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Tetra Tech, Inc.
TTEK

TTEK Tetra Tech, Inc.

Tetra Tech, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
36.49
▲ ⁦+2.18%⁩ (+0.78)
Market Cap$9.5B
Beta0.89
52w Low52w High
25.8143.14
Last Week
⁦+1.62%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+30.69%⁩
Last Year
⁦+0.41%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall74
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 7/9SafeBetter than 74% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
50
22.0x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
54
-7.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
72
16.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
79
1.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
32
0.73%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
60
-5.7%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
68
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$36
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$37
⁦+1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$37–$37⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$30
⁦-17%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦8.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$30–$37⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$37.00
⁦+1.4%⁩
Current Price $36.49·Median $37.00
Low
$37.00
High
$37.00
Street summary

Tetra Tech (TTEK) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

The price target for Tetra Tech stock saw a positive revision over the last 24 hours, with the average forecast rising from $35 to $37, an increase of 5.71%. This adjustment, which had remained stable throughout the past thirty days prior to this update, reflects increasing analyst optimism regarding the stock's fair value compared to its current price of $32.45. However, a high concentration of opinion is noted as the current price target relies on only one analyst, which eliminates statistical Dispersion but increases the sensitivity of the forecast to an individual opinion.

As of 2026-07-30
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.88
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
63%
Mixed
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
2
3
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.88 → 3.88
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-04-30
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $35.00
  • = Reiterate2026-01-29
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $43.00
  • = Reiterate2025-11-14
    RBC Capital
    Outperform· $48.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.98x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    22.00x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.14x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.9%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -7.6%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Weak
  • EPS Growth YoY
    618.8%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    18.8%
    8.6%54.6%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    16.0%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.19x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.7%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    15.9%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.52
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Tetra Tech operates in applied science and front-end technical engineering services for water, environmental, and sustainable infrastructure projects. It generates revenue through two main groups: Government Services Group, which serves U.S. federal, state, and local government agencies, and Commercial/International Group, which carries out water, energy, mining, and digital automation work internationally and commercially. In Q3 fiscal 2026, international operations represented 47% of activity, U.S. federal operations 20%, and U.S. commercial operations 20%.

According to EDGAR data, the company recorded Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.3 billion, gross profit of $243.2 million, net income of $109.8 million, and earnings per share of $0.42; equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 18.7% and a net income margin of approximately 8.4%. On the net revenue basis used in management's presentation, revenue reached $1.1 billion and exceeded the upper end of its guidance, while Government Services Group net revenue grew 7% with a 17.5% margin, and Commercial/International Group net revenue grew 9% with a 15.1% margin.

For the twelve months ended within fiscal 2026, the latest EDGAR data show revenue of approximately $5.1 billion, gross profit of $951.8 million, net income of $436.8 million, and earnings per share of approximately $1.68. During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, net income attributable to shareholders reached $308.2 million, and operating cash flow reached a record $467 million, up 31% from the corresponding period of fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Backlog increased 5% from the previous quarter to just under $4.5 billion in Q3 fiscal 2026, after adding $208 million, marking the second consecutive quarterly increase; the company includes only contracted, funded, and authorized work in its backlog.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

New contracts supported the forward outlook, as the company added slightly less than $300 million in contract capacity from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers' Mobile and Norfolk districts, along with a $27 million contract with FAA to modernize airspace and a role as lead designer for the largest municipal system dedicated to treating PFOS in the United States in Dayton.
  • International operations grew 12% year over year in Q3 fiscal 2026, driven by water programs in the United Kingdom, Ireland, and the Netherlands, infrastructure in Canada, and mining and digital automation in Australia. Tetra Tech has more than £2 billion in contract capacity in the water markets of the United Kingdom, Ireland, and the Netherlands, within a British investment cycle of approximately £105 billion through 2030.
  • Data center services are expanding from engineering and commissioning work into feasibility studies and securing energy and water requirements, although management estimated their size at only approximately $60 million during fiscal 2026. Digital automation for data centers, energy and electric transportation services, and sediment restoration programs also led new commercial orders during Q3 fiscal 2026.
  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to net revenue of between $4.315 billion and $4.365 billion and adjusted earnings per share of between $1.56 and $1.59, with expected net revenue growth of 8% and margin expansion of 70 basis points at the midpoint of the range. For Q4 fiscal 2026, it set a net revenue range of between $1.12 billion and $1.17 billion and adjusted earnings per share of between $0.45 and $0.48.
  • Cash generation supports the capital allocation policy; the company repurchased $200 million of shares during the first nine months of fiscal 2026, including $100 million in Q3, with $398 million remaining available under the program. The board also approved an 11% year-over-year increase in the quarterly cash dividend, while net debt declined to 0.88 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q3 fiscal 2026 performance combined business growth and profitability, as Government Services Group net revenue grew 7% with a 17.5% margin, Commercial/International Group net revenue grew 9% with a 15.1% margin, and earnings per share of $0.42 exceeded the upper end of management's guidance.
    • +The backlog of approximately $4.5 billion, consisting only of funded and authorized contracts, provides better operating visibility for Q4 fiscal 2026, while some of the new funding represents the beginning of multiyear programs.
    • +The company has diversified exposure to long-term water investment drivers; U.S. municipal water treatment grew more than 10% in Q3 fiscal 2026, while international opportunities include the £105 billion British water cycle through 2030 and Hydro-Québec's plan to add 11 gigawatts of new capacity.
    • +Operating cash flow reached $467 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2026 and exceeded net income, while return on capital employed exceeded 20% and leverage declined to 0.88 times, enabling the company to fund growth, acquisitions, share repurchases, and dividends simultaneously.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Operations related to the U.S. government face slower task awards due to a reduction in the number of federal contracting personnel, while management had not observed a material improvement in work flow as of the July 30, 2026 call. The shutdown of USAID and reduced international development and disaster response activities also caused reported revenue to decline compared with the previous year, while the medium-term contribution of Department of State and Ukraine-related work remains unclear.
    • −The August 25, 2026 settlement revealed tangible legal and professional reputation exposure, as Tetra Tech agreed to pay $57 million to settle a U.S. Department of Justice lawsuit involving allegations of falsifying soil test results and manipulating data from work performed for the U.S. Navy. The seriousness of the allegations could affect government agencies' assessment of the company's integrity when awarding future environmental services contracts.
    • −U.S. commercial operations were hurt by the cancellation of the remaining offshore wind programs on the Atlantic Coast, and growth in this market was limited to 1% year over year in Q3 fiscal 2026 despite improvements in energy, electric transportation, and mining services. This shows that growth in data centers and new business did not fully offset weakness in renewable energy.
    • −Funding risks exist in the state and local government market, where joint federal funding for flood protection projects declined and more than 20 states filed lawsuits against the federal government over promised funds. Management confirmed that flood protection is a small part of the market, but the dispute remains evidence of some projects' sensitivity to federal budget decisions.
    • −Management indicated on July 30, 2026 that regulatory and geopolitical uncertainty is making some commercial clients more cautious when awarding new programs, and it also cited fuel-related supply chain risks. Continued pressure could delay the conversion of market opportunities into actual orders and revenue.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus is neutral, with an average price target of $37, while the highest and lowest targets are both $37; therefore, the target range provides no diversity of views, and the target is below the 52-week range high of $43.14 and above its low of $25.81. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, preventing a reliable comparison based on it; the valuation balances higher fiscal 2026 guidance and improved margins on one hand against the $57 million Department of Justice settlement and weakness in some federal and renewable energy operations on the other.

