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Home
Stocks
TotalEnergies SE
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 4/9Better than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
91
11.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
25
-0.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
58
8.4%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
73
1.0x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
27
1.07%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
91
42.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
76
7▲3Top tier
TTE

TTE TotalEnergies SE

TotalEnergies SE · NYSE
Market Closed
91.89
▲ ⁦+0.72%⁩ (+0.66)
Market Cap$204.6B
Beta0.05
52w Low52w High
57.3994.17
Last Week
⁦+2.96%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.78%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.75%⁩
Last Year
⁦+47.73%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$92
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$93
⁦+1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$90–$103⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$117
⁦+27%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$93–$117⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$95.33
⁦+3.7%⁩
Current Price $91.89·Median $93.00
Low
$90.00
High
$103.00
Current price
$91.89
Average target
$95.33
Street summary

Consensus Target Declines as Uncertainty Widens

The consensus price target remained at 95.33, unchanged over the day and the past seven days, but declined over 30 days from 103 to 95.33, a decrease of 7.45%. This represents a limited upside of approximately 4.5% compared with the current price of 91.23. The range also spans 90 to 103, reflecting clear divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-7.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦1 (-4)⁩
Buy conviction
100%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
14%
Analyst ratings over time1 analysts rating
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.82 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Piper Sandler
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-23
    CICC
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.43x
    3.56x28.47x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.17x
    3.36x26.89x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    5.47x
    2.12x16.98x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.9%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -0.0%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    44.1%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    30.7%
    7.8%72.1%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    8.4%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.96x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.1%
    0.4%10.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.3%
    11.9%109.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

TotalEnergies SE operates through an integrated energy model that combines oil and gas production, LNG, refining and petrochemicals, product and service marketing, and electricity generation from renewable sources and flexible gas-fired plants. Earnings and cash flows come from capturing value across these chains, from hydrocarbon production through trading and refining to the sale of fuels, lubricants, and electricity; the impact of this diversification was evident in Q2 FY2026, when exploration and production, refining, and electricity all benefited from higher prices and margins, while gas trading was the main weak point.

In Q2 FY2026, adjusted net income reached $6.0 billion and cash flow reached $9.8 billion, up approximately 15% from the previous quarter, with a return on equity of 15.9% and a return on average capital employed of approximately 14%. Exploration and production recorded adjusted net operating income of $3.2 billion and cash flow of $5.8 billion, and refining and chemicals generated $1.8 billion and $2.0 billion, respectively, while adjusted operating income for marketing and services reached $500 million and its cash flow was approximately $850 million. Integrated Power generated more than $700 million in cash flow, 60% of which came from generation assets and 40% from sales and trading.

