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Home
Stocks
CVR Partners, LP
UAN

UAN CVR Partners, LP

CVR Partners, LP · NYSE
Market Open
132.61
▼ ⁦-2.41%⁩ (-3.27)
Market Cap$1.4B
Beta0.15
52w Low52w High
84.13139.50
Last Week
⁦-0.99%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.83%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+8.01%⁩
Last Year
⁦+45.95%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Better than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
89
8.7x▲17.9xTop tier
▸
Growth
44
17.5%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
79
21.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
63
1.6x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
49
—2.11%Around median
▸
Momentum
92
40.2%▲2.7%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
53
—3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$133
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$243
⁦+83%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
—
Current Price $132.61
Analyst coverage
6
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2020-01-16
    Goldman Sachs
    BuyNeutral
  • ⬆ Upgrade2018-03-05
    Cowen & Co.
    Market PerformOutperform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2017-03-20
    Goldman Sachs
    NeutralBuy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    8.75x
    4.94x39.55x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.68x
    2.58x20.65x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    10.3%
    -21.4%9.2%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.5%
    -21.2%91.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    82.2%
    -260.1%198.3%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    33.5%
    7.6%58.9%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    21.0%
    -52.9%20.1%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.59x
    0.22x3.73x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

CVR Partners, LP produces nitrogen fertilizers and primarily sells UAN and ammonia from its Coffeyville and East Dubuque facilities. Revenue depends on production and sales volumes and realized fertilizer prices, so results are affected by planting seasons, operating costs, and global supply availability; in Q2 FY2026, the company sold approximately 333 thousand tons of UAN at an average of $392 per ton and approximately 54 thousand tons of ammonia at an average of $791 per ton.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue was $202.2 million, gross profit was $93.2 million, net income was $77.5 million, and earnings per unit were $7.33. This represents a gross profit margin of approximately 46.1% and a net income margin of approximately 38.3%, compared with revenue of $180.0 million, gross profit of $67.5 million, and net income of $49.9 million in Q1 FY2026.

EBITDA in Q2 FY2026 was approximately $107 million, benefiting primarily from a 24% increase in the price of UAN and a 33% increase in the price of ammonia year over year, despite slightly lower sales volumes. The ammonia plants achieved a 99% utilization rate and produced 214 thousand gross tons of ammonia and 342 thousand tons of UAN, while the board of directors of the general partner approved a variable distribution of $6.08 per common unit for that quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Higher fertilizer prices supported Q2 FY2026 results; the price of UAN increased by 24% and the price of ammonia increased by 33% year over year, which was the primary factor behind EBITDA reaching $107 million.
  • The two ammonia plants achieved a 99% utilization rate in Q2 FY2026 with limited downtime, enabling the production of 214 thousand gross tons of ammonia and 342 thousand tons of UAN.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Management reported on July 30, 2026, that the summer fill programs for ammonia and UAN resulted in a strong order book for the second half of 2026 at prices it described as attractive, with prepayments for fall ammonia arriving earlier than in the prior year.
  • The East Dubuque expansion is expected to add up to 5% to ammonia production capacity, while the Coffeyville project is intended to enable natural gas as an alternative to third-party petroleum coke, with no anticipated production downtime and likely completion in the second half of 2027.
  • The company benefits from a feedstock cost gap; during the July 30, 2026 call, management noted that European natural gas was near $19 per million British thermal units, compared with less than $3 in the United States, supporting the competitiveness of U.S. producers with lower-cost feedstock.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 FY2026 results demonstrated clear operational and earnings strength, with 99% ammonia utilization, a gross profit margin of approximately 46.1%, and net income of $77.5 million.
    • +The order book described as strong for the second half of 2026 provides a degree of commercial visibility, following buyers' return to the market during the summer fill programs and increased purchasing activity after the June 2026 slowdown.
    • +The East Dubuque and Coffeyville projects could increase capacity, reliability, and feedstock flexibility; the East Dubuque expansion targets an increase of up to 5% in ammonia capacity, while the Coffeyville project requires no anticipated downtime and is estimated to cost less than half of the original estimate.
    • +The company ended Q2 FY2026 with total liquidity of $187 million, including $137 million in cash and $50 million available under the ABL facility, and generated $64 million of cash available for distribution after requirements and reserves.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The planned East Dubuque turnaround is expected to reduce ammonia utilization to between 75% and 80% in Q3 FY2026, with turnaround expenses ranging from $30 million to $35 million and capital expenditures ranging from $40 million to $49 million.
    • −Price sensitivity in demand emerged in Q2 FY2026, as some customers shifted purchases away from UAN when its price premium over other nitrogen fertilizers widened, while total sales volumes also declined slightly year over year.
    • −Nitrogen fertilizer prices declined after the spring 2026 planting season in line with the seasonal pattern, threatening a decline in realized prices from the elevated levels that boosted EBITDA in Q2 FY2026.
    • −Direct operating expenses, excluding inventory effects, increased by approximately $4 million year over year in Q2 FY2026 due to higher maintenance and repair, catalyst, and electricity costs.
    • −Distributions depend on operating performance, prices, capital expenditures, and reserves determined by the board of directors of the general partner and may therefore vary significantly from quarter to quarter; management also expects to continue retaining a portion of cash during the project implementation period.
    • −The analyst consensus on UAN is Neutral, while the 52-week range extends from $84.13 to $139.50; the wide range reflects repricing risks associated with the cyclicality of fertilizer prices and volatility in earnings and distributions.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on UAN is Neutral, indicating a balance between the strength of Q2 FY2026 earnings and the risks of the planned turnaround and fertilizer price cyclicality. The 52-week range extends from $84.13 to $139.50, a wide range consistent with net income moving from a loss of $10.3 million in Q4 FY2025 to a profit of $77.5 million in Q2 FY2026.

