EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Veracyte, Inc.
VCYT

VCYT Veracyte, Inc.

Veracyte, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
40.87
▼ ⁦-2.76%⁩ (-1.16)
Market Cap$3.3B
Beta1.94
52w Low52w High
29.3860.91
Last Week
⁦-8.93%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.94%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-14.50%⁩
Last Year
⁦+34.71%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall92
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9SafeBetter than 92% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
31
29.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
91
17.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
78
7.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
96
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
73
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
60
54.5%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
42
7▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$41
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$55
⁦+35%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$44–$69⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$24
⁦-42%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.0⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$24–$55⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$57.43
⁦+40.5%⁩
Current Price $40.87·Median $55.00
Low
$44.00
High
$69.00
Current price
$40.87
Average target
$57.43
Street summary

A slight rise in consensus with clear divergence

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose to 57.43 from 55.57, an increase of 1.86 or 3.35% in one day, while the number of analysts remained at 6; this indicates a limited improvement in the outlook rather than a broader coverage base. The median price target stands at 55, within a wide range of 44 to 69 compared with the current price of 43.86, reflecting notable divergence among estimates.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+3.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.92
Buy
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
83%
High
Target dispersion
61%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
2
8
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.83 → 3.92
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Needham
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-15
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-09
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    29.19x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    22.87x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    23.90x
    3.77x30.13x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.1%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.3%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    311.8%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    71.7%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    7.7%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    20.84
    -38.7417.53
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-05 data

Company Overview

Veracyte is a molecular oncology diagnostics company that generates most of its revenue from tests that help physicians classify cancer risk and choose the appropriate treatment or monitoring. Testing revenue reached $135.1 million of total revenue of $139.1 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, or approximately 97% of revenue, driven primarily by Decipher for prostate cancer and Afirma for thyroid nodules. The company is expanding its platform through Prosigna LDT for breast cancer and TrueMRD for detecting minimal residual disease, leveraging its existing commercial channels and clinical databases.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $150.3 million, up 15% year over year and approximately 8% compared with Q1 revenue of $139.1 million. Gross profit was $108.5 million, representing a calculated gross margin of approximately 72.2%, while net income reached $25.5 million and earnings per share were $0.31. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin was also 29.2%, with those earnings growing 23% year over year.

For the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026, Veracyte recorded revenue of $561.9 million, gross profit of $403.0 million, net income of $114.5 million, and earnings per share of approximately $1.40. This represents a calculated gross margin of approximately 71.7% and a net income margin of approximately 20.4%, compared with revenue of $517.1 million and net income of $66.4 million in fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue rose 15% year over year to $150.3 million, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 23% and their margin reached 29.2%.
  • Decipher continued to drive growth; the company performed approximately 28 thousand tests in Q1 fiscal 2026, representing 24% volume growth, while high-risk disease categories grew by approximately 30%. Its position is supported by inclusion in NCCN guidelines and an evidence base that includes four phase 3 trials that have completed enrollment, including GUIDANCE, which includes more than 2,000 patients.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Afirma recorded approximately 17,200 tests in Q1 fiscal 2026, up 12%, and a roughly 400-basis-point reduction in the no-result sample rate contributed to volume growth. The company expects this improvement to add between two and three percentage points to Afirma growth during fiscal 2026.
  • On May 5, 2026, management raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $582–592 million, representing annual growth of between 13% and 14%, and raised adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin guidance to more than 26%. The guidance assumes growth of between 16% and 18% in existing testing revenue, with Decipher growing approximately 20% and Afirma between the high single digits and low double digits.
  • Prosigna LDT and TrueMRD represent additional growth paths beyond the core tests; the company estimates the number of U.S. patients eligible for Prosigna testing at approximately 225 thousand annually, while the TrueMRD evidence program includes more than 10 studies in testing or analysis, 12 studies in contracting, and 29 studies in active planning.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The business combines double-digit growth with actual profitability; revenue for the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026 rose to $561.9 million, and net income reached $114.5 million, compared with $66.4 million in fiscal 2025.
    • +Decipher still has room to expand because the company estimates that only one in three men with prostate cancer in the United States benefits from the test, while its volume grew 24% in Q1 fiscal 2026 following a long period of strong growth.
    • +Afirma's transition to the second-generation genomic analysis workflow enhanced scalability and reduced the rate of samples that do not produce a result, with the improvement adding approximately 400 basis points to volume growth in Q1 fiscal 2026, alongside an increase in the franchise's growth outlook.
    • +Liquidity provides flexibility to fund expansion; the company generated $35.2 million in operating cash flow in Q1 fiscal 2026 and ended the period with cash and short-term investments of $439.1 million, while its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin reached 30.8%.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The revenue model depends heavily on existing tests; testing revenue represented $135.1 million of $139.1 million in Q1 fiscal 2026. This means that any slowdown in Decipher or Afirma would directly affect the company's growth before new products become meaningful financial contributors.
    • −Decipher faces potential competition from digital pathology tests and AI-assisted analysis, and management explicitly discussed the emergence of newer and potentially less expensive alternatives. The company is relying on its clinical evidence and a database containing more than 350 thousand digital images, but maintaining the test's superiority requires proving that digital tools complement it rather than replace it.
    • −The success of Prosigna LDT depends significantly on the strength of the clinical evidence; management said that the OPTIMA trial needs to meet its primary endpoint and demonstrate non-inferiority to support level 1a evidence. Management was also uncertain on May 5, 2026 about the timing of publication or the results' impact on NCCN guidelines, creating adoption and insurance coverage risks.
    • −Reported revenue growth slowed from 21% in Q1 fiscal 2026 to 15% in Q2 fiscal 2026, while the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined from 30.8% to 29.2%. Although both levels remain strong, continuation of this trend could limit further guidance increases.
    • −Launching TrueMRD in muscle-invasive bladder cancer requires market education and reimbursement coverage, and management described the minimal residual disease market as largely underpenetrated. The platform includes a broad range of studies, but in the May 5, 2026 call, the company did not provide a confirmed timeline or sequence for the next commercial indication after bladder cancer.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 18, 2026 included seven sales and no purchases, for net sales of $1.2 million. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data did not specify the nature of these transactions.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $55.57, within a wide range of $44 to $69, with a consensus Buy rating. The average target is approximately 8.8% below the 52-week range high of $60.91, while the highest target exceeds that high; the wide range of targets reflects differing estimates regarding the sustainability of Decipher and Afirma growth and the success of Prosigna LDT and TrueMRD, and the data do not include a published earnings multiple that can be relied upon.

