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Home
Stocks
Telefônica Brasil S.A.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 8/9Better than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
14.9x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
52
4.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
80
10.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
76
0.4x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
62
1.11%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
24
-3.5%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
77
4▲3Top tier
VIV

VIV Telefônica Brasil S.A.

Telefônica Brasil S.A. · NYSE
Market Closed
11.85
▼ ⁦-0.59%⁩ (-0.07)
Market Cap$19.0B
Beta0.21
52w Low52w High
11.1817.26
Last Week
⁦+0.25%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.80%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.57%⁩
Last Year
⁦-3.89%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$12
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$15
⁦+24%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$14–$16⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$27
⁦+131%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$15–$27⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$14.83
⁦+25.1%⁩
Current Price $11.85·Median $14.70
Low
$13.90
High
$16.00
Current price
$11.85
Average target
$14.83
Street summary

Analysis of Telefônica Brasil (VIV) Price Reviews

Bearish tilt

Recent analyst reviews for Telefônica Brasil stock indicate a clear decline in confidence levels, as the average price target dropped by 7.45% over the last 30 days to reach 15.27. This decline reflects selling pressure resulting from a series of valuation Downgrades from major institutions such as Barclays and Bradesco, leading up to the initiation of negative coverage by Goldman Sachs with a 'Sell' recommendation in mid-May.

As of 2026-06-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
25%
Target dispersion
18%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
1
4
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-27
    Scotiabank
    —· $15.40
  • = Reiterate2026-05-18
    Goldman Sachs
    Sell· $13.90
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-04-28
    Bradesco
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.94x
    4.21x33.71x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.34x
    2.57x20.60x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    11.0%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.6%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    14.2%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    54.2%
    11.3%77.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    10.7%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.44x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.1%
    0.0%9.4%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    31.5%
    5.9%105.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Telefônica Brasil operates its Vivo brand in Brazil, generating revenue from mobile, fiber-optic, and enterprise connectivity services, alongside handsets, electronics, and digital services. In fiscal Q2 2026, postpaid lines totaled 52.4 million, while fiber connections reached 8.2 million within a footprint covering 32 million homes. Its model has also expanded beyond traditional connectivity into cloud services, cybersecurity, the Internet of Things, digital entertainment, health, financial services, and device sales.

In fiscal Q2 2026, the company recorded revenue of $15.8 billion, gross profit of $12.8 billion, net income of $1.6 billion, and earnings per share of $0.98, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 81.0% and a net income margin of approximately 10.1% based on the provided financial statements. Total revenue increased 7.6% year over year, mobile service revenue 6.6%, fixed revenue 6.0%, and FTTH revenue 10.7%. EBITDA also grew 10.9%, and its margin increased 1.3 percentage points to 41.8%, while recurring revenue accounted for 84.8% of service revenue.

The business mix in fiscal Q2 2026 showed balanced growth across connectivity and new businesses: handset and electronics sales increased 27.8%, while consumer new-business revenue grew 33.6% and came to represent 3.4% of total revenue. On a trailing-12-month basis, B2C revenue totaled approximately 46.6 billion Brazilian reais, growing 6.8%, while B2B revenue totaled approximately 13.9 billion Brazilian reais, growing 9.2%, driven by 14.9% growth in enterprise digital businesses.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The mobile platform combines customer growth with improved monetization; postpaid lines increased to 52.4 million, postpaid net additions rose 14.1% year over year, churn remained stable at 1%, and average revenue per user reached a record level in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • Fiber supports recurring growth; connections increased 11.3% to 8.2 million, net additions totaled 213 thousand connections, up 6%, and penetration improved to 25.6% as churn declined to 1.4%. The number of Vivo Total customers also grew 29.4% to 3.8 million, strengthening the sale of mobile and fixed services within a single offering.
  • The contribution from nontraditional activities is accelerating; in fiscal Q2 2026, consumer electronics revenue increased 63.8%, health and wellness 58.2%, video and music services 25.7%, and financial services 12.8%. The company supported its digital ecosystem with Gemini AI and Google Cloud Storage benefits for eligible customers and through a partnership with YouTube Premium.
  • In B2B, cloud services grew 20.9%, digital solutions 20.2%, and cybersecurity 10% year over year. The partnership with EcoRodovias demonstrates the potential to convert these capabilities into customized projects, as it aims to expand mobile coverage across 400 kilometers of roads in Goiás and Minas Gerais, benefiting approximately 1.4 million people.
  • Higher earnings translated into stronger liquidity in the first half of fiscal 2026; operating cash flow before leases totaled 8.2 billion Brazilian reais, growing 11.3%, while free cash flow reached 4.9 billion Brazilian reais, with net debt to EBITDA stable at 0.4 times. Management committed to distributing at least 100% of fiscal 2026 net income, while continuing a share repurchase program of up to 1 billion Brazilian reais through February 2027.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal Q2 2026 results show clear operating leverage; EBITDA growth of 10.9% exceeded revenue growth of 7.6%, and the margin expanded to 41.8% despite a 10.2% increase in the cost of services and goods.
  • +Vivo combines subscriber growth with stronger loyalty; churn was 1% in postpaid and 1.4% in fiber, while Vivo Total increased to 3.8 million customers and fiber connections grew 11.3%, supporting recurring revenue and long-term customer value.
  • +Revenue diversification provides additional growth avenues beyond telecommunications; consumer new businesses grew 33.6%, enterprise digital businesses 14.9%, and handset and electronics sales 27.8% during the reported periods in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +Liquidity and the balance sheet give the company substantial flexibility; it generated 4.9 billion Brazilian reais in free cash flow in the first half of fiscal 2026 and maintained net debt to EBITDA at 0.4 times, alongside a distribution policy of no less than the full amount of fiscal 2026 net income.

