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Under Armour, Inc.
UA

UA Under Armour, Inc.

Under Armour, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
4.99
▲ ⁦+3.10%⁩ (+0.15)
Market Cap$2.1B
Beta1.59
52w Low52w High
3.957.91
Last Week
⁦-0.80%⁩
Last Month
⁦-15.85%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-12.91%⁩
Last Year
⁦+0.81%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall14
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 1/8Grey zoneBetter than 14% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
44
—17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
9
-3.6%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
29
-12.8%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
41
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
95
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
31
27.7%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
92
8▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$4.99
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$5.50
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$5.50–$5.50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$5.50
⁦+10.2%⁩
Current Price $4.99·Median $5.50
Low
$5.50
High
$5.50
Street summary

Forecast Stability Analysis for Under Armour

Under Armour stock shows a state of complete stability in analyst estimates over the past 30 days, as the average price target settled at 5.5 dollars, representing a very slight price premium of 1.8% over the current price (5.4 dollars). Notably, there is a total lack of Dispersion among the six analysts, as the high and low target prices converged at 5.5 dollars, reflecting an exceptional consensus on the stock's fair value in the near term.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.67
Hold
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
4
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.86 → 2.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-13
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $5.50
  • = Reiterate2024-03-14
    Williams Trading
    —· $8.00
  • ⬇ Downgrade2024-03-14
    Evercore ISI Group
    Underperform
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    41.83x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    -3.8%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -3.6%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -622.7%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    46.8%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    -12.8%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Below average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.97
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

Under Armour designs, markets, and sells athletic performance apparel, footwear, and accessories, generating revenue through wholesale channels, direct-to-consumer sales from stores and e-commerce, and licensing. The company focuses on training, team sports, running, and sportswear, and is reducing its product count and directing investment toward specific platforms including HeatGear, Velociti, and StealthForm, with the aim of increasing full-price sales and reducing reliance on discounting.

In Q1 fiscal 2027, revenue declined 3% to $1.1 billion, gross profit was $593.8 million at a gross margin of 54.1%, while net income was $545 thousand and GAAP diluted earnings per share were at break-even. Operating income was $47 million, or $52 million excluding transformation and restructuring expenses, exceeding management's guidance range of $30–40 million.

The Q1 fiscal 2027 mix reflected sharp disparities across markets and channels: North America declined 9% and Asia-Pacific 7%, versus growth of 12% in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa and 8% in Latin America. Wholesale declined 2% and direct-to-consumer sales 6%, including a 12% drop in e-commerce and 3% in owned stores; apparel also declined 2%, footwear 8%, and accessories 4%. For fiscal 2026, the company generated revenue of $5.0 billion and gross profit of $2.3 billion, but recorded a net loss of $495.6 million and negative earnings per share of $1.16.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 7, 2026, management lowered its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook to a mid-single-digit decline, but maintained its adjusted operating income outlook at $140–160 million; this tests whether expense reductions and operating discipline can protect profitability despite weak demand.
  • Gross margin in Q1 fiscal 2027 increased by 590 basis points to 54.1%, supported by approximately 640 basis points from IEEPA tariff refunds and 50 basis points from other supply chain benefits, offset by pressure from currencies, mix, and markdowns.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Bouncy Tee, launched in May 2026, performed above management's expectations while selling at its full price of $65, and management indicated higher repeat purchases. The company is using this product as a model for integrating NEOLAST innovation with cultural design and marketing, alongside SlipSpeed, StealthForm Hats, and No Weigh Backpack products.
  • Under Armour completed a 25% reduction in its Fall/Winter 2026 assortment compared with two years earlier and is targeting an additional 25% reduction within 18 months of the August 7, 2026 call. The plan aims to increase productivity per style, improve the availability of successful products, and reduce inventory that ends up in discount channels.
  • The company ended Q1 fiscal 2027 with inventory of $1.1 billion, down 3% year over year, and cash of $396 million, with $200 million drawn from its revolving credit facility. It also reported that most IEEPA refunds had been collected and that it expects positive free cash flow during fiscal 2027.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q1 fiscal 2027 showed that cost control can offset part of the sales weakness; adjusted operating income was $52 million, exceeding the upper end of management's guidance by $12 million, while maintaining the fiscal 2027 outlook of $140–160 million.
    • +Reported margin quality improved clearly, with gross margin reaching 54.1% in Q1 fiscal 2027, and management expects annual expansion of 220–270 basis points. Even excluding the estimated approximately 150-basis-point benefit from IEEPA refunds for the year, management expects improvement supported by pricing, lower markdowns, and an improved channel mix.
    • +The response to Bouncy Tee at its full price of $65 provides practical evidence of Under Armour's ability to sell an innovative product without relying on discounts, while base-layer products remained strong across regions and channels and the Velociti platform continued to demonstrate its technical appeal among runners.
    • +The 3% inventory reduction to $1.1 billion, alongside the reduction in product count, gives the company an opportunity to build a simpler, more productive assortment. Management plans to work through the natural selling cycle instead of liquidating less productive products all at once, which could limit markdown pressure on the brand.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Weak demand remains the most significant risk; Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue declined 3%, management lowered its full-year outlook to a mid-single-digit decline, and it also expects Q2 revenue to fall at a high-single-digit rate.
    • −Weakness extends across key channels and categories: direct-to-consumer sales declined 6% and e-commerce 12% in Q1 fiscal 2027, while footwear declined 8%, apparel 2%, and accessories 4%. This indicates that the success of Bouncy Tee and some new products has not yet translated into a broad demand recovery.
    • −Under Armour faces a highly competitive and promotional environment in North America, Europe, and China; in China, results were hurt by stockouts of key styles and sizes and by some licensees diverting demand through steep discounts. Management also indicated that competitors were liquidating inventory, making it more difficult to protect full pricing without sacrificing sales volume.
    • −The strength of Q1 fiscal 2027 margin depends heavily on a nonrecurring benefit, as IEEPA refunds contributed approximately 640 basis points to a total improvement of 590 basis points. Management expects Q2 margin to be similar to the prior year, with adjusted operating income between $10 million and $20 million and an adjusted loss per share between $0.01 and $0.03.
    • −The fiscal 2027 outlook includes an expected negative impact of approximately $35 million from the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, in addition to an assumption of 10% tariffs from July 2026 through the end of the fiscal year. Changes in tariffs or worsening supply chain disruptions could reduce the expected margin improvement.
    • −Annual GAAP profitability remains weak; the fiscal 2026 loss was approximately $495.6 million, while trailing-twelve-month data through fiscal 2027 show a loss of $492.5 million and negative earnings per share of $1.14. Therefore, there is no positive price-to-earnings multiple available as a conventional valuation anchor, while analyst consensus remains Neutral.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus is Neutral, with an average price target of $5.50 and identical high and low targets of $5.50; this target is within the 52-week range of $3.95–7.9067 and approximately 30% below its high. No positive price-to-earnings multiple is available because of losses, as the fiscal 2026 loss was approximately $495.6 million and the trailing-twelve-month loss through fiscal 2027 remained at $492.5 million. Therefore, valuation hinges on the success of the shift toward full-price sales and achievement of the adjusted operating income outlook, weighed against the reduced revenue outlook and continued Neutral consensus.

