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Vistance Networks, Inc.
VISN

VISN Vistance Networks, Inc.

Vistance Networks, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
6.48
▲ ⁦+1.25%⁩ (+0.08)
Market Cap$1.5B
Beta1.99
52w Low52w High
6.0020.55
Last Week
⁦+0.15%⁩
Last Month
⁦-43.26%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-47.91%⁩
Last Year
⁦-59.60%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall78
Strong — clearly above market medianValue TrapF 7/9Grey zoneBetter than 78% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
94
0.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
43
—7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
42
5.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
80
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
99
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
8
-31.5%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
67
33Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$6.48
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$17
—
Range ⁦$17–$17⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$3.56
⁦-45%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$17.00
⁦+162.3%⁩
Current Price $6.48·Median $17.00
Low
$17.00
High
$17.00
Street summary

Price Target Stability Analysis for Vistance Networks

Vistance Networks (VISN) stock shows a state of complete stability in analyst estimates, with the price target holding steady at 17 dollars without any change over the past 7 and 30-day periods. This consistency reflects an absence of Dispersion among analysts, given that only one analyst currently covers the stock, making the Consensus lack diversity of opinion and rely entirely on a single individual vision.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.25
Hold
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
25%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.40 → 3.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-01
    Northland Securities
    —· $17.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-26
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    0.21x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    5.69x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.40x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.8%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1333.2%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1053.9%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    47.6%
    12.9%79.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    5.3%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.10
    -10.9113.66
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Vistance Networks, through Aurora Networks, sells broadband networking equipment and software to telecommunications operators. Its portfolio includes DOCSIS 4.0 amplifiers and nodes, the E6000 and C100G platforms, vCCAP, PON, and vBNG solutions, the ServAssure NXT platform, and PKI solutions for device security and digital certificates. In Q2 fiscal 2026, DOCSIS 4.0 products accounted for approximately 70% of Aurora's revenue, while legacy products represented approximately 15% of revenue and 25% of adjusted EBITDA; smaller businesses include video, PON, and security solutions. Following the sale of Ruckus to Belden for $1.846 billion in cash on July 1, 2026, the company's strategy became focused on Aurora and the DOCSIS 4.0 upgrade cycle, while considering investment in PON, vBNG, and PKI within and beyond the cable market.

According to EDGAR data, Vistance Networks reported Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue of $319.6 million and gross profit of $112.9 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 35.3%, with net income of $295.2 million and earnings per share of $1.21. According to the adjusted metrics presented on the August 6, 2026 call, sales from continuing operations were $320 million, down 1% year over year, and adjusted EBITDA declined 32% to $36 million, while Aurora alone generated sales of $319 million and adjusted EBITDA of $46 million, for a margin of approximately 14.4%.

