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Home
Stocks
Visa Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/8Better than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
22
31.9x▼18.2xBottom tier
▸
Growth
68
14.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
99
——Top tier
▸
Safety
47
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
61
0.16%▼2.10%Around median
▸
Momentum
82
5.6%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
61
25▲3Around median
V

V Visa Inc.

Visa Inc. · NYSE
Market Open
369.06
▼ ⁦-1.60%⁩ (-6.01)
Market Cap$700.3B
Beta0.76
52w Low52w High
293.89385.57
Last Week
⁦-2.72%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.81%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+15.45%⁩
Last Year
⁦+7.53%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$368
Analyst target · 12 analysts
$420
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$350–$466⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$238
⁦-36%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$238–$420⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 12 analysts setting price target
$422.24
⁦+14.4%⁩
Current Price $369.06·Median $420.00
Low
$350.00
High
$466.00
Current price
$369.06
Average target
$422.24
Street summary

A Slight Increase in the Target with Clear Divergence

Bullish tilt

The average price target over the last 30 days rose from 417.59 to 422.24, an increase of $4.65 or 1.11%, while it remained unchanged over the last 7 days and the last day, with the number of analysts holding steady at 12. The average is above the current price of 375.07, but the target range between 350 and 466 reflects a notable divergence in estimates, with a median of 420.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.08
Buy
Analyst coverage
40
Buy conviction
90%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
31%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time40 analysts rating
9
27
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.88 → 4.08
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-25
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    31.87x
    3.18x25.46x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    26.02x
    2.82x22.58x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    26.06x
    3.09x24.71x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.9%
    -20.5%18.5%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.4%
    -36.0%104.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    14.8%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    80.2%
    23.5%98.3%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    36.3%
    -36.5%24.8%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.44x
    0.25x7.21x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.2%
    0.6%8.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    5.0%
    9.8%97.9%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Visa Inc. operates a global payments network connecting financial institutions, merchants, and consumers, generating revenue from transaction processing, network services, cross-border payments, commercial solutions, money movement, and value-added services. In Q3 fiscal 2026, quarterly payments volume exceeded $4 trillion for the first time in the company’s history, and processed transactions rose 10% to 72 billion, with credentials growing 8% and tokenization penetration approaching 60% of e-commerce transactions globally. Commercial and money movement solutions revenue also grew 17%, while value-added services revenue increased 34% in constant currency to $3.8 billion, representing nearly one-third of the company’s quarterly revenue.

Net revenue reached $11.6 billion in Q3 fiscal 2026, up 14% year over year and 13% in constant currency, while adjusted earnings per share rose 11% to $3.32. Global payments volume grew 10%, cross-border volume excluding intra-Europe transactions grew 12%, and cross-border e-commerce volume grew 16%. By revenue component, service revenue increased 14%, data processing revenue 17%, international transaction revenue 6%, and other revenue 45%, but client incentives increased 18% and adjusted operating expenses rose 17%.

