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Stocks
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.
VCTR

VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
110.30
▼ ⁦-0.68%⁩ (-0.76)
Market Cap$6.9B
Beta1.09
52w Low52w High
57.03123.55
Last Week
⁦-0.96%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.98%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+26.35%⁩
Last Year
⁦+54.85%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall97
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Better than 97% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
66
14.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
77
51.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
82
——Top tier
▸
Safety
71
——Top tier
▸
Capital Return
75
1.79%▼2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
96
48.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
72
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$110
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$117
⁦+6%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$91–$118⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$105
⁦-5%⁩
Sees it fairly priced
⁦9.2⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$105–$117⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$111.00
⁦+0.6%⁩
Current Price $110.30·Median $117.00
Low
$91.00
High
$118.00
Current price
$110.30
Average target
$111.00
Street summary

Revision of Price Targets for Victory Capital (VCTR) Stock

Analyst estimates for VCTR stock have seen a sharp upward revision over the last 30 days, with the average price target jumping by 15.93% to rise from 95.75 to 111. This optimism reflects expectations for continued growth in earnings per share (EPS) from 7.07 in 2026 to 8.14 by 2028, supported by a projected increase in annual revenue.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+5.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.43
Hold
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
29%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
24%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
1
1
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.43
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-23
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.72x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.11x
    2.76x22.06x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.60x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.3%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    51.5%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    33.9%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    71.1%
    23.5%98.3%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    14.5%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.29x
    0.25x7.31x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.8%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    36.0%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Victory Capital Holdings operates through a multi-boutique asset management platform and generates revenue primarily from fees linked to the size of client assets, product mix, and distribution channels; its average fee rate was 47.9 basis points in fiscal Q2 2026. Client assets reached $346 billion on June 30, 2026, allocated among U.S. equities at 31%, the Solutions platform at 32%, fixed income at 24%, and global and non-U.S. equities at 11%. Growth channels include VictoryShares ETFs, Pioneer Investments products, and international distribution in partnership with Amundi.

In fiscal Q2 2026, the company recorded EDGAR-reported revenue of $435.4 million, compared with $388.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026, net income of $139.4 million, and diluted earnings per share of $1.68; this equates to a calculated net income margin of approximately 32.0%. On the adjusted basis reported in the earnings call, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $242.7 million, with a record margin of 55.8%, while adjusted net income with the tax benefit reached $182.9 million and adjusted earnings per share reached $2.21.

Fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $1.3 billion and net income was $330.1 million, while the latest trailing-twelve-month figures reported for 2026 increased to revenue of $1.6 billion and net income of $460.9 million. The expansion in fiscal Q2 2026 came with record average assets under management of $331 billion, record long-term net inflows of $4.2 billion, completion of the Pioneer integration, and full realization of the targeted $110 million in annual expense savings.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Client assets increased to $346 billion on June 30, 2026, up 11% from fiscal Q1 2026 and 15% from the comparable period, while gross long-term flows reached $22.1 billion and net flows reached $4.2 billion, with contributions from intermediary, institutional, and international distribution channels.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The VictoryShares platform ended fiscal Q2 2026 with assets of $23.2 billion, up 54% year over year, and generated net inflows of $1.2 billion during the quarter and $2.5 billion since the beginning of fiscal 2026; the VFLO fund alone reached $7.8 billion three years after its launch.
  • Investment performance quality supported the company’s ability to attract assets through June 30, 2026; 57 mutual funds and ETFs received an overall four- or five-star rating from Morningstar, representing 60% of rated assets, while 71% of assets outperformed their benchmarks over one year and 81% over ten years.
  • Assets from clients outside the United States reached $62.6 billion at the end of fiscal Q2 2026 across 61 countries, and the international channel had positive flows during the quarter and since the beginning of the fiscal year; ETFs also became available for sale in Asia and Latin America, and the Amundi partnership exceeded management’s initial financial expectations.
  • Victory Capital announced on August 28, 2026, a plan to acquire First Eagle Investments for approximately $7 billion, with the combined company’s assets expected to reach approximately $571 billion, a significant expansion relative to client assets of $346 billion on June 30, 2026.
  • On August 6, 2026, management raised its long-term adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin guidance from 49% to 50% following completion of the Pioneer integration, while net leverage remained at 1.0 times and the term loan was repriced, reducing annual interest expense by approximately $2.5 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The financial record combines revenue growth with improved profitability; fiscal Q2 2026 revenue increased 24% year over year to $435.4 million, adjusted earnings per share rose 41% to $2.21, and the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin reached 55.8%.
    • +Organic flows became more broad-based in fiscal Q2 2026, coming from Pioneer Investments, RS Global, RS Value, and VictoryShares funds, and management described the pipeline of mandates won but not yet funded as one of the largest in the company’s history without specifying its value.
    • +Asset diversification provides better protection than a model concentrated in U.S. equities; the share of those strategies declined from approximately 80% at the time of the management buyout in 2013 to 31% on June 30, 2026, compared with 32% for Solutions, 24% for fixed income, and 11% for global and non-U.S. equities.
    • +Balance-sheet flexibility supports a combination of acquisitions and shareholder returns; net leverage was 1.0 times in fiscal Q2 2026, a $100 million revolving credit facility remained undrawn, and the company repurchased 3.2 million shares during the first half of fiscal 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The plan announced on August 28, 2026, to acquire First Eagle Investments for approximately $7 billion adds material execution, financing, and integration risks because the transaction value is close to Victory Capital’s stated market capitalization of $7.1 billion and because it aims to raise combined assets to approximately $571 billion only five quarters after completion of the Pioneer integration.
    • −Revenue depends on asset levels, mix, and fee rates, so the fiscal Q2 2026 rate of 47.9 basis points should not be considered fully sustainable; management explained that some annual fees recognized were periodic and maintained its long-term expectation at 46 to 47 basis points.
    • −The shift from 77% revenue growth in the fiscal Q1 results published on August 4, 2026, to 24% growth in fiscal Q2 2026 indicates a clear slowdown in the annual growth rate following the impact of the Pioneer expansion, even as revenue remained at a record $435.4 million.
    • −The long-term normalized adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of 50% is below the fiscal Q2 2026 margin of 55.8%, meaning that fee normalization and investment costs for products, distribution, artificial intelligence, and technology could reduce margins from the quarterly record level.
    • −Competition in asset management requires continuous spending on technology, compliance, and distribution; management identified regulatory complexity, technology requirements, and distribution scale among the industry’s structural pressures, although more than two-thirds of Victory Capital’s expenses are variable.
    • −Goldman Sachs’s Neutral rating published on August 28, 2026, reflects a degree of caution after the stock reached its 52-week high, while the range of consensus price targets extends from $91 to $118; this divergence indicates valuation sensitivity to differing assumptions regarding the transaction, fees, and flows.

