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Stocks
UDR, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall48
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 8/9Better than 48% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
38
22.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
47
1.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
72
7.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
44
3.9x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
42
4.90%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
42
-2.7%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
77
7▲3Top tier
UDR

UDR UDR, Inc.

UDR, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
35.12
▼ ⁦-0.06%⁩ (-0.02)
Market Cap$11.3B
Beta0.69
52w Low52w High
32.9441.12
Last Week
⁦-4.02%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.57%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.65%⁩
Last Year
⁦-9.83%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$35
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$42
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$38–$46⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$14
⁦-61%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$14–$42⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$41.75
⁦+18.9%⁩
Current Price $35.12·Median $41.50
Low
$38.00
High
$46.00
Current price
$35.12
Average target
$41.75
Street summary

UDR Stock Price Target Update

Bullish tilt

UDR stock has seen a notable improvement in analyst expectations over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 2.21% to reach $42.13. The stock is currently trading at $37.77, a level below the lowest price target within the analyst range ($38), indicating growing confidence in the stock's market value compared to its current price.

As of 2026-08-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.32
Hold
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
41%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
23%
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
1
8
11
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.27 → 3.32
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    Goldman Sachs
    Sell
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.23x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    66.55x
    5.89x47.13x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.37x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.5%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.5%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    305.1%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    44.0%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    7.5%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.91x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.9%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    108.9%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

UDR, Inc. is a residential real estate investment trust that owns and operates apartment communities in coastal and Sunbelt markets within the United States. Income generation depends on rents, lease rate growth, occupancy, innovation income, and services and utilities provided to residents; coastal markets accounted for 75% of net operating income, compared with 25% for Sunbelt markets in Q2 FY2026. The company uses the Orion Analytics platform and operating data to price units, improve resident retention, and select assets as candidates for sale or investment.

In the latest available EDGAR filings, UDR generated Q1 FY2026 revenue of $425.8 million, net income of $189.8 million, and earnings per share of $0.57; the data did not include a gross profit figure or margin. On a trailing 12-month basis in FY2026, revenue reached $3.0 billion, net income was $490.8 million, and earnings per share were approximately $1.49, compared with revenue of $1.7 billion, net income of $377.7 million, and earnings per share of $1.13 in FY2025.

The Q2 FY2026 call showed operational improvement; same-store revenue grew 1.8%, blended lease rate growth reached 2.1%, occupancy remained in the mid-96% range, while same-store expenses increased 2.6%. Adjusted funds from operations per share were $0.64, at the high end of the company's guidance and above consensus, primarily supported by higher net operating income; resident retention also reached a seasonal record of 60%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 28, 2026, UDR raised the midpoint of its FY2026 same-store revenue growth guidance by 12.5 basis points, bringing the range to 0.75% to 2%, after blended lease rate growth reached 1.9% in the first half compared with a previous midpoint expectation of 1.75%.
  • The company raised the midpoint of its same-store net operating income growth guidance by 50 basis points, lowered the midpoint of its expense growth forecast to 3.25%, and raised its FY2026 adjusted funds from operations per share guidance by $0.01 to $2.53.
  • Coastal markets are leading performance; they delivered blended lease rate growth of 3.8% in Q2 FY2026, with San Francisco recording approximately 13% and occupancy in the high-97% range, while New York and Philadelphia posted mid-single-digit growth and occupancy in the mid-97% range.
  • Resident retention increased to 60%, up 140 basis points from the prior year, and resident turnover is trending toward 37%–38% compared with 38%–39% in the prior year and approximately 50%–51% historically during 2010–2019. Management attributed this to approximately 40 thousand resident touchpoints and a 50% year-over-year increase in four- and five-star reviews, which supported occupancy and reduced bad debt.
  • UDR repurchased approximately 5.5 million shares for $200 million in Q2 FY2026 at an average of $36.49 per share, bringing the total since September 2025 to 11.5 million shares for approximately $420 million. Meanwhile, total estimated proceeds from the sale of four communities, one completed and three under contract, reached approximately $295 million as part of expected sales activity of approximately $650 million during FY2026.
  • The company began developing a 385-apartment community in Northern Virginia with an expected stabilized yield in the mid-6% range, while the 3099 Iowa project in Riverside is two quarters ahead of its initial occupancy schedule and 5% under budget. UDR also expects a stabilized yield in the mid-6% range from this project.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Improved pricing, occupancy, and resident retention lifted results above management's expectations in Q2 FY2026 and prompted it to raise revenue, net operating income, and adjusted funds from operations per share guidance.
  • +Coastal markets, which represent 75% of net operating income, provide a clear growth driver; blended lease rates reached approximately 13% in San Francisco and 3.8% across coastal markets collectively, alongside strong occupancy in the mid- or high-97% range in several key markets.
  • +The capital allocation policy combines the sale of assets with lower growth prospects and share repurchases at what management estimated was an approximately 20% discount to net asset value, while also directing capital toward developments with an expected stabilized yield in the mid-6% range.
  • +The financial position supports execution; management stated that the balance sheet is investment-grade and liquidity is approximately $1 billion, while operating efficiency reached 43 apartments managed per employee and expected other income grew by 5%–7%.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $42.13 and a wide range of $38 to $46; the average is slightly above the top of the 52-week range of $42, while the highest target exceeds that peak by four dollars. No valid price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the stock's valuation in this context depends on analyst targets and the 52-week range, balancing the increase in FY2026 guidance against Sunbelt weakness and the phased dilution resulting from the reduction of the debt and preferred equity portfolio.

