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Stocks
Vornado Realty Trust
VNO

VNO Vornado Realty Trust

Vornado Realty Trust · NYSE
Market Closed
35.44
▲ ⁦+3.11%⁩ (+1.07)
Market Cap$6.7B
Beta1.55
52w Low52w High
24.5743.37
Last Week
⁦-3.09%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.28%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.70%⁩
Last Year
⁦-4.24%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall32
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 7/9DistressBetter than 32% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
31
97.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
22
1.4%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
41
2.3%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
45
2.1x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
40
2.09%2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
64
3.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
62
5▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$35
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$39
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$32–$44⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$6.64
⁦-81%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.3⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$6.64–$39⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$39.11
⁦+10.4%⁩
Current Price $35.44·Median $39.00
Low
$32.00
High
$44.00
Current price
$35.44
Average target
$39.11
Street summary

Limited Target Increase with a Mixed Outlook Remaining

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 38.22 to 39.11, an increase of 0.89 or 2.33%, while the number of analysts remained at one and the consensus did not change over the last 7 days or 1 day. The current target is 39 versus a price of 34.68, with a range between 32 and 44, reflecting notable divergence in estimates despite the limited analyst base.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
31%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
34%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
4
6
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.08 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
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    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    97.48x
    5.03x40.26x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    223.17x
    5.89x47.13x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.73x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    4.1%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.4%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -99.4%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    42.6%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    2.3%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.09x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.1%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.38
    -0.883.10
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Vornado Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on Manhattan offices and street retail, with key assets in the PENN district, Park Avenue, Fifth Avenue, and Times Square. The company generates income primarily from office and retail leasing, alongside a signage business that is growing through pricing and volume and requires relatively little capital, while also benefiting from development, property management, and leasing fees on projects such as 350 Park Avenue. This model makes its results highly dependent on New York office occupancy, the commencement of signed leases, rental levels, and financing costs.

In fiscal 2026 Q2, Vornado recorded revenue of $462.2 million and net income of $32.0 million according to EDGAR data, with earnings per share of $0.08, compared with revenue of $459.1 million and a net loss of $7.3 million in fiscal 2026 Q1. The provided data did not include a gross profit figure, so a reliable gross margin cannot be derived. On a trailing-twelve-month basis in fiscal 2026, revenue reached $1.8 billion.

Operationally, comparable FFO was $0.67 per share in fiscal 2026 Q2, up from $0.56 a year earlier and exceeding the analyst consensus of $0.57 by 17.5%. New York same-store office net operating income increased 13.7% on a GAAP basis and 11.9% on a cash basis, while same-store retail net operating income grew 7.3% on a GAAP basis and 5.7% on a cash basis; New York operations overall increased 11.9% on a GAAP basis and 6.2% on a cash basis. These figures reflect the larger contribution of offices to growth momentum, and the provided data does not offer a complete numerical revenue breakdown by segment.

What's Driving the Stock

  • New York office occupancy rose to 92.2% in fiscal 2026 Q2, up 60 basis points from the previous quarter and from the low of 84.4% in fiscal 2025 Q1; management expects it to exceed 93% by the end of fiscal 2026 based on a leasing pipeline of more than 2.2 million square feet.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • During the first half of fiscal 2026, Vornado signed leases covering 978 thousand square feet, including 659 thousand square feet of Manhattan offices at an average initial rent of $105 per square foot and mark-to-market increases of 9.5% on a GAAP basis and 7.1% on a cash basis. In fiscal 2026 Q2 alone, the leases included 29 office transactions covering 348 thousand square feet at an average initial rent of $107 per square foot.
  • Signed leases for spaces that have not yet been occupied represent approximately $180 million in rent, and management estimated their potential impact at slightly more than $150 million of FFO, with an approximate estimate that 60% is related to PENN 2. At PENN 1, leases covering 246 thousand square feet are also being finalized, with an expected mark-to-market increase of 44%, while leases covering 67 thousand square feet are being finalized at PENN 2.
  • The 350 Park Avenue project will comprise 1.9 million square feet, with Citadel as the anchor tenant for approximately 1.0 million square feet and as a 60% partner, while Vornado intends to exercise its option to reach a 36% stake. Vornado is contributing the land and existing building at a valuation of $900 million, and a $3.3 billion construction loan has been arranged, while it estimates its additional capital requirements at between $300 million and $350 million, beginning materially in 2029 and beyond.
  • Management raised its operating outlook for fiscal 2026 and now expects comparable FFO to exceed its fiscal 2025 level, with the fiscal 2026 Q2 level of $0.67 per share serving as an approximate run rate for the remainder of the year. It also maintained its expectation for meaningful growth in fiscal 2027 as occupancy begins at PENN 1, PENN 2, other vacant spaces, and Park Avenue Plaza.
  • The signage business grew by approximately 5% annually, with higher volume and pricing contributing to increased net operating income during fiscal 2026 Q2. Vornado benefits from owning the signage locations themselves in Times Square and the PENN district, distinguishing the economics of this business from companies that must lease display locations.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The improvement in New York office occupancy from 84.4% in fiscal 2025 Q1 to 92.2% in fiscal 2026 Q2 provides numerical evidence of leasing success, while management's target of exceeding 93% and the 2.2 million-square-foot negotiation pipeline indicate additional room for income growth.
    • +Earnings growth is supported by signed leases whose economic impact has not yet begun, with management estimating the associated rents at approximately $180 million and their impact at slightly more than $150 million of FFO. Part of the improvement has already appeared in the increase in comparable FFO to $0.67 per share from $0.56 a year earlier.
    • +Lease mark-to-market provides growth leverage within the existing assets; Manhattan office leases in the first half of fiscal 2026 achieved a 7.1% cash mark-to-market increase, while the expected increase for leases being finalized at PENN 1 reaches 44%. Management also stated that approximately 10% of PENN 1's space comes up for renewal each year, allowing legacy rents to be moved gradually toward market levels.
    • +Liquidity of $2 billion, including $789 million in cash and $1.2 billion of undrawn credit facilities, supports Vornado's ability to fund leasing and projects. At the same time, the company repurchased 1.8 million shares at an average of $29.92 in fiscal 2026 Q2, bringing total repurchases since 2023 to 8 million shares at an average of $26.61.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Vornado's concentration in Manhattan offices and New York street retail makes earnings and asset values heavily dependent on a single real estate market cycle; the principal growth drivers cited, including PENN 1, PENN 2, 350 Park Avenue, and Park Avenue Plaza, are all part of this geographic and sector bet.
    • −A substantial portion of the announced growth has not yet converted into full cash earnings; economic occupancy on a GAAP basis is estimated at approximately 83% to 84%, compared with physical occupancy of 92.2%, and approximately $180 million of signed leases has not yet commenced. Any delay in preparing spaces or commencing leases could postpone their expected impact on FFO.
    • −The company faces an extended capital and financing burden; management indicated that tenant improvement expenditures will remain similar in fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 and will not begin to decline until 2028, while 350 Park Avenue requires additional capital from Vornado of between $300 million and $350 million, beginning materially in 2029. Higher net interest expense also limited FFO growth in fiscal 2026 Q2.
    • −350 Park Avenue carries execution risk associated with a large, multiyear project, despite having Citadel as an anchor tenant and a $3.3 billion construction loan. New-construction economics require high rents, and management explained that a new Park Avenue building could cost approximately $3,000 per square foot and take four to five years to deliver, leaving returns exposed to construction and financing costs and leasing conditions upon delivery.
    • −Guidance remains limited in precision; management described the expectation that mark-to-market increases would rise to more than 20% in fiscal 2026 Q3 as informal guidance and declined to provide a new detailed bridge for fiscal 2027 FFO growth. It also explained that part of the increase previously expected for fiscal 2027 has begun to materialize in fiscal 2026, reducing the clarity of the future comparison.
    • −