    Valuation

    The average consensus price target is $111, within a wide range of $91 to $118, with an overall Buy recommendation; the average is below the 52-week range high of $123.55 and above its low of $57.03. On August 28, 2026, Goldman Sachs assigned the stock a Neutral rating and a target of $121.13, balancing consensus optimism with caution related to the rerating after strong performance and the plan to acquire First Eagle; no reliable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data to build an additional comparison.

    BuyAnalyst target: $111(+0.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove VCTR’s results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Revenue reached $435.4 million, up 12% from fiscal Q1 2026 and 24% from the comparable period, driven by record average assets under management of $331 billion and a fee rate of 47.9 basis points. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $242.7 million at a 55.8% margin, and adjusted earnings per share were $2.21. Completion of the Pioneer integration and realization of $110 million in annual expense savings supported profitability, while EDGAR-reported net income was approximately $139.4 million.

    What is the significance of the planned First Eagle acquisition for VCTR investors?

    Victory Capital announced on August 28, 2026, a plan to acquire First Eagle Investments for approximately $7 billion. The data indicate that the acquisition is expected to increase the combined company’s assets to approximately $571 billion, compared with Victory Capital’s client assets of $346 billion on June 30, 2026. This gives the transaction significant potential to expand products and clients, but makes execution, financing, and integration critical factors because the transaction value is close to the company’s stated market capitalization of $7.1 billion.

    Is VictoryShares generating meaningful organic growth?

    Assets on the ETF platform reached $23.2 billion at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, up 24% since the beginning of the fiscal year and 54% year over year. The platform generated net inflows of $1.2 billion during the quarter and $2.5 billion since the beginning of fiscal 2026, equivalent to an annualized organic growth rate of 27%. VFLO assets reached approximately $7.8 billion, while the platform maintained an average fee of 34 basis points instead of competing with passive funds on zero fees.

    How does the Amundi partnership expand Victory Capital’s international presence?

    Assets from clients outside the United States reached $62.6 billion at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, distributed across 61 countries, including 35 countries where Victory Capital’s assets exceed $100 million. The international channel had positive flows during the quarter, since the beginning of fiscal 2026, and since completion of the Pioneer transaction. The company also subadvised 23 UCITS funds, with demand across Asia, Europe, and the Middle East focused on fixed income and global and multi-asset strategies.

    What are VCTR’s key indicators of investment quality and flows?

    As of June 30, 2026, 57 mutual funds and ETFs received an overall four- or five-star rating from Morningstar, representing 60% of rated assets. 71% of assets outperformed their benchmarks over one year, 68% over three years, 65% over five years, and 81% over ten years. This was reflected in gross long-term flows of $22.1 billion and record net flows of $4.2 billion in fiscal Q2 2026.