EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
UMH Properties, Inc.
UMH

UMH UMH Properties, Inc.

UMH Properties, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
15.51
▼ ⁦-0.19%⁩ (-0.03)
Market Cap$1.3B
Beta0.94
52w Low52w High
13.9316.74
Last Week
⁦-4.26%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.45%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.37%⁩
Last Year
⁦-0.96%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall34
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 6/9Insider cluster buyBetter than 34% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
22
42.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
33
8.4%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
27
3.0%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
41
5.9x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
48
5.67%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
62
-0.3%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
87
33Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$16
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$18
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$18–$18⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-3.32
⁦-121%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.5⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-3.32–$18⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$17.75
⁦+14.4%⁩
Current Price $15.51·Median $17.75
Low
$17.50
High
$18.00
Current price
$15.51
Average target
$17.75
Street summary

Price Forecast Update for UMH Properties

The price target for UMH has experienced notable volatility over the past 30 days; the consensus rose from $16 to $17.5 before recently retreating from a peak of $19.17 recorded on July 6, 2026. This recent decline of 8.71% reflects a state of reassessment, although the current price target ($17.5) still trades at a premium above the market price of $15.28, with zero Dispersion among analysts as the low and high estimates settled at the same value.

As of 2026-07-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
78%
High
Target dispersion
3%
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
2
5
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-01-05
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral· $16.00
  • ⬆ Upgrade2025-12-04
    Colliers Securities
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2025-12-03
    Colliers Securities
    —· $17.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    42.61x
    5.03x40.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    102.72x
    5.89x47.13x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.25x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.4%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.4%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -14.5%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    15.1%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    3.0%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.92x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    5.7%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    732.7%
    31.2%370.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

UMH Properties, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust specializing in manufactured housing communities, with its primary driver coming from rental income from sites, homes, and related services, along with home sales and financing for certain buyers through loan origination programs. The company supports its growth by acquiring communities with vacancies, adding rental homes, and developing new sites within its existing assets; it also generates additional income from brokerage, self-storage, cable, insurance, and oil and gas rights. Its rental home inventory totaled approximately 11,200 units at 95.3% occupancy, while the portfolio had 3,200 vacant sites and 2,400 acres of vacant land at the end of fiscal Q2 2026.

In fiscal Q2 2026, net income attributable to common shareholders was $4.4 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, compared with $2.5 million and $0.03 a year earlier. Normalized funds from operations increased to $21.5 million, or $0.25 per share, representing year-over-year growth of 11% and 9%, respectively. Rental and related income reached $61.1 million, up 9%, and home sales revenue rose 10% to a quarterly record of approximately $11.5 million, demonstrating that rentals remain the largest source, with a growing contribution from sales.