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove CVR Partners' earnings in Q2 FY2026?

    Revenue was $202.2 million, net income was $77.5 million, and EBITDA was approximately $107 million in Q2 FY2026. The price of UAN increased by 24% and the price of ammonia increased by 33% year over year, with higher prices being the primary driver of the improvement in EBITDA. The 99% ammonia utilization rate helped produce 214 thousand gross tons of ammonia and 342 thousand tons of UAN.

    Can CVR Partners maintain Q2 FY2026 production in the following quarter?

    Management expects an ammonia utilization rate of between 75% and 80% in Q3 FY2026, down from 99% in the previous quarter. This is due to the planned turnaround at the East Dubuque facility, with estimated turnaround expenses of between $30 million and $35 million. The company also expects direct operating expenses, excluding inventory and turnaround effects, of between $57 million and $62 million.

    What is the impact of the East Dubuque and Coffeyville projects on CVR Partners?

    During the East Dubuque turnaround, the company intends to carry out an expansion project targeting an increase of up to 5% in ammonia production capacity. The Coffeyville project aims to enable the use of natural gas as an alternative to third-party petroleum coke, with likely completion in the second half of 2027 and no anticipated production downtime. Management said on July 30, 2026, that the expected project cost had fallen to less than half of the original estimate after revising the scope and eliminating the need for the adjacent hydrogen plant.

    How sustainable are UAN distributions following the Q2 FY2026 distribution?

    The board of directors of the general partner approved a distribution of $6.08 per common unit for Q2 FY2026, after generating $64 million of cash available for distribution. However, CVR Partners is a variable-distribution partnership, and its payments vary according to performance, product prices, capital expenditures, and reserves. Management expects to retain some capital during the project implementation period, while the estimate for total 2026 capital expenditures ranges from $85 million to $95 million.

    What are the key demand risks for UAN and ammonia in the second half of 2026?

    Demand for UAN weakened late in the 2026 planting season when its price increased relative to other nitrogen fertilizers, and some customers shifted to alternatives. Nevertheless, buyers returned during the fill programs, which were completed for ammonia in late June 2026 and for UAN in early July 2026, and management described the order book for the second half of 2026 as strong. Prices remain exposed to seasonality and changes in global supply, and fertilizer prices declined after spring 2026 as the market reset during the summer.