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Stocks
Uniti Group Inc.
UNIT

UNIT Uniti Group Inc.

Uniti Group Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
10.07
▲ ⁦+2.03%⁩ (+0.20)
Market Cap$2.4B
Beta1.40
52w Low52w High
5.3012.94
Last Week
⁦+2.23%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.79%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-12.21%⁩
Last Year
⁦+60.35%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall61
Balanced — near the middle of the marketTurnaroundF 5/9Better than 61% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
74
2.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
94
199.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
23
3.1%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
11
8.4x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
47
9.93%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
72
53.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
75
6▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$10
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$12
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$9.00–$13⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$11.50
⁦+14.2%⁩
Current Price $10.07·Median $12.00
Low
$9.00
High
$13.00
Current price
$10.07
Average target
$11.50
Street summary

Uniti Group (UNIT) Price Target Analysis

The price target for Uniti Group stock is experiencing complete stability at the $11.4 level, with no significant change over the past thirty days. This consistency, coupled with only two analysts providing price targets, reflects a state of anticipation and weak momentum in revising forecasts, as the price range varies between a minimum of $9 and a maximum of $13, indicating a divergence in the valuation of the stock's fair value compared to its current price of $10.01.

As of 2026-08-16
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.78
Hold
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
22%
Target dispersion
40%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
2
5
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.89 → 2.78
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-19
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-12
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-12
    Williams Trading
    —· $12.00
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    2.20x
    5.03x40.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.56x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -37.6%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Weak
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    199.7%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1113.6%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    27.9%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    3.1%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    8.38x
    1.55x12.39x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    9.9%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    37.5%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Uniti Group Inc. is a fiber infrastructure provider that combines Fiber Infrastructure, Kinetic, and Uniti Solutions. Fiber Infrastructure generates revenue from dark fiber, lit capacity, and Waves packages, including contracts that typically extend from 10 to 20 years for new builds and dark fiber, while lit Waves contracts generally range from 3 to 5 years. Kinetic sells fiber-to-the-home and wholesale services, while Uniti Solutions provides strategic and managed services alongside legacy copper and TDM operations that the company is working to reduce.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reported in the EDGAR filings totaled approximately $909.7 million, and the company recorded a net loss of $155.9 million and a loss per share of $0.68; the data did not include a figure for gross profit or its margin. On a unified pro forma basis, revenue declined 5% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 10% year over year, driven by declines in Uniti Solutions and legacy copper and TDM services, despite 10% growth in total fiber revenue and growth of 10% and 20%, respectively, in Fiber Infrastructure revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

The business mix showed an increasing shift toward fiber: Kinetic consumer fiber revenue grew 19% year over year, and Kinetic fiber-based revenue, including consumer and wholesale, grew 12%. Management expects unified fiscal year 2026 revenue of approximately $3.655 billion and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $1.475 billion, distributed at the guidance midpoints among $2.145 billion from Kinetic, $1 billion from Fiber Infrastructure, and $700 million from Uniti Solutions, with fiber expected to become the majority of revenue by the end of fiscal year 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Fiber Infrastructure recorded monthly recurring bookings of $2.2 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, the highest level in its history and approximately 30% above the previous record; more than 50% of new bookings came from Waves or lit capacity rather than dark fiber.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Uniti sold two notable Waves packages during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026: a 20-terabit package to a neo-cloud customer and an 18-terabit package to a superscaler customer, equivalent to 96 400-gigabit waves for two customers, while the Waves opportunity pipeline reached approximately 1.3 petabytes of data traffic.
  • Kinetic added approximately 141 thousand fiber passings and 38 thousand net fiber subscribers in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, ending the period with approximately 2.1 million passings and 603 thousand subscribers; total fiber subscribers increased 25% year over year, and penetration reached 29%.
  • Management raised its fiscal year 2026 target for new fiber passings to between 475 thousand and 525 thousand homes and expects to end the year with 2.33 million to 2.38 million passings and 675 thousand to 700 thousand fiber subscribers, with consumer fiber revenue between $635 million and $655 million, representing growth of approximately 25% to 30% from the previous year.
  • Uniti is targeting approximately $1.5 billion in construction revenue associated with enabling AI infrastructure over the next several years, supplemented by approximately $500 million in recurring revenue; the blended cash lease-up yield on core contracts reached 37%, and approximately 80% of hyperscaler business benefited from wholly or partially existing infrastructure.
  • The managed-services attachment rate increased from a low base estimated at approximately 6% of customers, excluding voice, as managed services accounted for approximately 16% of new bookings in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, supporting opportunities to increase revenue per customer and improve margins and retention.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Uniti's existing network in tier 2 and tier 3 markets provides an advantage in execution speed and cost; approximately 80% of hyperscaler business uses wholly or partially existing infrastructure, and the blended cash lease-up yield on core contracts reached a record 37%.
    • +Kinetic's business shows clear operating momentum, with consumer fiber revenue growing 19% and 38 thousand net subscribers added in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, while management believes the ultimate penetration target of 40% is achievable and potentially conservative.
    • +New demand in Fiber Infrastructure is diversified among neo-clouds at approximately 20% of quarterly bookings, superscalers at 18%, hyperscalers at 10%, and fiber-to-the-home providers at 6%, reducing reliance on a single demand category within reported bookings.
    • +The blended yield on the company's debt improved by approximately 600 basis points over three years, from approximately 12.5% in February 2023 to approximately 6.5% at the time of the July 30, 2026 call, while Kinetic's second ABS transaction could enable the repayment of up to $500 million of secured debt.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Despite growth in fiber operations, unified pro forma revenue declined 5% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 10% year over year in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, with Uniti Solutions revenue and earnings expected to continue declining at a mid-teens annual rate over the next several years due to the contraction of legacy copper and TDM services.
    • −The company recorded a net loss of $155.9 million and a loss per share of $0.68 in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, following a net loss of $70.3 million in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, highlighting the gap between operating momentum in fiber and quarterly accounting profitability.
    • −Management raised the midpoint of Kinetic's net capital expenditure guidance by $100 million to approximately $1.27 billion, while unified net capital expenditure guidance for fiscal year 2026 reached approximately $1.525 billion; this reflects high funding intensity to accelerate construction in fiscal year 2027.
    • −Kinetic faces competitive pressure from cable and telecommunications company offerings, as well as fixed wireless and LEO, and consumer fiber average revenue per user declined 2.6% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026; management expects it to decline by a low-single-digit percentage in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 before improving by a low-single-digit percentage in quarter 4.
    • −Some large dark fiber deals could slip from quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026 into early fiscal year 2027 due to long construction routes and multiple permitting authorities and contractors, representing a significant timing risk because revenue from large sales contracts is volatile and can materially affect quarterly and annual results.
    • −Management expects a modest increase in fiber material costs beginning in mid-fiscal year 2027 and beyond and believes the cost per home passed will fall at the upper end of the stated range; Waves contracts with neo-clouds and superscalers also require credit scrutiny because their terms are shorter, often closer to three years, than dark fiber contracts extending from 10 to 20 years.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus is neutral, with an average price target of $11.4 and a wide range from $9 to $13; the average is slightly below the 52-week range high of $12.938, while the highest target of $13 is close to it. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available, so UNIT's valuation depends more heavily on achieving fiscal year 2026 guidance, shifting the revenue mix toward fiber, and the company's ability to fund unified net capital expenditures of approximately $1.525 billion, while quarterly losses and deal-timing volatility remain pressure factors.

