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VEON Ltd.
VEON

VEON VEON Ltd.

VEON Ltd. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
67.87
▼ ⁦-1.87%⁩ (-1.29)
Market Cap$4.7B
Beta1.63
52w Low52w High
42.6069.50
Last Week
⁦+8.91%⁩
Last Month
⁦+27.77%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+17.95%⁩
Last Year
⁦+17.22%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Better than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
83
99.8x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
35
15.1%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
86
11.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
48
2.2x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
10
0.05%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
79
-10.9%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
88
33Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$68
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$72
⁦+6%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$70–$74⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$76
⁦+12%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦11.6⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$72–$76⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$72.00
⁦+6.1%⁩
Current Price $67.87·Median $72.00
Low
$70.00
High
$74.00
Current price
$67.87
Average target
$72.00
Street summary

VEON Stock Price Forecast Analysis

Bullish tilt

The average price target for VEON stock has seen a slight decline of 2.7% over the past 30 days, dropping from 74 to 72, with this valuation remaining unchanged for the last 21 days. Analyst dispersion reflects a narrow range between 70 and 74, indicating high consensus on the stock's fair value despite the recent downward adjustment. The current price (50.43) continues to trade at a significant discount to the average forecast.

As of 2026-06-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
6%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-06-15
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-04-16
    Redburn Partners
    —· $74.00
  • = Reiterate2026-03-13
    Benchmark
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    99.81x
    4.21x33.71x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    7.68x
    3.09x24.70x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    5.33x
    2.57x20.60x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    17.2%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.1%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -88.4%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    78.4%
    11.3%77.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    11.6%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.20x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.1%
    0.0%9.4%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    5.3%
    5.9%105.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

VEON operates as a telecommunications and digital technology group across five emerging markets, connecting more than 150 million customers through its networks, while its digital platforms reach more than 227 million users. Connectivity services form the distribution base, after which the group expands customer spending and engagement through three digital growth engines: financial services, digital lifestyle, and enterprise solutions; digital operations now account for approximately 27% of revenue. The ecosystem includes JazzCash in Pakistan and content services such as Toffee in Bangladesh, alongside artificial intelligence applications and satellite connectivity that complements terrestrial networks.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue increased 17% to $1.27 billion, comprising $929 million from telecommunications, up 7.6%, and $342 million from digital operations, up 53.6%. EBITDA reached $552 million, up 6.2%, with a margin of 43.4%; digital operations generated $123 million of this EBITDA, up 66.2%, with a 36% margin, compared with $428 million for telecommunications and infrastructure, down 3.8%, with a 46.1% margin. This mix shows that digital growth significantly outpaced growth in the traditional business, although it still relies on telecommunications networks as the primary customer access channel.

For FY2025, revenue reached $4.4 billion, compared with $4.0 billion in FY2024, and net income increased to $591 million from $487 million, following a $2.5 billion loss in FY2023. In H1 FY2026, revenue grew 17% to $2.47 billion, EBITDA increased 11.5% to $1.07 billion, while operating cash flow rose 51% to $860 million and equity free cash flow after leases and licenses increased 47.5% to $320 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its FY2026 guidance to revenue growth of between 15% and 18% and EBITDA growth of between 9% and 12%, while leaving capital expenditure guidance unchanged, supported by underlying revenue growth of 18% and adjusted operating profit growth of more than 15%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Digital operations became the clearest growth driver in Q2 FY2026; their revenue increased 53.6% to $342 million, EBITDA rose 66.2% to $123 million, and the margin reached 36%, compared with management's previous long-term estimate of between 20% and 25%. Capital expenditure represents 7% of revenue for these operations, and management expects it not to exceed this level.
  • On August 12, 2026, Banglalink obtained a Payment Service Provider license from the central bank in Bangladesh, allowing VEON to expand its financial model through Mukto Pay. The step is tied to a $250 million investment plan to replicate the group's experience in Pakistan and Uzbekistan and diversify revenue beyond traditional connectivity services.
  • JazzCash gives the group significant scale in Pakistan; it serves 60 million monthly accounts and 27 million active users, issues 225 thousand microloans daily, and has 1.6 million merchants, while its transactions are equivalent to approximately 16% of Pakistan's gross domestic product. VEON has also added TPL Insurance to its ecosystem and is working with Mastercard on AI-powered financial products across its markets.
  • Operating cash flow in Q2 FY2026 increased 238% to $463 million, and the group ended the period with $2.2 billion in liquidity and net debt, excluding leases, of $1.8 billion, with lease-adjusted leverage at 1.1 times. It completed a $1.4 billion bond issuance and extended all headquarters debt maturities to more than four years.
  • VEON has repurchased $183 million of shares since August 2024 and, starting in FY2026, committed to canceling at least $100 million of shares annually. This policy supports earnings per share and the share count, but its effect depends on continued cash flow and the group's ability to balance capital returns with investment and the repayment of high-cost debt.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +VEON's model combines telecommunications growth of 7.6% with digital growth of 53.6% in Q2 FY2026, providing a stable connectivity base and a faster, less capital-intensive digital growth engine.
    • +The economics of the digital business exceeded management's expectations, with a 36% margin and capital expenditure equal to 7% of revenue, compared with a 46.1% margin and capital expenditure equal to approximately 20% in the core connectivity business; accordingly, the cash-generating capacity of digital operations has become higher, according to management's presentation.
    • +Liquidity of $2.2 billion and lease-adjusted leverage of 1.1 times support flexibility for investment and capital returns, while the $1.4 billion bond issuance reduced pressure from 2027 maturities and extended headquarters debt maturities.
    • +Banglalink's payments license in Bangladesh provides a defined path for replicating the JazzCash model, while the partnership with Starlink enables messaging and light data connectivity in areas where terrestrial networks are disrupted; more than 6 million people used direct-to-device satellite connectivity in Ukraine during the quarter preceding Q2 FY2026.
    • +Net insider purchases of $1.1 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 7, 2026, through three purchases and no sales, strengthen the alignment of incentives with shareholders, alongside the annual share cancellation program.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Operations in Ukraine are directly exposed to war, power outages, and difficulty accessing some terrestrial infrastructure because of mines and frontline locations, increasing network continuity and operating expenditure risks even with satellite connectivity used as a complementary solution.
    • −Pakistan and Bangladesh face energy and infrastructure risks; in April and May 2026, power outages reduced data consumption in Bangladesh by 15% nationwide, while management explained that weak electricity distribution grids in both countries limit the viability of the solar farm model implemented in Ukraine.
    • −The expansion of financial services and satellite connectivity depends on regulatory approvals that vary across markets; management is seeking digital banking licenses in each market, and the Ukrainian framework had not enabled comparable financial expansion as of the July 31, 2026 call, while Starlink's entry into Pakistan and Uzbekistan is subject to government approval.
    • −The traditional business showed profitability pressure in Q2 FY2026, as telecommunications and infrastructure EBITDA declined 3.8% to $428 million, despite telecommunications revenue growth of 7.6%. In Kazakhstan, a six-percentage-point increase in value-added tax and the revenue recognition method for device and service bundles affected margins, while the prior-year comparison in Bangladesh benefited from the release of an accounting provision.
    • −The number of mobile customers remained nearly stable despite double-digit revenue growth in dollars across most markets, making continued growth more dependent on pricing, higher spending per customer, and the adoption of multiple services. Management identified limited smartphone availability, particularly in Pakistan and Bangladesh and among women, as a constraint on expanding the base of multiservice customers.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $72 and a narrow range of $70 to $74; the average is approximately 13.4% above the 52-week range high of $63.48, while the 52-week range extends from $42.60 to $63.48. The available data do not provide a usable price-to-earnings ratio, so the valuation is based on analyst targets, digital operations growth, and cash flows, while these must be weighed against war, energy, and regulatory risks and pressure on the traditional business's margins.

