of mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin, generating revenue from net revenue interests in oil and gas production conducted by Diamondback and independent operators, without incurring required operating capital expenditures. Cash flow growth depends on increasing wells and production on its acreage, acquiring additional mineral interests, and repurchasing shares; a total of 691 horizontal wells commenced production during fiscal year 2026 Q2, with an average 3% net revenue interest attributable to Viper.

The latest available digital EDGAR filings cover fiscal year 2026 Q1 and reported revenue of $511 million, net income of $97 million, and earnings per share of $0.53. By comparison, fiscal year 2025 revenue was approximately $1.4 billion, with a net loss of $68 million and negative earnings per share of $0.48; the available data does not include gross margin figures or a segment revenue breakdown.

In fiscal year 2026 Q2, earnings exceeded expectations, supported by higher production volumes and realized oil prices, and management raised its fiscal year 2026 operating guidance. The company also returned 75% of cash available for distribution to shareholders, including $132 million in share repurchases and combined base and variable distributions of $0.67 per share, before adopting a new framework beginning in fiscal year 2026 Q3 that increases the annual base distribution by 32% to $2 per Class A share.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The midpoint of fiscal year 2026 Q3 guidance indicates average production growth of approximately 4.5% compared with fiscal year 2026 Q2, and calculated annualized growth of approximately 15% in oil production per share compared with fiscal year 2025 Q4.
  • Fiscal year 2026 Q3 guidance includes a contribution of 2,000 barrels per day from Riverbend assets, in addition to approximately 1,000 barrels per day of organic sequential growth, combining the impact of the acquisition with the development of existing assets.
  • Beginning in fiscal year 2026 Q3, the board approved a 32% increase in the base distribution to $2 annually per Class A share; management said this distribution represents approximately 50% of free cash flow at a WTI price of $70 per barrel and, according to its estimates, is protected down to $30 per barrel.
  • Viper spent approximately $132 million on share repurchases during fiscal year 2026 Q2, and management stated that it subsequently continued purchasing at a similar daily pace, making the reduction in share count a direct pillar of production and cash flow growth per share.
  • Deep-rights leasing bonuses in the Woodford formation in the Delaware area totaled approximately $25 million to $30 million between the first part of 2025 and the first half of 2026, representing nearly one-third of leasing efforts during that period; these agreements typically include a three-year development term.
  • Viper completed several acquisitions through August 5, 2026, most notably Riverbend, and also executed approximately $103 million of acquisition transactions during fiscal year 2026 Q2 and referenced an asset transfer transaction from Diamondback valued at approximately $160 million.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Viper's model combines production growth with no required operating capital expenditures, and activity from 691 new horizontal wells during fiscal year 2026 Q2 supported guidance for approximately 4.5% production growth in the following quarter.
  • +The increase in the annual base distribution to $2 per Class A share provides a clearer cash yield foundation, while remaining liquidity can be used for share repurchases, debt reduction, or acquisitions without relying on share issuance for every transaction.
  • +The growth path combines approximately 1,000 barrels per day of sequential organic growth with 2,000 barrels per day from Riverbend within fiscal year 2026 Q3 guidance, while management estimated high-single-digit organic growth in Permian production during fiscal year 2026.
  • +The company benefits from its alignment with Diamondback; over more than five years, Viper has acquired exposure to approximately 75% to 80% of Diamondback's total well activity, with an average net revenue interest of approximately 6%, reaching as high as 25% in some wells.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst target is $55.75, versus a target range of $46 to $61 and a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average is above the 52-week range high of $51.13, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 19%. However, the absence of a usable price-to-earnings ratio, together with the shift from an annual loss of $68 million in fiscal year 2025 to a quarterly profit of $97 million in fiscal year 2026 Q1, means the valuation depends heavily on the sustainability of production and cash flow growth and on the trajectory of oil prices.

BuyAnalyst target: $55.75(+33.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How does Viper Energy generate its revenue?

Viper Energy owns mineral and royalty interests that entitle it to a share of revenue from oil and gas production conducted by operators such as Diamondback and other parties in the Permian Basin. This model does not require Viper to incur operating capital expenditures, so a large portion of revenue converts into cash flow available for distribution or investment. During fiscal year 2026 Q2, a total of 691 horizontal wells commenced production on its acreage, and its average owned net revenue interest was 3%.

