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Stocks
Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.
UVE

UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
44.33
▲ ⁦+0.25%⁩ (+0.11)
Market Cap$1.2B
Beta0.73
52w Low52w High
24.0345.14
Last Week
⁦+1.42%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.66%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+17.99%⁩
Last Year
⁦+83.49%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall95
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Better than 95% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
93
5.8x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
86
4.0%▼7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
98
——Top tier
▸
Safety
25
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
40
1.74%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
97
81.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
20
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$44
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$45
⁦+2%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$45–$45⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$415
⁦+837%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$45–$415⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$45.00
⁦+1.5%⁩
Current Price $44.33·Median $45.00
Low
$45.00
High
$45.00
Street summary

Universal Insurance (UVE) Price Target Analysis

UVE stock has seen an upward revision in its price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus rising from $40 to $45, an increase of 12.5%. However, this upgrade coincided with a downgrade of the stock by Piper Sandler from "Overweight" to "Neutral" on July 15, 2026, suggesting that the stock may have reached a stage of full valuation, especially with the current price ($44.23) trading very close to the target.

As of 2026-08-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
1
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time1 analysts rating
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months5.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-27
    Piper Sandler
    Neutral
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-15
    Piper Sandler
    OverweightNeutral
  • = Reiterate2025-12-22
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight· $40.00
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    5.84x
    3.16x25.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.85x
    2.76x22.06x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.0%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    231.4%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.7%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    10.1%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-24 data

Company Overview

Universal Insurance Holdings operates in homeowners insurance and generates revenue primarily from earned insurance premiums alongside investment income. Its growth depends on policy retention and new business generation across Florida and several other states, with territories and pricing selected according to internal profitability models. In fiscal 2026 Q2, direct premiums written were $621.3 million, direct premiums earned were $544.8 million, and net premiums earned were $377.3 million.

In fiscal 2026 Q2, the company reported EDGAR revenue of $427.0 million and net income of $59.2 million, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 13.9%, while diluted earnings per share were $2.04. Core revenue presented by management was $419.4 million, up 4.6% year over year, while adjusted diluted earnings per share rose to $1.84 from $1.23 in the comparable quarter.

The business mix in fiscal 2026 Q2 showed direct premiums written growth of 0.8% in Florida and 14.4% in other states, bringing the total increase to 4.1%. The net combined ratio declined 6.2 points year over year to 91.6%, as the net loss ratio improved 7.5 points to 64.8%, while the net expense ratio increased 1.3 points to 26.8%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Improved underwriting was the most prominent driver in fiscal 2026 Q2; the net loss ratio fell 7.5 points year over year to 64.8%, which management attributed to improved claims and litigation trends and current accident-year results.
  • Adjusted annualized return on average common equity was 33.2% in fiscal 2026 Q2, supported by underwriting performance and revenue, while adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by approximately 49.6% to $1.84 from $1.23.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Business outside Florida grew at a faster pace, with direct premiums written rising 14.4% in other states versus 0.8% in Florida during fiscal 2026 Q2, and management said it is expanding underwriting in territories where rate adequacy is improving.
  • Net premiums earned grew 4.7% to $377.3 million in fiscal 2026 Q2, benefiting from higher direct premiums earned and a lower ceded premium ratio, while increased investment income also supported core revenue growth.
  • In fiscal 2026 Q2, the company repurchased approximately 122 thousand shares for $4.5 million, with $8.6 million remaining under the existing authorization. The board also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 8, 2026, paid on August 7, 2026 to shareholders of record on July 31, 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Improved underwriting economics were evident in fiscal 2026 Q2, with the net combined ratio declining to 91.6% and the net loss ratio improving to 64.8%, helping net income reach $59.2 million.
    • +Management believes that the effects of claims practices predating Florida's legislative reforms are now behind the company and that the litigation case inventory has returned to levels seen before the litigation crisis; it also believes total reserves provide meaningful margin above expected ultimate losses.
    • +Multi-state expansion provides a path for growth, as direct premiums written outside Florida increased 14.4% in fiscal 2026 Q2, while the company continued to raise rates and open additional territories when pricing adequacy improved.
    • +The company combined core revenue growth of 4.6% with an increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share to $1.84 in fiscal 2026 Q2, alongside share repurchases and quarterly cash dividends.