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on VNO is Neutral, with an average target of $38.22 and a wide range of $32 to $44; the average is below the 52-week high of $43.37, while the upper end of the target range is slightly above that high. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available, so the stock's valuation depends more heavily on FFO and asset values, at a time when management says the Green Street estimate reflects a 23% discount to net asset value, but concentration, capital expenditure, and interest-rate risks justify the consensus remaining Neutral.

    HoldAnalyst target: $38.22(+7.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove VNO's results in fiscal 2026 Q2?

    Revenue was $462.2 million and net income was $32.0 million according to EDGAR data, with earnings per share of $0.08. Comparable FFO was $0.67 per share versus $0.56 a year earlier, exceeding the analyst consensus of $0.57. Management attributed the improvement primarily to rent commencements at PENN 1 and PENN 2, the impact of the major NYU lease at 770 Broadway on the year-over-year comparison, and higher signage income, partially offset by increased net interest expense.

    Has Vornado's New York office occupancy recovered?

    New York office occupancy reached 92.2% in fiscal 2026 Q2, up 60 basis points from the previous quarter and from 84.4% in fiscal 2025 Q1. Management is targeting a level above 93% by the end of fiscal 2026, followed by a return to the historical range of 95% to 96% over the subsequent years. However, economic occupancy on a GAAP basis remains approximately 83% to 84% because a number of signed leases have not yet commenced.

    How important are PENN 1 and PENN 2 to VNO's earnings?

    PENN 1 generated a return that management estimates at approximately 25% on an investment of about $200 per square foot, which increased rent by approximately $50 per square foot. In fiscal 2026 Q2, the company signed leases covering 181 thousand square feet in the PENN district, and it has 246 thousand square feet being finalized at PENN 1 with an expected mark-to-market increase of 44%. Management estimated that approximately 60% of the signed but not yet commenced rents, totaling $180 million, is roughly associated with PENN 2.

    What are the details of the 350 Park Avenue project and its potential impact?

    The partnership plans to develop a 1.9 million-square-foot office tower, with Citadel as the anchor tenant for approximately 1.0 million square feet for 15 years, according to the August 11, 2026 news report. Vornado intends to own the maximum 36% stake, compared with Kenneth Griffin's 60% stake, and is contributing land and an existing building valued at approximately $900 million. A $3.3 billion construction loan has been arranged, and Vornado expects additional capital requirements of between $300 million and $350 million, beginning materially in 2029 and beyond.

    Does Vornado have sufficient liquidity for its plans?

    Liquidity was $2 billion in fiscal 2026 Q2, split between $789 million in cash and $1.2 billion of undrawn credit facilities. Management said it is working to sell two non-core assets to bolster liquidity, without identifying the assets. It also expects the debt ratio to continue declining into the 7s during fiscal 2026, with the potential to fall below 7 in later years if income grows without being offset by additional investments.

    What are the main investment risks for VNO?

    Performance is heavily tied to the Manhattan office market because the principal growth assets include PENN, Park Avenue, and Fifth Avenue. The 350 Park Avenue project also requires financing and execution extending over several years, while tenant improvements will remain approximately elevated until they begin to decline in 2028. Higher net interest expense adds pressure on FFO, while the analyst target range of $32 to $44 and the Neutral consensus indicate divergent valuation estimates.

    No valid price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data, while analyst targets range widely from $32 to $44 with a Neutral consensus, reflecting meaningful differences in estimates of asset values and the earnings trajectory. The average target of $38.22 is below the 52-week high of $43.37, so the consensus alone does not provide evidence of a return to that high.