The decline in profitability in Q2 fiscal 2026 was steeper than the revenue decline, as Aurora's adjusted EBITDA fell 43% year over year due to higher memory chip prices, stranded costs following divestitures, and lower sales of high-margin legacy licenses. The company ended the quarter debt-free with $152 million in cash, after which cash reached $1.9 billion at the end of July 2026 following the Ruckus transaction, before a special distribution of $5 per share, or approximately $1.15 billion, that was scheduled to be paid by the end of August 2026. Management expects to end fiscal 2026 with cash of between $700 million and $750 million, in addition to an expected tax refund of approximately $160 million in the second half of 2027.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The DOCSIS 4.0 cycle represents the primary growth driver; increased shipments of its products partially offset the decline in legacy products in Q2 fiscal 2026, and these products accounted for approximately 70% of Aurora's revenue, with continued FDX deployment at Comcast and shipments of ESD amplifiers to several large North American operators.
  • Aurora shipped and deployed the unified node in Q2 fiscal 2026, allowing customers to choose between ESD and FDX technologies within a single device, while unified amplifiers entered laboratory testing with shipments targeted to begin in early 2027. Management expects shipments of ESD amplifiers to ramp over the two quarters following the August 6, 2026 call and to continue for several years.
  • Aurora's backlog was $470 million at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, despite declining by $82 million, or 15%, year over year, after which the company received approximately $200 million in orders during July 2026. A European solution combining vCCAP and Remote PHY also secured a significant win and a three-year deployment program.
  • The company is expanding its options beyond DOCSIS through a commercial agreement with Altice Labs covering GPON, XGS-PON, and 50G-PON, an agreement with Ruckus for mobile data offload products sold to major U.S. wireless operators, and PKI agreements with Motorola and Texas Instruments. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the AI-powered version of ServAssure NXT, in partnership with DvSum, secured its first win in Latin America for monitoring HFC and PON networks.
  • The Ruckus transaction provided net proceeds of approximately $1.75 billion and enabled the company to declare a special distribution of $5 per share, while retaining a debt-free balance sheet and an authorized repurchase program of up to $100 million. After accounting for the distribution, management expects to retain $700 million to $750 million in cash at the end of fiscal 2026 to fund research and development, commercial expansion, or disciplined acquisitions.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Aurora has direct exposure to the DOCSIS 4.0 upgrade cycle, which management expects to continue for several years, and products from this cycle have come to represent approximately 70% of its revenue in fiscal 2026, with ESD amplifiers being shipped to several large operators and FDX being deployed at Comcast.
    • +The $470 million backlog at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, combined with approximately $200 million in July 2026 orders, provides some demand visibility despite volatility in project timing. The three-year European vCCAP and Remote PHY program adds a defined source of future deployments.
    • +The sale of Ruckus eliminated debt and provided net proceeds of $1.75 billion, and the company is targeting cash holdings of between $700 million and $750 million at the end of fiscal 2026 following the special distribution. This liquidity gives Vistance Networks the ability to fund PON, vBNG, and PKI products, execute a repurchase program of up to $100 million, or consider acquisitions without immediately relying on leverage.
    • +The company owns assets that can scale beyond the traditional cable market, including a PON portfolio with Altice Labs, a cloud-native vBNG solution, and PKI products used through agreements with Motorola and Texas Instruments. The first win for the AI-powered ServAssure NXT platform in Latin America during Q2 fiscal 2026 also provides initial evidence that its monitoring tools can be expanded to HFC and PON networks.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The business is highly dependent on a limited number of customers, as the three largest customers accounted for approximately 70% of revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026, a proportion similar to the prior year. Therefore, a project delay or change in the upgrade path at a major customer could have a material impact on revenue and backlog.
    • −Memory chip costs and availability issues worsened during fiscal 2026, and management estimated their impact on the outlook at approximately $40 million, with limited visibility into prices and supply. Management warned on August 6, 2026 that continued supply tightness or customers' limited willingness to invest at elevated prices could push results to the low end of guidance or below it.
    • −The company reduced fiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance by $25 million to a range of $200–225 million. In Q2 fiscal 2026, Aurora's adjusted EBITDA fell 43% to $46 million, while revenue declined only 1%, revealing significant margin pressure from memory chips, stranded costs, and the decline in high-margin licenses.
    • −The legacy business faces structural contraction as virtual CMTS and DOCSIS 4.0 products replace headend equipment; this business represented approximately 15% of Aurora's revenue and 25% of its adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2026. Given the high margins of legacy licenses and products, growth in new products may not offset the profitability impact as quickly as it offsets revenue.
    • −Aurora's order rates declined 55% year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026, and backlog fell 15% to $470 million, despite receiving $200 million in orders in July 2026. Customers also indicated that some upgrades had been delayed by one or two quarters, and management describes Aurora as a project-based business whose quarterly results are affected by the timing of orders and execution.
    • −Net insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 28, 2026 was $1.1 million in sales, with one purchase and one sale. This represents a weak trading signal relative to the operational risks, because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicate otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $17, with the high and low targets both matching that figure, while the consensus rating is Neutral; the absence of any variation among the targets makes this reference less informative than a consensus based on a range of estimates. The $17 target falls within the 52-week range of $6–20.55 and is approximately 17% below its high, while no usable price-to-earnings ratio is available; therefore, the stock's valuation depends largely on balancing post-Ruckus-sale liquidity and the DOCSIS 4.0 opportunity against reduced earnings guidance, memory chip pressure, and contraction in the legacy business.