The Q2 FY2026 call does not include a revenue figure, so the latest annual revenue metric in EDGAR data remains $201.2 billion in FY2025, compared with $214.6 billion in FY2024. Annual net income declined to $13.4 billion from $16.0 billion, while earnings per share fell to $5.78 from $6.69. Regarding profitability conditions in Q2 FY2026, the average European refining margin increased by $13.5 per barrel from the previous quarter, and operating costs in exploration and production remained below $5 per barrel of oil equivalent.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Underlying hydrocarbon production increased by more than 4% year over year in Q2 FY2026, exceeding the annual growth guidance of 3%, supported by projects launched since the beginning of FY2025 and improved facility availability; the company expects growth of approximately 3% in Q3 FY2026 compared with Q3 FY2025 after excluding the Middle East impact.
  • The commodity environment supported Q2 FY2026 results; average Brent was approximately $104 per barrel compared with $81 in the previous quarter, and the average realized LNG price increased 20% to $10.2 per million British thermal units. TotalEnergies expects an average LNG selling price above $11.5 per million British thermal units in Q3 FY2026 due to the lag effect in pricing formulas.
  • Net electricity generation reached 14.8 terawatt-hours in Q2 FY2026, up 28% year over year, with renewable generation growing by approximately 15% and two terawatt-hours added from flexible gas-fired capacity following completion of the EPH transaction in April 2026. The company targets more than 60 terawatt-hours during FY2026, with an expected contribution from TTEP exceeding $500 million in available cash flow.
  • The Energía Costa Azul LNG plant on Mexico's Pacific coast began operations in Q2 FY2026, and the company loaded its first cargo for the Asian market while signing long-term oil-linked LNG contracts with new customers in China and Japan. On July 28, 2026, TotalEnergies and Eni made the final investment decision to develop the Cronos field offshore Cyprus through four offshore wells and connect it to a system that transports gas to Europe as LNG.
  • On August 24, 2026, TotalEnergies announced its commitment to invest in expanding the Habshan–Fujairah route in Abu Dhabi and support an Iraqi oil pipeline through Syria, with the aim of creating outlets that bypass the Strait of Hormuz. The move is operationally significant because lifting disruptions in Q2 FY2026 amounted to the equivalent of 350 thousand barrels of oil per day, and because Middle East-related constraints ranged between 5% and 10% of the company's global production based on developments in July 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The integrated model demonstrated its ability to offset weakness in one activity with strength in another in Q2 FY2026; underlying production growth above 4% was combined with adjusted operating income of $1.8 billion in refining and chemicals and cash flow exceeding $700 million in Integrated Power, despite weak gas trading and Middle East disruptions.
  • +The balance sheet improved during Q2 FY2026, as net debt decreased by $3.3 billion and the gearing ratio declined by 2.4 percentage points to 13.1%. The company achieved this while making net investments of $3.4 billion, supporting its FY2026 investment guidance of $15 billion.
  • +The distribution policy provides support to shareholders; the company increased the quarterly interim dividend by 5.9% to €0.90 per share and raised share buybacks to $1.5 billion in Q2 FY2026, after which the Board of Directors authorized an additional $1.5 billion for Q3 FY2026. Management also maintained its target of returning more than 40% of cash flow to shareholders on an FY2026 basis.
  • +The growth portfolio spans different time horizons; the company targets starting production from the Uganda project before the end of FY2026 and reaching full capacity by mid-FY2027, while the Suriname project was 40% complete with production targeted to begin in the first half of FY2028. In electricity, TotalEnergies targets more than 100 terawatt-hours of production and $2 billion in free cash flow by FY2030.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” and the average price target is $103, with the highest and lowest targets both at $103; this target is above the 52-week range high of $94.17, while the range low is $57.39. The target is supported by the improvement in cash flow to $9.8 billion in Q2 FY2026 and the decline in gearing to 13.1%, but the narrow target range does not clearly reflect the risks associated with the Strait of Hormuz, weak gas trading, and the annual decline in FY2025 revenue and net income.

BuyAnalyst target: $103(+12.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove TTE stock results in Q2 FY2026?

TotalEnergies generated adjusted net income of $6.0 billion and cash flow of $9.8 billion in Q2 FY2026. Results benefited from average Brent of $104 per barrel, a $13.5 per barrel increase in the European refining margin, and underlying production growth of more than 4%. Conversely, weak European gas trading and lifting disruptions equivalent to 350 thousand barrels of oil per day in the Middle East limited the full benefit from this environment.

How do disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz affect TotalEnergies?

The conflict's impact on Q2 FY2026 production was approximately 210 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day, but its impact on actual lifting reached 350 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day. In July 2026, management estimated Middle East-related production constraints at between 5% and 10%, depending on the severity of the conflict and the ability of tankers to enter and exit. For this reason, on August 24, 2026, the company announced its interest in expanding the Habshan–Fujairah route and supporting an Iraqi pipeline through Syria to provide alternative export outlets.

