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Stocks
Viking Holdings Ltd
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall61
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/8Congress sellingBetter than 61% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
30
28.1x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
83
20.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
82
23.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
59
1.1x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
15
0.00%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
71
68.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
35
9▲3Bottom tier
VIK

VIK Viking Holdings Ltd

Viking Holdings Ltd · NYSE
Market Closed
85.01
▲ ⁦+1.19%⁩ (+1.00)
Market Cap$37.8B
Beta1.50
52w Low52w High
56.37110.09
Last Week
⁦-0.02%⁩
Last Month
⁦-18.10%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-5.87%⁩
Last Year
⁦+33.37%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$85
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$109
⁦+28%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$82–$121⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$25
⁦-70%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.1⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$25–$109⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$106.79
⁦+25.6%⁩
Current Price $85.01·Median $108.50
Low
$82.00
High
$121.00
Current price
$85.01
Average target
$106.79
Street summary

Slight Increase in Consensus Amid Persistently High Divergence

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose to 106.79 from 103.93 over the last 30 days, an increase of 2.75%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days and one day, with the number of analysts holding steady at four. The consensus indicates an upside of approximately 24.4% compared with the current price of 85.81, but the target range is wide, between 82 and 121, reflecting notable divergence in valuations; the lowest target is approximately 4.4% below the current price, compared with potential upside of approximately 41% to the highest target.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.91
Buy
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
86%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
46%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
2
17
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.78 → 3.91
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
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    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    28.06x
    4.56x36.49x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    22.77x
    3.79x30.29x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.16x
    2.75x22.03x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    2.7%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    20.0%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    62.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    40.9%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    23.2%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.11x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-19 data

Company Overview

Viking Holdings provides destination-focused travel experiences through river and ocean cruises, alongside expedition voyages and products aimed at Chinese-speaking travelers. Revenue growth depends on expanding the fleet, increasing available cruise days, and improving revenue per passenger day, while land extensions and optional shore excursions add another source of revenue; about 40% of guests choose a pre- or post-cruise land extension. The nearly identical ship model enhances training, maintenance, procurement, and fleet deployment efficiency, and also allows ships to be swapped when river navigation is disrupted.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue rose 16.5% year over year to $2.2 billion, driven by a 10.9% increase in capacity measured by available passenger cruise days and higher revenue per passenger day. Adjusted gross margin reached $1.4 billion, up 16.3%, while net yield increased 6.2% to $645. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 18.2% to $748 million, equivalent to about 34% of revenue, while net income was $588 million and adjusted earnings per share were $1.31, exceeding expectations of $1.25.

During the six months ended June 30, 2026, the Ocean segment recorded an adjusted gross margin of $1.1 billion, up 20.3%, with occupancy of 95.4% and net yield of $593, up 7.7%. In the River segment, occupancy was 94.8%, while adjusted gross margin rose 11.3% and net yield increased 8.8% to $660. FY2025 recorded revenue of $6.5 billion, gross profit of $2.8 billion, net income of $1.1 billion, and earnings per share of $2.57.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Advance bookings for the 2026 season reached about $6.4 billion as of August 9, 2026, up 13% from the previous season at the same point, with 96% of core product capacity booked and capacity up 7%.
  • Bookings for the 2027 season reached $4.7 billion as of August 9, 2026, up 21% year over year, despite a 15% increase in planned capacity, with 53% of capacity already booked.
  • The Ocean segment supports pricing strength; 62% of 2027 season capacity was booked with capacity growth of 18%, and the booking rate reached $877 versus $781 for the 2026 season at the corresponding stage.
  • The company continues to expand its fleet, planning to take delivery of 12 ships during 2026, including 10 River ships and two Ocean ships, after adding four river ships and one ocean ship since the previous earnings call.
  • India voyages for the 2027 and 2028 seasons sold out completely, while Viking expanded its product aimed at Chinese-speaking guests through four long river ships in Europe and the Viking Yi Dun ship for European ocean voyages.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Advance bookings provide high revenue visibility: 96% of 2026 season capacity is booked, while 53% of 2027 season capacity is booked despite planned capacity growth of 15%.
  • +Q2 FY2026 combined revenue growth of 16.5%, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization growth of 18.2%, and adjusted earnings per share growth of 33%, indicating that increased capacity and yield are translating into faster earnings growth.
  • +The financial position has the capacity to fund expansion, with $4 billion in cash and cash equivalents and an undrawn $1 billion credit facility as of June 30, 2026, versus net debt of $2.4 billion and net leverage of 1.2 times.
  • +Nearly identical ships support fleet economics by standardizing training, maintenance, procurement, and deployment, while also giving the company flexibility to swap ships when passage through sections of European rivers is not possible.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $107, within a wide range of $82 to $121, and the stock carries a “Buy” consensus. The average is below the highest target and slightly below the 52-week range high of $110.09, while it is well above the range low of $56.37, revealing a wide spread in value estimates across scenarios. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the stock's valuation here is based on the target range, booking strength, and the risks of low water levels and vouchers extending into 2027 and 2028.