    ▼ Selling Case5 pts

    • −The quality of Universal's results depends significantly on the continuation of a favorable legislative and regulatory climate in Florida; management directly attributed improved claims and litigation trends to legislative reforms, so some margin gains could weaken if that environment changes or adverse litigation trends return.
    • −Despite the improved loss ratio, the net expense ratio increased 1.3 points year over year to 26.8% in fiscal 2026 Q2 due to higher policy acquisition costs associated with growth outside Florida, which could limit the profitability benefit from multi-state expansion.
    • −Direct premiums written growth in Florida remained limited at 0.8% in fiscal 2026 Q2, while most geographic acceleration came from a 14.4% increase in other states; this makes continued growth dependent on the company's ability to find adequately priced business outside its Florida market.
    • −The analyst consensus is Neutral, and the sole $45 target nearly matches the upper end of the 52-week range of $45.15; this proximity creates valuation risk if the underwriting and profitability gains seen in fiscal 2026 Q2 do not continue.
    • −Net insider transactions during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 5, 2026 amounted to $1.6 million in sales across two sales with no purchases. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on UVE is Neutral, with a uniform target of $45; the average, high, and low targets are all $45, indicating no visible dispersion among the submitted estimates. This target is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $45.15, while the lower end is $24.09, a range reflecting substantial variation in the market's valuation during the period. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation assessment rests on the sustainability of the improvement in the combined ratio and earnings per share versus the analysts' neutral stance.

    HoldAnalyst target: $45(+1.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove UVE's earnings in fiscal 2026 Q2?

    Universal Insurance Holdings reported net income of approximately $59.2 million and diluted earnings per share of $2.04 in fiscal 2026 Q2. On an adjusted basis, diluted earnings per share rose to $1.84 from $1.23 in the comparable quarter. The improvement was driven primarily by a lower net loss ratio and higher net premiums earned and investment income.

    How did Universal Insurance Holdings improve its underwriting results?

    The net combined ratio declined to 91.6% in fiscal 2026 Q2, down 6.2 points year over year. The net loss ratio fell 7.5 points to 64.8% due to improved claims and litigation trends and current accident-year results. In contrast, the net expense ratio increased 1.3 points to 26.8% because of policy acquisition costs associated with growth outside Florida.

    Is UVE's growth coming from Florida or other states?

    Direct premiums written were $621.3 million in fiscal 2026 Q2, an overall increase of 4.1% year over year. Business in Florida grew 0.8%, while business in other states increased 14.4%. Management said it uses internal profitability models and expands underwriting when rates are adequate, while continuing to raise rates in several states.

    What impact have Florida's insurance reforms had on UVE?

    During the July 24, 2026 call, management directly linked improved claims and litigation trends to Florida's legislative reforms. It said the litigation case inventory had returned to levels seen before the litigation crisis and that the impact of claims practices predating the reforms was behind the company. Management believes this, along with more favorable reinsurance pricing, supports non-catastrophe risk margins and sustainable profitable growth.

    How did Universal Insurance Holdings return capital to shareholders in fiscal 2026?

    The company repurchased approximately 122 thousand shares at a total cost of $4.5 million during fiscal 2026 Q2. Approximately $8.6 million remained under the existing share repurchase authorization. On July 8, 2026, the board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share, paid on August 7, 2026 to shareholders of record on July 31, 2026.

    What do analysts and insider activity indicate about UVE stock?

    The analyst consensus rating is Neutral, and the average price target is $45, which is also the highest and lowest available target. The target is near the top of the 52-week range of $45.15, compared with a low of $24.09. Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 5, 2026 recorded net sales of $1.6 million across two transactions, but these sales may have been prearranged and are not sufficient on their own to support an investment thesis.