EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Twilio Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeBetter than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
15
38.9x▼17.4xBottom tier
▸
Growth
87
17.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
71
13.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
92
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
50
0.00%▼0.18%Around median
▸
Momentum
100
130.6%▲1.3%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
61
17▲3Around median
TWLO

TWLO Twilio Inc.

Twilio Inc. · NYSE
Market Open
273.00
▼ ⁦-2.64%⁩ (-7.41)
Market Cap$42.6B
Beta1.41
52w Low52w High
99.23308.40
Last Week
⁦-6.11%⁩
Last Month
⁦+17.18%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+28.79%⁩
Last Year
⁦+172.75%⁩
Fair Value
Current price⁦$280⁩
  • Analyst targets
    6 analysts
    ⁦$255⁩
    ⁦−9%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$192⁩–⁦$330⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+18%⁩
  • Value at the industry multiple
    Next year's earnings × ⁦18.2⁩, median of 88 companies
    ⁦$114⁩
    ⁦−59%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$69⁩–⁦$271⁩⁩
  • Discounted cash flow modelLow confidence
    ⁦11.6%⁩ discount rate · follows analysts' earnings estimates, then ⁦2%⁩ growth
    ⁦$85⁩
    ⁦−70%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$74⁩–⁦$100⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦−47%⁩

The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today

  • Value with no growth
    Today's after-tax operating profit, held flat forever, at a ⁦11.6%⁩ discount rate
    ⁦$26⁩
    ⁦−91%⁩

⁦91%⁩ of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.

0
methods value it above the price
1
methods near the price
2
methods value it below the price

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.31%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-05⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$254.65
⁦-6.7%⁩
Current Price $273.00·Median $255.00
Low
$192.00
High
$330.00
Current price
$273.00
Average target
$254.65
Street summary

Slight Decline in Consensus Amid Widening Divergence

Bearish tilt

Twilio’s average price target fell to 254.65 from 257.38 over the last 7 and 30 days, a decline of 2.73 or 1.06%, while the number of analysts remained at 6. The range is between 192 and 330, reflecting wide divergence; the current price of 286.98 is also above the consensus and median of 255, but below the highest target.

As of 2026-09-28
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.93
Buy
Analyst coverage
30
Buy conviction
83%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
51%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time30 analysts rating
6
19
3
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.74 → 3.93
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-24
    HSBC
    HoldReduce
  • = Reiterate2026-09-22
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    38.95x
    7.32x58.55x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    44.73x
    5.31x42.49x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    96.31x
    4.62x36.97x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    2.4%
    -60.3%11.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.8%
    -20.7%65.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    7100.0%
    -169.4%186.1%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    48.5%
    13.2%79.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    13.2%
    -63.2%26.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.0%1.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    13.84
    -10.0214.24
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-08-28Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Twilio Inc. provides cloud communications infrastructure that enables companies to manage customer interactions across Messaging, Voice, WhatsApp, RCS, and email, alongside software products such as Verify, Branded Calling, and Conversation Intelligence. The company generates revenue from communication-channel usage volumes and software add-ons, with its cross-selling strategy encouraging customers to combine multiple channels and products on the Twilio platform. In Q2 fiscal 2026, self-service revenue growth exceeded 30%, independent software vendor revenue growth exceeded 25%, and software add-on revenue increased by more than 25%.

Twilio reported record revenue of $1.50 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 22% year over year on a reported basis and 17% organically after excluding incremental increases in U.S. carrier fees. Gross profit according to EDGAR was approximately $725.9 million, equivalent to a gross margin of about 48.4%, while the company reported non-GAAP gross profit of $736 million and a margin of 49.1%. Non-GAAP operating income reached a record $285 million, while free cash flow reached $353 million.

