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Home
Stocks
VICI Properties Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall61
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 6/9DistressBetter than 61% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
77
9.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
41
4.4%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
75
8.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
55
4.6x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
71
7.25%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
15
-21.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
72
5▲3Top tier
VICI

VICI VICI Properties Inc.

VICI Properties Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
24.83
▲ ⁦+0.42%⁩ (+0.10)
Market Cap$27.2B
Beta0.68
52w Low52w High
24.6633.39
Last Week
⁦-3.05%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.43%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-12.60%⁩
Last Year
⁦-25.03%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$25
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$29
⁦+17%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$26–$32⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$26
⁦+6%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$26–$29⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$29.33
⁦+18.1%⁩
Current Price $24.83·Median $29.00
Low
$26.00
High
$32.00
Current price
$24.83
Average target
$29.33
Street summary

VICI Price Target Revision Analysis

VICI Properties (VICI) stock has seen a slight decline in analyst optimism over the past 30 days, with the average price target falling from 30.71 to 30.22, representing a 1.6% decrease. Despite this reduction, the current stock price (26.36) continues to trade below the lowest price target set by analysts at 27, indicating a positive valuation gap despite the downward revision of expectations.

As of 2026-08-16
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.88
Buy
Analyst coverage
25
Buy conviction
68%
High
Target dispersion
24%
Analyst ratings over time25 analysts rating
5
12
8
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.13 → 3.88
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-06-25
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-06-18
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-05-12
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform· $32.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    9.62x
    5.03x40.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.58x
    5.89x47.13x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.15x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.6%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.4%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -1.1%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    99.3%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    8.1%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.55x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    7.2%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    71.3%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.29
    -0.883.10
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

VICI Properties is a real estate investment trust specializing in entertainment, hospitality, and gaming assets, generating its income primarily from long-term leases with operators, alongside loans, financing solutions, and funding for the development of partners’ properties. On July 30, 2026, its portfolio included 16 tenants following the addition of Clairvest, Golden Entertainment, and Club Med, while its asset base included properties in Las Vegas, regional gaming markets, Canada, and a resort undergoing redevelopment in St. Croix.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $1.1 billion, up 5.7% year over year, and reported gross profit was $1.1 billion, equal to revenue after rounding. Meanwhile, net income was $526.5 million, representing a net margin of approximately 48%, and net income attributable to shareholders declined 39.1% year over year. GAAP earnings per share were $0.48, compared with net income of $872.4 million and earnings per share of $0.82 in Q1 fiscal 2026.

Adjusted funds from operations, or AFFO, per share were $0.62 in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 4.6% from $0.60 in the corresponding quarter of fiscal 2025, and the result was in line with Visible Alpha expectations. The quarter’s growth mix included a $1.16 billion sale-leaseback transaction with Golden Entertainment, the acquisition of Gamehost properties in Alberta for approximately C$200 million, and a targeted Club Med investment totaling approximately $75 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • VICI raised the lower end of its fiscal 2026 AFFO per-share guidance by $0.01 and now expects between $2.45 and $2.47 per share and total AFFO between $2.675 billion and $2.695 billion; the midpoint implies expected annual growth of 3.4%.
  • In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company closed the $1.16 billion Golden Entertainment sale-leaseback transaction, commenced the new lease with Clairvest at Northfield Park, and completed the acquisition of Gamehost properties in Alberta for approximately C$200 million, increasing the number of tenants to 16.
  • The Carambola Beach Resort project represents the company’s first build-to-suit investment and first real estate acquisition in the Caribbean; VICI paid $20.3 million at closing and will fund approximately $55 million of redevelopment work, with the property targeted to open under the Club Med Exclusive Collection brand in Q4 fiscal 2027.
  • Las Vegas indicators cited during the July 30, 2026 call showed continued strength in demand; gaming revenue on the Strip has exceeded the corresponding prior-year period’s levels since the beginning of fiscal 2026, while MGM reported 93% occupancy for its Strip assets during Q2 fiscal 2026. VICI owns approximately 6 million square feet of convention and exhibition space on the Strip, in addition to 50 acres behind Horseshoe and Planet Hollywood, for which it is developing a plan with Caesars regarding the potential construction of an arena tied to a possible NBA expansion team.
  • VICI’s loan portfolio generated a yield of approximately 9.5%, according to the July 30, 2026 call, with examples including the Bear Valley Hills loan priced at SOFR plus 525 basis points. The company also completed a $1.75 billion bond offering on August 14, 2026, supporting its financing capacity but increasing the importance of managing the cost and maturity profile of its debt.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Revenue rose 5.7% and AFFO per share increased 4.6% in Q2 fiscal 2026, after which management raised the lower end of its fiscal 2026 AFFO per-share guidance to a range of $2.45–$2.47.
  • +VICI completed large and diversified investments during Q2 fiscal 2026, most notably the $1.16 billion Golden Entertainment transaction and the approximately C$200 million Gamehost properties, while increasing its tenant base to 16.
  • +The Club Med project provides a new growth path beyond traditional gaming assets; the targeted $75 million investment combines the property acquisition with funding for its redevelopment, with an opening targeted for Q4 fiscal 2027.
  • +As of June 30, 2026, leverage was approximately 4.9 times net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA, below the target range of 5.0–5.5 times, while total liquidity was approximately $2.5 billion, including $288 million in cash and $2.2 billion available through the revolving credit facility.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $30.22, within a range of $27 to $34; the average is approximately 10.9% below the 52-week range high of $33.915, while the highest target slightly exceeds that high. The breadth of the targets compared with the 52-week range low of $25.75 reveals differing assessments of the impact of expected AFFO growth of 3.4% versus the 39.1% decline in net income in Q2 fiscal 2026 and the credit risks associated with certain borrowers.

