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The Toro Company
TTC

TTC The Toro Company

The Toro Company · NYSE
Market Closed
92.72
▲ ⁦+0.00%⁩ (0.00)
Market Cap$8.8B
Beta0.70
52w Low52w High
67.64105.19
Last Week
⁦-6.49%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.16%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+3.09%⁩
Last Year
⁦+13.57%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9SafeBetter than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
54
24.8x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
54
5.2%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
87
15.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
75
1.4x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
64
1.65%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
61
22.4%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
74
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$93
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$115
⁦+24%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$115–$115⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$122
⁦+31%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$115–$122⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$115.00
⁦+24.0%⁩
Current Price $92.72·Median $115.00
Low
$115.00
High
$115.00
Street summary

Higher Target While Coverage Remains Limited

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose from 99.75 to 115, an increase of 15.25 or 15.29%, across one-day, seven-day, and 30-day horizons. At a current price of 93.33, the current target implies a potential upside of 21.66, but the target range does not appear differentiated because only one analyst covers the stock, and all displayed metrics are at 115.

As of 2026-09-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+15.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.40
Hold
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
40%
Mixed
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
2
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.33 → 3.40
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-02-18
    Raymond James
    OutperformMarket Perform
  • = Reiterate2025-12-18
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $86.00
  • = Reiterate2025-12-16
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $84.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    24.79x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    18.88x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.22x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    8.1%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.2%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    13.0%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    33.4%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    15.7%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.42x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.7%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    41.3%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.94
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-03 data

Company Overview

The Toro Company manufactures and sells professional and residential equipment and solutions serving landscape contractors, snow and ice management, golf courses, underground construction, as well as homeowners and owners of large properties. The professional business relies on brands and products such as Exmark, Ventrac, BOSS, Ditch Witch, and HammerHead, while the residential business benefits from distribution channels including the partnership with Lowe's. The company is also expanding its offerings through attachments, pipe rehabilitation solutions, irrigation technologies, and autonomous and electric equipment.

In Q3 fiscal 2026, net sales increased 8.4% to $1.23 billion, or 6.2% organically, and adjusted earnings per share reached $1.33. According to EDGAR data, revenue was $1.2 billion and gross profit was $418.1 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 34.8%, while net income was $77.0 million and earnings per share were $0.81. The difference between EDGAR earnings per share and adjusted earnings reflects the exclusion of items including a $43 million non-cash impairment charge.

Professional segment net sales grew 8.8% in Q3 fiscal 2026, including 6.1% organic growth, but its adjusted operating margin declined 40 basis points to 20.9%. Residential segment sales increased 8.6%, and its adjusted operating margin improved 400 basis points to 5.9%. At the company level, adjusted operating margin increased 30 basis points to 13.9%, while revenue for the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026 was approximately $4.8 billion and net income was $363.3 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 net sales growth outlook to a range of 6.3%–6.6% from 4%–6.5% and raised its adjusted earnings per share range to $4.60–$4.65 from $4.50–$4.62; the increase followed Q3 sales growth of 8.4% and adjusted earnings per share of $1.33 exceeding the analyst estimate of $1.30.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The AMP program supports profitability expansion, as the company said on September 3, 2026, that run-rate savings would exceed the $125 million target by the end of fiscal 2026. Operational efficiency contributed $0.12 to Q3 earnings per share, while share repurchases added $0.05 and tariff refunds added $0.06.
  • Demand for contractor equipment drove an important part of the growth; landscape contractor sales grew by double digits, supported by the launch of the redesigned Exmark Radius mower and the GrandStand MULTI FORCE line with a higher-powered and more efficient engine. Demand for Ventrac's fence-post trimming attachment also exceeded the initial production volume, while liquid deicing technologies and Snowrator products recorded the strongest year-over-year growth rates within the BOSS portfolio.
  • Underground construction grew by mid-single digits in Q3 fiscal 2026, and HammerHead Bluelight increased by more than 30% fiscal year to date. The company says its patented LED Bluelight technology cures pipe liners up to five times faster than traditional methods, alongside investments to increase capacity at Ditch Witch facilities.
  • The company has deployed hundreds of autonomous products at golf facilities worldwide, including Turf Pro, Range Pro, and GeoLink Autonomous Fairway Mower, while the new electric greens roller sold out for the entirety of fiscal 2026. In irrigation, management noted on September 3, 2026, that projects and bids extend through 2029, although installation speed remains constrained by the availability of crews.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q3 fiscal 2026 growth combined an 8.4% increase in sales with a 30-basis-point rise in adjusted operating margin to 13.9%, indicating that AMP savings, pricing, and operating leverage translated into an actual improvement in earnings.
    • +The diversity of demand drivers reduces reliance on a single product; the landscape contractor business achieved double-digit growth, underground construction grew by mid-single digits, and sales in both the professional and residential segments increased by more than 8% each in Q3 fiscal 2026.
    • +New innovations provide measurable growth paths, with HammerHead Bluelight increasing by more than 30% fiscal year to date, demand for the new Ventrac attachment exceeding the initial production volume, and the electric golf roller selling out for the entirety of fiscal 2026.
    • +Working capital improved by $217 million year over year, and inventory declined by $153 million, helping generate $425 million in free cash flow fiscal year to date at a conversion rate of 128%. This enabled the execution of $358 million in share repurchases.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The professional segment's adjusted operating margin declined 40 basis points to 20.9% in Q3 fiscal 2026 due to product mix and higher manufacturing costs, while the Tornado acquisition also had a slight negative impact on margin during its first year.
    • −The Q4 fiscal 2026 outlook points to a slowdown compared with Q3, as the company expects sales growth between 3.9% and 5.1% and adjusted earnings per share between $0.93 and $0.98, compared with sales growth of 8.4% and adjusted earnings per share of $1.33 in Q3. It also expects residential segment sales to be approximately flat against a prior period of strong demand for snow equipment.
    • −Part of the demand for residential and BOSS products remains exposed to weather fluctuations; the company said it is monitoring winter patterns and avoiding production increases that could recreate the channel inventory problem if snowfall is weak. It also noted a relative slowdown among owners of large properties when drier conditions prevailed during the latter part of the season.
    • −Golf equipment shipments declined modestly year over year in Q3 fiscal 2026 after two years of exceptional double-digit growth. Despite the strength of the irrigation project pipeline, the pace of installation remains constrained by crew availability, which could delay the conversion of demand extending through 2029 into realized revenue.
    • −The Q4 fiscal 2026 outlook includes expected IEEPA refunds of $7 million instead of the previous $12 million, after $5 million was classified outside the second phase and the timing of its recovery became unclear. Management said the near-term impact of Canadian tariffs is limited and incorporated into the outlook, but acknowledged that unresolved discussions could change the picture in the following fiscal year.
    • −The company recorded a $43 million non-cash impairment charge related to AMP network optimization and product portfolio rationalization, highlighting the costs of restructuring operations despite improved adjusted earnings. Insider data through June 26, 2026, also showed eight sales versus one purchase and three-month net activity of approximately negative $406.7 thousand, but insider sales are a weak standalone signal and may have been prearranged.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $115, with the highest and lowest targets matching at the same level, versus a consensus rating of “Neutral”; therefore, the figure does not reflect a broad range of independent opinions. The target is approximately 9.3% above the 52-week range high of $105.19, while the full range extends from $67.64 to $105.19, placing the target above the highest recorded annual level. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data, so the valuation assessment here is based on the uniform target and the 52-week range, balanced against the neutral consensus and margin and weather risks.