Net income according to EDGAR was approximately $1.1 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, but this figure benefited from a one-time non-cash gain of $944 million resulting from the release of a valuation allowance related to deferred tax assets; therefore, the entire increase does not represent a recurring operational improvement. The company recorded GAAP operating income of $85 million after a $33 million impairment of a prepaid asset. In terms of the growth mix, Messaging revenue increased by 28%, Voice by more than 20%, and Verify by more than 30%, while the dollar-based net expansion rate reached 116%, including a contribution of approximately five points from carrier fees.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 6, 2026, Twilio raised its organic revenue growth range for fiscal 2026 to 13%–13.5% from 9.5%–10.5%, raised its reported growth range to 18%–18.5% from 14%–15%, and increased its non-GAAP operating income and free cash flow guidance to $1.135–$1.155 billion for each.
  • The new conversations platform became generally available and includes Conversation Memory, Conversation Orchestrator, Conversation Intelligence, Conversation Relay, and Agent Connect. The Car Finance 247 pilot converted into a seven-figure deal, while its assistant Carla handled approximately 300 thousand conversations and accelerated the conversion of engaged users into qualified leads by 1.6 times, with a multimillion-dollar annual increase in revenue according to management's presentation.
  • The new Twilio Console, launched in May 2026, delivered an improvement of more than 90% in conversion rates compared with the previous interface, and most of the existing customer base had migrated to it by the August 6, 2026 call. Management says that easier experimentation, AI-guided onboarding, and credits available for testing multiple products support customer acquisition, but it clarified that the new interface's contribution to multi-product revenue during Q2 fiscal 2026 was very limited.
  • Voice AI demand is converting into actual production volumes, with Voice growth in the self-service channel exceeding 50% year over year. Management provided the example of a conversational AI customer that reached an annual revenue run rate of $6 million and 65% growth, and another that grew from spending $200 thousand in Q1 fiscal 2024 to becoming a $9 million customer, with its software add-on growth reaching 100%.
  • Large deals supported broader platform usage, including an eight-figure deal with an AI company and seven-figure deals with Eltropy, a home improvement retailer, and an HR and payroll technology platform. Olo also signed a cross-sell deal to expand Messaging and Voice, while Atlassian used Twilio's infrastructure, Flex SDK, and Super Network within the Customer Service Management application.
  • Non-GAAP gross profit growth accelerated to 18% in Q2 fiscal 2026, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of acceleration, supported by higher-margin products and cost efficiency. Non-GAAP operating income increased 29% to $285 million, while stock-based compensation declined to 9.5% of revenue, down 270 basis points year over year.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The Q2 fiscal 2026 trajectory combines 17% organic revenue growth, 18% non-GAAP gross profit growth, and 29% non-GAAP operating income growth, indicating business expansion alongside improving operating leverage in dollar terms.
  • +Twilio benefits as AI customers expand from Voice into Messaging and software add-ons; Voice grew by more than 20%, software add-ons grew by more than 25%, Branded Calling and Conversation Intelligence posted triple-digit growth, and Verify growth exceeded 30%.
  • +Broader usage within the existing customer base improves the quality of growth, as the dollar-based net expansion rate reached 116%, multi-product customer revenue growth accelerated, and the segment of customers each worth more than $1 million grew by more than 20%.
  • +Cash generation supports the company's ability to return capital and invest in the platform; free cash flow reached $353 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company spent $66 million on share repurchases, with approximately $800 million remaining under the existing authorization.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on TWLO is “Buy,” with an average price target of $257.38 and a wide range between $192 and $330; the average is near the top of the 52-week range of $258.353, compared with a low of $98.44. No displayed price-to-earnings ratio is available, and Q2 fiscal 2026 net income included a one-time non-cash tax gain of $944 million, so organic growth and free cash flow metrics appear more informative than accounting earnings per share alone. Target increases following the August 2026 results balance faster organic growth and higher cash flow guidance on one hand against carrier-fee pressure and the possibility of slower Q3 fiscal 2026 growth on the other.

BuyAnalyst target: $257.38(-5.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Twilio's growth in fiscal 2026?

Q2 fiscal 2026 growth came from several channels, as reported revenue increased 22% to $1.50 billion and grew organically by 17%. Messaging revenue increased by 28%, Voice by more than 20%, and software add-ons by more than 25%, while Verify growth exceeded 30%. Self-service also grew by more than 30% and independent software vendors by more than 25%, showing that the acceleration did not depend on a single product. Based on first-half performance, the company raised its organic growth guidance for fiscal 2026 to 13%–13.5%.

How does Twilio benefit from voice AI?

Twilio provides the voice infrastructure, communication channels, and software add-ons that AI companies use to launch real customer conversations. In Q2 fiscal 2026, Voice growth in the self-service channel exceeded 50%, while Branded Calling and Conversation Intelligence posted triple-digit growth. Management cited a customer that began with low six-figure quarterly spending and then reached an annual revenue run rate of $6 million and 65% growth. It also explained that AI-related demand was more evident in Voice through August 6, 2026, while its impact on Messaging remained at an earlier stage.

