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Stocks
Via Transportation, Inc.
VIA

VIA Via Transportation, Inc.

Via Transportation, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
25.76
▼ ⁦-2.28%⁩ (-0.60)
Market Cap$2.0B
Beta1.00
52w Low52w High
12.9556.31
Last Week
⁦-6.22%⁩
Last Month
⁦+20.60%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+77.66%⁩
Last Year
—
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall36
Weak — below market medianHigh FlyerF 5/8SafeInsider cluster buyBetter than 36% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
17
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
88
29.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
56
—4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
55
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
86
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
91
—2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
92
7▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$26
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$25
⁦-5%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$19–$50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$28.67
⁦+11.3%⁩
Current Price $25.76·Median $24.50
Low
$19.00
High
$50.00
Current price
$25.76
Average target
$28.67
Street summary

Consensus Stable as Analyst Count Declines

Target estimates have not changed over the last 30 days; consensus remained at 28.67, slightly above the current price of 28.13, while the median stands at 24.5 within a wide range of 19 to 50. However, the number of analysts fell from 6 to 5, narrowing the consensus base and indicating a limited decline in coverage breadth, rather than an explicit revision to target prices.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.40
Buy
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
120%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
4
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.36 → 4.40
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-06-17
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-13
    Deutsche Bank
    —· $25.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    100.47x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    -2.0%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    29.1%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    54.4%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    39.8%
    12.9%79.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    11.06
    -10.9113.66
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Via Transportation provides an integrated platform for managing and operating public transportation, combining AI-powered software with technology-enabled operational services. Its offerings include on-demand transit, paratransit, network planning, full transit network management, specialized school transportation, while AI Labs expands the company’s scope into municipal solutions such as permit automation, snow-removal optimization, and public records request processing. Via generates revenue from software and services associated with operating these systems and uses operational data to continuously improve its software and models.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue increased 27% year over year to approximately $136 million, and the financial statements reported gross profit of $55.6 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 41%, and a GAAP net loss of $19.6 million, or $0.24 per share. The United States accounted for 76% of revenue, and its revenue grew 35%, while the number of customers increased 23% to 847 customers, including 114 customers with annualized operational revenue exceeding $1 million.

On an adjusted basis, the EBITDA margin was negative 2.5% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, compared with negative 8.5% in the corresponding period, and adjusted loss per share declined to $0.01 from $0.72. Higher non-recurring revenue and an improved mix helped raise adjusted gross margin to 41% from 40%, while Via ended the quarter with $336 million in liquidity and no outstanding debt.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The sales pipeline exceeded $700 million in total annual contract value in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, after doubling year over year for the second consecutive quarter; this figure excludes renewals and represents potential additional annual revenue from new and existing customers.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Via raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $550 million to $553 million, equivalent to growth of 26.6% to 27.3%, while maintaining adjusted EBITDA guidance at a loss of $7.5 million to $12.5 million.
  • Full-network deals are driving pipeline expansion; in the previous quarter, the company disclosed four opportunities with a total value of approximately $40 million, or about $10 million per opportunity on average, while average annualized operational revenue per customer rose to a record $641,000.
  • The school transportation business is preparing to launch a large number of projects during the summer and fall of 2026 and focuses on transporting students who are not efficiently served by traditional school buses. Management explained that this business has a positive impact on margins and that school contracts typically begin in September near the end of Q3 of fiscal year 2026.
  • AI Labs launched its first projects in 2026, including intelligent workflows, snow-removal optimization, and permit automation; one customer successfully reduced the manual time required to process public records requests by 92%. Via’s AI-powered voice system also began automating passenger calls in dozens of cities.
  • Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 11, 2026 recorded net purchases of $1.7 million, spread across eight purchases with no sales, providing a measurable signal of internal confidence.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 of fiscal year 2026 combines 27% revenue growth with a clear improvement in efficiency, as the adjusted EBITDA loss margin narrowed to negative 2.5% from negative 8.5%, and adjusted loss per share approached breakeven at $0.01.
    • +The pipeline exceeding $700 million provides a potential foundation for continued growth and does not include contract renewals; the 36% increase in the number of large customers to 114 also supports Via’s shift toward higher-value network contracts.
    • +The company has multiple defined growth drivers, including full networks, specialized school transportation, and AI Labs. The case in which public records processing time was reduced by 92% demonstrates that AI products can deliver a direct operational return to municipalities, rather than merely a theoretical technology enhancement.
    • +Liquidity of $336 million and the absence of outstanding debt give Via the capacity to fund network launches and school contracts while losses continue. This is reinforced by net insider purchases of $1.7 million across eight transactions during the three months through August 11, 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −76% of Via’s revenue in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 depends on the U.S. market, making performance sensitive to the budgets of U.S. transit agencies and municipalities. Management reported that public transit budgets generally grow at slow low-single-digit rates, with varying local pressures on spending.
    • −The pipeline of more than $700 million does not convert into revenue quickly or automatically; the typical sales cycle takes between nine and ten months, followed by implementation that takes an average of two to three months. Therefore, the growth acceleration expected by management depends on maintaining win rates and executing major launches without delay.
    • −Via faces three categories of competitors identified by management: modern technology companies, traditional software vendors with large market shares, and transit operators that may form alliances to offer full-network solutions. Via’s expansion from standalone products to managing entire networks increases the importance of competition for large and complex contracts.
    • −The company remains unprofitable under GAAP; net loss was $19.6 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 and $98.5 million during the reported twelve-month period for 2026. As a result, there is no positive price-to-earnings multiple that can be used as a traditional valuation anchor, despite the strong improvement in adjusted metrics.
    • −Q3 of fiscal year 2026 includes seasonal weakness and investments in launching networks and new school customers, so management expects an adjusted EBITDA loss of $3.5 million to $4.5 million, compared with a loss of $3.4 million in Q2. It also expects non-recurring revenue to decline from its elevated level, which could return gross margin to a level closer to previous quarters.
    • −Guidance for Q3 of fiscal year 2026 indicates revenue growth of 25.5% to 26%, slower than Q2 growth of 27%. The divergence in analysts’ targets between $19 and $50, compared with an average of $28.67, increases valuation risk because the market lacks a unified estimate of the path to profitability or the value of the network opportunities and AI Labs.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $28.67, but the wide target range of $19 to $50 reflects significant variation in estimates of growth and execution, and the average target remains far below the 52-week range peak of $56.31. The 52-week range extends from $12.95 to $56.31, and there is no positive price-to-earnings multiple because of the $98.5 million net loss during the reported twelve-month period for 2026; therefore, valuation depends more heavily on achieving revenue guidance, converting the pipeline into contracts, and reaching sustainable adjusted profitability.

