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USA Compression Partners, LP
USAC

USAC USA Compression Partners, LP

USA Compression Partners, LP · NYSE
Market Closed
27.64
▼ ⁦-0.47%⁩ (-0.13)
Market Cap$4.0B
Beta0.19
52w Low52w High
21.8530.55
Last Week
⁦+0.29%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.19%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.93%⁩
Last Year
⁦+15.75%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 6/9Better than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
58
25.8x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
90
19.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
73
11.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
34
4.4x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
16
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
65
7.3%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
88
33Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$28
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$30
⁦+9%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$29–$31⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$52
⁦+86%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦9⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$30–$52⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$30.00
⁦+8.5%⁩
Current Price $27.64·Median $30.00
Low
$29.00
High
$31.00
Current price
$27.64
Average target
$30.00
Street summary

Target stability with slight improvement

The consensus target remained stable at 30, compared with 29.67 30 days ago, an increase of 0.33 or 1.11%, while it was unchanged over the last day or seven days. The current price is 27.48, placing it below the consensus target, but the coverage base remains just one analyst; therefore, the ranges of 29 to 31 do not reflect broad dispersion among multiple analysts as much as they reflect the available estimate range.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
20%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
7%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
1
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
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    Sector Perform
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    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.83x
    3.56x28.47x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    17.55x
    3.36x26.89x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.37x
    2.12x16.98x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    9.6%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    19.9%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    62.1%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    26.6%
    7.8%72.1%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    11.9%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.39x
    0.40x3.19x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

USA Compression Partners, LP operates as a provider of natural gas compression services under operating contracts across the United States, generating most of its revenue from leasing and operating its compressor fleet for customers. Following the addition of J-W, the revenue model expanded to include compression equipment manufacturing, parts, and aftermarket services; J-W's facilities also gave the company in-house capacity to assemble between 100,000 and 125,000 horsepower annually, with other facilities used to add 20,000 to 60,000 horsepower annually when needed.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $342.1 million, up 37% from $250.1 million in the corresponding period, while net income was $45.7 million and operating income was $100.4 million. Contract operations accounted for $304.9 million, or approximately 89% of total revenue, after growing 34%, while parts and services added $22.1 million due to manufacturing and aftermarket activities associated with J-W. Adjusted gross margin was 63.5%, while cash flow from operating activities reached $145.7 million.

The company ended fiscal Q2 2026 with a fleet of approximately 4.95 million horsepower, average operating horsepower of approximately 4.45 million, and a utilization rate of 92%. Average monthly revenue per revenue-generating horsepower rose to $22.84, up 7% year over year and 0.5% from the previous quarter. Expansion capital expenditures were $46.8 million, compared with $16.9 million in maintenance capital expenditures.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue jumped 37% to $342.1 million, driven by the addition of J-W horsepower and a 7% annual increase in average revenue per revenue-generating horsepower.
  • Customers have already contracted for approximately 50% of the new units scheduled for delivery in 2027 and a mid-teens percentage of the 2028 units, providing early bookings that support multi-year demand visibility.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The plan announced on August 4, 2026 targets average annual growth of approximately 2.5% in new horsepower through 2029 and the addition of more than 500,000 horsepower by 2030, alongside approximately 850,000 operating horsepower acquired from J-W.
  • The J-W facility enables the in-house manufacturing of 100,000 to 125,000 horsepower annually and allows orders for compressors and other components to be deferred until approximately 30 to 40 weeks before assembly, reducing early commitment to the full package cost while lead times for some engines reach 200 weeks.
  • Management maintained its fiscal 2026 guidance of $770 million to $800 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, $480 million to $510 million in distributable cash flow, and $230 million to $250 million in expansion capital expenditures.
  • Insider data through August 21, 2026 showed two purchases and no sales over three months, with net activity of 262,200, providing an additional supportive signal, although it does not replace operating and cash flow indicators.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Early contracting for approximately half of the 2027 units and a mid-teens percentage of the 2028 units provides unusual commercial visibility in the gas compression market, alongside strong request-for-quotation activity and engine lead times of nearly four years.
    • +Growth combines higher volume with improved pricing; contract operations revenue rose 34% annually to $304.9 million in fiscal Q2 2026, while average revenue per revenue-generating horsepower increased 7% to $22.84 per month.
    • +J-W provides the company with approximately 850,000 operating horsepower, a broader customer base, and in-house manufacturing capacity of up to 125,000 horsepower annually, in addition to opportunities to standardize pricing, contracts, and labor costs across the combined fleet.
    • +Operating cash flow of $145.7 million in fiscal Q2 2026 supports fleet growth funding, while leverage remained at 3.72 times, below the near-term target of 3.75 times, and management indicated a distribution yield approaching 8%.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The J-W business mix pressured profitability because manufacturing and aftermarket services generate margins below the historical average for contract compression services, and management acknowledged a sequential margin decline to an adjusted gross margin of 63.5% in fiscal Q2 2026, with the expected subsequent improvement dependent on successful integration and operating techniques.
    • −The company expects additional lubricant costs of approximately $1 million per month in the second half of fiscal 2026, and contracts do not include a direct mechanism for passing through this cost increase; compensation therefore depends on contracts expiring and being renegotiated upon renewal.
    • −Fiscal Q2 2026 saw an increase in unit downtime, while management also said that idle units no longer achieve the price increases they previously did, and part of the idle horsepower inherited from J-W is still being evaluated for redeployment.
    • −Lead times for some new large engines reach 200 weeks, requiring commitments to planning and spending years before market conditions become clear; management acknowledged that estimating demand three or four years ahead is challenging despite strong customer discussions.
    • −The growth plan requires expansion spending of between $230 million and $250 million in fiscal 2026, alongside leverage of 3.72 times and net cash interest expense of $47.4 million in Q2; according to the August 4, 2026 call, extending public financing maturities would have cost approximately 50 basis points above the ABL facility, which carries an interest rate below 6%.
    • −The narrow analyst target range of $29 to $30 leaves limited room for differing scenarios, while the average target of $29.5 is only approximately 3% below the 52-week range high of $30.55; this valuation therefore assumes strong execution of the J-W plan, horsepower growth, and margin improvement.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $29.5 and a narrow range of $29 to $30. The average target is approximately 3% below the 52-week range high of $30.55 and approximately 35% above its low of $21.85, reflecting a valuation that balances revenue growth and extended contracting against margin pressure, lubricant costs, and capital expenditures.