    HoldAnalyst target: $11.4(+13.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving UNIT's growth in fiscal year 2026?

    Growth is being driven by the fiber business in Fiber Infrastructure and Kinetic, as total fiber revenue increased 10% year over year in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. Fiber Infrastructure recorded monthly recurring bookings of $2.2 million, approximately 30% above the previous record, while Kinetic consumer fiber revenue grew 19%. Kinetic also added approximately 141 thousand passings and 38 thousand net fiber subscribers during the quarter.

    How is Uniti benefiting from AI-related demand?

    Uniti builds and leases dark fiber and lit capacity connecting data centers in tier 2 and tier 3 markets, where hyperscalers, neo-clouds, and superscalers require high bandwidth and low latency. In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, it sold a 20-terabit Waves package to a neo-cloud customer and another 18-terabit package to a superscaler customer. The Waves opportunity pipeline reached approximately 1.3 petabytes, while the company is targeting approximately $1.5 billion in construction revenue over the next several years and approximately $500 million in recurring revenue on top of those builds.

    What are Kinetic's targets for the end of fiscal year 2026?

    Management expects to end fiscal year 2026 with 2.33 million to 2.38 million fiber passings, increasing coverage of Kinetic's footprint to more than 50%. It is also targeting 675 thousand to 700 thousand fiber subscribers and consumer fiber revenue between $635 million and $655 million, representing growth of approximately 25% to 30% from the previous year. In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, the subscriber count reached 603 thousand and fiber penetration reached 29%, up 90 basis points year over year.

    Why did unified results decline despite fiber growth?

    Unified pro forma revenue declined 5% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 10% year over year in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026. Management attributed this primarily to the continued decline in Uniti Solutions and legacy copper and TDM services and expects Uniti Solutions revenue and earnings to contract at a mid-teens annual rate over the next several years. In contrast, Kinetic fiber-based revenue grew 12%, while Fiber Infrastructure revenue and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 10% and 20%, respectively.

    What are the main risks to executing Uniti's fiscal year 2026 guidance?

    Fiber Infrastructure results depend partly on the timing of large dark fiber deals, and management warned on July 30, 2026 that some could shift from quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026 into early fiscal year 2027. The company also raised the midpoint of Kinetic's net capital expenditure by $100 million to approximately $1.27 billion and expects unified net capital expenditures of approximately $1.525 billion. In addition, Kinetic faces pressure on average revenue per user, which declined 2.6% in quarter 2, with a low-single-digit decline expected in quarter 3 before stabilizing and improving in quarter 4.

    How does UNIT's valuation look according to analyst consensus?

    Analyst consensus is neutral, and the average price target is $11.4, with the lowest target at $9 and the highest at $13. The average target is slightly below the 52-week range high of $12.938, and the wide range of targets reveals differing assessments of the impact of fiber growth versus quarterly losses and high capital expenditures. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available, despite earnings per share of $4.258600237247924 on a trailing twelve-month basis ending in fiscal year 2026, due to differences between annual and quarterly results, including a loss of $0.68 per share in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026.