Why are the new conversations platform and Twilio Console important?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Increases in U.S. carrier fees are pressuring Twilio's margins and its customers, particularly small businesses; incremental fees reached $71 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 and reduced non-GAAP gross margin to 49.1%, down 160 basis points year over year. The company expects approximately $250 million in annual pass-through fees to reduce non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal 2026 by about 210 basis points compared with fiscal 2025, despite having no effect on gross profit dollars or free cash flow.
  • −Q3 fiscal 2026 guidance points to a slowdown from the previous quarter, as the company expects organic growth of 11% to 12% compared with 17% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and reported growth of 16% to 16.5% compared with 22%. Management also warned of tougher comparisons for Voice and software add-ons during the second half of fiscal 2026 and said that exceeding expectations by more than five percentage points in each of the previous two quarters should not be regarded as a permanent pattern.
  • −Twilio operates in an ecosystem that may combine partnership and competition with model providers, systems-of-record platforms, and applications; management acknowledged that parties such as OpenAI could be a customer, partner, or competitor depending on the situation, and that companies such as Salesforce and ServiceNow could enter into an integration or coopetition relationship. Twilio's thesis depends on the neutrality of its platform and its integration with multiple models, data stores, and clouds, but expansion by these parties into the conversations layer could test the company's ability to retain its position in the value chain.
  • −The quality of accounting earnings in Q2 fiscal 2026 includes non-recurring items; net income benefited from a $944 million non-cash release of a tax valuation allowance, while operating income absorbed a $33 million asset impairment. Therefore, net income of approximately $1.1 billion and EDGAR earnings per share of $6.68 are not sufficient on their own to measure sustainable operating profitability.
  • −The range of analyst targets from $192 to $330 reflects wide variation in estimates of TWLO's value, while the average target of $257.38 is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $258.353. With no displayed price-to-earnings ratio available, the valuation assessment becomes more dependent on the sustainability of AI growth and the achievement of free cash flow guidance, increasing repricing risk if growth slows or margin pressure persists.
  • −Net insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 17, 2026, was approximately negative $1.1 billion, with no purchases recorded versus 44 sales. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context does not specify whether those transactions were subject to scheduled selling plans.

The conversations platform includes Conversation Memory, Conversation Orchestrator, Conversation Intelligence, Conversation Relay, and Agent Connect, and became generally available in 2026. The Car Finance 247 pilot resulted in a seven-figure deal, while the Carla assistant handled approximately 300 thousand conversations and accelerated the conversion to qualified leads by 1.6 times. The redesigned Twilio Console was launched in May 2026 and delivered an improvement of more than 90% in conversion compared with the previous interface. However, management said that the new interface's contribution to multi-product revenue during Q2 fiscal 2026 was very limited, leaving its broader financial impact unproven so far.

Why did Twilio's margin decline despite gross profit growth?

Non-GAAP gross profit reached $736 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 18%, but the margin declined to 49.1%. This was primarily due to $71 million in incremental increases in U.S. carrier fees, which reduced the margin by 160 basis points year over year. Without those fees, the margin would have increased by 60 basis points year over year and 30 basis points sequentially. Twilio expects pass-through fees to reduce non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal 2026 by approximately 210 basis points compared with fiscal 2025.

Is Twilio's Q2 fiscal 2026 net income repeatable?

EDGAR data showed net income of approximately $1.1 billion and earnings per share of $6.68 in Q2 fiscal 2026. However, net income benefited from a one-time non-cash gain of $944 million resulting from the release of a valuation allowance on deferred tax assets. The company also recorded GAAP operating income of $85 million after a $33 million impairment of a prepaid asset. Therefore, metrics such as non-GAAP operating income of $285 million and free cash flow of $353 million provide a clearer view of operating performance for that quarter.

What are the key figures to monitor after the Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

Twilio is targeting Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue between $1.505 billion and $1.515 billion, equivalent to reported growth between 16% and 16.5% and organic growth between 11% and 12%. It expects non-GAAP operating income between $285 million and $295 million for that quarter. For fiscal 2026, it is targeting organic growth between 13% and 13.5%, with non-GAAP operating income and free cash flow each between $1.135 billion and $1.155 billion. The dollar-based net expansion rate, which reached 116% in Q2 fiscal 2026 and included approximately five points from carrier fees, remains an important indicator of spending expansion among existing customers.