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Stocks
Valaris Limited
VAL

VAL Valaris Limited

Valaris Limited · NYSE
Market Closed
83.73
▼ ⁦-2.31%⁩ (-1.98)
Market Cap$5.8B
Beta0.93
52w Low52w High
46.23114.12
Last Week
⁦-4.90%⁩
Last Month
⁦+7.15%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-17.24%⁩
Last Year
⁦+81.31%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall77
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 7/9Grey zoneBetter than 77% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
66
6.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
49
-13.2%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
61
21.1%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
62
1.3x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
68
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
61
70.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
72
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$84
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$75
⁦-10%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$75–$75⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$75.00
⁦-10.4%⁩
Current Price $83.73·Median $75.00
Low
$75.00
High
$75.00
Street summary

Sharp Decline in Valaris Price Target

Bearish tilt

Analysts' outlook for Valaris (VAL) has undergone a notable negative shift over the past 30 days, with the expected price target being cut by 21.88%, falling from $96 to $75. This adjustment places the price target below the current trading price of $77.57, indicating expectations of weak performance for the stock in the near term, despite a variance in previous valuations that included Sell recommendations from Pareto and Hold from Susquehanna.

As of 2026-07-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.78
Hold
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.67 → 2.78
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-02-23
    Susquehanna
    Neutral· $96.00
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-02-23
    Pareto
    Sell
  • = Reiterate2025-11-14
    Citigroup
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    6.31x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.61x
    3.36x26.89x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.74x
    2.12x16.98x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    -0.4%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -13.2%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Weak
  • EPS Growth YoY
    245.3%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    24.8%
    7.8%72.1%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    21.1%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.33x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.82
    -1.814.34
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2025-10-31 data

Company Overview

Valaris Limited provides contract offshore drilling services to oil and gas producers through a fleet of drillships and jackup rigs. Its revenue is generated from operating days, day rates, and extended contracts, in addition to revenue from rigs leased to ARO; its drillship fleet comprises 13 rigs, 12 of which are seventh-generation, while its jackup rigs provide exposure to the North Sea, Saudi Arabia, Trinidad, and Australia.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue was $539.2 million, gross profit was $123.7 million, net income was $50.4 million, and earnings per share were $0.72. This equates to a gross margin of approximately 22.9% and a net income margin of approximately 9.3%, compared with revenue of $465.4 million and a net loss of $16.4 million in Q1 FY2026; in other words, revenue increased by approximately 15.9%, and the company returned to profitability between the two periods.

Operationally, Valaris's model combines high-specification floating drillships with jackup rigs. In Q3 FY2025, the fleet achieved revenue efficiency of 95%, while jackup segment EBITDA increased year over year, supported by more operating days and higher average day rates, whereas the floater segment was affected by the expiration of the VALARIS DS-15 and VALARIS DS-18 contracts during the quarter without immediate follow-on work.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Valaris has added more than $2.2 billion to its contract backlog since the beginning of FY2025, bringing the total to $4.5 billion, including approximately $1.4 billion associated with nine combined contract years for the drillship fleet.
  • VALARIS DS-12 secured a five-well contract with BP offshore Egypt worth approximately $140 million and with an estimated duration of approximately 350 days, scheduled to begin in mid-Q2 FY2026. The contract includes options for three additional wells that could extend the total program duration to more than two years.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • All four drillships with near-term availability are now contracted for work beginning in FY2026, and management expects all ten active drillships to end FY2026 operating under contract. This is supported by advanced discussions regarding rigs whose contracts expire in the second half of FY2026, while the company is pursuing more than 30 long-term opportunities beginning in FY2026 and FY2027.
  • Fleetwide revenue efficiency reached 95% in Q3 FY2025, and the company generated $163 million of adjusted EBITDA and $237 million of adjusted free cash flow. It also repurchased $75 million of shares during the quarter and ended the period with $676 million in cash and cash equivalents.
  • Coverage of available days for active jackup rigs was approximately 80% for FY2026 and more than 60% for FY2027, while global marketed utilization for these rigs remained near 90%. In the North Sea alone, the company added more than 500 days of work through extensions and a four-month contract for VALARIS 248.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +A contract backlog of $4.5 billion provides greater visibility into future revenue, following the addition of more than $2.2 billion since the beginning of FY2025 and the securing of work beginning in FY2026 for all four drillships with near-term availability.
    • +The fleet is weighted toward higher-specification assets, with 12 of the 13 drillships belonging to the seventh generation, while management expected global utilization for this class to reach approximately 90% by the end of FY2026.
    • +Q2 FY2026 showed tangible financial improvement, with revenue growing by approximately 15.9% from the previous quarter, gross profit increasing from $92.0 million to $123.7 million, and the company moving from a net loss of $16.4 million to net income of $50.4 million.
    • +Liquidity supports capital allocation flexibility; cash and cash equivalents totaled $676 million at the end of Q3 FY2025, compared with management's estimate of a minimum requirement of approximately $200 million to operate the business, in addition to generating $237 million of adjusted free cash flow during the quarter.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Management guided for Q4 FY2025 revenue to decline to a range of $495–515 million from $596 million in the previous quarter, and for adjusted EBITDA to decrease to $70–90 million from $163 million, due to fewer operating days across the fleet.
    • −VALARIS DS-15 and VALARIS DS-18 faced an idle period after their contracts expired in Q3 FY2025, while management also did not identify new work in FY2026 for VALARIS MS-1 and VALARIS DPS-1 after the completion of their programs in Australia. Management also acknowledged that short-term work opportunities may not be sufficient to fill all available gaps before long-term contracts begin.
    • −Day rates for high-specification drillships stabilized, according to management's assessment during the Q3 FY2025 earnings call, within a range from the high $300,000s to the low or mid-$400,000s, with the possibility of additional contracts emerging within this range as the sector moves through a period of contract gaps. This limits the pace of margin improvement until expected utilization rises in the second half of FY2026.
    • −The business remains exposed to oil and gas producers' spending decisions and uncertainty in commodity prices; management noted a near-term oil surplus in Q3 FY2025, while Petrobras began discussions to seek savings across the supply chain in FY2026, without specifying the financial impact on Valaris contracts.
    • −The merger transaction with Transocean is subject to U.S. antitrust review; on August 25, 2026, Transocean confirmed that it had complied with the Department of Justice's second request for information after Valaris had also complied. Completion of this procedural step does not guarantee final approval, so the outcome of the regulatory review remains a separate risk to completing the transaction.
    • −Valuation carries risk because the analyst consensus is Neutral and the sole $75 target lacks an independent range of estimates; the highest and lowest targets are identical. This target is also approximately 34% below the 52-week range high of $114.12, reflecting caution regarding idle periods and day-rate pressure before the expected recovery in FY2026.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on VAL is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $75 and identical high and low targets of $75; therefore, the target range offers no diversity of views on which to rely. This target is approximately 34% below the 52-week range high of $114.12, while the full range extends from $46.70 to $114.12, and the data do not include a valid comparable earnings multiple; the conservative valuation reflects idle-period risks and day-rate pressure despite the contract backlog expected for FY2026.

