| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 71 | 36.3x | 17.3x | Top tier | |
Growth | 40 | -2.0% | 7.1% | Bottom tier | |
Quality | 49 | 4.0% | 4.5% | Around median | |
Safety | 50 | 5.7x | 2.6x | Around median | |
Capital Return | 69 | 0.00% | 0.06% | Top tier | |
Momentum | 66 | 9.7% | -1.6% | Top tier | |
Sentiment | 75 | 6 | 3 | Top tier |
The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today
82% of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.
10-year US Treasury yield 4.96% as of 2026-10-22. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) operates as a distributor of natural, organic, fresh, specialty, and conventional food products, serving retailers approximately 90% of which rely on a mix of natural and conventional products. The company targets an addressable market estimated at approximately $90 billion and generates revenue through wholesale distribution, alongside retail operations, private-label products, supplier support programs, and professional services that help customers develop their assortments and improve their competitiveness.
In fiscal 2026 Q4, revenue exceeded $7.6 billion, gross profit reached $1.1 billion, and net income was $35 million, while gross margin was 13.7%, up approximately 30 basis points year over year. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.69 versus expectations of $0.62 and a loss of $0.11 in the comparable period, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $172 million, with a margin of approximately 2.3%.
Performance varied across the business mix in fiscal 2026 Q4; core natural product sales outperformed the broader market, while core conventional product sales declined by a mid-single-digit percentage, and retail sales fell 8% due to planned actions to optimize the store network. For fiscal 2026, UNFI recorded revenue of $31.2 billion, gross profit of $4.2 billion, and net income of $84 million, while earnings per share according to EDGAR data were approximately $1.34 and reported adjusted earnings per share were $2.65.
Analyst consensus on UNFI stock is "Neutral," with an average price target of $50.75 and a wide range between $45 and $61, reflecting differing assessments of the pace of margin improvement and the sustainability of growth. The average target is below the 52-week high of $57.02, while the highest target of $61 exceeds that high, and the stock's 52-week range extends from $27.97 to $57.02. A price-to-earnings multiple is not available in the data, so the assessment rests on execution of fiscal 2027 guidance and leverage reduction versus the risks of weak revenue growth and thin distribution margins.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-14; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
UNFI recorded revenue exceeding $7.6 billion, gross profit of $1.1 billion, and net income of $35 million in fiscal 2026 Q4. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.69 versus expectations of $0.62 and a loss of $0.11 in the comparable period. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization also reached $172 million, while gross margin reached 13.7%, an increase of approximately 30 basis points.
The company expects fiscal 2027 sales between $31.2 billion and $31.8 billion, with growth of approximately 1% at the midpoint of the range. It expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $730 million and $780 million and adjusted earnings per share between $3 and $3.50. It also targets free cash flow between $275 million and $325 million and a reduction in net leverage to below 2 times by the end of fiscal 2027.
Reported sales in fiscal 2026 Q4 were affected by approximately 500 basis points from network optimization actions and approximately 150 basis points from the conclusion of a temporary project with a major customer. By contrast, productivity measures and improvements in the customer mix increased gross margin by approximately 30 basis points and helped the conventional products segment increase earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by more than 50% during fiscal 2026 despite weak core sales. Management therefore expects revenue pressure to continue in fiscal 2027 Q1, followed by a return to growth in the second half after lapping these comparisons.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
The natural products segment grew revenue by approximately 7% and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by 19% during fiscal 2026. UNFI also launched more than 130 new private-label products during the same year, focusing on health-related options and refreshing one of its core seafood brands. Management expects natural, organic, and specialty products to continue growing faster than the average of the company's portfolio during fiscal 2027.
In fiscal 2026, UNFI completed the rollout of an AI-powered supply chain and procurement planning platform across all distribution centers to improve order fulfillment, inventory management, and cash flow. It also added AI-powered features to UNFI Insights to help suppliers analyze store performance and improve demand planning. In parallel, it deployed lean daily management across 44 distribution centers and expanded the Joliet facility in Illinois with case-handling automation, but explained on September 8, 2026, that the Joliet implementation remains in its early stages.
The plan depends on moving beyond pressures from network optimization and the temporary project and returning to sales growth in the second half of fiscal 2027, after fiscal 2026 Q4 sales declined by less than 1%. The company also faces a mid-single-digit decline in core conventional product sales and an 8% drop in retail sales, alongside an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of only approximately 2.3% for the quarter. External pressures include a net fuel impact estimated by management at approximately $5 million per quarter, reductions in SNAP benefits, and the impact of GLP-1 on food volumes, as well as execution risks associated with capital investments of approximately $300 million.