EDGAR data for Q2 fiscal 2026 shows revenue of $11.2 billion and net income of $6.0 billion, compared with revenue of $10.9 billion and net income of $5.9 billion in Q1 fiscal 2026. Fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $40.0 billion and net income was $20.1 billion, while twelve-month revenue recorded within fiscal 2026 data reached $43.0 billion and net income reached $22.2 billion. The data did not include a gross profit figure, so a documented gross margin cannot be derived, but net income in Q2 fiscal 2026 was equivalent to approximately 53.6% of reported revenue for that quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Business activity indicators in Q3 fiscal 2026 showed clear resilience: payments volume grew 10%, cross-border volume excluding intra-Europe transactions grew 12%, and processed transactions increased 10% to 72 billion, while U.S. payments volume rose 10%, with credit growing 11% and debit 9%.
  • Value-added services became a larger contributor to the mix, with revenue growing 34% in constant currency to $3.8 billion, while the issuer, acceptance, risk, and security solutions portfolios collectively grew by more than 20% in every quarter during the twelve months ended Q3 fiscal 2026. Visa also completed 1,200 consulting projects during the quarter for more than 700 clients across more than 100 countries and territories.
  • Visa continues to expand its network base in Europe; it added more than 40 million credentials during the twelve months preceding Q3 fiscal 2026 and expects to add more than 30 million additional credentials from contracts it has won over the coming years. Wins included NatWest’s entire consumer credit portfolio, while Visa’s processing penetration in Colombia exceeded 90%, up from the single digits five years ago.
  • Visa Direct transactions grew 21% to 4 billion as usage expanded at DoorDash, while commercial payments volume rose 13% and commercial and money movement solutions revenue grew 17% in constant currency. This activity was supported by agreements with Corpay, Al Rajhi Bank, and Nuvei, as well as the renewal of the 55-year relationship with Bradesco.
  • On August 4, 2026, Visa signed a definitive agreement to acquire BioCatch for $2.4 billion in cash, aiming to integrate behavioral fraud prevention technology into its security solutions. In digital assets, Visa launched Visa Stablecoin Platform, joined the OpenUSD project, and then announced on August 26, 2026, a collaboration with Shinhan Financial to test stablecoin issuance, transfers, redemptions, and corporate settlements in South Korea.
  • Visa accelerated product development using artificial intelligence; teams using agentic tools achieved an 80% increase in code commits, requirements definition time fell from 30 days to 5 days, and feature development accelerated by more than 65%. The company has more than 150 AI-powered applications and launched more than 300 major product releases during the twelve months preceding Q3 fiscal 2026, alongside agentic commerce partnerships with OpenAI and Meta.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Visa’s model combines network volume expansion with revenue streams growing faster than core payments; Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue increased 14%, while value-added services grew 34% and commercial and money movement solutions grew 17% in constant currency.
  • +Client wins provide visibility into additional network growth, with more than 40 million credentials added in Europe within one year and more than 30 million expected from signed contracts, alongside the NatWest portfolio, the Bradesco renewal, and the Grupo Aval agreement.
  • +Visa’s expansion into digital security, stablecoins, and agentic commerce broadens its service scope beyond traditional card processing; this includes the $2.4 billion BioCatch deal, Visa Stablecoin Platform, and security infrastructure for agentic payments developed in collaboration with OpenAI and Meta.
  • +Capital returns support the shareholder case; Visa repurchased $4.9 billion of shares and distributed $1.3 billion in cash dividends in Q3 fiscal 2026, with $28.4 billion remaining under its repurchase authorization at the end of June 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $419.06, within a wide range of $350 to $460, with the consensus rated Buy. The average target exceeds the upper end of the 52-week range of $385.5699, and the high target of $460 is approximately 19.3% above it, but the low target of $350 falls within the 52-week range of $293.89 to $385.5699, reflecting meaningful divergence in analyst estimates. The data did not provide a usable earnings multiple or recent reductions in Visa price targets, so the stock’s valuation here is based on the target range relative to the 52-week range and the company’s ability to balance revenue and value-added services growth against rising expenses and incentives.

BuyAnalyst target: $419.06(+13.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were Visa’s key results in Q3 fiscal 2026?

Net revenue reached $11.6 billion, up 14% year over year, and adjusted earnings per share rose 11% to $3.32. Payments volume exceeded $4 trillion for the first time in Visa’s history, with processed transactions growing 10% to 72 billion. Cross-border volume excluding intra-Europe transactions also grew 12%, and value-added services revenue increased 34% in constant currency to $3.8 billion.

What supports Visa’s growth beyond traditional consumer payments?

Commercial and money movement solutions revenue grew 17% in constant currency in Q3 fiscal 2026, and commercial payments volume increased 13%. Visa Direct transactions rose 21% to 4 billion, with expanded usage at DoorDash and agreements with Corpay, Al Rajhi Bank, and Nuvei. The consulting unit also completed 1,200 projects for more than 700 clients across more than 100 countries and territories during the same quarter.