    BuyAnalyst target: $28.67(+11.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving the growth of Via Transportation stock, ticker VIA?

    Via’s revenue increased 27% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 to approximately $136 million, and U.S. revenue grew 35%. The sales pipeline doubled year over year for two consecutive quarters to exceed $700 million in total annual contract value. Full-network deals, school transportation, and AI Labs are driving this expansion, while the number of customers increased to 847.

    Did Via become profitable in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Via did not achieve GAAP profitability, recording a net loss of $19.6 million and negative earnings per share of $0.24 in Q2 of fiscal year 2026. On an adjusted basis, net loss narrowed to less than $1 million, or $0.01 per share, and the EBITDA margin was negative 2.5%. Management reaffirmed its target of recording its first quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA in Q4 of fiscal year 2026.

    What is the significance of Via’s pipeline of more than $700 million?

    The pipeline represents the total annual value of opportunities that would add new revenue from existing or new customers and excludes renewals of existing contracts. The sales cycle typically takes between nine and ten months, and implementation adds an average of two to three months before revenue recognition begins. The pipeline is therefore a leading indicator of growth, but it requires Via to win and successfully implement the contracts before it converts into actual revenue.

    How does Via use artificial intelligence in its products?

    Via uses artificial intelligence in a voice system that automates passenger calls in dozens of cities and in dispatching, planning, and proactive optimization of transit networks. During 2026, AI Labs launched projects including permit automation, snow-removal optimization, and intelligent workflows for municipalities. In one case, an intelligent solution from AI Labs reduced the manual time required to process public records requests by 92%.

    What are the main financial and operational risks facing VIA?

    Via remains unprofitable under GAAP, with a net loss of $98.5 million during the reported twelve-month period for 2026, so there is no positive price-to-earnings multiple. In addition, 76% of Q2 fiscal year 2026 revenue depends on the United States, where public transit budgets generally grow at slow low-single-digit rates. The company also faces sales and implementation cycles averaging nearly a year, in addition to competition from modern technology companies, traditional software vendors, and transit operators.

    What is Via’s guidance for fiscal year 2026?

    Via raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $550 million to $553 million, representing growth of 26.6% to 27.3%. It maintained adjusted EBITDA guidance at a loss of $7.5 million to $12.5 million. For Q3 of fiscal year 2026, it expects revenue of $137.6 million to $138.2 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $3.5 million to $4.5 million.