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Home
Stocks
UBS Group AG
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall64
Balanced — near the middle of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Better than 64% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
53
18.5x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
53
5.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
63
——Around median
▸
Safety
9
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
43
1.65%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
95
33.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
70
33Top tier
UBS

UBS UBS Group AG

UBS Group AG · NYSE
Market Closed
54.58
▲ ⁦+1.06%⁩ (+0.57)
Market Cap$178.9B
Beta0.83
52w Low52w High
36.3055.99
Last Week
⁦-0.58%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.66%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+16.70%⁩
Last Year
⁦+36.42%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$55
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$22
⁦-59%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$19–$34⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$23.57
⁦-56.8%⁩
Current Price $54.58·Median $22.45
Low
$19.24
High
$34.00
Current price
$54.58
Average target
$23.57
Street summary

Stable Targets with a Bearish Bias

Bearish tilt

Price targets have not changed over the last 30 days; the consensus average remained at 23.57, with the number of analysts holding steady at 3. The range is between 19.24 and 34, reflecting notable divergence, and all targets are below the current price of 54.84, suggesting that the price valuation outlook remains cautious.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.33
Hold
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
27%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.33
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    18.50x
    3.16x25.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    15.54x
    2.76x22.06x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.6%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    56.1%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.6%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    30.5%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

UBS Group AG operates through an integrated banking model that combines Global Wealth Management, Asset Management, Investment Banking, and Personal & Corporate Banking in Switzerland. Its revenue comes from recurring fees on assets, advisory services, and investment mandates, transaction and trading income, and net interest income from loans and deposits; in Q2 FY2026, the Group’s invested assets reached a record $7.3 trillion, while assets under management in Asset Management exceeded $2.2 trillion.

In Q2 FY2026, underlying revenues rose 16% to $13.3 billion, reported net profit was $2.8 billion, and earnings per share were $0.87. Underlying profit before tax reached $3.9 billion, up 45%, while reported profit before tax was $3.6 billion after revenue adjustments of $352 million and integration expenses of $645 million. The bank achieved a 16.4% return on CET1 capital and a 70% cost-to-income ratio, with eight percentage points of positive operating leverage.

Global Wealth Management and the Investment Bank led growth in Q2 FY2026; Wealth Management generated profit before tax of $2 billion, up 38%, while the Investment Bank recorded record second-quarter revenues of $3.7 billion and profit before tax of $1.2 billion. Personal & Corporate Banking generated profit before tax of CHF 676 million, up 21%, and Asset Management profit before tax reached $237 million, up 9%, while the Non-core and Legacy unit recorded a loss before tax of $52 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Investment Bank revenues rose 31% to $3.7 billion in Q2 FY2026, driven by a 53% increase in Equities revenues and 55% growth in Capital Markets, with a return on attributed equity before tax exceeding 23% and no material balance sheet expansion.
  • Global Wealth Management attracted $36 billion in net new assets and $13 billion in fee-generating net new assets in Q2 FY2026. Invested assets in My Way exceeded $40 billion, up 75% year over year, supporting the expansion of recurring revenues.
  • UBS raised its forecast for net interest income growth in Global Wealth Management during FY2026 to approximately 10% compared with FY2025, based on loan growth, higher U.S. dollar rates than previously assumed, and an improved deposit mix. Management expects a modest increase in this line item during Q3 FY2026.
  • Cumulative cost savings since the end of 2022 reached approximately $12.6 billion by the end of June 2026, after an additional $1.1 billion was achieved in Q2 FY2026. More than 90% of the targeted acquisition savings have been achieved, and management continues to target $13.5 billion by the end of FY2026.
  • UBS launched a $3 billion share repurchase program to be completed no later than the end of Q2 FY2027, with the intention to repurchase at least $1 billion during the three months following the July 29, 2026 announcement. The pace and amount depend on financial performance, maintaining a CET1 ratio near 14%, and clarity regarding Swiss parliamentary deliberations on the capitalization of foreign subsidiaries.
  • UBS participated with 27 other banks in a live trial led by the Bank for International Settlements to settle cross-border payments using tokenized money, including the transfer of $1 million in real funds, according to news dated July 30, 2026. The trial aligns with the Group’s announced investments in digital assets, artificial intelligence, and technology infrastructure.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Q2 FY2026 demonstrated broad-based earnings strength, with underlying revenue growth of 16%, underlying profit before tax growth of 45%, and a 16.4% return on CET1 capital, alongside growth in profit before tax across Global Wealth Management, the Investment Bank, Personal & Corporate Banking, and Asset Management.
  • +The record $7.3 trillion in invested assets provides a large fee base, while $36 billion in net new assets in Wealth Management and increased investment mandates support recurring revenue growth and diversification away from trading activity alone.
  • +The integration of Credit Suisse was close to completion by the end of FY2026, with more than 90% of legacy business applications decommissioned and $12.6 billion in cumulative cost savings achieved. This indicates that most integration benefits have become tangible, with approximately $900 million remaining to reach the $13.5 billion savings target.
  • +The balance sheet appears capable of supporting growth and distributions, with a CET1 ratio of approximately 14.4%, a liquidity coverage ratio of 177%, and a net stable funding ratio of 115% at the end of June 2026. Total loss-absorbing capacity also reached $194 billion, despite fully accounting for the capital impact of the new $3 billion repurchase program.
  • +The bank achieved strong growth across regions in Q2 FY2026; profit before tax doubled in Asia Pacific and rose 85% in the Americas at the Group level. In Wealth Management specifically, profit before tax increased 48% in Asia Pacific, 47% in the Americas, 28% in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and 25% in the Swiss unit.