Same-property revenue increased 8%, or $4.5 million, and same-property net operating income rose 9%, or $3 million, to $37.2 million in fiscal Q2 2026. This was supported by a 5% increase in site rents and a year-over-year occupancy increase of 437 units, while total occupancy improved by 97 units during the quarter to 89%. For comparison with the latest total revenue reported in EDGAR filings, fiscal Q1 2026 recorded revenue of $65.8 million and net income of $7.7 million, while fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $261.8 million and net income was $26.3 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management maintained its fiscal 2026 normalized funds from operations guidance range at $0.98 to $1.04 per share, with a midpoint of $1.01, after achieving $0.48 during the first half. The plan assumes a 5% increase in rents, the addition of 800 new rental homes, and capital raising of between $120 million and $150 million, with no assumed acquisitions or additional common share issuances through the at-the-market program.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • UMH added and leased 193 new homes during fiscal Q2 2026 and completed 360 homes during the first half. It had 150 homes ready for occupancy, approximately 300 being prepared, and 330 on order, supporting its target of 800 or more new homes during the year, with approximately 500 developed and fully paid expansion sites that can be occupied with limited additional investment.
  • Home sales reached a quarterly record of approximately $11.5 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 10%, and July 2026 sales then exceeded the prior-year level by approximately $1 million, with a $5 million sales pipeline. Management believes that facilitating small-dollar loans under the ROAD to Housing Act could increase sales, loan origination revenue, and occupancy of vacant sites, but it did not specify a precise date for the full impact to emerge.
  • The company aims to begin construction on 315 expansion sites during fiscal 2026 after starting work on 111 sites, with another project comprising 98 sites in Marysville, Ohio. Management expects future annual capacity of between 200 and 400 sites and estimated a stabilized site return of approximately 7% at a development cost of $100,000 and monthly site rent of $800. The return could rise to approximately 10% if a $30,000 home-sale profit is achieved.
  • The pressure exerted by Erez Asset Management on August 11, 2026, to explore options for selling the company became a separate catalyst for the stock because it introduced the possibility of a strategic review aimed at demonstrating asset value. This pressure does not establish that a transaction will occur, but it highlights the gap that management and the activist investor believe exists between the value of the sites and land and the company’s market value.
  • In May 2026, UMH expanded its unsecured revolving credit facility to $260 million, with a $340 million accordion feature, bringing potential capacity to $600 million and extending maturity to May 2030. The interest margin declined by approximately 35 to 40 basis points, and quarter-end liquidity included $28.6 million in cash, $220 million available under the facility, and $184 million under other lines.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The core business achieved strong organic growth in fiscal Q2 2026; rental income rose 9%, same-property net operating income increased 9%, normalized funds from operations per share grew 9%, and total occupancy improved to 89%.
    • +The internal growth inventory provides a path that does not depend entirely on acquisitions, as UMH owns approximately 500 developed and fully paid expansion sites, in addition to 3,200 vacant sites and 2,400 acres of vacant land. Occupying these sites could add revenue with relatively limited investment because the operating and interest costs associated with completed but unoccupied sites are already being charged against results.
    • +UMH’s model combines recurring rental income with growing home sales; its rental portfolio of approximately 11,200 units was 95.3% occupied, while sales reached a quarterly record of approximately $11.5 million. Selling some older rental homes and financing their replacements could generate liquidity and sales profits while modernizing the inventory.
    • +The debt structure provides some protection against interest-rate volatility, as 94% of the $789 million in total debt had fixed rates, with a weighted-average interest rate of 4.92% and an average mortgage maturity of 5.7 years. Interest coverage was also 3.1 times, and the available credit capacity supports execution of the home addition and expansion plan.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Total debt was $789 million at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, and net debt reached 5.6 times normalized earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, while fixed-charge coverage was only 2.1 times. Although 94% of the debt had fixed rates, the average mortgage interest rate increased to 4.75% from 4.52% a year earlier, making financing and refinancing costs a material risk for a capital-intensive real estate investment trust.
    • −Community operating expenses rose 10% in fiscal Q2 2026, exceeding the 9% growth in rental income, because of payroll, real estate taxes, insurance, water, and sewer costs. Management also expects expenses to grow between 6% and 7% in fiscal 2026, provided there are no major weather events or unforeseen circumstances, leaving margins exposed to cost pressures.
    • −The fiscal 2026 guidance depends on meaningful operating execution in the second half; normalized funds from operations totaled $0.48 per share in the first half, while reaching the full-year range of $0.98 to $1.04 requires generating $0.50 to $0.56 during the second half. This depends partly on reaching 800 new rental homes after completing only 360 homes in the first half, with hundreds of homes being prepared or on order.
    • −A significant part of the growth opportunity presented by management is tied to implementation of the ROAD to Housing Act, expanded availability of small-dollar loans, and approval of homes without undercarriages, but management said it did not know the specific date when the practical impact would begin. The cost of two-story manufactured homes was also unknown during the August 6, 2026 call, and estimates of $280,000 to $320,000 were approximate, adding regulatory, execution, and pricing risks.
    • −The development program carries absorption and capital risks, as management estimated the cost of a new site at approximately $100,000, and the balance sheet included more than $60 million in land development costs. Achieving the estimated return of approximately 7% requires stabilized occupancy, while reaching nearly 10% depends on realizing an assumed sales profit of $30,000 per home; returns could therefore decline if sales or occupancy slow.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $17.75, within a narrow range of $17.50 to $18, with a consensus “Buy” rating; the average is approximately 5.8% above the 52-week range high of $16.77, while the range low is $13.93. The target reflects expectations for improved normalized funds from operations and continued occupancy and sales growth, but the narrow range does not necessarily capture the risks associated with $789 million in debt or the uncertainty surrounding a potential sale, and no earnings multiple is available from the provided information to serve as an additional anchor.