What drove VNOM's performance in fiscal year 2026 Q2?

Fiscal year 2026 Q2 earnings exceeded analyst expectations due to increased production volumes and higher realized oil prices. This performance led management to raise its fiscal year 2026 operating guidance, while the midpoint of fiscal year 2026 Q3 guidance indicates production growth of approximately 4.5% sequentially. This guidance includes 2,000 barrels per day from Riverbend and approximately 1,000 barrels per day of organic growth.

How did Viper Energy's distribution policy change in fiscal year 2026?

In fiscal year 2026 Q2, Viper returned 75% of cash available for distribution, including $132 million in share repurchases and base and variable distributions totaling $0.67 per share. Beginning in fiscal year 2026 Q3, the board increased the base distribution by 32% to $2 annually per Class A share. At the same time, the company eliminated its quarterly commitment to return at least 75% of available cash, giving itself greater flexibility among share repurchases, debt reduction, and acquisitions.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Viper's thesis is concentrated in mineral and royalty interests within the Permian Basin and depends significantly on the activity of Diamondback and other operators; management linked continued growth beyond fiscal year 2027 to Diamondback's development of the Barnett formation and continued basin growth, making slower drilling or well conversions to production a direct risk to volumes.
  • −Cash flow and distributions remain exposed to oil prices despite the absence of required operating capital expenditures; management acknowledged that oil prices in fiscal year 2026 Q2 were above the mid-cycle level and uses put options at $50 per barrel to protect against a sharp decline, while estimating that the base distribution is protected down to $30 per barrel.
  • −Beginning in fiscal year 2026 Q3, the company eliminated its previous quarterly commitment to return at least 75% of cash available for distribution, so total cash returned may decline in some quarters even with the higher base distribution, depending on management's allocations to acquisitions, debt reduction, or share repurchases.
  • −The expansion of the acquisition program, including Riverbend, approximately $103 million of transactions in fiscal year 2026 Q2, and an approximately $160 million asset transfer transaction from Diamondback, increases pricing, integration, and capital allocation risks; management also said commodity-price volatility had not been supportive of the acquisition and divestiture market.
  • −Management projected high-single-digit organic growth in Permian production during fiscal year 2026, but did not confirm that the same rate could be sustained in fiscal year 2027, referring only to modest growth from the fiscal year 2026 exit rate; this makes a slowdown after the current strong increase a material risk.
  • −No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, while EDGAR results ranged from a net loss of $68 million in fiscal year 2025 to net income of $97 million in fiscal year 2026 Q1, making an earnings-based valuation difficult to establish and leaving the analysts' target range of $46 to $61 sensitive to the sustainability of profitability and oil prices.
  • How important is the Riverbend acquisition to Viper Energy's growth?

    Riverbend was the most notable acquisition completed by Viper through August 5, 2026, and adds mineral and oil interests to its portfolio. Management included a contribution of 2,000 barrels per day from Riverbend assets in fiscal year 2026 Q3 guidance. Alongside this contribution, the guidance includes approximately 1,000 barrels per day of organic growth, showing that the expected increase does not depend on the transaction alone.

    How does Diamondback relate to the VNOM investment thesis?

    Diamondback is a key operator and major shareholder in Viper, and an important part of Viper's growth is linked to its pace of asset development. Over more than five years, Viper has gained exposure to approximately 75% to 80% of Diamondback's total well activity, with an average net revenue interest of approximately 6%. The interest may rise to 25% in certain full-royalty wells, while management believes that development of the Barnett in Spanish Trail could increase returns if well results and costs meet its expectations.

    What are VNOM's main risks following the fiscal year 2026 Q2 results?

    Cash flows depend on oil prices and continued drilling activity and well conversions to production in the Permian Basin, including activity by Diamondback and other operators. The elimination of the 75% minimum cash return threshold beginning in fiscal year 2026 Q3 also makes total quarterly cash returns more dependent on capital allocation decisions. In addition, management did not commit to maintaining in fiscal year 2027 the high-single-digit organic growth rate expected for fiscal year 2026, instead indicating modest growth from the exit rate.