Valuation

The available analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $23.57 and a wide range from $19.24359822 to $34, but even the top of this range is below the 52-week low of $36.295, while its high is $55.15. Therefore, the consensus target does not provide an upside anchor consistent with the stated annual trading range, and caution is reinforced by Morgan Stanley maintaining its Underweight rating on July 30, 2026, despite raising its target to CHF 40; on the other hand, the $3 billion share repurchase and 45% growth in underlying profit before tax support the case for improving fundamentals.

BuyAnalyst target: $23.57(-56.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were UBS’s key results in Q2 FY2026?

Reported net profit was $2.8 billion and earnings per share were $0.87 in Q2 FY2026. Underlying revenues rose 16% to $13.3 billion, while underlying profit before tax grew 45% to $3.9 billion. The bank achieved a 16.4% return on CET1 capital and a 70% cost-to-income ratio, with eight percentage points of positive operating leverage.

How is the Credit Suisse integration within UBS progressing?

Management said on July 29, 2026, that it was approaching substantial completion of the integration by the end of FY2026, after migrating all clients and bringing the wind-down of the Non-core and Legacy unit close to completion. More than 90% of legacy business applications have been decommissioned, while cumulative savings reached $12.6 billion since the end of 2022. UBS is targeting total savings of $13.5 billion by the end of FY2026, with additional integration expenses of approximately $750 million expected in the second half of FY2026.

What supports growth in UBS’s Global Wealth Management business?

Global Wealth Management generated profit before tax of $2 billion in Q2 FY2026, up 38%, and attracted $36 billion in net new assets. Fee-generating net new assets reached $13 billion, while assets in the My Way solution exceeded $40 billion, growing 75% year over year. Recurring fee income also rose 11% to $3.7 billion, and transaction-based income increased 23% to $1.5 billion, marking the twelfth consecutive quarter of double-digit annual growth.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Completing the Credit Suisse integration remains a source of execution costs, as Q2 FY2026 absorbed $645 million in integration expenses, and UBS expects approximately another $750 million in the second half of FY2026. The 70% cost-to-income ratio also means that converting revenue growth into profit remains dependent on completing system decommissioning, simplifying the organization, and achieving the remaining savings.
  • −Part of the Investment Bank’s strong performance depends on market activity, and management acknowledged that the exceptional equity volumes in Asia during the first half of FY2026 are unlikely to continue at the same level. Within the Investment Bank, Global Markets rates and foreign exchange revenues declined 21% and advisory revenues fell 5% in Q2 FY2026, revealing unevenness across business lines and the possibility of slowing momentum if equity volumes ease.
  • −Wealth Management in the Americas faces a lagged impact from the departures of financial advisors whose moves had previously been announced; their number declined 2% year over year and 1% quarter over quarter in Q2 FY2026. Management expects these moves to continue affecting flows for several quarters, despite expecting net new assets in the Americas to remain positive during FY2026.
  • −Asset Management revenues declined 2% in Q2 FY2026 due to the absence of O'Connor fees following its sale at the end of FY2025, with continued margin pressure and a negative impact from valuation changes. Management expects similar effects from the sale on revenue and expense comparisons in Q3 and Q4 FY2026.
  • −UBS faces regulatory and reputational risks following the $20 million FINRA fine on August 3, 2026, for failures in anti-money laundering monitoring related to certain foreign exchange transactions. Addressing deficiencies in systems and controls may increase compliance burdens, even if the fine is limited relative to the Group’s size.
  • −There is a clear contradiction in valuation signals: the analyst consensus is Buy, but Morgan Stanley maintained its Underweight rating on July 30, 2026, which anticipates underperformance relative to the sector, despite raising its target to CHF 40. The average consensus target of $23.57 and the highest target of $34 are also below the lower end of the 52-week range of $36.295, making the available analyst targets inconsistent with the stated market range and limiting their usefulness as a standalone bullish anchor.
What is UBS’s outlook for net interest income and costs in FY2026?

UBS expects net interest income in Global Wealth Management to grow by approximately 10% during FY2026 compared with FY2025, supported by loan growth, higher U.S. dollar rates, and an improved deposit mix. For Q3 FY2026, it expects a modest increase in net interest income for Wealth Management and flat to slightly higher net interest income in Personal & Corporate Banking. On costs, the Group is targeting cumulative savings of $13.5 billion by the end of FY2026 after reaching $12.6 billion in June 2026.

How large is UBS’s share repurchase program, and what constraints apply to it?

UBS announced a new $3 billion share repurchase program on July 29, 2026, to be completed no later than the end of Q2 FY2027. The Group intends to repurchase at least $1 billion during the three months following the announcement, and fully accounting for the program reduced the CET1 ratio by approximately 60 basis points in Q2 FY2026. The timing and pace of execution will depend on performance, the outlook, maintaining a CET1 ratio near 14%, and clarity regarding Swiss parliamentary deliberations on the capitalization of foreign subsidiaries.

What are the main regulatory and operational risks facing UBS?

FINRA imposed a $20 million fine on UBS on August 3, 2026, for failures in anti-money laundering monitoring systems for certain foreign exchange transactions. Operationally, the bank still expects approximately $750 million in integration expenses in the second half of FY2026, despite the Credit Suisse integration program nearing completion. Management also warned that geopolitical developments and energy price volatility could increase uncertainty regarding inflation and interest rates and affect investor sentiment and market activity.