    HoldAnalyst target: $75(-10.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does Valaris generate its revenue?

    Valaris generates its revenue primarily by providing contract offshore drilling services using drillships and jackup rigs, with results linked to operating days and day rates. It also generates revenue from rigs leased to ARO, and higher revenue from these rigs contributed to Q3 FY2025 results exceeding management guidance. Revenue in that quarter was $596 million, with fleetwide revenue efficiency of 95%.

    Why is the VALARIS DS-12 contract with BP important?

    The VALARIS DS-12 contract with BP covers five wells offshore Egypt, is worth approximately $140 million, and has an estimated duration of approximately 350 days. The contract is expected to begin in mid-Q2 FY2026 and includes options for three additional wells that could extend the program to more than two years. The contract also returned the rig to a customer for which Valaris had worked offshore Egypt as part of a seven-year operating relationship with BP.

    Did Valaris's results improve in Q2 FY2026?

    Q2 FY2026 revenue was approximately $539.2 million, compared with $465.4 million in Q1 FY2026, an increase of approximately 15.9%. Gross profit increased from $92.0 million to $123.7 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 22.9% in the latest period. The company also moved from a net loss of $16.4 million and negative earnings per share of $0.24 to net income of $50.4 million and earnings per share of $0.72.

    How large is Valaris's future contract backlog?

    Total contract backlog reached $4.5 billion during the Q3 FY2025 earnings call, after the addition of more than $2.2 billion since the beginning of the fiscal year. Drillships accounted for approximately $1.4 billion of the additions, equivalent to nine combined contract years. Coverage of available days for active jackup rigs was also approximately 80% for FY2026 and more than 60% for FY2027.

    What are the main operating risks in FY2026?

    VALARIS DS-15 and VALARIS DS-18 entered an idle period after their contracts expired in Q3 FY2025, despite having long-term contracts beginning later in FY2026. Management did not identify new work in FY2026 for VALARIS MS-1 and VALARIS DPS-1, so it decided to relocate them to Malaysia and keep them warm-stacked to reduce costs. Management also said that available short-term work opportunities may not be sufficient to fill all gaps, while day rates for high-specification drillships ranged from the high $300,000s to the low or mid-$400,000s.

    What is the status of the Valaris merger transaction with Transocean?

    On August 25, 2026, Transocean announced that it had complied with the second request for information issued by the U.S. Department of Justice regarding the merger with Valaris. Valaris had also complied with the request, meaning both parties had satisfied key procedural requirements in the antitrust review. However, this compliance does not constitute final approval, so the transaction remains subject to the Department of Justice's decision following completion of the review.