    BuyAnalyst target: $72(+6.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving VEON's growth in Q2 FY2026?

    VEON's revenue increased 17% to $1.27 billion in Q2 FY2026, with growth across all five markets. Telecommunications revenue grew 7.6% to $929 million, while digital revenue surged 53.6% to $342 million. Digital operations EBITDA increased 66.2% to $123 million, prompting management to raise its FY2026 revenue growth guidance to a range of 15%–18%.

    How important is JazzCash to VEON's growth story?

    JazzCash represents the most mature model of VEON's digital financial strategy in Pakistan. The platform serves 60 million monthly accounts and 27 million active users and issues 225 thousand microloans daily through a network of 1.6 million merchants. Management says the value of its transactions is equivalent to approximately 16% of Pakistan's gross domestic product, while the addition of TPL Insurance and the partnership with Mastercard support the expansion from payments into lending, insurance, and AI-powered financial products.

    How could Banglalink's license affect VEON?

    On August 12, 2026, Banglalink obtained a Payment Service Provider license from the central bank in Bangladesh. The license enables the launch and expansion of Mukto Pay as the starting point for a digital financial ecosystem under a $250 million investment plan. VEON aims to replicate its experience in Pakistan and Uzbekistan, but the pace of expansion will remain tied to execution, regulatory approvals, and smartphone adoption in Bangladesh.

    Have VEON's cash generation and balance sheet improved?

    Operating cash flow in Q2 FY2026 increased 238% to $463 million and reached $860 million in the first half, up 51%. Equity free cash flow after leases and licenses reached $320 million in the first half, an increase of 47.5%. The group ended the quarter with $2.2 billion in liquidity and net debt of $1.8 billion excluding leases, with lease-adjusted leverage at 1.1 times following a $1.4 billion bond issuance.

    What are the main operating risks facing VEON stock?

    VEON operates in markets exposed to war, energy, currency, and regulatory risks; in Ukraine, some network sites may become inaccessible because of frontlines, mines, and power outages. In April and May 2026, energy disruptions in Bangladesh led to a 15% nationwide decline in data consumption. A six-percentage-point increase in value-added tax in Kazakhstan and controls governing revenue recognition for device and service bundles also affected margins, while the expansion of financial services and satellite connectivity requires separate local approvals.

    How is VEON returning capital to shareholders?

    VEON has repurchased $183 million of shares since August 2024. Starting in FY2026, the group committed to canceling at least $100 million of shares annually under a long-term capital allocation framework. This supports a reduction in the share count, but management also intends to direct liquidity toward selective investment in financial services, in-market consolidation opportunities, and the repayment of some higher-cost debt.

  • −Reported results may include non-recurring items that make direct comparisons misleading; the comparative period's results included a $489 million gain from the sale of towers in Pakistan, while Q2 FY2026 included a $22 million non-cash loss from the revaluation of Kyivstar Group warrants. Therefore, assessing underlying momentum depends more on adjusted figures than on reported net income alone.