▼ Selling Case5 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on VIV is Neutral, with an average target of $14.83 and a target range of $13.90 to $16.00; the average falls within the 52-week range of $11.18–$17.26 and is approximately 14% below its high. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the stock's valuation here is based on balancing revenue growth, a higher EBITDA margin, and free cash flow against competition and asset-sale execution risks, rather than a direct comparison of earnings with price.

HoldAnalyst target: $14.83(+25.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What are the main growth drivers for Telefônica Brasil in fiscal Q2 2026?

Total revenue increased 7.6% year over year, driven by 6.6% growth in mobile service revenue, 6.0% growth in fixed revenue, and 10.7% growth in FTTH revenue. Handset and electronics sales increased 27.8%, the highest annual growth rate for this business in five years. Consumer new businesses also grew 33.6%, while enterprise digital businesses increased 14.9%.

Is Vivo still growing in mobile despite competition?

The postpaid base reached 52.4 million lines in fiscal Q2 2026, with net additions growing 14.1% year over year and churn remaining stable at 1%. Approximately one-third of the mobile base, excluding machine-to-machine connections and dongles, now uses 5G daily. In contrast, management described certain markets and segments as more intensely competitive and noted that prepaid revenue remained slightly negative despite improving from the previous quarter.

How important are fiber and Vivo Total to the company's growth?

The company ended fiscal Q2 2026 with 8.2 million fiber connections, up 11.3% year over year, within a footprint reaching 32 million homes. Net additions totaled 213 thousand connections, while penetration improved to 25.6% and churn declined to 1.4%. Vivo Total reached 3.8 million customers, growing 29.4%, in addition to 1.5 million customers using other convergent offerings.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Competition intensified in certain mobile markets and segments, while the prepaid segment remained highly competitive; management also acknowledged that prepaid revenue was slightly negative in fiscal Q2 2026. Prepaid prices remaining near 30 Brazilian reais per month could slow customer migration to higher-priced Hybrid plans, despite an improved trend compared with the previous quarter.
  • −Continued outperformance depends on Vivo successfully maintaining pricing and upselling amid low-priced competitor offerings; the annual Vivo Lite plan starts near 30 Brazilian reais per month, while the monthly plan costs 45 reais. Management says the offering targets prepaid customers who are ineligible for Hybrid plans and does not cause internal substitution, but the expansion of lower-priced plans remains a test of the company's ability to protect average revenue per user.
  • −The cost of services and goods sold increased 10.2% year over year due to growth in device sales, digital solutions, and new businesses, a pace exceeding revenue growth of 7.6%. Although the EBITDA margin expanded to 41.8%, a greater weighting of devices, particularly handsets with lower margins than accessories, could make continued margin improvement dependent on product mix and expense control.
  • −The plan to realize value from copper and real estate assets requires significant execution; cumulative sales totaled approximately 650 million Brazilian reais against an overall target of 4.5 billion Brazilian reais, leaving roughly 3.85 billion reais. In addition, 47 properties valued at approximately 600 million reais were offered for sale, but management explained that completing the transactions depends on obtaining appropriate prices and provided no additional net income guidance.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus reflects differing return estimates, with targets ranging from $13.90 to $16.00 and averaging $14.83. The average target is approximately 14% below the 52-week range high of $17.26, while no price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, limiting the ability to assess valuation using a traditional earnings metric.
  • How is Telefônica Brasil diversifying its revenue beyond traditional telecommunications services?

    In fiscal Q2 2026, consumer electronics revenue grew 63.8%, health and wellness 58.2%, video and music services 25.7%, and financial services 12.8%. Consumer new businesses represent 3.4% of total revenue, while management said that fully non-connectivity services and products account for 19% of revenue when digital services and electronics are combined. Vivo also added Gemini AI and Google Cloud Storage benefits for eligible customers and expanded its offerings through YouTube Premium.

    What is the cash flow and shareholder distribution position in fiscal 2026?

    Operating cash flow before leases totaled 8.2 billion Brazilian reais in the first half of fiscal 2026, up 11.3% year over year, while free cash flow reached 4.9 billion reais. The company maintained net debt to EBITDA at 0.4 times, reflecting limited financial leverage. It distributed 7 billion Brazilian reais to shareholders under its fiscal 2026 guidance and announced an additional 2.2 billion reais to be paid by early 2027, with a commitment to distribute at least 100% of fiscal 2026 net income.

    What are the main risks to monitor for VIV?

    Operating risks center on intensifying competition in certain mobile segments, slightly weak prepaid revenue, and the possibility that the device mix could pressure costs after the cost of services and goods increased 10.2% in fiscal Q2 2026. Achieving the copper and real estate sales target also still requires approximately 3.85 billion Brazilian reais after completing only about 650 million of the 4.5 billion target. On valuation, the analyst consensus remains Neutral, with an average target of $14.83 and a range of $13.90–$16.00, while the data do not include an available price-to-earnings ratio for comparison.