    BuyAnalyst target: $29.5(+6.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does USA Compression Partners generate its revenue?

    The company primarily relies on natural gas compression operations under operating contracts, and this business generated $304.9 million in fiscal Q2 2026. This represented approximately 89% of total revenue of $342.1 million. The J-W platform added manufacturing, parts, and aftermarket service activities, which generated $22.1 million during the same quarter.

    What were USAC's key results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Revenue reached $342.1 million, up 37% from $250.1 million in the corresponding period, while net income reached $45.7 million. Operating income was $100.4 million, and cash flow from operating activities was $145.7 million. Adjusted gross margin was 63.5%, with a fleet utilization rate of 92%.

    Why is J-W important to USA Compression Partners' growth plan?

    J-W added approximately 850,000 operating horsepower and expanded the company's customer base and geographic reach. Its facilities can manufacture between 100,000 and 125,000 horsepower annually, with the ability to add 20,000 to 60,000 through other facilities. The in-house capacity allows the company to order the engine first and defer purchasing the compressor and remaining components until approximately 30 to 40 weeks before manufacturing. The company is using this flexibility to support its plan to add more than 500,000 horsepower by 2030.

    How visible is customer demand for USAC's new units?

    By the August 4, 2026 call, customers had contracted for approximately 50% of the new units scheduled for delivery in 2027. They had also contracted for a mid-teens percentage of the units planned for 2028. Management said request-for-quotation activity remained strong despite increased unit downtime in fiscal Q2 2026. These commitments support a plan for average annual growth of approximately 2.5% in new horsepower through 2029.

    What is USAC's fiscal 2026 guidance, and what are its capital priorities?

    Management maintained its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization range of $770 million to $800 million and its distributable cash flow range of $480 million to $510 million. It set maintenance capital expenditures at between $60 million and $70 million and expansion capital expenditures at between $230 million and $250 million. Leverage was 3.72 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, compared with a near-term target of 3.75 times. Management prioritizes funding annual horsepower growth of approximately 2.5% while maintaining distributions and a disciplined leverage profile.

    What are the main risks facing USA Compression Partners' earnings?

    The second half of fiscal 2026 carries additional lubricant costs of approximately $1 million per month, without a direct pass-through mechanism in contracts. The manufacturing and aftermarket service mix associated with J-W has also reduced margins compared with the historical average for contract compression services. Fiscal Q2 2026 saw an increase in unit downtime, while the price increases available for idle units weakened. Engine lead times of up to 200 weeks add planning risk to an expansion spending program of between $230 million and $250 million.