BuyAnalyst target: $107(+25.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were VIK's key results in Q2 FY2026?

Viking generated revenue of $2.2 billion, up 16.5% year over year, with capacity growth of 10.9%. Adjusted gross margin rose 16.3% to $1.4 billion, while net yield reached $645, up 6.2%. The company recorded adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $748 million and net income of $588 million. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.31, exceeding expectations of $1.25.

How strong are Viking's bookings for the 2026 and 2027 seasons?

As of August 9, 2026, 96% of core product capacity for the 2026 season was booked, and advance bookings reached $6.4 billion. For the 2027 season, 53% of capacity was booked at a value of $4.7 billion, up 21% from the corresponding point in the previous season. In Ocean, 62% of 2027 capacity was booked despite 18% growth, while 42% of River capacity was booked despite 13% growth. India voyages for the 2027 and 2028 seasons also sold out completely.

How are low European water levels affecting VIK?

The operational impact began in mid-July 2026, so it did not appear in Q2 FY2026 results. Through mid-August 2026, more than 50% of River capacity days in Q3 FY2026 were affected, with cancellations involving 10% to 12% of the affected portion. Management expects additional transportation and ship expenses, but it has not yet quantified them. It also issued future cruise vouchers to some guests, and these vouchers could have a financial impact in 2027 and 2028 when used.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Historically low water levels in the Danube and Rhine rivers pose a direct risk to the River segment; from mid-July to mid-August 2026, more than 50% of the segment's capacity days in Q3 FY2026 were affected, and cancellations involved 10% to 12% of the affected portion.
  • −The low-water crisis was not reflected in Q2 FY2026 results, but management expects additional transportation costs to pressure gross margin and operating costs to pressure ship expenses in Q3 FY2026, and it did not quantify the financial impact.
  • −Future cruise vouchers granted to some affected guests will result in discounts on subsequent cruise prices, and their financial impact may extend into 2027 and 2028 when they are used, potentially limiting the benefit to earnings from current booking strength.
  • −Management is targeting mid-single-digit growth in net yield during 2027, below the current increase of about 10% in advance bookings per passenger cruise day; it explained that the mix of higher-priced voyages to Egypt and Vietnam is temporarily lifting the figure and that selling more European voyages will bring it closer to a more typical level.
  • −The shipbuilding program adds execution and financing risks; committed capital expenditures for ships total about $1.9 billion in 2026, or $650 million after financing, and about $1 billion in 2027, or $260 million after financing, alongside a 15% increase in 2027 season capacity.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 16, 2026, recorded net sales of $30 million across 24 sales with no purchases; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data demonstrate otherwise.
  • How does Viking plan to grow its capacity and fleet?

    Viking expects to take delivery of 12 ships during 2026, consisting of 10 River ships and two Ocean ships. Since the previous earnings call, it has added four river ships and one ocean ship, and it also exercised options for two additional Ocean ships scheduled for delivery in 2032. Committed capital expenditures for ships total about $1.9 billion in 2026 and about $1 billion in 2027 before financing. This program supports a 7% increase in core product capacity in 2026 and a planned 15% increase in 2027.

    What distinguishes Viking's business model from other cruise operators?

    Viking focuses on destinations and itineraries, and uses nearly identical ships within each class so that guests' choices do not depend on a particular ship. This design reduces the complexity of training, maintenance, procurement, and inventory management, and helps ships operating on similar itineraries achieve comparable returns. Nearly identical ships also allow ships to be swapped when river navigation is disrupted, which the company used to continue operating during low water levels in 2026. In addition to the core cruise, about 40% of guests choose a pre- or post-cruise land extension, and the company adds options such as St. Moritz, Lombardy & Alpine Train and a Zeppelin flight over Cologne.

    Does VIK have a strong balance sheet to fund expansion?

    As of June 30, 2026, Viking had $4 billion in cash and cash equivalents, in addition to an undrawn $1 billion credit facility. Net debt was $2.4 billion and net financial leverage was 1.2 times, while deferred revenue reached $5 billion. Bond maturities begin in 2028 and beyond, with scheduled principal payments of $117 million for the remainder of 2026 and $234 million for all of 2027. This liquidity gives the company the capacity to fund ship orders, but the scale of capital expenditures makes execution and pricing discipline essential.