    HoldAnalyst target: $115(+24.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-05; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove TTC's results in Q3 fiscal 2026?

    Net sales increased 8.4% to $1.23 billion, or 6.2% organically, and adjusted earnings per share reached $1.33 in Q3 fiscal 2026. Professional segment sales grew 8.8% and residential segment sales grew 8.6%, with strong demand from landscape contractors and underground construction, as well as the Lowe's partnership. Operational efficiency contributed $0.12 to earnings per share, while repurchases added $0.05 and tariff refunds added $0.06.

    How important is the AMP program to The Toro Company's earnings?

    The company launched the AMP program in 2024 to focus on transforming the supplier base, value engineering, optimizing routes to market, and operational efficiency. On September 3, 2026, management said run-rate savings would exceed the $125 million target by the end of fiscal 2026. The program helped increase the company's adjusted operating margin by 30 basis points to 13.9% in Q3, but it was also associated with a $43 million non-cash impairment charge.

    How are TTC's new products contributing to growth?

    The redesigned Exmark Radius mower and the GrandStand MULTI FORCE line supported double-digit growth in the landscape contractor business in Q3 fiscal 2026. Demand for Ventrac's fence-post trimming attachment exceeded the initial production volume, while HammerHead Bluelight grew by more than 30% fiscal year to date. In golf, the company deployed hundreds of autonomous Turf Pro, Range Pro, and GeoLink units worldwide, and the new electric roller sold out for the entirety of fiscal 2026.

    What is TTC's outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

    The company expects fiscal 2026 net sales growth between 6.3% and 6.6% and adjusted earnings per share between $4.60 and $4.65. Q4 includes expected sales growth between 3.9% and 5.1% and adjusted earnings per share between $0.93 and $0.98. Management expects mid-single-digit growth for the professional segment and approximately flat sales for the residential segment, including $7 million in expected IEEPA refunds.

    What are the main risks facing TTC stock?

    The professional segment margin declined 40 basis points to 20.9% in Q3 fiscal 2026 due to product mix and higher manufacturing costs, and the Tornado acquisition had a slight negative impact on margin. Demand for snow equipment is linked to winter patterns, so the company is attempting to balance its ability to meet demand against the risk of channel inventory accumulation. Golf shipments also declined modestly, and execution of irrigation projects remained constrained by installation crew availability, while the timing of $5 million in IEEPA refunds remained uncertain.

    How does TTC's valuation look according to analyst data?

    The analyst price target is $115, with the highest and lowest target estimates matching at that level, while the consensus remains “Neutral.” This target is approximately 9.3% above the 52-week range high of $105.19, and the range low is $67.64. The provided data does not include a usable price-to-earnings ratio, so the target should be viewed in light of the neutral consensus, the risk of a Q4 slowdown, and pressure on the professional segment's margin.