    BuyAnalyst target: $17.75(+14.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving UMH’s earnings growth in fiscal 2026?

    The plan depends on increasing site rents by 5% and adding 800 new rental homes during fiscal 2026. In fiscal Q2 2026, rental and related income rose 9% to $61.1 million, and same-property net operating income grew 9% to $37.2 million. Home sales also increased 10% to approximately $11.5 million, and the company recorded normalized funds from operations of $0.25 per share.

    Can UMH achieve its fiscal 2026 normalized funds from operations guidance?

    Management maintained its guidance range at $0.98 to $1.04 per share, with a midpoint of $1.01, after achieving $0.48 in the first half of fiscal 2026. This requires generating between $0.50 and $0.56 per share during the second half. The plan assumes the addition of 800 rental homes, a 5% increase in rents, and capital raising of between $120 million and $150 million, with no acquisitions or additional common share issuances through the at-the-market program.

    How important is the ROAD to Housing Act to UMH’s business?

    Management believes the legislation will improve the availability of small-dollar loans for manufactured home buyers, potentially increasing home sales, loan origination revenue, and site occupancy. It also believes the legislation allows greater design flexibility, including two-story homes without the traditional undercarriage, and UMH and Champion Homes planned to display a model in Washington between September 22 and 24, 2026. However, management did not specify a precise date for the full commercial impact to begin, and the final cost of two-story homes was unknown during the August 6, 2026 call.

    What did UMH’s liquidity and balance sheet look like at the end of fiscal Q2 2026?

    Total debt was $789 million, 94% of which had fixed rates, with a weighted-average interest rate of 4.92%. The company held $28.6 million in cash and cash equivalents, with $220 million available under the unsecured revolving credit facility and $184 million under other lines. Net debt to normalized earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization was 5.6 times, while interest coverage was 3.1 times and fixed-charge coverage was 2.1 times.

    What is the story behind Erez Asset Management’s demand that UMH be sold?

    On August 11, 2026, Erez Asset Management urged UMH’s board of directors to explore sale options to maximize shareholder value. The demand came amid a belief that the asset value might not be fully reflected, a view that aligns with management’s statement that the company owns 3,200 vacant sites and 2,400 acres of vacant land. The information does not include a formal decision to sell the company or a binding offer, so this remains a potential catalyst rather than a confirmed outcome.

    Who has served as UMH’s chief financial officer since June 2026?

    The board of directors appointed Kevin Miller as chief financial officer, succeeding Anna Chew, who retired from the position on June 1, 2026, after 35 years of service. According to the August 6, 2026 call, Anna Chew was to remain an employee in an advisory role to support the transition of chief financial officer responsibilities and also remained a member of the board of directors. Kevin Miller had served as chief financial officer of UMH’s qualified opportunity zone fund since October 2022 and previously worked as chief financial officer of Monmouth Real Estate Investment Corporation for ten years.

  • −The strategic-review catalyst depends on the pressure publicly announced by Erez Asset Management on August 11, 2026, and the information does not include a decision by the board of directors to sell the company or an agreement with a buyer. Consequently, any market valuation reflecting the possibility of a transaction could decline if the activist investor’s demand does not develop into a process or binding offer.