Is TotalEnergies' electricity business growing quickly enough to become a significant source of cash?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Middle East disruption represents the most visible operational risk; the conflict reduced Q2 FY2026 production by approximately 210 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day, while the impact of lifting disruptions reached 350 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day, or 15% of the related volumes. The estimated impact on production also returned to 8%–10% in July 2026, the Qatargas 2 facility was shut down again, and the start of Ratawi phase 1 was postponed to the end of Q3 FY2026.
  • −Gas trading performance declined in Q2 FY2026 due to long positions that bet on higher European gas prices, while the market remained stable or declined; management estimated the underperformance at approximately $300 million below the usual level after an outperformance of approximately $500 million in the previous quarter. Both adjusted net operating income and cash flow for Integrated LNG declined to approximately $0.8 billion, illustrating earnings sensitivity to trading positioning errors.
  • −EDGAR data show a material annual slowdown in FY2025; revenue declined to $201.2 billion from $214.6 billion in FY2024, and net income fell to $13.4 billion from $16.0 billion. Earnings per share also dropped to $5.78 from $6.69, making continued operational improvement necessary to reverse this annual trend.
  • −Projects and facilities remain exposed to execution and supply chain risks; the SATORP refinery in Saudi Arabia was attacked by drones and was operating at 70% of capacity in July 2026, while the Port Arthur facility was struck by lightning during a tropical storm in June 2026. Management also reported that constraints on transporting equipment through the Gulf region affected the Ratawi project timeline and the progress of some Mozambique LNG work.
  • −Regulatory and sanctions exposure remains in the Russian LNG business; the 10% stake in Arctic LNG 2, valued at $4.1 billion, was written off in FY2022, after which contractual rights and obligations were suspended following U.S. sanctions on November 2, 2023. In July 2026, the company was still awaiting the final legal wording of European sanctions related to Yamal LNG, and cash distributions from the 20% stake in the Yamal facility were not being received regularly.
  • −Valuation carries risk if growth projects do not materialize or commodity volatility persists, because the consensus analyst target of $103 exceeds the recorded high within the 52-week range of $94.17. The fact that the highest and lowest targets are both $103 also means that the available estimate range does not reflect variation in scenarios, despite the clear operational and commercial risks.

Net electricity generation increased to 14.8 terawatt-hours in Q2 FY2026, up 28% year over year, with renewable generation growing by approximately 15%. Integrated Power cash flow exceeded $700 million, 60% of which came from generation assets and 40% from sales and trading. The company targets more than 60 terawatt-hours in FY2026, and more than 100 terawatt-hours and $2 billion in free cash flow by FY2030.

What is the significance of the Cronos project and the Energía Costa Azul LNG plant for TTE stock?

The Energía Costa Azul LNG plant in Mexico began operations during Q2 FY2026, and TotalEnergies loaded its first cargo from the plant for Asia. On July 28, 2026, TotalEnergies and Eni made the final investment decision to develop Cronos offshore Cyprus through four subsea wells and connect it to the Zohr and Damietta facilities in Egypt. Cronos gives the company access to approximately 1.4 million tons of LNG in Egypt near the European market, while Energía Costa Azul expands portfolio diversification toward China and Japan.

What do TotalEnergies' capital distributions and balance sheet look like?

TotalEnergies reduced its net debt by $3.3 billion during Q2 FY2026, bringing the gearing ratio to 13.1% after an improvement of 2.4 percentage points. It increased the quarterly interim dividend by 5.9% to €0.90 per share, with $1.5 billion in share buybacks in the same quarter and authorization of the same amount for Q3 FY2026. At the same time, net investments reached $3.4 billion, and management confirmed its FY2026 guidance of $15 billion and its target of returning more than 40% of cash flow to shareholders.

What are the key growth projects that a TTE investor should monitor?

The company targets starting production from the Uganda project before the end of FY2026, with initial capacity of approximately 60 thousand barrels per day from Kingfisher and the system reaching full capacity by mid-FY2027. In Suriname, execution was 40% complete in July 2026, with production targeted to begin in the first half of FY2028, while Mozambique LNG was approximately 45% complete and targets its first train in FY2029. In Namibia, the company was preparing to appraise Mopane with three wells in FY2027 and make a final investment decision in FY2028, with Venus and Mopane viewed as a growth platform extending beyond FY2030.