    BuyAnalyst target: $55.57(+36.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Veracyte's growth in fiscal 2026?

    Decipher and Afirma are driving most of the growth, as testing revenue rose to $135.1 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, up 26% year over year. Decipher volume grew 24% to approximately 28 thousand tests, while Afirma volume grew 12% to approximately 17,200 tests. In Q2 fiscal 2026, total revenue reached $150.3 million, representing 15% annual growth.

    Why is Decipher important to the investment thesis for VCYT?

    Decipher delivered 24% volume growth in Q1 fiscal 2026, while high-risk prostate cancer categories recorded growth of approximately 30%. The company says that only one in three men with prostate cancer in the United States currently benefits from the test, leaving room for expansion. The evidence base also includes four phase 3 trials that have completed enrollment, including GUIDANCE, which includes more than 2,000 patients.

    What is the financial impact of the Afirma improvement?

    Veracyte completed the full transition to the second-generation genomic analysis workflow in Q4 fiscal 2025. In Q1 fiscal 2026, a roughly 400-basis-point reduction in the no-result sample rate contributed to Afirma volume growth. The company expects an annual contribution of between two and three percentage points and raised its Afirma revenue growth outlook to a range extending from the high single digits to the low double digits.

    What are the opportunities for Prosigna LDT and TrueMRD?

    Prosigna LDT targets a U.S. market that the company estimates at approximately 225 thousand patients annually with early-stage, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. The test's opportunity is based on the randomized phase 3 OPTIMA trial, which included approximately 4,500 patients, but management tied the strength of the launch to meeting the primary endpoint and demonstrating non-inferiority. TrueMRD initially targets muscle-invasive bladder cancer and is supported by more than 10 studies in testing or analysis, 12 studies in contracting, and 29 studies in active planning.

    Is Veracyte profitable and does it have sufficient liquidity to expand?

    The company recorded net income of $28.7 million in Q1 fiscal 2026 and $25.5 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. Net income for the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026 was approximately $114.5 million, with earnings per share of approximately $1.40. It also generated $35.2 million in operating cash flow in Q1 and ended the period with cash and short-term investments of $439.1 million.

    What are the key risks to monitor for VCYT stock?

    Veracyte depends heavily on its testing business, which represented approximately 97% of Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue, and on continued momentum in Decipher and Afirma. Decipher also faces competition from digital pathology solutions and AI-assisted analysis, while TrueMRD requires market education and reimbursement coverage. In addition, revenue growth slowed from 21% in Q1 to 15% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined from 30.8% to 29.2%.