    HoldAnalyst target: $37(+1.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Tetra Tech's growth in Q3 fiscal 2026?

    Growth came primarily from the U.S. federal and international markets, each of which grew 12% year over year in Q3 fiscal 2026. International operations benefited from water programs in the United Kingdom, Ireland, and the Netherlands, Canadian infrastructure, and mining and digital automation in Australia. In the United States, water, environmental, and defense projects supported demand, while backlog increased by $208 million to just under $4.5 billion.

    How important is water to Tetra Tech's business model?

    Water is central to Tetra Tech's services in treatment, water quality, hydropower, digital systems, and cybersecurity. The company serves more than 500 municipal clients in the United States, and its municipal water treatment business grew more than 10% in Q3 fiscal 2026. Internationally, its opportunities are tied to a British water investment cycle of approximately £105 billion through 2030 and contract capacity exceeding £2 billion in the United Kingdom, Ireland, and the Netherlands.

    Did Tetra Tech raise its fiscal 2026 guidance?

    Yes, management raised its fiscal 2026 net revenue guidance to a range of between $4.315 billion and $4.365 billion. It also raised its adjusted earnings per share range to between $1.56 and $1.59, with expected net revenue growth of 8% and margin expansion of 70 basis points at the midpoint of the range. For Q4 fiscal 2026, it expects net revenue of between $1.12 billion and $1.17 billion and adjusted earnings per share of between $0.45 and $0.48.

    What is the impact of the Department of Justice settlement on TTEK stock risks?

    On August 25, 2026, Tetra Tech agreed to pay $57 million to settle a lawsuit brought by the U.S. Department of Justice. The lawsuit involved allegations of falsifying soil test results and manipulating data submitted regarding work for the U.S. Navy at the former shipyard in San Francisco. The settlement represents a direct financial cost and also creates reputation and compliance risk in a business that partly depends on winning sensitive government and environmental contracts.

    How is Tetra Tech addressing artificial intelligence and the risk that it could replace engineering services?

    Management said on the July 30, 2026 call that Tetra Tech uses artificial intelligence as a tool to empower its experts, not as a replacement for its technical work. The company's solutions depend on site-specific information, such as geology, field conditions, regulatory frameworks, and community priorities, after which customized solutions are developed for each client. Management believes artificial intelligence can expand the number of alternatives and datasets analyzed and support market share growth and improved margins on fixed-price projects, but the risks of artificial intelligence-enabled competition do not disappear entirely.

    How is Tetra Tech using its cash flows in fiscal 2026?

    The company generated operating cash flow of $467 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2026, up 31% from the corresponding period of fiscal 2025. It repurchased $200 million of shares during the same period, with $398 million remaining available under the program, while the board also increased the quarterly dividend by 11%. At the same time, the company maintained net debt equal to 0.88 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization and completed the acquisitions of Halvik and Providence for an estimated combined value of $232 million.

    −
    Concerns about displacement by artificial intelligence pressured the stock during fiscal 2026, even as management emphasized that Tetra Tech's work depends on local geological, regulatory, and field knowledge and customized solutions that are difficult to convert into standardized designs. The risk remains if competitors can use artificial intelligence to reduce design and analysis costs faster than the company can achieve margin expansion on its fixed-price projects.