How is Visa using artificial intelligence and agentic commerce?

Visa stated on July 28, 2026, that it operates more than 150 AI-powered applications and launched more than 300 major product releases during the preceding twelve months. Teams using the agentic toolchain achieved an 80% increase in code commits, requirements definition time fell from 30 days to 5 days, and feature development accelerated by more than 65%. In agentic commerce, Visa is working with OpenAI to secure payments and with Meta to enable payment methods across Facebook and Instagram using Visa Intelligent Commerce and digital tokens.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Adjusted operating expenses rose 17% in Q3 fiscal 2026, outpacing revenue growth of 14%, due to marketing and personnel expenses and currency effects. GAAP results also included a $563 million severance charge related to workforce changes, and management expected Q4 fiscal 2026 expense growth in the low teens as some expenses shifted into it from the prior quarter.
  • −Cross-border yields face pressure despite strong volumes; international transaction revenue grew only 6% in Q3 fiscal 2026 versus 12% growth in cross-border volume, due to lower currency volatility and a changing mix, including the typically lower yield from Visa Direct transactions compared with card transactions. Q4 fiscal 2026 guidance assumed volatility would remain near Q1 levels, creating a greater headwind than previously expected.
  • −Some growth indicators may slow after benefiting from seasonal and special factors; in the period ended July 21, 2026, growth in U.S. payments volume and processed transactions slowed to 9% each, compared with 10% growth in Q3 fiscal 2026. Management also said cross-border e-commerce levels in June and July 2026 were unusually elevated and expected them to return to a more typical relationship with travel after the effect of promotional event timing passed.
  • −Incentives associated with winning and renewing contracts create financial pressure, as client incentives rose 18% in Q3 fiscal 2026, and management expects them to grow in Q4 at a rate slightly higher than in the prior quarter after renewing business representing approximately 20% of payments volume by the end of fiscal 2026.
  • −Stablecoin and agentic commerce initiatives remain at an early stage; management explained during the Q3 fiscal 2026 call that stablecoins had not yet expanded beyond a limited number of use cases and that the timing of widespread agentic commerce adoption was difficult to predict. Investments in Visa Stablecoin Platform, OpenUSD, and agentic commerce infrastructure may therefore precede broad-based revenue generation from these products.
  • −The insider transaction signal was classified as a strong sell, with net sales of $17.6 million during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 21, 2026, comprising four sales and no purchases. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data did not specify whether those transactions were conducted under scheduled selling plans.
  • What is the significance of Visa’s acquisition of BioCatch?

    On August 4, 2026, Visa signed a definitive agreement to acquire BioCatch for $2.4 billion in cash from funds managed by Permira and other shareholders. BioCatch specializes in combating digital fraud through behavioral biometrics, and Visa intends to integrate its technology into its security solutions. The deal adds specialized capabilities to the risk and security portfolio, but it also requires substantial cash expenditure and successful integration execution.

    What is Visa’s guidance for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

    Management expects Q4 fiscal 2026 net revenue growth at the high end of the low teens and earnings per share growth at the low end of the mid-teens. For fiscal 2026, it expects revenue growth at the low end of the low teens and earnings per share growth at the low end of the mid-teens, with a tax rate ranging from 18% to 18.25%. The guidance assumes continued stability in consumer spending but includes a greater impact from lower currency volatility and slightly higher client incentive growth than in Q3.

    What are the main risks to monitor for Visa stock?

    Adjusted operating expenses rose 17% in Q3 fiscal 2026 versus 14% revenue growth, and the company recorded $563 million in GAAP severance costs. International transaction revenue also grew only 6% despite 12% growth in cross-border volume, due to currency volatility and mix, while client incentives rose 18%. In addition, management expected the unusually elevated growth in cross-border e-commerce after June and July 2026 to moderate, while stablecoins and agentic commerce remain in the early stages of adoption.