    HoldAnalyst target: $17(+162.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is Vistance Networks' core business after the sale of Ruckus?

    After closing the sale of Ruckus to Belden for $1.846 billion on July 1, 2026, the operational focus shifted to Aurora Networks. Aurora sells DOCSIS 4.0 amplifiers and nodes, E6000 and C100G platforms, vCCAP, PON, vBNG, and PKI solutions, and network monitoring tools. In fiscal 2026, DOCSIS 4.0 products accounted for approximately 70% of Aurora's revenue, while the legacy business accounted for approximately 15%. The company is considering directing its liquidity toward PON, vBNG, and PKI, as well as opportunities within and beyond the cable market.

    How were the Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

    According to EDGAR data, revenue was $319.6 million and gross profit was $112.9 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 35.3%. Reported net income was $295.2 million, and earnings per share were $1.21. According to the adjusted metrics presented on the August 6, 2026 call, revenue from continuing operations was $320 million, down 1% year over year, and adjusted EBITDA was $36 million, down 32%. Aurora reported revenue of $319 million and adjusted EBITDA of $46 million, representing a 43% year-over-year decline in adjusted EBITDA.

    Why did Vistance Networks reduce its fiscal 2026 earnings guidance?

    Management reduced adjusted EBITDA guidance by $25 million to $200–225 million. It estimated that higher memory chip prices and availability issues would have an impact of approximately $40 million on the fiscal 2026 outlook, in addition to approximately $20 million of stranded costs related to the CCS and Ruckus divestitures. Nonrecurring legacy license sales and some customers delaying their upgrades by one or two quarters also affected the comparison. Management warned on August 6, 2026 that results could reach the low end of the range or fall below it if memory conditions worsened.

    How strong is demand for Aurora's DOCSIS 4.0 products?

    DOCSIS 4.0 products, including amplifiers, nodes, modules, virtual CMTS, and network management systems, represented approximately 70% of Aurora's revenue in fiscal 2026. The company was deploying FDX at Comcast and shipping ESD amplifiers to several large North American operators in Q2 fiscal 2026. Backlog was $470 million at the end of that quarter, after which Aurora received approximately $200 million in orders during July 2026. Conversely, the order rate declined 55% year over year and backlog fell 15%, highlighting the business's sensitivity to project timing.

    How did Vistance Networks use the proceeds from the Ruckus sale?

    The sale of Ruckus generated net proceeds of approximately $1.75 billion, and cash reached $1.9 billion at the end of July 2026. The board approved a special distribution of $5 per share, or approximately $1.15 billion, that was scheduled to be paid by the end of August 2026 without adding debt. The company expects to end fiscal 2026 with between $700 million and $750 million in cash and also expects a tax refund of approximately $160 million in the second half of 2027. Potential uses of the remaining funds include investment in PON, vBNG, and PKI, disciplined acquisitions, and an authorized share repurchase program of up to $100 million.

    What are the most significant investment risks for VISN?

    The three largest customers accounted for approximately 70% of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, making the timing of spending by a limited number of customers influential on results. Management estimated that memory chip issues would have an impact of approximately $40 million on the fiscal 2026 outlook, while stranded costs add approximately $20 million of pressure. The legacy business also represents 15% of revenue but generates 25% of adjusted EBITDA, and management expects its decline to continue as customers transition to DOCSIS 4.0 and virtual CMTS. In addition, quarterly orders declined 55% year over year, and the company reduced adjusted EBITDA guidance to $200–225 million.