BuyAnalyst target: $42.13(+20.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What prompted UDR to raise its FY2026 guidance?

Blended lease rate growth in the first half of FY2026 exceeded management's expectations, reaching 1.9% compared with an expected midpoint of 1.75%. The company raised its same-store revenue growth range to 0.75%–2% and improved the midpoint of its expense growth guidance to 3.25%. As a result, it increased the midpoint of its net operating income growth guidance by 50 basis points and raised its adjusted funds from operations per share guidance to $2.53.

How important was San Francisco to UDR's Q2 FY2026 results?

San Francisco was the strongest market in UDR's portfolio in terms of revenue growth, with blended lease rate growth of approximately 13% and occupancy in the high-97% range. Management stated that limited supply, the return to offices, and improved shopping and restaurant activity supported demand, while revenue growth in the market reached 8%. The Oakland asset that transitioned to UDR management generated revenue growth of 14% and lease rate growth of nearly 20%, compared with 13% in the rest of the metropolitan area.

How do UDR's coastal market results differ from its Sunbelt results?

Coastal markets represent 75% of net operating income and delivered blended lease rate growth of 3.8% in Q2 FY2026. In contrast, Sunbelt markets represent 25% and recorded blended growth of negative 2% due to supply pressure. In July 2026, the Sunbelt rate improved to approximately negative 1.5%, while new lease rate growth improved from approximately negative 7% to negative 7.5% in Q2 to negative 5.5% to negative 6%.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Sunbelt markets, which represent 25% of net operating income, remain under supply pressure; blended lease rates there declined 2% in Q2 FY2026, and new lease rate growth was approximately negative 7% to negative 7.5% before improving in July 2026 to approximately negative 5.5% to negative 6%.
  • −The reduction of the debt and preferred equity portfolio has a near-term dilutive effect on earnings; management expects its balance to decline from $380 million at the end of Q2 FY2026 to $250–300 million by year-end and estimated the initial dilution at approximately $0.01 per share for every $100 million not redeployed into this activity.
  • −The Washington, D.C. area faces weakness associated with federal employment; market occupancy declined to approximately 95% or slightly below, while blended lease rate growth for UDR's portfolio there ranged between negative 1% and negative 2%, although the company's portfolio occupancy remained at 96.5%–97%.
  • −Capital recycling requires disciplined execution, as UDR expects asset sales of approximately $650 million during FY2026 while relying on repurchases, development, and acquisitions to achieve higher cash flow growth per share. Weak returns on new assets or delays in development stabilization could reduce the expected benefit from selling existing assets.
  • −The 52-week range of $32.94–42 reflects meaningful volatility, while the lowest analyst target is $38 and the highest is $46; this breadth indicates differing estimates regarding the sustainability of the coastal rent recovery, the company's ability to overcome Sunbelt supply pressures, and the earnings dilution from the debt and preferred equity portfolio.
  • −Net insider transactions during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 5, 2026, totaled approximately negative $3.1 million, with one sale and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data do not include anything proving otherwise.
  • Why is UDR reducing its debt and preferred equity portfolio?

    Management said on July 28, 2026, that competition in this activity had increased and its returns were limited, while it sees higher growth opportunities in assets it can operate through the UDR and Orion Analytics platform. The balance declined from a peak of approximately $725 million in Q1 FY2025 to $380 million at the end of Q2 FY2026, with a target of $250–300 million by the end of FY2026. Management expects initial dilution of approximately $0.01 per share for every $100 million redeployed outside the activity, but believes growth from alternative investments could limit this impact over time.

    How does UDR allocate capital between share repurchases and development?

    UDR repurchased approximately 5.5 million shares for $200 million in Q2 FY2026 at an average of $36.49 per share, bringing the total since September 2025 to approximately $420 million. At the same time, it expects asset sales to reach approximately $650 million during FY2026 at an average buyer capitalization rate in the mid-5% range. It also began developing 385 apartments in Northern Virginia and expects a stabilized yield in the mid-6% range for both this project and the 3099 Iowa project in Riverside.

    Does resident quality support UDR's cash flows?

    Resident retention reached 60% in Q2 FY2026, a seasonal record and 140 basis points above the prior year. The company expects turnover of 37%–38%, while expected collections for the second half reached 99%–99.1%. The average security deposit collected increased 20% to approximately $760 from $640, and the average credit screening score increased to approximately 730 from 710, supporting lower bad debt and stable occupancy.