    HoldAnalyst target: $5.5(+10.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did Under Armour lower its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook?

    Management said on August 7, 2026 that shopper traffic had weakened since late May 2026, particularly in North America, China, and Southeast Asia. North America revenue declined 9% and Asia-Pacific revenue 7% in Q1 fiscal 2027, while e-commerce fell 12%. Therefore, the company revised its revenue outlook from a slight decline to a mid-single-digit decline, while declining to pursue demand through deeper discounts.

    How did Under Armour maintain its profitability outlook despite lowering its sales forecast?

    Adjusted operating income was $52 million in Q1 fiscal 2027, exceeding the guidance range of $30–40 million. The company also increased gross margin to 54.1% and revised its full-year adjusted selling, general, and administrative expense outlook to a low-single-digit decline. Based on cost control and reducing marketing spending toward the low end of the range of 10%–11% of revenue, management maintained its adjusted operating income outlook at $140–160 million.

    Does Bouncy Tee prove that Under Armour's full-price strategy is working?

    Under Armour launched Bouncy Tee in May 2026 at a full retail price of $65, and management said it exceeded expectations and generated repeat purchases. The product uses NEOLAST fibers and combines performance attributes with a design that can be worn in and outside sports. However, total apparel revenue remained down 2% in Q1 fiscal 2027, so the product represents early evidence rather than a comprehensive category turnaround.

    What impact does the product-count reduction plan have on Under Armour's inventory?

    The company reduced its Fall/Winter 2026 assortment by 25% compared with two years earlier and is targeting an additional 25% reduction within 18 months of the August 7, 2026 call. Inventory was $1.1 billion at the end of Q1 fiscal 2027, down 3% year over year and at a rate similar to the revenue decline. Management explained that it will remove less productive products through the natural selling cycle, while purchasing larger quantities of new and successful products to maintain availability.

    What are the main regional risks facing UA stock in fiscal 2027?

    Management expects North America revenue to decline at a mid-single-digit rate, after falling 9% in Q1 fiscal 2027 because of weak wholesale orders, store traffic, and e-commerce. In Asia-Pacific, it expects a low-single-digit decline after a 7% first-quarter decrease, with weakness in China and Southeast Asia, stockouts of some sizes, and competition from licensee discounts. It also lowered its outlook for Europe, the Middle East, and Africa to a low-single-digit decline, despite 12% growth in the region in the first quarter, because of competition, promotions, and weakness among some consumers.

    What does insider activity at Under Armour indicate?

    The available data provide a Buy signal, with one purchase transaction and no sale transactions recorded during the three months ended August 11, 2026. Recorded net activity totaled 100,180.85 during that period. These data represent a limited positive signal, but they do not negate the reduced revenue outlook or the net loss of $495.6 million in fiscal 2026.