BuyAnalyst target: $30.22(+21.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did VICI perform in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue reached $1.1 billion, up 5.7% year over year, and reported gross profit was $1.1 billion after rounding. Net income reached $526.5 million and earnings per share were $0.48, while net income attributable to shareholders declined 39.1%. AFFO per share increased 4.6% to $0.62, in line with Visible Alpha estimates.

What is VICI’s outlook for fiscal 2026?

The company expects AFFO between $2.675 billion and $2.695 billion in fiscal 2026. This equates to a range of $2.45 to $2.47 per diluted share after raising the lower end by $0.01. The midpoint represents expected annual growth of 3.4% and excludes future acquisitions or pending transactions without an announced closing date.

What is the significance of VICI’s transaction with Club Med?

The transaction represents VICI’s first build-to-suit investment and its first real estate acquisition in the Caribbean. The company funded the acquisition of Carambola Beach Resort in St. Croix with $20.3 million and will fund approximately $55 million of redevelopment, bringing the targeted investment to approximately $75 million. Club Med is targeting the operation of the resort under the Exclusive Collection brand beginning in Q4 fiscal 2027.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Net income attributable to shareholders fell 39.1% in Q2 fiscal 2026 despite revenue growth of 5.7%, while GAAP earnings per share declined to $0.48 from $0.82 in Q1 fiscal 2026.
  • −The tenant base remained relatively concentrated at only 16 tenants as of July 30, 2026, and analysts explicitly discussed the status of the company’s two largest tenants in the context of potential acquisition transactions, making the performance of major counterparties and the terms of their leases disproportionately influential on the portfolio.
  • −VICI has a separate loan disclosed in Q4 fiscal 2025 that remains on non-accrual status, indicating the presence of distressed credit exposure within the loan book even as management affirmed that it reviews every loan and lease quarterly.
  • −During Q2 fiscal 2026, the company modified a $90 million secured loan, representing approximately 3% of the loan portfolio, by extending its maturity and lowering its interest rate while the asset remained in the performance-ramp phase; in return, it received additional collateral and monthly amortization payments, but the modification reveals that the asset has not yet reached its originally expected performance level.
  • −Management acknowledged during the July 30, 2026 call that regional gaming operators face competition from iGaming and sports betting, and that maintaining performance requires refreshing offerings and investing in technology products and service, increasing disruption and expense risks for tenants.
  • −Expected AFFO per-share growth remains relatively limited at 3.4% at the midpoint of the fiscal 2026 range, and only the lower end of guidance was raised by $0.01; following the July 29, 2026 announcement, the stock declined 1.36% in after-hours trading, reflecting that the results and update did not exceed market expectations sufficiently.
  • Can VICI’s balance sheet fund its expansion?

    Total debt was $17.2 billion as of June 30, 2026, and net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA was approximately 4.9 times, below the target range of 5.0–5.5 times. The weighted average interest rate was 4.45% after hedging, with a weighted average maturity of 5.5 years. Liquidity was also $2.5 billion as of June 30, 2026, and the company completed a $1.75 billion bond offering on August 14, 2026.

    What are the main risks in VICI’s loan portfolio?

    In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company modified a $90 million secured loan, equivalent to approximately 3% of the loan portfolio, by extending its maturity and lowering its interest rate. In return, it obtained additional collateral and amortization payments, while interest continued to be paid in cash each month. There is also a separate loan, disclosed in Q4 fiscal 2025, on non-accrual status.

    How do analysts view VICI’s stock valuation?

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $30.22, a highest target of $34, and a lowest target of $27. The average falls within the 52-week range of $25.75–$33.915 and is approximately 10.9% below its high, while the highest target slightly exceeds the high. This consensus balances expected AFFO per-share growth of 3.4% in fiscal 2026 against the 39.1% decline in net income in Q2 fiscal 2026.